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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 949

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/17/2010 1:57:24 PM | message detail
DAT TOP OPTION



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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scotted4 | Posted 11/17/2010 2:01:32 PM | message detail
how bout that there MM?
pjbasis | Posted 11/17/2010 2:18:36 PM | message detail
Feelin' fine.

Just need RE4 > FFX to complete this.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/17/2010 7:57:50 PM | message detail
Damn, you fixed it.
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Wylvane
HaRRicH is a horrible user.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/17/2010 8:04:03 PM | message detail
Just so everyone knows, Link is awesome and deserves to win every single contest. In fact, it's outrageous that characters are able to win whole hours against him- what kind of horrible taste is that? I am going to anti-vote FFVII next contest, just because I'm sick of Cloud always being able to win a whole hour against Link. You'd think after 7 years of Link not winning every single time period as he deserves, people would stop voting against him and we'd get some change around here.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:05:53 PM | message detail
Phoenix winning Europe and Asia

Believe
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
legendmusketeer | Posted 11/17/2010 9:06:36 PM | message detail
Time for Mario to step it up a notch.
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LM
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:06:51 PM | message detail
That miracle never happen...

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www.thespeedgamers.com
Kingdom Hearts marathon December 17th-20th, be there!
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:07:10 PM | message detail
Maybe this is still moddable, but I dun care.

http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=4509678

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
Xuxon | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:01 PM | message detail
Well, unlike against Jecht, Phoenix might be able to fight back with the night vote and at least keep it respectable for the sake of my oracle. But I'm afraid Mario Kart's about to spike up to like 57% next update.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:16 PM | message detail
http://www.thedevhome.net/forums/images/smilies/AA/bubble-holdit.gif
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:20 PM | message detail
Objection!
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:23 PM | message detail
Awwww yeah

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DFF
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:45 PM | message detail
Poor Phoenix Wright, if only it got swapped with Golden Sun or Paper Mario.
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Only on GameFAQs would criticallly acclaimed PC games lose to niche JRPGs
Go Us!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:46 PM | message detail
ok

lol wii
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Oracle contest - 28th
Today's pick: Mario Kart Wii - 58.89% Status:
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
55------3------------33.33
54------19----------78.95
53------102--------78.43
52------247--------74.09
51------502--------77.49
50------944--------76.48
49------1527------74.39
48------1899------69.77
47------2173------67.23
46------2352------67.77
45------2502------65.15
44------2533------62.06
43------2467------59.18
42------2397------58.78
41------2168------56.60
40------1953------54.89
39------1664------54.75
38------1389------52.84
37------1109------51.31
36------854--------48.71
35------624--------50.00
34------476--------48.95
33------325--------50.46
32------285--------49.12
31------178--------50.56
30------108--------38.89
29------102--------50.98
28------67----------52.24
27------40----------55.00
26------37----------35.14
25------18----------61.11
24------22----------31.82
23------13----------38.46
22------13----------46.15
21------9------------33.33
20------13----------7.69
19------6------------33.33
18------5------------0.00
17------8------------12.50
16------6------------16.67
15------6------------16.67
14------5------------20.00
13------10----------20.00
12------12----------8.33
11------8------------0.00
10------13----------7.69
9--------17----------11.76
8--------9------------0.00
7--------10----------10.00
6--------2------------0.00
5--------5------------20.00
4--------3------------0.00
3--------1------------0.00
2--------10----------10.00
1--------22----------0.00
0--------22----------0.00

And then there was one. The -2s took a major hit to their already small number. Only one of them survives this match. The -3s do better and nearly hit 80. The prediction percentage manages to stay above 70 until the -8s and keep falling from there. I didn't think this match was that tough but apparently a lot of people had trouble with it.

11 people fell off the Top 50. Warriorwsh89, theswisscheese, chriscam23, pedpup21, Vlodd, Frost_Ice, kowolf, NikkiSixx, DJSamurai99, AshenSky and bgbball31 did not have Chrono Cross winning.

4 people got it wrong but survived. Teh_Ronin, Popcornball, ArchSorcererX and darclogan also did not have Chrono Cross winning.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:11:25 PM | message detail
Haha, way to stay in there Phoenix. That said, don't you ruin my battle points now -- I'm trying to get back into this!
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http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
EPONA EPONA EPONA
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:11:32 PM | message detail
Also PW losing the board vote means THIS CONTEST

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DFF
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/17/2010 9:12:48 PM | message detail
Bracket votes > All.
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Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again!
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/17/2010 9:13:08 PM | message detail
In fact, it's outrageous that characters are able to win whole hours against him- what kind of horrible taste is that?

Hahaha. The only reason that Cloud wins whole hours on Link is because of Europe (and Asia due to a smaller extent). The 3 hours that Europe won over North America in the continent poll were also the same hours that Cloud won over Link.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:14:03 PM | message detail
Mario Kart got the bracket votes! And it will get the power hour while garnering 52% of the vote! And then PW will claim the victory as it wins via the night vote!

