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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 947

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vcharon | Posted 11/14/2010 6:11:58 PM | message detail
I doubt WoW has much chance against Paper Mario, but at least its held its percentage throughout the day.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 6:19:50 PM | message detail
I wouldn't count WoW out yet, but PM is going to be the favourite going in.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 42/50 Today's Matches: PM & WoW
HaRRicH | Posted 11/14/2010 6:24:25 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/57137032/632090750

I just don't know how much stronger Paper Mario can really be than Animal Crossing in the Nintendo totem pole, and I've already spent some time ripping into AC.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 8:06:42 PM | message detail
Match LIII: (3) Metal Gear Solid 4 vs. (14) Assassin’s Creed

Information

Name: Metal Gear Solid 4
Year: 2008
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 3rd in round 5

Name: Assassin’s Creed
Year: 2007
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

Assassin’s Creed was arguably the strongest game that was part of the vote-in yet sadly it’s up against the strongest 3 seed of the contest. Had it been up against Uncharted 2 I think a lot of people would have gone with the upset. Metal Gear Solid 4 is trying to stake a claim that it is the strongest Metal Gear Solid game in the contest and as the favourite to do so it now has to prove that it can win the division and possibly more.

In the vote-in Assassin’s Creed was able to easily win over its competition though the only half decent game there was Devil May Cry and that game only put decent numbers against its opponent because it was a night match. With that in mind Star Wars: KotOR should be able to win over Assassin’s Creed quite easily which means you can only imagine what Metal Gear Solid 4 is going to do.

There was some talk that Metal Gear Solid 4 may be weaker since it isn’t as associated with being the game of the Playstation 3 due to the system being more diverse on GameFAQs. While I don’t really believe it to be true if it was I would think that the increase of the number of Playstation 3 owners would bump Metal Gear Solid 4 back to where it use to stand.

While the board isn’t exactly satisfied with the performance of Playstation 3 exclusive games if there was one game that would buck the trend it would be Metal Gear Solid 4. I feel that a doubling is very possible and breaking 70% would be a strong statement that it could not only be the strongest Metal Gear Solid game in the contest, but it could reach the semi-finals.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Metal Gear Solid 4 > Assassin’s Creed

charmander6000’s Prediction: Metal Gear Solid 4 wins, 67.31% - 32.69%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 42/50 Today's Matches: PM & WoW
HaRRicH | Posted 11/14/2010 8:58:00 PM | message detail
Time to test MGS4's chops.
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Big Bob | Posted 11/14/2010 9:00:23 PM | message detail
I was first vote for Assassin's Creed!
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2010 9:00:24 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 100%

8
Assassin's Creed 0%

0
TOTAL VOTES 8

*salutes*
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:00:30 PM | message detail
Metal Gear Solid 4: Guns of the Patriots 64.29% 18
Assassin's Creed 35.71% 10
TOTAL VOTES 28

Nothing special
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:00:52 PM | message detail
Barely a doubling with early vote, and AC typically has a horrible board vote
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Epona > Any Western Character
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:01:07 PM | message detail
World of Warcraft 92.21%

Look at that bracket support
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2010 9:01:25 PM | message detail
Was expecting a beastlier board vote, honestly.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:01:50 PM | message detail
When I voted, AC had 40%. It then fell to this.

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DFF
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/14/2010 9:02:10 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #210
World of Warcraft 92.21%

Look at that bracket support


I can't wait to see Paper Mario's percentage next round if it beats WoW.
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Wylvane
special_sauce is a horrible user.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:02:30 PM | message detail
92% for Wow? Jesus, thats one of the highest % percentages. It should be huge bracket favorite over PM
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:03:46 PM | message detail
World of Warcraft 92.21%

holy ****, that's intense.

