GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 945
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/11/2010 9:28:23 PM | message detail |
hey guys I never make these can I make one pleeeease ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2010 9:28:51 PM | message detail |
Wee SoA --- DFF |
ZFS | Posted 11/11/2010 9:29:58 PM | message detail |
Looks a lot more reasonable now, at least. Skies should fall a good bit more from here. --- The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land. |
__Smurf__ | Posted 11/12/2010 6:45:59 AM | message detail |
My thoughts on the remaining "debated" matches in Round 1. MvC2 vs NSMB:Wii NSMB isn't held in high regard among the gaming community despite its impressive sales. It never seemed to perform well in poll of the days so theres very valid grounds for questioning if this can tackle something undoubtedly held in high esteem by gamers. The main grounds for NSMB being the favourite here I'd imagine is by association with Mario but I think this contest has shown very few weak games being carried on the strength of its series. Sunshine certainly struggled to do anything with it, as did Dissidia, I don't think NSMB would be any different, and certainly this poll putting it close to the likes of Mortal Kombat and Street Fighter gives MvC a fighting chance. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2790 Upset Potential: High (to the extent I'm taking MvC for the win) World of Warcraft vs Animal Crossing WoW is just suffering from Halo syndrome here of having a small group of people who'll anti-vote it against anything and thus consider it liable to lose to just about anything. In reality this contest has shown people are taking the GotD thing seriously and joke voting isn't really present, neither is heavy anti-voting or series voting based on Halo's wins. WoW will do just fine as it did in the previous game contest and given the influence this game has had in the past 10 years it may especially stand out in this contest. AC has always been a joke and never performed well in any situation, the best it can hope for here is to win the board vote and drag WoW under 60% which would be an embarassment for it IMO. Upset Potential: Zero Sotc vs The Sims Sotc isn't as cult or obscure as some people think, the Sims is far more casual than some people think. The Sims is a non-gamer kind of game, the people that play and obsess over it do not visit this site I'd wager. I think it was an influential game in the last decade and can see the logic in people thinking its strength will surprise but to the extent of toppling sotc? No way, its out of its range. Upset Potential: Zero Chrono Cross v DQ8 This one has me worried, DQ has rarely disgraced itself in PotDs and certainly not in the series contest where it put up decent numbers on Smash. Chrono Cross has pretty much hobbled around 10% in any poll this decade, judging by trends won't be able to leech heavily off CT and wasn't released to 20% of the voting public which is a rather big problem in a poll you need to pull over 50%. DQ is the bigger name, its the bigger series, it isn't 10 years old and is probably the more neutral friendly. Gamefaqs has always been a bit weird when it comes to Chrono games so I'm a bit reluctant to use logic for this one. Upset Potential: High (Still don't know what I'm picking here...) TTYD vs Gears After what Gears 2 did I think any upset chance has to be remote at this stage. Upset Potential: Low Oblivion vs Soul Calibur 2 30% on Metal Gear, 49% on Kingdom Hearts. The long history of a shock upset in the last match of the first round. This one deeply unsettles me. Especially odd how this upset isn't being seriously discussed when Oblivion only beat WoW by 2000 votes in the last games contest and freaking AC is being given upset potential in that one.... Upset Potential: Medium --- Smurf , The cream of Sonic fanboyism. |
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 7:30:31 AM | message detail |
Man I did it by acident that time. --- >.< |
FFDragon | Posted 11/12/2010 7:31:28 AM | message detail |
over/under: 3 more ngirl 501 posts before the contest is over --- If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE] http://img.imgcake.com/wesker.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 7:32:16 AM | message detail |
Damn it Ngirl using your mod powers like that. >_> --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 39/46 Today's Matches: SoA & ME |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 7:41:39 AM | message detail |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 10:29:32 AM | message detail I guess we should finish this topic. So how about that new Khaq fad everyone is talking about? I've never heard of this Khaq fad before. Where have you seen this at? --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/12/2010 7:43:44 AM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/57111209 --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 39/46 Today's Matches: SoA & ME |
Advokaiser | Posted 11/12/2010 8:29:21 AM | message detail |
I love NGirl's way to write comments and finishing them in her signature. But WTF is that Khaq thing? I feel that word was born just yesterday. --- "I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'" |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:31:32 AM | message detail |
lol you don't know what khaq'ing is? get wit da times homie. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
scotted4 | Posted 11/12/2010 8:34:06 AM | message detail |
MvC2
vs. NSMB:wii has me very worried, at that point I will have 17100
points, and i cant bank as if I get that one right then I pretty much
get another 17000 until the next debated match, and I only have 1500
banked so far so this is my best chance to get a large number of points
since i submitted a karma entry instead of a prize entry. |
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:35:24 AM | message detail |
I'll have 35100 by that point. Take Mario and don't look back. --- Seriously. |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:40:30 AM | message detail |
man I hope all you fools who got DS/TWEWY right screw up at some point else I'm never gonna catch up >.< --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:41:17 AM | message detail |
*Has been on a streak since VC/Disgaea* --- :D |
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:42:09 AM | message detail |
Ngirl stop stealing my gimmick. --- Sir Chris |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:42:32 AM | message detail |
