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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 953

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 6:23:12 AM | message detail
For one thing, Fallout 3's genre and type of gameplay simply leads me to believe that it should be that type of game. For another thing, Fallout 3 wasn't as well received as GTAIV and MGS4 in the first place, but it just seemed to grow over time compared to those two which dropped off. It received all the GotY honors and frequently placed high in GotD lists from other sites.

Off Topic: I think I'm voting against Prime for the rest of the contest, BTW, though I'm simply throwing Okami a pity vote (even then I don't mind it winning).
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:25:48 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 was huge, no way it can almost win the GotY on GameFAQs in 2 months if it wasn't. Even in the last game contest it looked as if it lost a spring in its step.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:47:40 AM | message detail
And I change to God Of War at the last time.I thought TOS would win since it is an RPG with a decent fan base.Still the match was close.Now the next match should be obvious.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/24/2010 7:01:14 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #276
Going by TWEWY/DR stats, GoW got this.


awwww yeah
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 7:28:00 AM | message detail
Looking ahead the next match not to get 90% support from the gurus is SA/GS.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
Achromatic | Posted 11/24/2010 7:28:57 AM | message detail
isnt golden sun/SA a day match?
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Sir Chris
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/24/2010 7:30:09 AM | message detail
Yep. On the day of Golden Sun 3's release, I think.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/24/2010 7:48:17 AM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #233
f*** this match, I want to go to bed
oh well... this match should have trends similar to Dead Rising/TWEWY... meaning GoW will end up winning without too much trouble


I was so damn right
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Oracle contest - 24th
Today's pick: God of War - 51.73% Status: Great
Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 7:54:48 AM | message detail
LinkMariSamus, there are two huge, gaping holes in your logic.

1. Character strength =\= game strength. It's not uncommon for strong action characters to pull more weight than their games. Conversely, more times than not, RPGs are stronger than any of their individual characters.
2. You're basing your entire argument about this division on the assumption that ToS is weak (ToS is weak, therefore GoW is weak, etc etc), when it could simply be an overperformance due to being an older JRPG, which the trends in this contest thusfar would suggest to be much more likely.
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Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
Achromatic | Posted 11/24/2010 7:56:04 AM | message detail
Man, I just realized San Andreas is still in the top 100 FAQs, the only GTA to be.
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Sir Chris
AppIekidjosh | Posted 11/24/2010 7:58:33 AM | message detail
hey statsguys is there a convenient term or acronym for the voters taking "game of the decade" seriously

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 7:59:29 AM | message detail
In response:

-I AM operating under the assumption that both DMCs are fodder/low midcarders. I still do not think that DMC3 would lose to Sands of Time, LittleBigPlanet, Ico, Dead Space, Silent Hill 2, or Ninja Gaiden. Way too weird.

-ToS struggled to get 53% on RESIDENT EVIL 5. That's weak no matter how you put it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/24/2010 8:00:36 AM | message detail

From: Achromatic | #409
Man, I just realized San Andreas is still in the top 100 FAQs, the only GTA to be.


That's because SA is the one with a million stupid collectibles and horrifying side missions that no mortal man could accomplish on their own.

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DFF
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/24/2010 8:01:20 AM | message detail

From: AppIekidjosh | #409
hey statsguys is there a convenient term or acronym for the voters taking "game of the decade" seriously


SmartVotersFactor
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:07:50 AM | message detail
-I AM operating under the assumption that both DMCs are fodder/low midcarders. I still do not think that DMC3 would lose to Sands of Time, LittleBigPlanet, Ico, Dead Space, Silent Hill 2, or Ninja Gaiden. Way too weird.

Yeah, I don't see DMC losing in those matchups either. We're kinda scraping the barrel against those games, and I think the DMC series is at least high fodder. I wouldn't take it to lose against Gears anyway.

-ToS struggled to get 53% on RESIDENT EVIL 5. That's weak no matter how you put it.

In a night match, which after seeing ToS/GoW, I'm convinced worked against it. Were it a day match, I think the ASV would have pushed it easily into the 45/55 zone.