Paper Mario beating it next round is going to screw a ton of people up.
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/14/2010 9:04:25 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
49------3------------100.00
48------23----------100.00
47------117--------100.00
46------283--------98.94
45------589--------98.98
44------1128------98.32
43------1825------98.08
42------2284------97.46
41------2559------97.42
40------2825------96.60
39------2818------96.98
38------2861------95.53
37------2715------94.55
36------2433------94.29
35------2019------91.98
34------1765------90.20
33------1364------88.56
32------1067------85.85
31------733--------78.04
30------525--------79.24
29------389--------71.21
28------256--------69.14
27------171--------63.74
26------134--------60.45
25------74----------58.11
24------37----------54.05
23------52----------59.62
22------29----------48.28
21------14----------57.14
20------18----------55.56
19------11----------45.45
18------16----------56.25
17------7------------28.57
16------6------------50.00
15------6------------33.33
14------9------------11.11
13------7------------28.57
12------11----------9.09
11------12----------16.67
10------14----------7.14
9--------17----------0.00
8--------10----------10.00
7--------11----------0.00
6--------3------------0.00
5--------2------------0.00
4--------3------------33.33
3--------3------------33.33
2--------8------------0.00
1--------23----------0.00
0--------25----------4.00

I think some people were a bit worried about this match but it doesn't seem like very many people acted on it. Nobody in the top 143 sided with Animal Crossing. All the way down to the -17s managed to stay above 90 and the prediction percentage fades from there.

No one fell out of the Top 50.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/14/2010 9:05:46 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #214
92% for Wow? Jesus, thats one of the highest % percentages. It should be huge bracket favorite over PM


I can see all the contest noobs whining about "ZOMG Nintendo/JRPGs always win" once PM >WoW happens. Should be a fun day.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:05:54 PM | message detail
Animal Crossing got its first cut of the match!
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Epona > Any Western Character
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/14/2010 9:06:00 PM | message detail
I can't tell if this is good for MGS4 or not.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:06:53 PM | message detail
This is expected. Assassin's Creed looked around KOTOR level, which was around Halo level.

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DFF
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/14/2010 9:07:17 PM | message detail
Animal Crossing got its first cut of the match!

I don't think it should count because that last update was only about 2 minutes long instead of 5 minutes.
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swordz9 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:08:14 PM | message detail
Am I the only one that thinks it's kind of funny that WoW vs Animal Crossing has a higher % correct than Twilight Princess vs Shenmue?
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:09:09 PM | message detail
It had a higher % than either of the Smash Bros. I find that even funnier
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Epona > Any Western Character
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swordz9 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:10:13 PM | message detail
That is definitely funnier.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:10:30 PM | message detail
MGS4 barely holding the doubling.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:14:41 PM | message detail
Nothing broke the Top 5 today.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:14:57 PM | message detail
Through the vote-ins, MGS3 gets 57.44% on Assassin's Creed (didn't even notice that before). So...go MGS4?

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:15:31 PM | message detail
AC has such a bad board vote
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/14/2010 9:15:44 PM | message detail
Geez, MGS4 freefalling. Diablo 2 > MGS4, confirmed
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ZFS | Posted 11/14/2010 9:18:57 PM | message detail
aw yeah Assassin's Creed

Good show.

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/14/2010 9:19:01 PM | message detail
I spent the majority of my weekend blazing through AC2, but I don't feel sorry for AC1 here. That game was mediocre as hell, AC2 improves on in so many ways.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:20:04 PM | message detail
This isn't a good show. This isn't a bad show. This is just a show. Some of you guys' expectations were nuts (both ways, too!).

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2010 9:20:32 PM | message detail
Not the best result in the world (assuming this percentage holds or decreases). MGS4 has the night advantage and should be a good candidate to really take it to a game like AC.
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ZFS | Posted 11/14/2010 9:22:09 PM | message detail
Assassin's Creed was a good game. It had its issues, but the foundation was solid and it had a lot more good ideas than it did bad. I haven't played AC2 yet, but AC1 is one of the big notable releases of the gen for me. Definitely should do better than this on MGS4 of all games, but all things considered, good stuff.

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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:22:33 PM | message detail
This isn't a good show. This isn't a bad show. This is just a show. Some of you guys' expectations were nuts (both ways, too!).


