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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 953

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theawesomestevr | Posted 11/24/2010 4:17:47 AM | message detail
Cut! >_>
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-Tofa7- | Posted 11/24/2010 4:24:12 AM | message detail
I'm starting to think this one will go down to the wire. I have a bad feeling that in a few hours after a bunch of small cuts and stalls it'll be all tied up. No logic behind it, just a feeling.

This contest.

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transience | Posted 11/24/2010 4:27:48 AM | message detail
alright, that's game. TOS isn't gonna be able to push back this much. GOW's winning 58% updates.
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xyzzy
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/24/2010 4:29:54 AM | message detail
Also who is Luster Soldier?
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 4:34:30 AM | message detail
Nice to see God of War gaining, seems like it was pretty crazy earlier.

The cause seems to be North America over the past 10 minutes it went from just over 51% to just under 51%.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
HaRRicH | Posted 11/24/2010 4:38:47 AM | message detail
At 7:37 AM in BGE2, ToS was beating GoW (25.10% to 24.86%)...and GoW was still leading by noon. GoW's leading right now by 355 votes in their rematch. If it chokes here, yeesh, but it looks like it should be fine...you know, for a super-close match.
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neoneaper | Posted 11/24/2010 4:41:43 AM | message detail
the men are waking up

good to see
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The Librarian sneezed. "...awk..."
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 4:49:12 AM | message detail
The Canadians are awakening.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/24/2010 4:50:24 AM | message detail
GoW has this. I think this is just too much of a lead for ToS to overcome, and GoW still seems to have an hour or so before ToS can start its comeback, if it ever starts a comeback at all.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 5:04:00 AM | message detail
Would Gow have lost if this was a day Match?
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:04:54 AM | message detail
Over the past 30 minutes North America has gone from 50.90% to 50.78%, though at the same time Europe has gone towards ToS by almost the same percent.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:06:42 AM | message detail
Would Gow have lost if this was a day Match?

It would probably be just as close, but I feel GoW would have been the favourite there too. Though I remember people calling it for GoW last year before ToS pulled off a comeback near the end of the poll.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
shane15 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:08:19 AM | message detail
The lead is growing again
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JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:11:03 AM | message detail
Since the vote maps went up it seems that NY and more of the Eastern time zone of the US has been favoring GoW, but GoW has stayed ahead in America because most of the rest of the country is with ToS.

So if ToS is gonna do anything, it won't be until the other time zones start waking up.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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SuperSonicSmash1 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:14:04 AM | message detail
Looks like its over. GoW is going to win. :/
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JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:14:31 AM | message detail
*but ToS has stayed ahead in America, sorry
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 5:16:32 AM | message detail
I definitely think is Tos2 was crap it may have been a bit stronger. Still it's impressive because Symphonia is pretty much a GC exclusive.


Also to those people who said TP is a Wii exclusive.It's not. And in relation to this paticular site, it should never count as a Wii exclusive.

- GC version sold over 1 million in NA alone.
- It was announced and hyped as a GC game
- SS is the first true Wii Zelda game..not TP.

So no TP is NOT a Wii Exclusive. I played Zelda TP on GC, Sure it can be recognised as a Wii title because the GC friggin died after that point and peopel forgot abotu it..but it's still shared between 2 consoles and as i've mentioned the Cube version went platinum.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:16:46 AM | message detail
The thing is that's only representing the people who have already voted, it seems like people are shifting towards God of War. Florida has flipped to God of War despite being listed as ToS and the map was just updated 15 minutes ago.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:19:13 AM | message detail
No one said it was a Wii exclusive, just that more people see it as a Wii game.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:21:27 AM | message detail
It's not even that the GC died after TP....it was already dead, and Nintendo basically resurrected it for one title.

The reason many people bought it for Gamecube was because at the time Wiis were pretty tough to get ahold of.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 5:23:33 AM | message detail
It's a GC port. Ultimately.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 5:26:17 AM | message detail

From: JaKyL25 | #370
It's not even that the GC died after TP....it was already dead, and Nintendo basically resurrected it for one title.

The reason many people bought it for Gamecube was because at the time Wiis were pretty tough to get ahold of.


