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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 949

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AppIekidjosh | Posted 11/17/2010 11:38:16 PM | message detail
y'know I hope PW does take the lead just to continue the trend of The Show sounding really foolish by the time it's released! >_>

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Joker is sick and twisted and must be stoped at all costed what plans do you have in store for Batman anyway
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paulg235 | Posted 11/17/2010 11:58:35 PM | message detail
God, you suck, Mario Kart Wii.
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The Gamer In Me
"Paulg is a genius." - MajinZidane
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/18/2010 12:01:10 AM | message detail
Well, this is an interesting result...!

I'm conflicted. On one hand, Phoenix is way better than any Mario Kart game... but on the other hand, I'm betting quite a few battle points on Mario Kart Wii. I have no idea who to vote for...!

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 51
LOL Wii. Melee is going to 60-40 Brawl.
AxemPink | Posted 11/18/2010 12:13:35 AM | message detail
Mario Kart Wii had 50.81% that hour. Better hope it slows down soon or Phoenix might not win a single hour.
shane15 | Posted 11/18/2010 1:37:08 AM | message detail
http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/ivotedphoenixyi0.png?t=1290073015
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/18/2010 3:08:44 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
vcharon | Posted 11/18/2010 3:09:44 AM | message detail
PW hasn't been able to make a move, and with morning looming this one looks like it's over. Probably the least amount of excitement all contest for any match that was within 500 votes.
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:>
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/18/2010 3:10:09 AM | message detail
This is the first match I've gotten wrong since Valkyria Chronicles surprised us. And once again I voted for the game I picked to lose.
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/18/2010 3:15:31 AM | message detail
I'm glad this round is over with. It's interesting but not really all that exciting and drags on too long bar a few matches. 2nd round should put up some epic matches.
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/ff13borderlands.png
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2010 5:00:10 AM | message detail
Looks like Phoenix Wright won the hour.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2010 5:00:38 AM | message detail
sorry, an hour
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/18/2010 5:15:53 AM | message detail
Not that it matters at this point but that was a huge update for Mario there. From 113 votes to 184.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
charmander6000 | Posted 11/18/2010 5:59:03 AM | message detail
Match LX: (4) Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal vs. (13) Advance Wars

Information

Name: Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal
Year: 2000
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 4th in round 2

Name: Advance Wars
Year: 2001
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

The board has been hyping Pokemon ever since this contest has been announced and with the recent release of HeartGold/SoulSilver and even Black/White in Japan it will be interesting to see what the game performs. Sadly its first opponent is against something that we have no information on other than it is going to get killed in this match.

The only information on Advance Wars is the various GotY polls for each game of the series and just by looking at them you can tell that the series doesn’t hold much weight on GameFAQs. I’m actually surprised the game made it in all together. There’s been some debate on whether or not Pokemon can get some SFF here and I think it is possible even though we haven’t seen it this is more due to the lack of handheld match-ups. Then again we wouldn’t be able to tell since a lot of people are predicting a huge blowout regardless of SFF.

Outside of the big three Pokemon GSC probably has the best chance at winning this contest and I feel that some people are trying to downplay its chances. Before getting everything mentioned above Pokemon GSC was already pretty close to the big three so it won’t exactly take much for it to be pushed over the edge. Breaking 70% should be easy for it and it has a great chance at tripling it.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Pokemon GSC > Advance Wars

charmander6000’s Prediction: Pokemon GSC wins, 74.63% - 25.37%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/18/2010 6:06:24 AM | message detail
On a completely unrelated note, Japanese developed games are now 15-11 against their Western breth(r?)en. Here are the remaining Japan vs. West matches:

Wind Waker vs. God of War II
Assassins' Creed II vs. Ico
Paper Mario: TYD vs. Gears of War
Oblivion vs. Soulcalibur II

So the Western games will have to win all those matches to catch up! Eek! Come on make a Zelda game lose in the first round...
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 6:20:23 AM | message detail
I reckon Pokemon like Metal Gear is on the way down for popularity on gamefaqs, the other games haven't impressed already and I think GSC winning it was already a long shot, you're really clutching at straws if you think it has any sort of chance at it now.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2010 6:29:34 AM | message detail
Pheonix Wrong...