So has everyone else, literally. Except for those of us who wisely banked for DS/TWEWY. You'll get something wrong at some point! *shakes fist* --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:43:22 AM | message detail |
Only
a fool who does not understand history believes himself wise for not
having the chance of being on the winning side of said history. --- Sir Chris |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:46:49 AM | message detail |
From: Achromatic | #018 Nope. Don't understand. |
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:47:22 AM | message detail |
Just wait until you see my amazing logic for mario vs capcom, its going to be epic. --- Sir Chris |
nintendogirl1 (Moderator) | Posted 11/12/2010 8:49:19 AM | message detail |
From: Achromatic | #020 Just wait until you see me lose on mario vs capcom, its going to be epic. Fixed that for ya' Chris. --- Happy to help. |
Achromatic | Posted 11/12/2010 8:50:00 AM | message detail |
From: nintendogirl1 | #021 Hm? I am picking Mario. Oh, I see, my bracket. N --- Sir Chris |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 8:51:56 AM | message detail |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcrDWAuyqtc YOU WILL PLAY THIS, SHEPARD. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 8:55:11 AM | message detail |
At
least in the end, BG2 will likely look better in the xstats than it
would have if it won. I wouldn't want to see BG2 have to face Mass
Effect. --- Epona > Any Western Character http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 8:57:05 AM | message detail |
Let's go ME under 70! flopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflopflop you lost to L4D! you can't do it kid! |
Master Moltar | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:11 AM | message detail |
Mass Effect 75% 3 Plants vs. Zombies 25% 1 TOTAL VOTES 4 --- Moltar Status: Bracket: SoA (39/46) Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/ |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:18 AM | message detail |
Mass Effect 83.33% 5 Plants vs. Zombies 16.67% 1 TOTAL VOTES 6 SHEPARD PUNCH --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:26 AM | message detail |
Mass Effect 76.92% 10 Plants vs. Zombies 23.08% 3 TOTAL VOTES 13 --- Nipaa~ |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:42 AM | message detail |
if this is the wrpg board vote vs a game with a funny picture and name oh boy --- Epona > Any Western Character http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:00:49 AM | message detail |
oh goddamn |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:03 AM | message detail |
only 47% had Skies winning |
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:04 AM | message detail |
47.63% got SoA right. --- James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User & The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism |
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:39 AM | message detail |
dreamcast has no respect. --- Nyuu~ |
abdou | Posted 11/12/2010 9:01:56 AM | message detail |
Not impressed with ME --- ... |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:04 AM | message detail |
I voted for ME2 (14th vote for it!) purely on the basis of the great track "Suicide Mission". --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:27 AM | message detail |
yesyesyesyes keep going! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:36 AM | message detail |
Actually, ME is doing pretty bad here. It was like 82% when I made my previous comment --- Epona > Any Western Character http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:38 AM | message detail |
From: Kotetsu534 | #035 YOU ARE INFINITE. PVZ VOTERS ARE BACTERIA. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
voltch | Posted 11/12/2010 9:02:42 AM | message detail |
ME ain't going that far anyway. I'd kinda like to see it vs say Arkham Asylum. --- mii~ |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 9:03:14 AM | message detail |
Mass Effect was over 80% with the super early board vote, but it has since dropped off. Probably bracket voting in action. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:03:57 AM | message detail |
Who's supposed to have the better day vote? |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:16 AM | message detail |
yeah, Mass Effect wasn't gonna get a tripling, here I'm not sure what you guys were smoking --- Oracle contest - 35th Today's pick: Mass Effect - 72.69% Status: |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:21 AM | message detail |
Yeah, Mass Effect has no shot at the Portal/FFXII winner, most likely. Its too bad --- Epona > Any Western Character http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg |
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:23 AM | message detail |
At this rate ME could drop below 70%, which would qualify as underperforming in my eyes. --- James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User & The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/12/2010 9:04:51 AM | message detail |
yeah, Mass Effect wasn't gonna get a tripling, here I'm not sure what you guys were smoking Dragon age got like 80% on it and theres no reason Dragon Age should be stronger than Mass Effect --- Epona > Any Western Character http://cache.gawkerassets.com/assets/images/9/2010/11/500x_vegasdude.jpg |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/12/2010 9:05:08 AM | message detail |
Mass
Effect should have the better day vote. Mass Effect's good day vote is
not noticeable in its one contest match from last year, because Halo 3
was in the match and stole Mass Effect's day vote. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
pjbasis | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:03 AM | message detail |
ME was cruisin on its way to under 70. Next update could be ugly. |
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:16 AM | message detail |
Dragon age got like 80% on it when? in a silly poll with like 14 games in it? --- Oracle contest - 35th Today's pick: Mass Effect - 72.69% Status: |
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:33 AM | message detail |
"Dragon age got like 80% on it and theres no reason Dragon Age should be stronger than Mass Effect" Dragon Age was available on the PS3 too, to be fair. Wouldn't make much of a difference, but I could see it having some effect, at least. Even if it wasn't massive. --- James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User Stealth pun |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/12/2010 9:06:39 AM | message detail |
FFXII > Mass Effect utter stupidity --- Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time |