I actually preferred the GC version. Though i think SS will be a far superior wii zelda experience.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:27:00 AM | message detail
Yeah, the only decent game released between Resident Evil 4 and Twilight Princess was Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance. Even the 2006 GotY poll for the Gamecube had 5 options when all the other had 7. Heck the PS2 in 2009 had 7 options.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 5:28:49 AM | message detail
LAck of games for GC was there from 2001 onwards not just the latter years. I probably got about 3 games per year on Cube if that.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/24/2010 5:29:16 AM | message detail
I've never heard of the day before Thanksgiving being a day off.. only Thanksgiving and the friday.

I've never gotten off the day before Thanksgiving back when I was in school.
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JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:37:15 AM | message detail
Now that I actually sit and think about it, I don't think Nintendo would have even released TP on the Gamecube if there were enough Wiis to go around for everyone who wanted one (whether the shortage was intentional or not). If they thought there was a chance that even a single Wii would sit on the shelves unbought, they would have left TP as Wii-exclusive as a killer app.

Unless they just really liked the idea of the Gamecube as the "Zelda Machine." Until Phantom Hourglass was released, you could play every Zelda game on the Gamecube, provided you had the Game Boy Player.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:42:47 AM | message detail
Match LXXII: (10) Grand Theft Auto III vs. (2) Half-Life 2

Last Round

LittleBigPlanet – 38.02%
Grand Theft Auto III – 61.98%

Half-Life 2 – 74.48%
Left 4 Dead 2 – 25.52%

Analysis

People are using this match to look at too many different matches. One group is using Grand Theft Auto III to compare to San Andreas while the other is using Half-Life 2 to test its chances against Fallout 3. In the end we’re going to have different interpretations of how the match went. Personally the way I see it is since Half-Life 2 has more reason to boost from last contest any larger than expected blowout would make me feel that the game has gotten stronger.

Grand Theft Auto III despite coming in last in last year’s match was able to hold its own against its opposition and while it didn’t look that great in defeating LittleBigPlanet one must remember that LittleBigPlanet was stuck behind Metal Gear Solid 4 in the previous contest. As for Half-Life 2 some people were claiming some kind of Valve SFF, but I think Left 4 Dead 2 is just that weak. I feel comfortable that Left 4 Dead would win rather easily over the sequel and its performance in the vote-in where it went even with Phoenix Wright 3 didn’t help make it look a if it had any strength.

Half-Life 2 should be finishing in the low 60s anything lower puts it at risk in surviving this division while anything a lot higher would be a nice statement to Fallout 3. I’m not sure why people expect Grand Theft Auto III to be any weaker compare to last year; that game I feel is quite set in its place.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Half-Life 2 > Grand Theft Auto III

charmander6000’s Prediction: Half-Life 2 wins, 62.42% - 37.58%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/24/2010 5:43:42 AM | message detail
I think this one could be over with. The US is shifting towards GoW right now. Just saw ToS's US percentage drop from 50.40% to 50.28% on the last Geolocation update.
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Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:44:48 AM | message detail
Yeah, I'm calling it.

500 votes or 9AM without stalling was my barrier, and GoW just breached it.
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:44:55 AM | message detail
In other places God of War is now below 51% in Europe.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:47:21 AM | message detail
Like last year, God of War's best period of the match appears to be hitting right around now (the US morning vote). Trailing by 525 with roughly 40 updates to go ToS needs to be averaging around 13-vote cuts per update, which looks impossible. If God of War loses from here it has to go down as a legendary choke.

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JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:49:25 AM | message detail
And then an 18-vote cut right as you say that <_<
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Thank you, Eddie Guerrero.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 5:54:08 AM | message detail
It would be a massive choke if GoW lost now.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 5:58:39 AM | message detail
Come on char, I can't see Half-Life 2 breaking 60%, especially with older, more influential games generally overperforming this contest.

