GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 949
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/17/2010 1:57:24 PM | message detail |
DAT TOP OPTION ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ All you love is a lie. |
scotted4 | Posted 11/17/2010 2:01:32 PM | message detail |
how bout that there MM? |
pjbasis | Posted 11/17/2010 2:18:36 PM | message detail |
Feelin' fine. Just need RE4 > FFX to complete this. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/17/2010 7:57:50 PM | message detail |
Damn, you fixed it. --- Wylvane HaRRicH is a horrible user. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/17/2010 8:04:03 PM | message detail |
Just
so everyone knows, Link is awesome and deserves to win every single
contest. In fact, it's outrageous that characters are able to win whole
hours against him- what kind of horrible taste is that? I am going to
anti-vote FFVII next contest, just because I'm sick of Cloud always
being able to win a whole hour against Link. You'd think after 7 years
of Link not winning every single time period as he deserves, people
would stop voting against him and we'd get some change around here. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:05:53 PM | message detail |
Phoenix winning Europe and Asia Believe --- Epona > Any Western Character http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif |
legendmusketeer | Posted 11/17/2010 9:06:36 PM | message detail |
Time for Mario to step it up a notch. --- LM |
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:06:51 PM | message detail |
That miracle never happen... --- www.thespeedgamers.com Kingdom Hearts marathon December 17th-20th, be there! |
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:07:10 PM | message detail |
Maybe this is still moddable, but I dun care. http://objection.mrdictionary.net/go.php?n=4509678 --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Xuxon | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:01 PM | message detail |
Well,
unlike against Jecht, Phoenix might be able to fight back with the
night vote and at least keep it respectable for the sake of my oracle.
But I'm afraid Mario Kart's about to spike up to like 57% next update. --- ------ --------- |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:16 PM | message detail |
http://www.thedevhome.net/forums/images/smilies/AA/bubble-holdit.gif --- Epona > Any Western Character http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:20 PM | message detail |
Objection! --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:23 PM | message detail |
Awwww yeah --- DFF |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:45 PM | message detail |
Poor Phoenix Wright, if only it got swapped with Golden Sun or Paper Mario. --- Only on GameFAQs would criticallly acclaimed PC games lose to niche JRPGs Go Us! |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:46 PM | message detail |
ok lol wii --- Oracle contest - 28th Today's pick: Mario Kart Wii - 58.89% Status: |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/17/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 55------3------------33.33 54------19----------78.95 53------102--------78.43 52------247--------74.09 51------502--------77.49 50------944--------76.48 49------1527------74.39 48------1899------69.77 47------2173------67.23 46------2352------67.77 45------2502------65.15 44------2533------62.06 43------2467------59.18 42------2397------58.78 41------2168------56.60 40------1953------54.89 39------1664------54.75 38------1389------52.84 37------1109------51.31 36------854--------48.71 35------624--------50.00 34------476--------48.95 33------325--------50.46 32------285--------49.12 31------178--------50.56 30------108--------38.89 29------102--------50.98 28------67----------52.24 27------40----------55.00 26------37----------35.14 25------18----------61.11 24------22----------31.82 23------13----------38.46 22------13----------46.15 21------9------------33.33 20------13----------7.69 19------6------------33.33 18------5------------0.00 17------8------------12.50 16------6------------16.67 15------6------------16.67 14------5------------20.00 13------10----------20.00 12------12----------8.33 11------8------------0.00 10------13----------7.69 9--------17----------11.76 8--------9------------0.00 7--------10----------10.00 6--------2------------0.00 5--------5------------20.00 4--------3------------0.00 3--------1------------0.00 2--------10----------10.00 1--------22----------0.00 0--------22----------0.00 And then there was one. The -2s took a major hit to their already small number. Only one of them survives this match. The -3s do better and nearly hit 80. The prediction percentage manages to stay above 70 until the -8s and keep falling from there. I didn't think this match was that tough but apparently a lot of people had trouble with it. 11 people fell off the Top 50. Warriorwsh89, theswisscheese, chriscam23, pedpup21, Vlodd, Frost_Ice, kowolf, NikkiSixx, DJSamurai99, AshenSky and bgbball31 did not have Chrono Cross winning. 4 people got it wrong but survived. Teh_Ronin, Popcornball, ArchSorcererX and darclogan also did not have Chrono Cross winning. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:11:25 PM | message detail |
