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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 945

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ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/11/2010 9:28:23 PM | message detail
hey guys I never make these can I make one pleeeease

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2010 9:28:51 PM | message detail
Wee SoA

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DFF
ZFS | Posted 11/11/2010 9:29:58 PM | message detail
Looks a lot more reasonable now, at least. Skies should fall a good bit more from here.

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/12/2010 6:45:59 AM | message detail
My thoughts on the remaining "debated" matches in Round 1.

MvC2 vs NSMB:Wii

NSMB isn't held in high regard among the gaming community despite its impressive sales. It never seemed to perform well in poll of the days so theres very valid grounds for questioning if this can tackle something undoubtedly held in high esteem by gamers. The main grounds for NSMB being the favourite here I'd imagine is by association with Mario but I think this contest has shown very few weak games being carried on the strength of its series. Sunshine certainly struggled to do anything with it, as did Dissidia, I don't think NSMB would be any different, and certainly this poll putting it close to the likes of Mortal Kombat and Street Fighter gives MvC a fighting chance. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2790

Upset Potential: High (to the extent I'm taking MvC for the win)

World of Warcraft vs Animal Crossing

WoW is just suffering from Halo syndrome here of having a small group of people who'll anti-vote it against anything and thus consider it liable to lose to just about anything. In reality this contest has shown people are taking the GotD thing seriously and joke voting isn't really present, neither is heavy anti-voting or series voting based on Halo's wins. WoW will do just fine as it did in the previous game contest and given the influence this game has had in the past 10 years it may especially stand out in this contest. AC has always been a joke and never performed well in any situation, the best it can hope for here is to win the board vote and drag WoW under 60% which would be an embarassment for it IMO.

Upset Potential: Zero

Sotc vs The Sims

Sotc isn't as cult or obscure as some people think, the Sims is far more casual than some people think. The Sims is a non-gamer kind of game, the people that play and obsess over it do not visit this site I'd wager. I think it was an influential game in the last decade and can see the logic in people thinking its strength will surprise but to the extent of toppling sotc? No way, its out of its range.

Upset Potential: Zero

Chrono Cross v DQ8

This one has me worried, DQ has rarely disgraced itself in PotDs and certainly not in the series contest where it put up decent numbers on Smash. Chrono Cross has pretty much hobbled around 10% in any poll this decade, judging by trends won't be able to leech heavily off CT and wasn't released to 20% of the voting public which is a rather big problem in a poll you need to pull over 50%. DQ is the bigger name, its the bigger series, it isn't 10 years old and is probably the more neutral friendly. Gamefaqs has always been a bit weird when it comes to Chrono games so I'm a bit reluctant to use logic for this one.

Upset Potential: High (Still don't know what I'm picking here...)

TTYD vs Gears

After what Gears 2 did I think any upset chance has to be remote at this stage.

Upset Potential: Low

Oblivion vs Soul Calibur 2

30% on Metal Gear, 49% on Kingdom Hearts. The long history of a shock upset in the last match of the first round. This one deeply unsettles me.
Especially odd how this upset isn't being seriously discussed when Oblivion only beat WoW by 2000 votes in the last games contest and freaking AC is being given upset potential in that one....

Upset Potential: Medium

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Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism.
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 7:30:31 AM | message detail
Man I did it by acident that time.
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>.<
FFDragon | Posted 11/12/2010 7:31:28 AM | message detail
over/under: 3 more ngirl 501 posts before the contest is over
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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
http://img.imgcake.com/wesker.gif
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 7:32:16 AM | message detail
Damn it Ngirl using your mod powers like that.

>_>
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 39/46 Today's Matches: SoA & ME
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 7:41:39 AM | message detail
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 10:29:32 AM | message detail
I guess we should finish this topic.

So how about that new Khaq fad everyone is talking about?


I've never heard of this Khaq fad before. Where have you seen this at?
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 7:43:44 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/57111209

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 39/46 Today's Matches: SoA & ME
Advokaiser | Posted 11/12/2010 8:29:21 AM | message detail
I love NGirl's way to write comments and finishing them in her signature.

But WTF is that Khaq thing? I feel that word was born just yesterday.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:31:32 AM | message detail
lol you don't know what khaq'ing is?

get wit da times homie.
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http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg
scotted4 | Posted 11/12/2010 8:34:06 AM | message detail
MvC2 vs. NSMB:wii has me very worried, at that point I will have 17100 points, and i cant bank as if I get that one right then I pretty much get another 17000 until the next debated match, and I only have 1500 banked so far so this is my best chance to get a large number of points since i submitted a karma entry instead of a prize entry.
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:35:24 AM | message detail
I'll have 35100 by that point. Take Mario and don't look back.
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Seriously.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:40:30 AM | message detail
man I hope all you fools who got DS/TWEWY right screw up at some point else I'm never gonna catch up >.<
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http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:41:17 AM | message detail
*Has been on a streak since VC/Disgaea*
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:D
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:42:09 AM | message detail
Ngirl stop stealing my gimmick.
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Sir Chris
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:42:32 AM | message detail
So has everyone else, literally.