:(

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/18/2010 6:30:55 AM | message detail
It wouldn't really make sense considering everything that's been happening this year (such as HG/SS, not to mention how well Pikachu, Charizard, and Missingno did last contest), though. At least MGS going down makes sense; 2 and 3 took some time to pick up steam while 4 died down rather quickly at a lot of sites. I would reckon it follows suit at GameFAQs soon enough and quite possibly already has.

It's quite possible that Snake is kept afloat by his SSBB appearance. All hail.
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time
Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2010 6:34:45 AM | message detail
So I found this in the previous topic:


Okay, we're almost to the end of Round 2, and we have Round 1 data to estimate what will happen in all of Round 2's (semi-)debatable matches now.

I'd like you guys to rank the following from highest to lowest as far as how CONFIDENT you are in who will win the match (NOT what's on your bracket), and, of course, say which.

Batman vs. Team Fortress 2
Uncharted 2 vs. Street Fighter IV
Halo vs. Halo 3
Okami vs. Mega Man 9
God of War vs. Tales of Symphonia
GTA: San Andreas vs. Golden Sun
Persona 4 vs. Dead Rising
Portal vs. Final Fantasy XII
Paper Mario vs. World of Warcraft




1._Uncharted 2 beats Street Fighter Iv's ass.
2._Batman also wins very easily as well.
3._GTA: San Andreas has to win this no matter what. I understand GS DS's hype but please...

4._Portal may win against FFXII but I seriously don't know what to expect here... I have no real knowledge on this other than Portal being the strong favorite for some reason...?
5._I thought Okami could win over Mega Man very easily, but after watching MM9's upset against Demon's Souls I don't know what to expect now. I don't think Okami is stronger than Demon's Souls, but if it doesn't win then I'll be pissed.

6._World of Warcraft, no matter what everyone else says, CAN beat Paper Mario, though PM is strong as hell. Upset chances are high though...
7._Halo 3 also wins IMO. Sure, it'll be very close, but I think Halo 3 has a good chance at this.
8._I was also sure Persona 4 would beat either DR or TWEWY, but since someone made me realize DR was going to be the top option..... =( *sigh*

9._God of War wins for 1 decimal. Seriously. This is a coinflip match. This is the toughest match ever to predict on Round 2.


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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
kinsho3 | Posted 11/18/2010 7:46:50 AM | message detail
It seems like all the debateable R2 matches have favorites now.

- Golden Sun is the favorite in that match against GTA,, easily. It blew R&C out of the water and has a hyped game releasing on the day of the match.
- Portal is the favorite against FFXII. 70+% against Gears of War 2 is better than 55+% against Crisis Core, a game it really should have SFFed in the first place anyway.
- Paper Mario should win against WoW. Seriously, WoW couldn't even break 60% on Animal Crossing, even with 92% bracket support. Why do people feel good about WoW at all?
- Dead Rising should win out of virtue of the match being a day match.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/18/2010 8:01:30 AM | message detail
This probably isn't what you're looking for, but whatever:

Confident: Arkham Asylum, Uncharted 2, Halo 1, Okami

Looks Like Round 1 Created an Unstable Favorite: God of War, Golden Sun, Portal, Paper Mario

Total Coinflip: Persona 4 (come on, hugely liked by this board, the site's favorite genre, AND killer professional reception!)

Seriously, Persona 4 was widely received better than Dead Rising. It'll be incredibly ironic if it can't beat Dead Rising on JRPGFAQS.
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/18/2010 8:05:17 AM | message detail

From: __Smurf__ | #115
Pokemon is on the way down for popularity on gamefaqs


People say this every year, and they look silly for saying it every year. Pokemon isn't going away any time soon.
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"Sig rotating is far too time consuming, unless of course you are Ulti and control time." -RPGLord95
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:10:19 AM | message detail
No they don't. It was blatantly on the rise for the past number of years given the joke it was around the 2003/2004 mark. Rose to something quite strong and powerful, even last summer it was a dangerous force and was probably peaking. It's looked suspect in both contest appearances so far, there's strong grounds to support its days at the top being numbered.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 11/18/2010 8:17:20 AM | message detail
No they don't. It was blatantly on the rise for the past number of years given the joke it was around the 2003/2004 mark. Rose to something quite strong and powerful, even last summer it was a dangerous force and was probably peaking. It's looked suspect in both contest appearances so far, there's strong grounds to support its days at the top being numbered.