On second note, I just want to post my opinions on what's went on in R2 so far:

The way I see it, Metroid Prime is now guaranteed to be stronger than the following games:

Star Wars: KOTOR
GTA: San Andreas
GTA: Vice City
Grand Theft Auto III
Assassin's Creed II
Call of Duty 4
Halo: Combat Evolved

First of all, DMC1 is probably stronger than DMC3, but it shouldn't be too much stronger, so Prime would 53-47 KOTOR or something. Finally, all the other games mentioned got similar percentage victories in the first round, but come on, would you REALLY pick Devil May Cry 3 to lose to any of the following games?:

Ninja Gaiden
Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time
Silent Hill 2
Dead Space
Ico
LittleBigPlanet

I certainly wouldn't, although most of them would probably break 45%. Furthermore this also probably (ironically) sets Prime > Galaxy in stone, especially with older, more influential games overperforming in this contest (and Prime was probably the most innovative Nintendo game from the decade, while Galaxy was basically Mario 64 with HD graphics, a shiny new physics engine, and an orchestral soundtrack). It's just funny to imagine though, because Prime would probably be SFFd by Mario 3/World/64. Also Prime is now guaranteed to beat Okami, and I guess this performance puts Prime on StarCraft's level. Problem is, according to the x-stats from last contest, Fallout 3, Half-Life 2, Tales of Symphonia, and God of War are all still stronger! Except:

(continued in next post)
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voltch | Posted 11/24/2010 5:59:18 AM | message detail
sorta makes me happy that my ToS pick wasn't TOO stupid, there wasn't much in it, unlike my DMC3 pick.
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Nyoro~n
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/24/2010 6:00:44 AM | message detail
This might up being one of the few matches that the day/night difference obviously changed the result.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:01:13 AM | message detail
Looks like Canada is fighting against the entire world, everything else shift towards GoW over the past few updates yet ToS has made a few cuts.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:02:27 AM | message detail
This might up being one of the few matches that the day/night difference obviously changed the result.

I wouldn't say obviously changed the result, but ToS would have just as good of a chance in a day match as it did at night.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/24/2010 6:04:13 AM | message detail
ToS needs 14 votes an update to win.

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DFF
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/24/2010 6:04:38 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/24/2010 6:05:17 AM | message detail
Looks like Canada is fighting against the entire world, everything else shift towards GoW over the past few updates yet ToS has made a few cuts.

ToS's percentage has increased from 50.28% to 50.34% in the US during the last 2 Geolocation updates. I blame the Central Time Morning Vote on this one, as they seem to be favoring ToS more than the east coast. Most of GoW's support seems to be in the east coast, with some midwest states going with GoW as well.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:06:24 AM | message detail
Come on char, I can't see Half-Life 2 breaking 60%, especially with older, more influential games generally overperforming this contest.

While no where close to GTA3 HL2 was pretty big for gaming. 60% is likely, Diablo II got 54.5% on GTA3.


Also can DMC3 be that weak? You bet it could, I've never had any faith on those games.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
JaKyL25 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:07:46 AM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #391
Looks like Canada is fighting against the entire world, everything else shift towards GoW over the past few updates yet ToS has made a few cuts.

ToS's percentage has increased from 50.28% to 50.34% in the US during the last 2 Geolocation updates. I blame the Central Time Morning Vote on this one, as they seem to be favoring ToS more than the east coast. Most of GoW's support seems to be in the east coast, with some midwest states going with GoW as well.


Yeah, New York and Illinois are the two big states that have REALLY favored GoW so far.

Even more than England!
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:08:57 AM | message detail
GoW almost reversed all of ToS's effort.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 6:10:08 AM | message detail
As far as today's match, we not only have official confirmation that 3D action beat-'em ups suck (heck 2D ones probably suck even more), but also further confirmation that God of War's fourpack from last year was overrated. Oblivion and Tales of Symphonia were certain disappointments in R1, and I guess San Andreas can be lumped into the same category. Heck, you might be able to extend this further, as World of Warcraft and Halo 2 also disappointed!