Except for those of us who wisely banked for DS/TWEWY.

You'll get something wrong at some point! *shakes fist*
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http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:43:22 AM | message detail
Only a fool who does not understand history believes himself wise for not having the chance of being on the winning side of said history.
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Sir Chris
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:46:49 AM | message detail

From: Achromatic | #018
Only a fool who does not understand history believes himself wise for not having the chance of being on the winning side of said history.


Nope. Don't understand.
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:47:22 AM | message detail
Just wait until you see my amazing logic for mario vs capcom, its going to be epic.
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Sir Chris
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:49:19 AM | message detail
From: Achromatic | #020
Just wait until you see me lose on mario vs capcom, its going to be epic.

Fixed that for ya' Chris.
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Happy to help.
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:50:00 AM | message detail

From: nintendogirl1 | #021
From: Achromatic | #020
Just wait until you see me lose on mario vs capcom, its going to be epic.

Fixed that for ya' Chris.


Hm?

I am picking Mario.

Oh, I see, my bracket. N
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Sir Chris
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 8:51:56 AM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcrDWAuyqtc

YOU WILL PLAY THIS, SHEPARD.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 8:55:11 AM | message detail
At least in the end, BG2 will likely look better in the xstats than it would have if it won. I wouldn't want to see BG2 have to face Mass Effect.
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:57:05 AM | message detail
Let's go ME under 70!

flopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflop

you lost to L4D! you can't do it kid!
Master Moltar | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:11 AM | message detail
Mass Effect 75%

3
Plants vs. Zombies 25%

1
TOTAL VOTES 4
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Moltar Status: Bracket: SoA (39/46)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:18 AM | message detail
Mass Effect 83.33%

5
Plants vs. Zombies 16.67%

1
TOTAL VOTES 6

SHEPARD
PUNCH
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:26 AM | message detail
Mass Effect 76.92%

10
Plants vs. Zombies 23.08%

3
TOTAL VOTES 13
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Nipaa~
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:42 AM | message detail
if this is the wrpg board vote vs a game with a funny picture and name

oh boy
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:49 AM | message detail
oh goddamn
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:03 AM | message detail
only 47% had Skies winning
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:04 AM | message detail
47.63% got SoA right.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:39 AM | message detail
dreamcast has no respect.
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Nyuu~
abdou | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:56 AM | message detail
Not impressed with ME
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...
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:04 AM | message detail
I voted for ME2 (14th vote for it!) purely on the basis of the great track "Suicide Mission".

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:27 AM | message detail
yesyesyesyes

keep going!
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:36 AM | message detail
Actually, ME is doing pretty bad here. It was like 82% when I made my previous comment
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:38 AM | message detail

From: Kotetsu534 | #035
I voted for ME2 (14th vote for it!) purely on the basis of the great track "Suicide Mission".


YOU ARE INFINITE. PVZ VOTERS ARE BACTERIA.
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Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:42 AM | message detail
ME ain't going that far anyway.
I'd kinda like to see it vs say Arkham Asylum.
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mii~
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 9:03:14 AM | message detail
Mass Effect was over 80% with the super early board vote, but it has since dropped off. Probably bracket voting in action.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:03:57 AM | message detail
Who's supposed to have the better day vote?
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:16 AM | message detail
yeah, Mass Effect wasn't gonna get a tripling, here
I'm not sure what you guys were smoking
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Oracle contest - 35th
Today's pick: Mass Effect - 72.69% Status:
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:21 AM | message detail
Yeah, Mass Effect has no shot at the Portal/FFXII winner, most likely. Its too bad
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:23 AM | message detail
At this rate ME could drop below 70%, which would qualify as underperforming in my eyes.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:51 AM | message detail
yeah, Mass Effect wasn't gonna get a tripling, here
I'm not sure what you guys were smoking


Dragon age got like 80% on it and theres no reason Dragon Age should be stronger than Mass Effect
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Epona > Any Western Character
http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 9:05:08 AM | message detail
Mass Effect should have the better day vote. Mass Effect's good day vote is not noticeable in its one contest match from last year, because Halo 3 was in the match and stole Mass Effect's day vote.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:03 AM | message detail
ME was cruisin on its way to under 70.

Next update could be ugly.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail
Dragon age got like 80% on it

when? in a silly poll with like 14 games in it?
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Oracle contest - 35th
Today's pick: Mass Effect - 72.69% Status:
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:33 AM | message detail
"Dragon age got like 80% on it and theres no reason Dragon Age should be stronger than Mass Effect"

Dragon Age was available on the PS3 too, to be fair. Wouldn't make much of a difference, but I could see it having some effect, at least. Even if it wasn't massive.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
Stealth pun
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:39 AM | message detail
FFXII > Mass Effect utter stupidity
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time