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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 959

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/29/2010 9:05:36 PM | message detail
HAW HAW CASUALS



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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"The metal board doesn't hate music that isn't metal. They hate music that's bad." -Lucid Faia
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 11/29/2010 9:08:04 PM | message detail
Thanks, KP.
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Dammmnn!-Raphael
red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2010 9:14:03 PM | message detail
NINTENDO!

Does Link get 50% in this 12-way poll?

Link
Master Chief
Gordon Freeman
Sam Fisher
Darth Revan
Vault Boy
Altair
Ezio Auditore di Firenze
Tommy Vercetti
Carl Johnson
Commander Shepard
Heavy

Otherwise known as Link vs. Western Characters or Albion's Worst Nightmare.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/29/2010 9:14:50 PM | message detail
I've gotten both of KP's brainchild upsets right.

Picked against Demon's Souls, and with Golden Sun.

ExTha > KP imo
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
See You Space Cowboy
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/29/2010 9:15:08 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #003
NINTENDO!

Does Link get 50% in this 12-way poll?

Link
Master Chief
Gordon Freeman
Sam Fisher
Darth Revan
Vault Boy
Altair
Ezio Auditore di Firenze
Tommy Vercetti
Carl Johnson
Commander Shepard
Heavy

Otherwise known as Link vs. Western Characters or Albion's Worst Nightmare.


Link gets 65%
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"I would totally audition to be Extha's best friend" - Mer
See You Space Cowboy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/29/2010 9:15:16 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #003
NINTENDO!

Does Link get 50% in this 12-way poll?

Link
Master Chief
Gordon Freeman
Sam Fisher
Darth Revan
Vault Boy
Altair
Ezio Auditore di Firenze
Tommy Vercetti
Carl Johnson
Commander Shepard
Heavy

Otherwise known as Link vs. Western Characters or Albion's Worst Nightmare.


Absolutely no chance. He'd be lucky to break 40 there.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif
red sox 777 | Posted 11/29/2010 9:18:03 PM | message detail
I'd think Link is outmatched there, but on the other hand, it's 11-way LFF.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2010 3:54:38 AM | message detail
Gurus also had SA the favorite?Didn't expected that after I saw that most crew chose GS.Man this match was sure tough to predict...
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
VitalVI | Posted 11/30/2010 3:57:19 AM | message detail
Link would break like 75%
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So wait, if a Laguz and Beorc Do the vertical tango...
EvilNcr | Posted 11/30/2010 3:57:40 AM | message detail
Of course Link it outmatched, there's 11 other characters to drain his vote and they come from all kinds of background.
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"You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life." ~ Winston Churchill
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2010 4:05:04 AM | message detail
Link 1st with a whole lot,Ezio 2nd with less the others don't matter.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2010 4:11:01 AM | message detail
Out of the top 10 matches with the lowest prediction I have 7 right.Didn't expected that.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
transience | Posted 11/30/2010 4:12:30 AM | message detail
let's see..

Top 10 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Golden Sun vs. GTA: San Andreas (R2) – 16.05%
2. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 26.23%
3. Kingdom Hearts II vs. Bioshock (R2) – 29.25%
4. Paper Mario: TTYD vs. Gears of War (R1) – 29.33%
5. Morrowind vs. Warcraft III (R1) – 32.76%
6. Okami vs. Mega Man 9 (R2) – 36.41%
7. Deus Ex vs. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 36.61%
8. Kingdom Hearts vs. CoD: Modern Warfare 2 (R2) – 38.31%
9. Halo: Combat Evolved vs. Halo 3 (R2) – 41.28%
10. Batman: AA vs. Team Fortress 2 (R2) – 41.97%