That said, that's why I said "overperform." I have the distinct feeling that JRPGs, in general, are performing stronger in this contest than they normally would. Especially in subsequent rounds when games start bandwagoning.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 8:10:00 AM | message detail

From: AppIekidjosh | #411
hey statsguys is there a convenient term or acronym for the voters taking "game of the decade" seriously


SBF, Serious Business Factor
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:10:07 AM | message detail
I just had a thought...

Would anybody take Golden Sun over Tales of Symphonia?
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
695924 | Posted 11/24/2010 8:10:21 AM | message detail
All the jRPGs in the contest have overperformed with the exception of FFX and to a lesser extent GSC.
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lol opinions
695924 | Posted 11/24/2010 8:12:16 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #417
I just had a thought...

Would anybody take Golden Sun over Tales of Symphonia?


So far ToS has been up against stronger opponents. I would take ToS though. Even if GS beats SA this round, it would most likely be a close match and it would edge out due to Dark Dawn.
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lol opinions
Advokaiser | Posted 11/24/2010 8:15:24 AM | message detail
Would anybody take Golden Sun over Tales of Symphonia?

No way.

Unless, of course, that match happened the day Dark Dawn was released, but I would never take ToS > GTA: SA.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 8:17:23 AM | message detail
Predictions for Next Two Divisions in R2:

Super Smash Bros. Melee > The Elder Scrolls III: Morrowind
Call of Duty 4 > Perfect Dark
Pokemon Platinum > Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance
Super Smash Bros. Brawl > Valkyria Chronicles
Super Mario Galaxy > Pokemon Emerald
Zelda: Twilight Princess > Dragon Age: Origins
Kingdom Hearts II > BioShock
Kingdom Hearts > Modern Warfare 2

Only the Pokemon and Galaxy matches are really in doubt, eep.

Also Greyfeld, it seems like you were trying to agree with me.
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695924 | Posted 11/24/2010 8:19:23 AM | message detail
If RSE beats SMG then lol
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lol opinions
Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:21:30 AM | message detail
I'm not altogether convinced that having a sequel come out on the day of the poll is really going to be a huge benefit for Golden Sun. I mean, you can argue about how popular it is, but outside of an "upcoming release" poll from last year, there's really nothing to hint at GS actually being that strong.

Hell, in a Nintendo poll a few months ago, it only barely edged out Fire Emblem by .13%.

Personally, I would probably take FE: PoR over GS, and I don't think I would take the same game over GTA:SA. I'm just saying.
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Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:25:34 AM | message detail
Also Greyfeld, it seems like you were trying to agree with me.

I agreed with most of what you said, I just felt like you were underselling GoW due to the performance put up by ToS, when there are other possibilities to be considered besides "it's weak."

Don't get me wrong, GoW has proven that it's no higher than midcard material. That's kind of its ceiling, honestly. But I don't think this match brings it down to the fodder line, at all.
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Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 8:26:02 AM | message detail
GS only has 2 handheld games on the friggin GBA. FE has about half a dozen games and console iterations on Wii and Cube. The fact that it even beat FE is quite impressive. Plus the actual games have sold more than any FE game.

GS was hugely popular during the time it came out, it was one of those games for GBA peopel played because there was nothign out on the system and it became quite popular. I think if we had a console GS and DS one already by now GS would beat SA with ease.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/24/2010 8:33:07 AM | message detail
this contest sure knows how to keep on being disappointing
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Achromatic | Posted 11/24/2010 8:38:06 AM | message detail
I think golden sun/gta may be a bit of overhype. JRPGs have been over-performing... at night. I cant recall a jrpg that has had a day match so far that wasnt ffix (this is asking to be corrected)
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Sir Chris
Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:38:23 AM | message detail
GS only has 2 handheld games on the friggin GBA. FE has about half a dozen games and console iterations on Wii and Cube. The fact that it even beat FE is quite impressive. Plus the actual games have sold more than any FE game.

Whether or not it's impressive in the scope of sales is irrelevant. We're discussing the possibility of it winning against another game which, by and large, has a more popular franchise name. The fact that it inched out FE is only impressive inside of a bubble.

