GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 946
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:19:13 AM | message detail |
Oh wow, it's Saturday. My friends always think I'm kidding when I tell them I never know the day, but it's true :( --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://www.last.fm/user/Ultimaterializr |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/13/2010 11:21:02 AM | message detail |
Didn't we have a similiar thing happen with Kratos/Sackboy during the super bowl? Yes, it happened in that match as well. In fact, the Super Bowl is so popular among Americans that after the Super Bowl ended, the overall vote intake per update increased slightly. Vote totals per hour in the Kratos/Sackboy match: 1:00 | 10292 2:00 | 9098 3:00 | 8212 4:00 | 7365 5:00 | 6541 6:00 | 5838 7:00 | 4575 8:00 | 4122 9:00 | 3841 10:00 | 3577 11:00 | 4190 12:00 | 3514 I think the Super Bowl started around 6:00 PM, so there was a huge drop off from 6:00-7:00 PM. I think the game ended around 10:00 PM and then vote totals spiked in the 10:00-11:00 PM hour. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:21:09 AM | message detail |
I
still have a hard time believing hockey actually mattered that much in
Ryu/Dante. Gradual trends is one thing, Ryu spiking every time there
was an intermission is.....well I really want to call it random
variation, but it just kept happening! As a Canadian I can tell you that almost everyone was watching the game. Stats showed that 2/3 of all Canadian watched the entire game and about 4/5 watched part of the game. The US didn't have as crazy numbers, but I heard it was one of the most watched tv events in US history. It isn't that much of a stretch to believe it would cause a few percent swings and given how close the match was it only needed a couple of percent to make a difference. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 41/48 Today's Matches: MGS3 & NSMBW |
irriadin | Posted 11/13/2010 11:22:52 AM | message detail |
Even more hilarious is the usage trend for water during that game in Canada. http://www.treehugger.com/files/2010/03/olympic-hockey-affects-economy.php That is amazing. The tax graph seems a lot less variable, but the water consumption is just lol. --- "I do read sometimes." Mat Cauthon, The Wheel of Time. http://www.animemusicvideos.org/members/members_videoinfo.php?v=177506 |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:27:41 AM | message detail |
And
now presenting.....geolocation projections! These are based on the
first two hours, and assume NMSBW will maintain its current percentage
in all continents throughout the rest of the match. In reality, I
expect NMSBW to lose ground in North America as we get out of the day
vote and into the night vote, so these projections should underrate
MvC2's chances of a comeback. Geolocation Projection: NSMBW wins with 50.64% Hourly projections: 3:00 | 51.06% 4:00 | 51.07% 5:00 | 51.19% 6:00 | 51.10% 7:00 | 50.78% 8:00 | 50.43% 9:00 | 50.21% 10:00 | 49.98% 11:00 | 49.74% 12:00 | 49.73% Geolocation trends seem pretty weak in the grand scheme of things- MvC2 will have to rely on the far more powerful day/night trends to win this one. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:28:26 AM | message detail |
It's funny how Mario basically is getting a weekend ASV <_< --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ Infinite manifestation of time. |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:30:33 AM | message detail |
Also
those geolocation projections work only at a continental level, so they
ignore California making up a higher percentage of North American votes
later in the poll. That probably makes MvC2 look better but not by
enough to win without it taking the night vote. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:34:49 AM | message detail |
Canada
is doing a good job at countering the rest of North America though
BC/Alberta probably have less voters compare to Ontario/Quebec. Then
again Eastern US probably has more voters than Western US. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 41/48 Today's Matches: MGS3 & NSMBW |
LOLContests | Posted 11/13/2010 11:41:33 AM | message detail |
but I heard it was one of the most watched tv events in US history. Meh. It was one of the biggest sports events of the year I'm sure, but it was only around 27 million or so. Not close to being one of the biggest of all time. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:42:19 AM | message detail |
The Super Bowl was watched by more people than anything in the history of television. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img.imgcake.com/foolmoron/Kuroko-Head-Desk.gif |
LOLContests | Posted 11/13/2010 11:43:54 AM | message detail |
If that comment was directed at me, I was talking about the Hockey final in the Olympics, not the Super Bowl. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/13/2010 11:45:56 AM | message detail |
Took a while, but MvC2 FINALLY hit the 49% mark. --- Ika Musume > Any Western Character http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:47:47 AM | message detail |