Haha, way to stay in there Phoenix. That said, don't you ruin my battle points now -- I'm trying to get back into this! --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg EPONA EPONA EPONA |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:11:32 PM | message detail |
Also PW losing the board vote means THIS CONTEST --- DFF |
Lieutenant Kettch | Posted 11/17/2010 9:12:48 PM | message detail |
Bracket votes > All. --- Dr Football and Snake have won this round, but Sephiroth will rise again! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/17/2010 9:13:08 PM | message detail |
In fact, it's outrageous that characters are able to win whole hours against him- what kind of horrible taste is that? Hahaha. The only reason that Cloud wins whole hours on Link is because of Europe (and Asia due to a smaller extent). The 3 hours that Europe won over North America in the continent poll were also the same hours that Cloud won over Link. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:14:03 PM | message detail |
Mario
Kart got the bracket votes! And it will get the power hour while
garnering 52% of the vote! And then PW will claim the victory as it
wins via the night vote! --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
greatone10 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:14:37 PM | message detail |
Glad to see Phoenix staying close here, especially since MKWii was a luck-based item fest. --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk This space reserved for Game of the Decade Guru Contest Winner. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:15:41 PM | message detail |
As long as Phoenix doesn't fall off too much from here, it could seriously win this. --- DFF |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:15:53 PM | message detail |
Updated Top 5 Top 5 Biggest Blowouts 1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 87.16% vs. Guitar Hero II – 12.84% (R1) – 74.32% 2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask – 83.40% vs. Wii Sports – 16.60% (R1) – 66.80% 3. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 83.26% vs. Mario Kart DS – 16.74% (R1) – 66.52% 4. Resident Evil 4 – 82.15% vs. Jet Grind Radio – 17.85% (R1) – 64.30% 5. Fallout 3 – 81.00% vs. inFamous – 19.00% (R1) – 62.00% Top 5 Biggest Night Vote Gaps 1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 35469 vs. Guitar Hero II – 5223 (R1) – 30246 2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask – 34368 vs. Wii Sports – 6842 (R1) – 27526 3. Fallout 3 – 33402 vs. inFamous – 7837 (R1) – 25565 4. Resident Evil 4 – 31896 vs. Jet Grind Radio – 6929 (R1) – 24967 5. Final Fantasy X – 32570 vs. Viewtiful Joe – 9479 (R1) – 23091 Top 5 Highest Individual Night Votes 1. Super Smash Bros. Melee (R1) – 35469 2. LoZ: Majora’s Mask (R1) – 34368 3. Fallout 3 (R1) – 33402 4. Final Fantasy X (R1) – 32570 5. Resident Evil 4 (R1) – 31896 Top 5 Lowest Individual Night Votes 1. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 5223 2. Wii Sports (R1) – 6842 3. Jet Grind Radio (R1) – 6929 4. inFamous (R1) – 7837 5. TimeSplitters 2 (R1) – 8627 --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC |
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:16:20 PM | message detail |
My prophecy continues to be fulfilled. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
greatone10 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:16:58 PM | message detail |
And
just when you thought New Mario couldn't go any lower than what NSMBWii
did, Mario Kart Wii threatens to hand Round 1 to Phoenix Wright! --- "Go get me Jared...from Subway!" -- CM Punk This space reserved for Game of the Decade Guru Contest Winner. |
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:00 PM | message detail |
Thanks to TRE for updating the archives :) ...um. Anybody know the upload URL? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:29 PM | message detail |
