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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 944

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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 12:31:34 PM | message detail

From: FFI3_Lightning | #245
I cant' wait to see Oblivion surpise people actually.


I think Soul Calibur II might actually do slightly better than people think (depending on what expectations are), although it should still get beat handily. Though I then expect Oblivion to trounce TYD.

I picked Oblivion>Wind Waker in my bracket because I thought it was a nice upset pick - absolutely nobody was taking it in the BOP, and I think it can happen. I do think Wind Waker deserves to be the favorite, but I think Oblivion has a legit shot there.

Question - the original Paper Mario is supposed to be stronger than TYD, right? Or are they supposed to be pretty much equal?
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/11/2010 12:34:12 PM | message detail
I wanted to say Zack not Jack yeah.Hm...I thought FF 12 would beat Portal easily but now?Man...
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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 12:45:23 PM | message detail
4 million views eh. OK I'm convinced. PVZ to avoid the tripling! ...maybe possibly!

Really though, if it avoids a tripling then it can hold its head high. If it breaks 30%, ME needs to hang its head in shame.
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medicority | Posted 11/11/2010 12:47:08 PM | message detail
I was kind of surprised SCII only managed a 15 seed. if it does well against oblivion I would not say that is oblivion being weak.

portal vs FF12. I'm thinking portal?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/11/2010 12:47:55 PM | message detail
Skies/BG2 is up first, right? Don't really feel like changing my Mass Effect oracle right now.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/11/2010 12:49:37 PM | message detail
hrm... I just realized, I have TYD beating Oblivion in round two =/
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Blairville | Posted 11/11/2010 12:51:18 PM | message detail
Skies/BG2 is tonight, ME vs PvZ tomorrow.

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/11/2010 12:55:11 PM | message detail
FFXII is losing the ASV pretty badly to Crisis Core. Went from 56.90% at the start of this hour down to 56.44% already.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/11/2010 1:34:51 PM | message detail
So, there was a big debate about Skies of Arcadia/Baldur's Gate 2 that I only skimmed. What was the consensus opinion? I think fairly highly of Skies of Arcadia I think, namely because it passes my "have I heard of it in real life" test, whereas stuff like Tales of Vesperia, Persona, etc. do not.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Advokaiser | Posted 11/11/2010 1:59:26 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2010 2:03:30 PM | message detail
Gold/Silver/Crystal??? I would take Uncharted 2 and Arkham Asylum to beat GSC.

I assume you weren't here last contest?
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/11/2010 2:05:06 PM | message detail
So, there was a big debate about Skies of Arcadia/Baldur's Gate 2 that I only skimmed. What was the consensus opinion? I think fairly highly of Skies of Arcadia I think, namely because it passes my "have I heard of it in real life" test, whereas stuff like Tales of Vesperia, Persona, etc. do not.

SoA is the favorite, though many believe BG2 has a moderate chance for an upset.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2010 2:08:48 PM | message detail
Man, FF12. Keep falling, you're making Portal looking great!

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/11/2010 2:09:15 PM | message detail
Crisis Core is making a killing with the ASV, but still no cuts yet.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 3:29:44 PM | message detail
Mass Effect's expectations are absurd. How much did Half-Life 2 help HL1 again? Would you take Uncharted 2, Diablo 2, or Mega Man 2 (ignoring MM's other games) to do wonders for their original titles? One may have a case with SSBM helping SSB, but we haven't seen SSB yet and SSBM's a favorite to win this contest (not to mention SSBB is too, so SSB's rise in brand-name power should be far more significant).

Fact of the matter is that ME's been a weak game here. It was unimpressive in 2007's GotY, Shepard was weak in 2008's CB, ME was weak again in BGE2, and ME2 can only do so much to help its older brother in this contest. I know ME2 interacts with ME1 in a way you don't see in many games and ME will probably improve over time as ME2 and likely ME3 continue impacting the gaming scene...but this is not its time. We've seen it lose hard to Halo 3 two different ways, and Portal beat Halo 3 before possibly hulking up in this contest. Consider it a big success if it outdoes the loser of Portal/FF12, and I'm not convinced it beats CC:FF7.
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Big Bob | Posted 11/11/2010 3:30:44 PM | message detail
GSC's gonna be the most overrated game by this board, just you watch.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 3:31:46 PM | message detail
Harrich, did you see the jump Shepard got from Mass Effect 2 after his pathetic performance beforehand? If so, you should know the expectations are in no where absurd.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/11/2010 3:34:21 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #266
Harrich, did you see the jump Shepard got from Mass Effect 2 after his pathetic performance beforehand? If so, you should know the expectations are in no where absurd.