8/10 for me. casuals suck, etc.
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xyzzy
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/30/2010 4:12:43 AM | message detail
Based off SA/GoW/ToS/Oblivion and SA/GS Golden Sun looks to be slightly stronger than Oblivion. This means that it could probably get about 45% on MGS3, and should get into the high 30s against FFX.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2010 4:30:45 AM | message detail
GS stronger than Oblivion and could get 45% on MGS 3?Now that is crazy talk.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
HaRRicH | Posted 11/30/2010 4:45:41 AM | message detail
I dunno if I agree about GS doing THAT well, but I'd agree with that before I would the people who think GS couldn't beat ToS/GoW/Oblivion.
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What do Ocarina of Time, Majora's Mask, and Twilight Princess have in common? EPONA!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/30/2010 5:00:41 AM | message detail
Hey want to ask the experts what they think about Persona 4/Dead Rising,Portal/FF XII.I ask because this is my last change to finally get for at least 1 time on leaderboad.Now what most people believe?
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
HaRRicH | Posted 11/30/2010 5:21:19 AM | message detail
I had TWEWY winning that four-pack and expected P4 to beat Braid a little worse, so I favor DR...but not enough to not bank. Portal looks like the favorite from most angles, but by no means should it be a blow-out or guarantee it wins.
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Take seven seconds to think of Epona's Song, please.
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
charmander6000 | Posted 11/30/2010 5:49:03 AM | message detail
Match LXXXIV: (7) Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 vs. (2) Final Fantasy IX

Last Round

Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 – 52.35%
Civilization IV – 47.65%

Final Fantasy IX – 75.19%
Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney Trials and Tribulations – 24.81%

Analysis

Final Fantasy IX has another chance at breaking 70%, I guess this is the contest being nice to it since it got fed to Final Fantasy VIII in the previous contest. Persona 3 may have won the match that no one cared about, but that doesn’t mean that the game is strong. Oddly enough despite getting 8 matches wrong in the first round Persona 3 dealt one of the biggest wins, goes to show you that most of the close matches didn’t go my way.

I think the major debate is which Persona game is stronger. While Persona 3 was released at the end of the Playstation 2’s lifespan Persona 4 was released when the console was pretty much dead. At the same time Persona 4 was the more popular game selling more copies despite being released so late and it was more popular among fans. Persona 3 does have the advantage of having more releases, but one of them was right back on the Playstation 2 as an expansion while the other was on the PSP. Had Persona 3 been released on the Playstation 3 I may take it over Persona 4, but right now I expect Persona 4 to be the stronger game.

Final Fantasy IX has a great chance at breaking 70%, even if it was against Persona 4. While the series has strength to defeat extremely weak opponents overall the series is also very weak. Before coming face to face with Final Fantasy VIII Final Fantasy IX did have a good performance in the first round suggesting that the game does have decent strength.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Final Fantasy IX > Civilization IV

charmander6000’s Prediction: Final Fantasy IX wins, 71.26% - 28.74%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 90/100 Today's Matches: SW: KotOR & FFIX
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/30/2010 6:16:44 AM | message detail
"8/10 for me. casuals suck, etc."

8/10, huh. I mean, that's pretty good, yeah.

Not as good as 9/10 or anything, but a solid effort, definitely. You ought be congratulated.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
pjbasis | Posted 11/30/2010 6:18:22 AM | message detail
8/10 in my bracket.

Switched to GTAIV though for battle.
Guess how many teens | Posted 11/30/2010 6:29:51 AM | message detail
If Link would break 50% in that poll I'd eat someone's balls(not my own).
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[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[[ -Red |||||||||||||| -Green ]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]]] -Blue
Play Earthbound.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/30/2010 7:40:11 AM | message detail
Looks like vote totals have returned to normal, then again the two games don't exactly bring in votes.

I guess this settles that FE > PoR unless you think Pokemon DPP would cruise KotOR.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 90/100 Today's Matches: SW: KotOR & FFIX
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 8:02:24 AM | message detail
DPP might cruise over KOTOR. We'll never know thanks to all the SFF that's going to go around, but that's very possible.

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DFF
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/30/2010 8:51:51 AM | message detail
Let's see some TOP OPTION action from P3.