Ah, right. Yeah, that was only the most watched TV event in the history of Canada. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://img.imgcake.com/UltisMoneyMgifyv.gif |
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/13/2010 11:48:23 AM | message detail |
WTF is wrong with Canada? --- http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/ff13borderlands.png |
Achromatic | Posted 11/13/2010 11:51:23 AM | message detail |
this contest. --- Sir Chris |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/13/2010 11:52:18 AM | message detail |
OPTIC BLAST --- DFF |
EvilNcr | Posted 11/13/2010 11:52:26 AM | message detail |
The US has completely turned towards MvC in the last few updates. It went from 50.07% against to 51% for. --- "You have enemies? Good. That means you've stood up for something, sometime in your life." ~ Winston Churchill |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:53:14 AM | message detail |
From: EvilNcr | #167 So basically this is over. Goodbye to 15300 battle points. --- "Rate hike! Rate hike! Tra, la, la!" accompanied by a kangaroo impersonation does convey that Palmer is an idiot. -TVTropes |
swordz9 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:54:49 AM | message detail |
Man it's a sad thing when Mario can't even beat a fighting game. I thought NSMB would be pulling 70% or so. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:55:42 AM | message detail |
From: swordz9 | #169 Not really. The Wii is terrible, and this means a lot for the one match this contest that matters. Brawl is screwed. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· A ghost cannot disobey the orders of the living. |
Achromatic | Posted 11/13/2010 11:56:07 AM | message detail |
http://http.cdnlayer.com/itke/blogs.dir/96/files/2009/06/lee-corso.jpg --- Sir Chris |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:56:37 AM | message detail |
And back up 20. THIS CONTEST --- "hey ulti how do i get in your signature? i feel like i'd be MUCH more important if i made it there. sad i know" -Rusty |
swordz9 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:56:57 AM | message detail |
The
Wii still has a pretty big install base and not everybody hates it. I
just thought a relatively new Mario console game would be doing way
better than this against an 8-10 year old fighting game. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/13/2010 11:57:17 AM | message detail |
The first batch of college football games are ending in like 5 minutes and it'll be a 30 minute break until the next batch start Big MvC2 boost incoming! --- Ika Musume > Any Western Character http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/13/2010 11:57:28 AM | message detail |
Man it's a sad thing when Mario can't even beat a fighting game. I thought NSMB would be pulling 70% or so. This isn't "a fighting game", it's Marvel vs. Capcom 2... and a Mario game that has shown no sign of being particularly popular on this site. Mario Galaxy would win this match. --- For your health. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/13/2010 11:59:43 AM | message detail |
Did people not see NSMBWii suck it up during the GotY polls? It being weak was always a given. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 11:59:58 AM | message detail |
From: swordz9 | #173 Have you seen a multi-system poll lately? The Wii is a joke on this site now. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ http://img.imgcake.com/UltisMoneyMgifyv.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 12:00:09 PM | message detail |
From: Ultimaphazon | #176 Responding to an Ulti post. --- TurnTurnTurn your brain in. TurnTurnTurn your brain in. |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:00:21 PM | message detail |
I
think MvC2 will need North America (not just the US) to switch to it in
order to win, even yet. That seems likely to happen though. --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/13/2010 12:01:15 PM | message detail |
I
think MvC2 will need North America (not just the US) to switch to it in
order to win, even yet. That seems likely to happen though. North America is already for MvC2, though. --- Ika Musume > Any Western Character http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/13/2010 12:01:22 PM | message detail |
From: swordz9 | #169 Man, where the hell did you pull these estimates? And really it's not so much that NSMB Wii is weak, it's just that MvC2 is stronger than we thought. It's an incredible popular fighting game after all. --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/ls_wii_small.png http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v252/whitelens/mnls_pin_small.png |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:02:35 PM | message detail |
I forgot to refresh the tab, oops. Yeah, this is looking rather grim for NSMBWii. --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/13/2010 12:03:25 PM | message detail |
Anyone
who frequents a stats topic should have seen a close encounter like
this from a mile off, the signs were pretty blatant in past poll of the
days. --- Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism. |
VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/13/2010 12:04:06 PM | message detail |
Mario