Sigh, this is probably over now. Good try Phoenix --- Epona > Any Western Character http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:36 PM | message detail |
MKWii looking pretty safe. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC |
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:20:45 PM | message detail |
Ooh, that hurts in the worst spot. --- http://img.imgcake.com/BroAndCharSigjpgna.jpg http://img.imgcake.com/charbullyingjpgeg.jpg |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/17/2010 9:21:01 PM | message detail |
I think only TRE upload stuff to the archives. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/17/2010 9:22:09 PM | message detail |
...um. Anybody know the upload URL? You mean where they are uploaded? http://thengamer.com/stats/ --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:22:23 PM | message detail |
Fun-fact:
Mario is 2-3 in the first round this contest, with MKW and PM:TYD left
to see. We have a shot at seeing Mario go 2-5 here. Pokemon will be 3-0
at the end of R1, and GSC has a better shot at winning the contest than
SMG does at winning its division. Pokemon beating Super Mario in the Nintendo-poll shouldn't look so shocking in this perspective. --- Love Epona. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:15 PM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH | #033 But IT'S FREAKING MARIO. --- http://wp.advancednflstats.com/nflarchive.php?year=2009&team=IND&gameid=54609 |
legendmusketeer | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:34 PM | message detail |
So now it's pretty much smooth sailing until TF2 vs. Batman comes along. --- LM |
Blairville | Posted 11/17/2010 9:23:44 PM | message detail |
Fun-fact: Mario is 2-3 in the first round this contest I think you're missing a match here, cause Sunshine lost. --- http://www.brawlinthefamily.com/images/haters.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:24:03 PM | message detail |
Sure, if we ignore all the awesome Mario games. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:25:55 PM | message detail |
From: Blairville | #036 Won: SMG PM Lost: SMS MK:DS NSMBW Excluding MKW and PM:TYD for now, I think I got them all. --- What do Ocarina of Time, Majora's Mask, and Twilight Princess have in common? EPONA! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:27:16 PM | message detail |
If you include games WITH Mario, he's 5-3 >_> --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/17/2010 9:29:19 PM | message detail |
From: WhiteLens | #039 Sweet, the Mother series is 2-1, then! --- DFF |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:31:59 PM | message detail |
Games including Cloud are 0-2 :( --- Epona > Any Western Character http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:31:59 PM | message detail |
It's funny that the only thing keeping Mario Kart Wii in this match is the US, even Canada is going 50/50. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 50/58 Today's Matches: MKWii & Pokemon GSC |
HaRRicH | Posted 11/17/2010 9:32:28 PM | message detail |
I get the SSB-games...what's the third game with Mario I'm over-looking? Animal Crossing...? --- EPONA EPONA Epona Epona Epona EPONA EPONA Epona EPONA EPONA Epona EPONA EPONA Epona |
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:34:06 PM | message detail |
From: Team Rocket Elite | #032 Thanks :) --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:34:37 PM | message detail |
Gah, 4-3....or we could count this as a win for Mario <_< --- http://thengamer.com/guru/bracket.php?id=207 |
creativename | Posted 11/17/2010 9:35:35 PM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH | #033 What Nintendo poll? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/17/2010 9:36:29 PM | message detail |
Geez...
61% Europe for Phoenix, and 68% asia... I don't think I've ever seen
someone losing this big while winning Asia and Europe that significantly --- Epona > Any Western Character http://img1.immage.de/14117bfbec113942.gif |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/17/2010 9:37:05 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3998 That's probably what helped people to think R/S/E > GTA IV --- http://www.backloggery.com/whitelens http://myanimelist.net/profile/WhiteLens/ |
Haste_2 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:37:28 PM | message detail |
If Phoenix Wright hangs onto 52.xx% the rest of this hour, it wins! .....because my prophecy says so. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/17/2010 9:38:44 PM | message detail |
Koolaid/Alec Testicle bet on Halo CE/Halo 3. Never forget. --- "nah, it's not my team if I drop pitchers for merely being horrible" -War13104 |