In the last contests:

Charizard took down Bowser. RBY made probably the best claim for #3 on the site.
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What are you smoking?
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:20:36 AM | message detail
kinsho, people are getting a bit sidetracked by WoW's percentages. Much like Halo was in the past it gets so many anti-votes that its simply always going to flatter whatever it winds up beating, I'd wager its one of the least transitive games because of that. As a classic example of a Love/Hate game WoW managed to take a comfortable majority against a game from the sites most popular company, that's what I'll be taking from that match. I'd favour PM myself but there's definite question marks over this one.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:22:17 AM | message detail
ngirl, by both contest appearances I mean both appearances in this contest, I think poke-power was at its peak in previous contests.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
kinsho3 | Posted 11/18/2010 8:22:17 AM | message detail
DR/Persona 4 is not a coinflip match. DR's the easy favorite. Only reason people are giving P4 a chance is because of jRPG fear. Yet it's worth noting that DR was able to whip TWEWY fairly easily once morning came around. How is a super cult RPG expected to fare better during the day?
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
The Mana Sword | Posted 11/18/2010 8:24:36 AM | message detail
Disagree about Pokemon being on a decline. I mean, it might be possible, but you can't gauge it based on RSE and DP. Neither of those games and nothing from them has ever looked that impressive to begin with (unless you count Mudkip, but that's not really due to RSE).

If G/S flops, then yeah. But until then I see no reason to claim a decline.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Biolizard28 | Posted 11/18/2010 8:30:20 AM | message detail

From: kinsho3 | #126
DR/Persona 4 is not a coinflip match. DR's the easy favorite. Only reason people are giving P4 a chance is because of jRPG fear. Yet it's worth noting that DR was able to whip TWEWY fairly easily once morning came around. How is a super cult RPG expected to fare better during the day?


DR couldn't break 51% on TWEWY of all games. Do you really think Persona 4 is that much weaker?

Or hell, that DR impressed at all in that match?
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/18/2010 8:31:50 AM | message detail
Based on GTA IV/SSBB, RSE considered the weakest Pokémon is set to get 36.88% on SSBB. Just how far exactly do you think GTAIV has dropped since last year?

We have 0 data on how well DPP did, because we've never seen Fusion before. Pokémon hasn't gone anywhere.
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Give it up already.
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:32:12 AM | message detail
A bit premature at this stage but I suspect it'll be agreed upon by the end of the contest. Always thought the poke-boost over the last few years was an unstable one that wasn't going to last, seemed to all be a counter-reaction to the hate it was getting during its mainstream popularity days. I'm not sure how comfortable Gamefaqs is with Pokemon in the Zelda/Final Fantasy/Mario league after seeing it rise to that status.

I mean the very same game that once did this http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1618 is now being discussed as a potential game of the decade winner? I'm just not buying into the long term legitimacy of that, the site hasn't changed "that" much in 6 years.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:33:13 AM | message detail
Based on GTA IV/SSBB, RSE considered the weakest Pokémon is set to get 36.88% on SSBB. Just how far exactly do you think GTAIV has dropped since last year?

We have 0 data on how well DPP did, because we've never seen Fusion before. Pokémon hasn't gone anywhere.


emm ok, clearly a touchy subject for some people.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
The Mana Sword | Posted 11/18/2010 8:33:54 AM | message detail
Hey now, Xenogears was legit back in 2004.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2010 8:35:23 AM | message detail
After watching RSE upset against GTAIV, saying Pokemon is in a decline is like saying Super Smash Bros. is in a decline.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/18/2010 8:38:43 AM | message detail
I gave you data so it's a touchy subject?

Regardless

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=776
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1656

That was a 3 year difference. People are virtually convince it's gone even further than that now.
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Old polls are useless.
kinsho3 | Posted 11/18/2010 8:41:01 AM | message detail
Smurf, I'd honestly be shocked if WoW comes close to PM. Comparing WoW to Halo back in the day is a iffy comparison though. Halo always had a sizable fambase, even back in its hated years right? I doubt WoW enjoys that same benefit what with it being a PC MMORPG with only something like a 30% playrate on this site.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:41:47 AM | message detail
Well no I say "it was a dangerous force and was probably peaking." and you reply with data from recent contests backing that up but seemingly looking to make some sort of fight out of it.