We have no evidence that sequels help the original game.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 3:34:59 PM | message detail
Yeah, and that's because ME2 trounces ME1. Again, why does ME2 make ME1 a threat when HL2, Uncharted 2, Diablo 2, or Mega Man 2 can't do much for their original games? Or FO3 help out its first two games? Or GTA's 3D-games help out its 2D-games?
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Advokaiser | Posted 11/11/2010 3:36:17 PM | message detail
GSC's gonna be the most overrated game by this board, just you watch.

Can't wait to see MM beating it. Actually I would take Oblivion to beat it.

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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 3:37:45 PM | message detail
We have no evidence that sequels help the original game.

This is one of those "Common sense" Things. Would people think that Empire Strikes back didn't make more people go back and watch A New Hope to get into the story? Its the exact same thing. Star Wars trilogy didn't become massive until Empire Strikes back came out.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/11/2010 3:40:05 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #270
Star Wars trilogy didn't become massive until Empire Strikes back came out.


...........
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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 3:49:25 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #271
Star Wars trilogy didn't become massive until Empire Strikes back came out.


Serious question: Albion, do you *ever* know what you're talking about? :o|
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/11/2010 3:49:54 PM | message detail
I saw some info on the movies and it seems that from the original 3 movies,most people saw the 1st,then the 2nd then the 3rd.So a lot of people liked the 1st one,but less went to see the 2nd and even less went to see the 3rd.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 3:50:19 PM | message detail
*pulls string*

The Wiki says:

The first film in the [Star Wars] franchise was originally released on May 25, 1977, by 20th Century Fox, and became a worldwide pop culture phenomenon


ME1, it was not.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 3:50:26 PM | message detail
Serious question: Albion, do you *ever* know what you're talking about? :o|

Thats my "gimmick"
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/11/2010 3:55:19 PM | message detail
A popular sequel might help the original game from people who started with the sequel going back and playing the older games. That doesn't necessarily mean the original game will get a significant boost in strength. It could result in a negligibly small boost.
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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 3:56:14 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #269
Yeah, and that's because ME2 trounces ME1. Again, why does ME2 make ME1 a threat when HL2, Uncharted 2, Diablo 2, or Mega Man 2 can't do much for their original games? Or FO3 help out its first two games? Or GTA's 3D-games help out its 2D-games?


I agree that ME2 should be significantly stronger than ME1, but how would we possibly know if Diablo 2, Mega Man 2 etc. helped their original games in a GameFAQs contest poll context?

And they might help somewhat. If Metal Gear Solid never existed, the original Metal Gear would have been forgotten and never even made the bracket in 2004. Now whether ME2 will help ME1 is a different question. But I do think the franchise is more visible and known these days than when the first game originally came out. So it's possible that ME2 helped. Franchises can definitely shift in strength over time, e.g. the GTA games and (over a larger time scale) the Pokemon games. You may be right though and ME1 might be the same animal we've seen before.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/11/2010 3:59:38 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #271
Star Wars trilogy didn't become massive until Empire Strikes back came out.


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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 3:59:51 PM | message detail
In all seriousness though, I would be absolutely shocked if Mass Effect is as weak as it was before. Being in the same poll with the biggest wrpg on the site for one doesn't help it, plus the release of ME2 should make it look significantly better. I think it would have easily of beaten L4D if Fallout 3 wasn't in that same poll. When it comes to WRPGs, Fallout 3 is the king, so it should surprise no one that it would take away votes from an inferior WRPG
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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 4:02:56 PM | message detail
Oh, and if you take things to the extreme, imagine if hypothetically no sequels ever existed for the Zelda, SMB, and Final Fantasy games. How strong would LoZ, SMB1 and FF1 be compared to how strong they are now? Clearly there would probably be a huge difference in strength.