This also got me thinking "what about Fallout 3's fourpack?" Well, Left 4 Dead underperformed against overrated God of War, Fallout 3 apparently failed to match FFT's number on Deus Ex (did it really?), Mass Effect failed to break 70% on a downloadable game, and while Halo 3 didn't disappoint board expectations I get the feeling that the casuals are widely seeing it as a disappointment. At any rate I now feel basically sure about picking Mario Galaxy over Halo 3/L4D/ME. This is weird because I would expect Fallout 3 to get STRONGER over time, but with older, more influential games overperforming comes newer games underperforming. Fallout 3's match against Halo 1 will be quite telling. Once again, this could be extended, since MGS4 and LBP may have also disappointed, but I get the feeling that in LBP's case it's more "it's too new, give it some more time!". Again, however, I'd expect Fallout 3 and LittleBigPlanet to get stronger as they age!

Bottom Line: Metroid Prime is now back in contention to win the division, and the door is wide open for both it and Half-Life 2 to get to the Semifinals.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 6:10:09 AM | message detail
There hardcore action titles or have become hardcore. DMC iwas somewhat a mainstream action series but it just can't compete with GoW in terms of fanbase. It's why NT are trying to change it(probably for worse)t's a more appealing Action game and more popular one.
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 6:10:29 AM | message detail
i meant gow*
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Lord_Yggdrassil | Posted 11/24/2010 6:13:02 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #395
As far as today's match, we not only have official confirmation that 3D action beat-'em ups suck (heck 2D ones probably suck even more), but also further confirmation that God of War's fourpack from last year was overrated. Oblivion and Tales of Symphonia were certain disappointments in R1, and I guess San Andreas can be lumped into the same category. Heck, you might be able to extend this further, as World of Warcraft and Halo 2 also disappointed!

This also got me thinking "what about Fallout 3's fourpack?" Well, Left 4 Dead underperformed against overrated God of War, Fallout 3 apparently failed to match FFT's number on Deus Ex (did it really?), Mass Effect failed to break 70% on a downloadable game, and while Halo 3 didn't disappoint board expectations I get the feeling that the casuals are widely seeing it as a disappointment. At any rate I now feel basically sure about picking Mario Galaxy over Halo 3/L4D/ME. This is weird because I would expect Fallout 3 to get STRONGER over time, but with older, more influential games overperforming comes newer games underperforming. Fallout 3's match against Halo 1 will be quite telling. Once again, this could be extended, since MGS4 and LBP may have also disappointed, but I get the feeling that in LBP's case it's more "it's too new, give it some more time!". Again, however, I'd expect Fallout 3 and LittleBigPlanet to get stronger as they age!

Bottom Line: Metroid Prime is now back in contention to win the division, and the door is wide open for both it and Half-Life 2 to get to the Semifinals.


I think MP has a shot at FO3 simply because of the potential Nintendo fanbase behind it, HL2 probably doesn't.

Though i would rather see FO3 try to attempt 40% agaisnt Melee than Prime get tripled.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/24/2010 6:13:17 AM | message detail
Again, however, I'd expect Fallout 3 and LittleBigPlanet to get stronger as they age!

Why Fallout 3? If anything I expect the opposite and if it wasn't for New Vegas I would feel pretty good about HL2 in the semi-finals.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 68/76 Today's Matches: GoW & HL2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/24/2010 6:18:54 AM | message detail
Well Dante is a high midcarder, so what is essentially his most popular (or close to being so) game shouldn't lose to any of those games. Seriously.

I know that Half-Life 2 was quite big for gaming. There are probably two games in this contest that can claim to be old, influential, and yet still very much relevant in today's gaming scene, and Half-Life 2 is one of them. Trouble is, the other one is World of Warcraft. Coincidentally, those two were in the finals of Crispy Gamer's GotD contest, but whatever.

What's funny is that between these "big action titles", you have Ninja Gaiden and Devil May Cry franchises, which are hardcore to the core, and on the flip side are God of War, Prince of Persia, Uncharted, and Assassin's Creed, which are FAR more casual, and since the casual ones are more popular...yeah. I get the feeling that hardcore gaming is slowly disappearing off the face of the gaming scene, and I don't know what to say about that. I did have a lot of fun playing Metroid Prime and Super Metroid recently and am currently really digging Majora's Mask, so I guess that says that I'm not as casual as I'd like to believe. This just makes it all the worse for me; I mean, why did Team Ninja have to dumb down their last game??? Oh man...
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Next Games Up - StarCraft, Resident Evil 4, Okami