won first hour by 272 votes, won second hour by 50 votes, and won third
hour by 10 votes. Going at this pace, MvC should win the next hour! --- Ika Musume > Any Western Character http://www.seaslugteam.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/08/2010-10-squid.jpg |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:04:21 PM | message detail |
Have you seen a multi-system poll lately? The Wii is a joke on this site now. But disliking a console isn't going to make people retroactively decide to dislike a game. It could totally bode poorly for like... Skyward Sword, but people here already like Brawl. Deciding at a later time that they dislike the Wii shouldn't change that. --- For your health. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
swordz9 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:05:33 PM | message detail |
I
didn't pull any estimates from any data. I just thought NSMB would be
doing better than this. I can't remember how it did in GotY polls or
anything. I just thought it would at least put up a better fight than
this. --- http://myanimelist.net/animelist/swordz9 |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:05:53 PM | message detail |
But
disliking a console isn't going to make people retroactively decide to
dislike a game. It could totally bode poorly for like... Skyward Sword,
but people here already like Brawl. Deciding at a later time that they
dislike the Wii shouldn't change that. People only like or dislike a console because of the games on it. If they love lots of Wii games, they're not going to hate the console. And NSMBW was never liked much. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 12:05:56 PM | message detail |
Posting in an Ulti topic. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Can't tell if serious. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/13/2010 12:05:56 PM | message detail |
So TP is fine, Brawl is fine, but MARIO gets all the "ewww Wii" hate? WTF GameFAQs. --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/13/2010 12:06:09 PM | message detail |
STP with the sexiest MF on this board. --- "If you try to out-troll a troll, you're doing it wrong. The proper way to defeat trolling is to log out and get a life." -Lucid |
Zdenkara | Posted 11/13/2010 12:06:14 PM | message detail |
This match is turning into another SFIV >SA2. :( --- http://i40.tinypic.com/1rpxz4.jpg |
WhiteLens | Posted 11/13/2010 12:06:32 PM | message detail |
From: MoogleKupo141 | #185 Not really, people still love Zelda on this site, and this was despite the "bad" showing of it. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3946 --- Hear me, Amaterasu |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/13/2010 12:07:06 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #188 Shouldn't that have been your first post in this topic. A bit slow are, we? >_> --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:07:12 PM | message detail |
Also, TP and Brawl aren't fine, they just started off much higher (these were hyped as games to challenge OOT/FFVII, remember!) --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Lopen | Posted 11/13/2010 12:07:14 PM | message detail |
I
knew that NSBWii was gonna be pretty damn weak, but honestly there
weren't many signs out there of MvC2 being strong at all. For every bad
NSBWii poll there is there are two weak MvC2 polls. Overanalysis is actually what caused me to go back on my MvC2 pick... though luckily for my bracket I guess I only overanalyzed after bracket lockdown. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/13/2010 12:09:20 PM | message detail |
North America is already for MvC2, though. That might be true, but Europe is favoring Mario here. I think Mario has to at least maintain 49.50% or better in North America to have a shot at winning overall. South America, Asia, and Oceania are favoring MvC2, but not by a whole lot and they won't affect things that much because each one of them contributes less than 3% of the votes to the overall vote total. Europe is what will reverse North America as Mario is at nearly 59% there. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/13/2010 12:10:36 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #194 I just mean this year. TP/Brawl seem to have performed as expected, but NSMBW sucks ass here. --- The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64 |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:11:12 PM | message detail |
For every bad NSBWii poll there is there are two weak MvC2 polls. And like every one of those weak MvC polls is from 2003 or earlier. This poll is the first time in over seven years that MvC2 has been in a poll. But MvC3 was doing pretty well in hype polls, so I just uh... extrapolated it or something into an MvC2 win. --- For your health. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
Achromatic | Posted 11/13/2010 12:11:22 PM | message detail |
what epic vote shifts the last 20 minutes... --- Sir Chris |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/13/2010 12:12:27 PM | message detail |
I like MvC2 here. It will probably get to 51% in North America by the end of the poll. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