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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2010 8:57:14 AM | message detail
A fine job from KotOR here. Now I hope it bows out with a respectable loss.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 8:58:30 AM | message detail
KOTOR probably ends up looking amazing next round due to the ridiculous day vote discrepancy between it and FFIX. Then FFX happens and it ends up looking bad in the stats anyway.

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DFF
Master Moltar | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:13 AM | message detail
Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 66.67%

4
Final Fantasy IX 33.33%

2
TOTAL VOTES 6
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Moltar Status: 86 Points - Vote: Final Fantasy X
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Articuno2001 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 66.67%

2
Final Fantasy IX 33.33%

1
TOTAL VOTES 3
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2010 Game of the Decade Contest - 87/100 points - Today: Star Wars: KotoR / Final Fantasy IX
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:20 AM | message detail
Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 44.44%

4
Final Fantasy IX 55.56%

5
TOTAL VOTES 9

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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:27 AM | message detail
the f*** is going on
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Oracle contest - 19th
Today's pick: FFIX - 69.74% Status:
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:30 AM | message detail
OH THOSE VOTALS
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:41 AM | message detail
dat board vote

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DFF
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/30/2010 9:00:43 AM | message detail
Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 52.38% 11
Final Fantasy IX 47.62% 10
TOTAL VOTES 21

GODDAMMIT BOARD 8
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What is this ****!?
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:05 AM | message detail
Dead Rising is so screwed.

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DFF
Advokaiser | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:28 AM | message detail
Shin Megami Tensei: Persona 3 53.85% 7
Final Fantasy IX 46.15% 6
TOTAL VOTES 13

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
swordz9 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:49 AM | message detail
Persona 3 literally has no chance of winning anyways guys. I'm just hoping FFIX won't completely slaughter it so it can at least look respectable.
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
The Mana Sword | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:53 AM | message detail
Final Fantasy X is so screwed
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:55 AM | message detail
this got ugly quickly
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Oracle contest - 19th
Today's pick: FFIX - 69.74% Status:
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:01:56 AM | message detail
*refresh*

Persona 4 is so screwed.

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DFF
pjbasis | Posted 11/30/2010 9:02:02 AM | message detail
That went quick.

Borderlands 65-35 P3?
Articuno2001 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:02:38 AM | message detail
lol civ4
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2010 Game of the Decade Contest - 87/100 points - Today: Star Wars: KotoR / Final Fantasy IX
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:02:42 AM | message detail
Borderlands/P3 would probably be identical to the Vesperia match.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/30/2010 9:02:49 AM | message detail
Christ almighty. Frank West doing the zombie shuffle up in here!
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Greyfeld | Posted 11/30/2010 9:03:10 AM | message detail
FF9 is one of my favorite games of all time, but admittedly, P3 has an awesome match pic.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:03:44 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #045
FF9 is one of my favorite games of all time, but admittedly, P3 has an awesome match pic.


Thank you, thank you, you're all too kind!

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DFF
swordz9 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:04:48 AM | message detail
This match probably isn't going to be much help in figuring out how P4 vs DR would go is it? I mean if this was Dead Rising vs Final Fantasy IX what would it look like right now?
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http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/30/2010 9:05:17 AM | message detail
You will not break 70% FFIX

You

Will

Not
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/30/2010 9:05:49 AM | message detail
This match went from one extreme to the other than back to average pretty quickly.

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DFF
Advokaiser | Posted 11/30/2010 9:06:02 AM | message detail
NINTENDO!

Does Link get 50% in this 12-way poll?

Link
Master Chief
Gordon Freeman
Sam Fisher
Darth Revan
Vault Boy
Altair
Ezio Auditore di Firenze
Tommy Vercetti
Carl Johnson
Commander Shepard
Heavy

Otherwise known as Link vs. Western Characters or Albion's Worst Nightmare.



Who the hell are those people other than Link, Master Chief, Gordon Freeman and Carl Johnson?

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"