Not that I expect anything like that for ME2 of course. But as TRE just said, there could be a small boost. And as more sequels come out they may incrementally boost a game, if the sequels are actually popular and respected. And also importantly keep its strength from fading over time - the Gears franchise for instance seems to have faded a lot. If Gears 2 had been as popular as ME2, Gears 1 would probably still be somewhat relevant.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2010 4:03:41 PM | message detail
Yeah Mass Effect does have reason to boost given its opponents last contest. Still I don't see it getting much strength due to ME2 besides the I don't know either game, but I played ME2 vote.
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creativename | Posted 11/11/2010 4:05:53 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #280
In all seriousness though, I would be absolutely shocked if Mass Effect is as weak as it was before. Being in the same poll with the biggest wrpg on the site for one doesn't help it, plus the release of ME2 should make it look significantly better. I think it would have easily of beaten L4D if Fallout 3 wasn't in that same poll. When it comes to WRPGs, Fallout 3 is the king, so it should surprise no one that it would take away votes from an inferior WRPG


Oh yes, I forgot that it was in a poll with Fallout. Quite possible that its underrated.

Not sure how much the playership of those games overlaps. For the people who've played ME1, does the fanbase overlap substantially with Fallout 3?
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 4:13:42 PM | message detail
I'm absolutely not against ME1 looking better than it has in the past; this'll be its first one-on-one opportunity and ME2's exposure should help. I just can't believe ME1's supposed to be a threat if HL2 hardly did anything for HL1. The other examples I brought up were mostly hypothetical and can't be proven (though I think we generally agree on those examples anyway), but the HL2/HL1-comparison holds. Also, for what it's worth, how close do you think GTA1/2 indirectly get to GTA3/VC/SA/4?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1831

We also still don't know where ME2 even is here; all we know is that it was originally less anticipated here than GSC before their releases and Shepard boosted a lot. Speaking of characters who have risen a lot, hello Gordon Freeman...how's HL1 doing here again?


Just saying, sequels are often good for their series and characters...but hardly proven for other games in their series.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 4:15:30 PM | message detail
Harrich, after seeing Dragon Ages match, would you take it over Mass Effect? Because being a big WRPG fan and someone who spends lots of time on Bioware community sites and other WRPG places and the like, I would never ever even consider Dragon Age over Mass Effect.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 4:17:45 PM | message detail
Probably would, yeah -- this isn't other WRPG-places. I'd like to see more of 2009's games in action though, because its games have been a mixed bag and F-Zero GX isn't a good measuring stick.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 4:19:40 PM | message detail
Also, you keep ignoring the HL2/HL1 point and the Shepard/Gordon comparison that fits along with it. Why is ME2/ME1 different aside from genre?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/11/2010 4:22:41 PM | message detail
I'm not exactly a huge fan of comparing saying that Mass Effect was SFFd by Fallout 3, but they are the same genre on the same platforms so it's certainly possible.

The thing is that ME is more story oriented than FO3 and less open...then again I probably have no clue what I'm talking about!
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/11/2010 4:23:58 PM | message detail
About HL2, HL, Half Life 1 was always PC (unless you count the horrible PS2 prot by a different developer that had bugs and frame rate issues), while Half Life 2 has been introduced to the console audience, which is a huge deal on a site like Gamefaqs.

A good example for my case though is Morrowind.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1132
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1131
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1129

Back in the day, Morrowind was weak sauce. But getting Oblivion to come out and allow a wider range of people to play it has really improved it over the years, to the point where it outdid Vice City on SH2, and beat Warcraft 3 after being tripled in the GOTY poll.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/11/2010 4:27:13 PM | message detail
For me, my expectation for Mass Effect putting on a good show in its first round match is solely based on expecting Plants Vs Zombies to be exceptionally weak. Not sure why Mass Effect's strength matters all that much to be honest!
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2010 4:35:33 PM | message detail
Because there's only so weak PvZ can be.