It at least shows people that AC isn't fodder, which is what a lot of people were calling for
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:23:05 PM | message detail
Assassin's Creed is crap. It's just average until you play AC2, which exposes it for the utter **** it is.

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DFF
ZFS | Posted 11/14/2010 9:24:36 PM | message detail
Man, I feel like there's an echo whenever you and KoolAid post. Might as well be the same person!


Unfortunately, we don't see eye-to-eye on most things!

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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:24:38 PM | message detail
The under 60% predictions were crazy though, what did those guys think Diablo II was going to have an epic match next round?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/14/2010 9:25:08 PM | message detail
I loved AC1, never could get into AC2. Dunno why.
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2010 9:28:28 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #238
The under 60% predictions were crazy though, what did those guys think Diablo II was going to have an epic match next round?


I think a few people might sound the alarms after Diablo ravages its match in the morning. I took a peak at the Oracle and have no idea why people think Eternal Darkness can hit the mid-30s. It's a third party ultra-cult survival horror GameCube game with no series name and zero GameFAQs exposure in eight years.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:29:57 PM | message detail
Eternal Darkness is going to be a big step below SH2, which Vice City 63d, which Diablo II would beat pretty easily. So yeah. I'll consider 30% a moral victory.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:32:00 PM | message detail
I took a peak at the Oracle and have no idea why people think Eternal Darkness can hit the mid-30s.

I know board 8 loves its cult games, but despite the lack of knowledge on ED I just don't think GameFAQs remembers/cares about that game.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II
EvilNcr | Posted 11/14/2010 9:32:17 PM | message detail
Complete opposite for me. AC1 pissed me off to no end. I beat it but only because I started the game and I felt I had to actually finish it. But it left me a sour taste of "how the **** did they waste so much potential".
AC2, I loved it. Platinum trophy love it. They fixed every major issue I had with the original.

As for MGS4, great game. And MGS4 vs AC. Well, AC is no pushover so for me, it simply shows the strength of MGS4. It wouldn't put those kind of numbers on AC2 however. I predicted just short of doubling AC actually. And it turns out I could be a few percent off. Good thing I've got MGS4 penciled pretty deep
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/14/2010 9:34:16 PM | message detail

From: EvilNcr | #243
Platinum trophy love it


Damn you got ALL those feathers? I was considering that, but I missed out on the "kick somebody while flying Leonardo's machine" so I couldn't get Platinum anyway.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/14/2010 9:34:26 PM | message detail
Huh.

My first thought at seeing this was "damn this is underwhelming after MGS3."

I'm gonna really hate myself for changing to 4 > 3 if the reverse happens.
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UOTY2011 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:35:18 PM | message detail
AC2 is a brilliant, fantastic game. AC was extremely mediocre in every definition of the word, but I still love it for being so innovative and setting up the foundation for AC2. ZFS you need to play it.

Still, I expected MGS4 to demolish AC. Is AC getting strength from AC2 here, or is AC just this strong on its own, or (god forbid) is MGS4 just weak enough to lose to MGS3? Probably just multi-platform exposure boost.

I'm thinking MGS4 will gain a greater lead in the coming hours.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/14/2010 9:35:29 PM | message detail
I'm not sure what you guys think MGS3 would do here. Pretty sure it would struggle to break 60%.

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DFF
UOTY2011 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:36:44 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #247
I'm not sure what you guys think MGS3 would do here. Pretty sure it would struggle to break 60%.


The more I think about it the more this is undeniably true
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_foolmo_
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/14/2010 9:37:05 PM | message detail
Both MGS games have underperformed slightly relative to my expectations, so it's a wash. HOWEVER, I can use this as good debate fodder once Majora's Mask rolls out the 90% carpets in a couple days!
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/14/2010 9:37:46 PM | message detail
Yeah MGS4 is doing pretty much what it needs to do to stay as the favourite against MGS3.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 44/52 Today's Matches: MGS4 & Diablo II