GS was hugely popular during the time it came out, it was one of those games for GBA peopel played because there was nothign out on the system and it became quite popular. I think if we had a console GS and DS one already by now GS would beat SA with ease.

But it doesn't, so this statement is completely irrelevant.
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Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/24/2010 8:39:50 AM | message detail
Looks like Guess How Many Teens has a new sig.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:43:29 AM | message detail
I think golden sun/gta may be a bit of overhype. JRPGs have been over-performing... at night. I cant recall a jrpg that has had a day match so far that wasnt ffix (this is asking to be corrected)

Hmmm TWEWY/DR was at night, but it also got its butt whooped after the dead hours. LoD also lost at night. FE:PoR won during the day, but it was against No Mercy, so I don't think that counts. Both KH games won during the day (if I remember correctly, they also have great ASVs).

I think the point is, JRPGs aren't necessarily strong at night. Each franchise seems to have its own trend. I think that people were saying Golden Sun is a day game. I don't know how GTA trends though.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
Achromatic | Posted 11/24/2010 8:45:00 AM | message detail
ok let me rephrase

niche rpgs have all been at night.

I mean KH and ff are "brand"
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Sir Chris
Greyfeld | Posted 11/24/2010 8:47:29 AM | message detail
Again, TWEWY is niche and it still lost a night match. LoD, by virtue of being a PS1 RPG, should have had a huge edge but still lost fairly handily to UC2.

And Final Fantasy games still trend better at night than they do during the day, despite being mainstream.

Your theory has holes in it, I'm sorry.
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PSN - Aevio
Playing: Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/24/2010 8:55:48 AM | message detail
Golden Sun's a Nintendo RPG so wouldn't it be stronger in the day?
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Advokaiser | Posted 11/24/2010 8:57:00 AM | message detail
LoD, by virtue of being a PS1 RPG, should have had a huge edge but still lost fairly handily to UC2.

I'd call that an severe underperformance of Uncharted 2. I expected a tripling there.

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paulg235 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:17 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Grand Theft Auto III 0%

0
Half-Life 2 100%

8
TOTAL VOTES 8

ha
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:30 AM | message detail
congrats on the final four, hl2
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:30 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Grand Theft Auto III 28.21%

11
Half-Life 2 71.79%

28
TOTAL VOTES 39
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
Advokaiser | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:45 AM | message detail
Grand Theft Auto III 25% 8
Half-Life 2 75% 24
TOTAL VOTES 32

Hmmm... seems like I was a little late...

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:46 AM | message detail
HL2 > Metroid Prime, etc.
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Oracle contest - 24th
Today's pick: Half-Life 2 - 59.08% Status:
red sox 777 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:00:52 AM | message detail
HL2 off to a terrific start.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
voltch | Posted 11/24/2010 9:01:09 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Grand Theft Auto III 36.17%

51
Half-Life 2 63.83%

90
TOTAL VOTES 141

getting lazy.
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*Shakes Fist*
shane15 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:01:17 AM | message detail
Vote Accepted
Grand Theft Auto III 0%

0
Half-Life 2 100%

7
TOTAL VOTES 7
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/24/2010 9:01:35 AM | message detail
did that go down fast or what
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Oracle contest - 24th
Today's pick: Half-Life 2 - 59.08% Status:
ctesjbuvf | Posted 11/24/2010 9:01:47 AM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #436
congrats on the final four, hl2


we're a minute into the match don't get your hopes too high yet.
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:01:53 AM | message detail
GTA 3 got my vote.Still I expected to do better than that.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:02:39 AM | message detail
This has gone from stormingly impressive to fairly disappointing in one whole minute!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
paulg235 | Posted 11/24/2010 9:03:05 AM | message detail
GOW had about 56% of brackets. People were lucky they didn't learn anything last year.
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abdou | Posted 11/24/2010 9:04:19 AM | message detail
damn HL2 won't be beating MP with performances like this
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 11/24/2010 9:04:33 AM | message detail
HL2 is gonna finish below 60%
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/24/2010 9:05:47 AM | message detail
big final minute there for HL2
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