It didn't exactly bomb the vote-in.
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Advokaiser | Posted 11/11/2010 4:37:15 PM | message detail
Oh, yeah! I had completely forgotten about Morrowind/Oblivion. One of the reasons I picked Morrowind in my bracket was because of the Oblivion factor. However, I'm suprised about Mass Effect not being that strong, because at first glance you look at ME1 and then you look at ME2 and you would probably think ME2 is just a little more powerful than ME1, while the gap is actually quite big.

Even though, I don't think ME2 will help ME1 nearly as much as Oblivion helped Morrowind, as I do NOT think Fallout 3 will be able to do anything to help Fallout 1 and 2.

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Greyfeld | Posted 11/11/2010 4:40:32 PM | message detail
Also, to those who aren't sure about the amount of boost ME2 could have given ME, the fact is the two games are tied to each other, so the chances of people going back to play the first ME are pretty good (similar to how the first Assassin's Creed is tied directly to AC2, and the release of the sequel boosted the original moderately).
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2010 4:46:29 PM | message detail
The thing is we don't really know how strong AC was before ACII.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/11/2010 4:49:22 PM | message detail
Even if we don't know the actual x-stats for it, you can infer the rise of strength from the change in reception once AC2 was released. There's been a huge change in how AC is viewed since AC2 came out.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/11/2010 4:54:50 PM | message detail
ME2 will boost ME1 simply because of the carry-over thing. People who are interested in ME2 almost always play ME1 first,

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charmander6000 | Posted 11/11/2010 4:58:27 PM | message detail
I'm calling bs on that, sure it encourages people to try the first, but not almost always.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 4:59:06 PM | message detail
I don't think we've seen enough significant and clearly fishy cases of WRPG-SFF/LFF to take the idea particularly seriously, but I'd give up the point anyway given we've still not seen much from ME1 or its series do well in anything else. 40.71% on Halo 3 in 2007's Xbox-GotY still isn't great, and -- while the ME-series won EA's series-poll -- doubling the Sims in it isn't impressive if ME2 is a contender for this year's GotY and Sims took third to Gears 2 and Soul Calibur 2.

From: NoDicePwn | #289
About HL2, HL, Half Life 1 was always PC (unless you count the horrible PS2 prot by a different developer that had bugs and frame rate issues), while Half Life 2 has been introduced to the console audience, which is a huge deal on a site like Gamefaqs.

A good example for my case though is Morrowind.


Fair case about Morrowind after Oblivion, but:

1) HL1 was far better received and should be looked back on by new HL2-fans more than Morrowind should by new Oblivion-fans. If HL1 can't improve much, Morrowind probably can't either.
2) I also wouldn't put much into Warcraft 3 being constant with its 2002-self. Blizzard left that Warcraft-direction behind, Starcraft 2's the only relevant RTS-game to come out since WC3 (which was never on Starcraft's level to begin with), and it's not like it got a better name when it's related to WoW and Blizzard's fall since Activision to some degree...
3) ...and even if Starcraft 2 somehow boosted WC3 this contest by being a huge Blizzard-made RTS, WC3 still lost to Morrowind and should have looked even weaker. WC3's changed, too; it usually takes two to tango with a turn-around like that.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/11/2010 5:11:50 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #296
ME2 will boost ME1 simply because of the carry-over thing. People who are interested in ME2 almost always play ME1 first,


Considering how big ME2 was compared to ME1, I don't believe that. Even if their sales/reception/marketing/gameplay were closer, I don't think we have (m)any other examples of sequels helping the previous game much. The carry-over aspect is the best point, but I don't think that idea's been tested yet and there is still a world of difference between ME2 and ME1.
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VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/11/2010 5:17:02 PM | message detail
Well, Mass Effect 1 did outsell Mass Effect 2 (I'm not sure how much of those sales for ME1 came from after ME2 came out thought).

Mass Effect 1 sold 2.31 million, Mass Effect 2 sold 2.15. These are vgchartz numbers, but its a big enough gap I think we can safely say ME1 did sell better.
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