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
greatone10 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:14:37 PM | message detail
Glad to see Phoenix staying close here, especially since MKWii was a luck-based item fest.
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"Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk
This space reserved for Game of the Decade Guru Contest Winner.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:15:41 PM | message detail
As long as Phoenix doesn't fall off too much from here, it could seriously win this.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:15:53 PM | message detail
Updated Top 5

Top 5 Biggest Blowouts
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 87.16% vs. Guitar Hero II – 12.84% (R1) – 74.32%
2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask – 83.40% vs. Wii Sports – 16.60% (R1) – 66.80%
3. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 83.26% vs. Mario Kart DS – 16.74% (R1) – 66.52%
4. Resident Evil 4 – 82.15% vs. Jet Grind Radio – 17.85% (R1) – 64.30%
5. Fallout 3 – 81.00% vs. inFamous – 19.00% (R1) – 62.00%

Top 5 Biggest Night Vote Gaps
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 35469 vs. Guitar Hero II – 5223 (R1) – 30246
2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask – 34368 vs. Wii Sports – 6842 (R1) – 27526
3. Fallout 3 – 33402 vs. inFamous – 7837 (R1) – 25565
4. Resident Evil 4 – 31896 vs. Jet Grind Radio – 6929 (R1) – 24967
5. Final Fantasy X – 32570 vs. Viewtiful Joe – 9479 (R1) – 23091

Top 5 Highest Individual Night Votes
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee (R1) – 35469
2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask (R1) – 34368
3. Fallout 3 (R1) – 33402
4. Final Fantasy X (R1) – 32570
5. Resident Evil 4 (R1) – 31896

Top 5 Lowest Individual Night Votes
1. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 5223
2. Wii Sports (R1) – 6842
3. Jet Grind Radio (R1) – 6929
4. inFamous (R1) – 7837
5. TimeSplitters 2 (R1) – 8627

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:16:20 PM | message detail
My prophecy continues to be fulfilled.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
greatone10 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:16:58 PM | message detail
And just when you thought New Mario couldn't go any lower than what NSMBWii did, Mario Kart Wii threatens to hand Round 1 to Phoenix Wright!
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"Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk
This space reserved for Game of the Decade Guru Contest Winner.
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:00 PM | message detail
Thanks to TRE for updating the archives :)

...um. Anybody know the upload URL?
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:29 PM | message detail
Sigh, this is probably over now. Good try Phoenix
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:36 PM | message detail
MKWii looking pretty safe.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:45 PM | message detail
Ooh, that hurts in the worst spot.

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http://img.imgcake.com/BroAndCharSigjpgna.jpg
http://img.imgcake.com/charbullyingjpgeg.jpg
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/17/2010 9:21:01 PM | message detail
I think only TRE upload stuff to the archives.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/17/2010 9:22:09 PM | message detail
...um. Anybody know the upload URL?

You mean where they are uploaded?
http://thengamer.com/stats/
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:22:23 PM | message detail
Fun-fact: Mario is 2-3 in the first round this contest, with MKW and PM:TYD left to see. We have a shot at seeing Mario go 2-5 here. Pokemon will be 3-0 at the end of R1, and GSC has a better shot at winning the contest than SMG does at winning its division.

Pokemon beating Super Mario in the Nintendo-poll shouldn't look so shocking in this perspective.
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Love Epona.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:15 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #033
Fun-fact: Mario is 2-3 in the first round this contest, with MKW and PM:TYD left to see. We have a shot at seeing Mario go 2-5 here. Pokemon will be 3-0 at the end of R1, and GSC has a better shot at winning the contest than SMG does at winning its division.

Pokemon beating Super Mario in the Nintendo-poll shouldn't look so shocking in this perspective.


But IT'S FREAKING MARIO.
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http://wp.advancednflstats.com/nflarchive.php?year=2009&team=IND&gameid=54609
legendmusketeer | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:34 PM | message detail
So now it's pretty much smooth sailing until TF2 vs. Batman comes along.
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LM
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:44 PM | message detail
Fun-fact: Mario is 2-3 in the first round this contest

I think you're missing a match here, cause Sunshine lost.

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http://www.brawlinthefamily.com/images/haters.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:24:03 PM | message detail
Sure, if we ignore all the awesome Mario games.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:25:55 PM | message detail

From: Blairville | #036
I think you're missing a match here, cause Sunshine lost.


Won:
SMG
PM

Lost:
SMS
MK:DS
NSMBW


Excluding MKW and PM:TYD for now, I think I got them all.
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What do Ocarina of Time, Majora's Mask, and Twilight Princess have in common? EPONA!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:27:16 PM | message detail
If you include games WITH Mario, he's 5-3 >_>
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:29:19 PM | message detail

From: WhiteLens | #039
If you include games WITH Mario, he's 5-3 >_>


Sweet, the Mother series is 2-1, then!

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:31:59 PM | message detail
Games including Cloud are 0-2 :(
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:31:59 PM | message detail
It's funny that the only thing keeping Mario Kart Wii in this match is the US, even Canada is going 50/50.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:32:28 PM | message detail
I get the SSB-games...what's the third game with Mario I'm over-looking? Animal Crossing...?
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EPONA EPONA Epona Epona Epona EPONA EPONA
Epona EPONA EPONA Epona EPONA EPONA Epona
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:34:06 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #032
You mean where they are uploaded?
http://thengamer.com/stats/


Thanks :)
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:34:37 PM | message detail
Gah, 4-3....or we could count this as a win for Mario <_<
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http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:35:35 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #033
Pokemon beating Super Mario in the Nintendo-poll shouldn't look so shocking in this perspective.


What Nintendo poll?
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www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:36:29 PM | message detail
Geez... 61% Europe for Phoenix, and 68% asia... I don't think I've ever seen someone losing this big while winning Asia and Europe that significantly
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:37:05 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3998

That's probably what helped people to think R/S/E > GTA IV
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http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens
http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens/
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:37:28 PM | message detail
If Phoenix Wright hangs onto 52.xx% the rest of this hour, it wins! .....because my prophecy says so.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:38:44 PM | message detail
Koolaid/Alec Testicle bet on Halo CE/Halo 3.

Never forget.
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"nah, it's not my team if I drop pitchers for merely being horrible" -War13104