Chill, jeez. You can give your point without being so aggressive all the time.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/18/2010 8:44:56 AM | message detail
Meh, I was hoping PW might take the lead over night, but I guess beggars can't be choosers. At least it wasn't a blowout
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/18/2010 8:50:19 AM | message detail
Smurf, I'd honestly be shocked if WoW comes close to PM. Comparing WoW to Halo back in the day is a iffy comparison though. Halo always had a sizable fambase, even back in its hated years right? I doubt WoW enjoys that same benefit what with it being a PC MMORPG with only something like a 30% playrate on this site.

Fair points but 30% of the site having played any individual game is not exactly terrible numbers or anything, certainly looking from the win pick percentages and people on the leaderboard who have it winning WoW is regarded as a very significant game in this contest and for neutrals with no allegiance could be a swinging point. I still think it'll lose but its too big and important a game to sink without a trace against Paper Mario, surely. I think it'd be a major discredit to the contest name if WoW got embarrassed in this one.
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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/18/2010 8:51:05 AM | message detail
Smurf, I replied with data from this contest, because that was what you brought up...

I gave you data based on the GTA4/RSE match this contest and the GTA4/SSBB last contest. I'm not sure how else you'd compare how Pokémon is looking this contest to last, other than "well I thought it'd do better".
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And I can guarantee a lack of aggression on this side.
kinsho3 | Posted 11/18/2010 8:52:26 AM | message detail
DR couldn't break 51% on TWEWY of all games. Do you really think Persona 4 is that much weaker?

Yes. Do you honestly have proof that P4 > TWEWY? After all, the console RPG > handheld RPG theory was pretty much smacked down given how well Golden Sun was able to perform in its match. I'd have no problem taking Golden Sun over the likes of P3 and P4.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though...
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2010 8:53:11 AM | message detail
There's not really anything to indicate that Pokemon is on the decline.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/18/2010 8:53:38 AM | message detail
Anyone calling the WoW/PM match in any direction as a "lock" right now is just being foolish. Thats one of those matches we really can't trust first round %. WoW is never gonna be the kind of game to get blowouts, and theres no reason to think Katamari Damacy is anything but bad fodder.
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2010 8:56:29 AM | message detail
I'd have no problem taking Golden Sun over the likes of P3 and P4.

But then I'd have no problem taking GS >>> TWEWY.

P4 is stronger than P3, so I say P4 > GS > P3 > TWEWY.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
The Mana Sword | Posted 11/18/2010 8:57:12 AM | message detail
What the hell.

Golden Sun would wreck both Persona games and TWEWY.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/18/2010 8:58:22 AM | message detail
P4 > GS

wat
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http://www.abload.de/img/sam-being-awesome-2jfgd.gif
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/18/2010 8:58:43 AM | message detail
Braid > UYA obviously

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DFF
Advokaiser | Posted 11/18/2010 8:59:52 AM | message detail
Braid > UYA obviously

what

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
Pokefear | Posted 11/18/2010 8:59:56 AM | message detail
-Zzz… Hm? Wha...? You woke me up! Will you check the clock for me? What time is it?
-What? DAY 11 o'clock? How many minutes?
-Whoa! 00 min.? DAY 11:00!

-Hello! Sorry to keep you waiting! Welcome to the world of POKEMON!
-My name is OAK. People call me the POKEMON PROF.

http://i1205.photobucket.com/albums/bb427/pokefear/oak.png

-Oak: This world is inhabited by creatures that we call POKEMON. People and POKEMON live together by supporting each other. Some people play with POKEMON, some battle with them. But we don't know everything about POKEMON yet. There are still many mysteries to solve. That's why I study POKEMON every day.

-Oak: Now, what did you say your name was?

-Oak: GSC, are you ready? Your very own POKEMON story is about to unfold. You'll face fun times and tough challenges. A world of dreams and adventures with POKEMON awaits! Let's go! I'll be seeing you later!

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Pokemon GSC for Game of the Decade
"Pokefear has been one of the best things for a bracket the last four contests." -Yoblazer
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/18/2010 9:00:28 AM | message detail
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 82.35%

14
Advance Wars 17.65%

3
TOTAL VOTES 17
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/18/2010 9:00:28 AM | message detail
Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal 87.5%

7
Advance Wars 12.5%

1
TOTAL VOTES 8

First Advance Wars vote!

GREATEST DAY OF MY LIFE
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!