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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 943

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Biolizard28 | Posted 11/10/2010 11:27:21 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #347
They even made fun of Albion's trend stuff on the podcast <_<

And Bio, no Braid fan expected it to do well.


At least six gurus picked it to win!
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 11:29:22 AM | message detail
TWEWY did have a killer night vote, did you not see Dead Rising start tearing into it once the zombie kiddies woke up?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
Advokaiser | Posted 11/10/2010 11:35:14 AM | message detail
The reason I started wondering if Dead Rising could beat TWEWY is because of it being a night match *___*

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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2010 12:05:17 PM | message detail
So what are we expecting from Portal and FFXII tomorrow?
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2010 12:08:18 PM | message detail
Dunno what to expect with the FF SFF match. Expecting Portal to kill.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2010 12:08:25 PM | message detail
Looking at this early ASV showing, P4 appears to be losing it to Braid. But things could still quickly change within an hour or so.
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medicority | Posted 11/10/2010 12:09:53 PM | message detail
the world ends with you was the only game in the contest I think that I have never heard of. was pretty confident it would lose.
abdou | Posted 11/10/2010 12:19:36 PM | message detail
I hope FFXII gets destroyed..
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/10/2010 12:21:53 PM | message detail
Also, looking like Persona is getting the ASV. It was at 64.53% at 3 PM, and now its up to 64.67%
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2010 12:24:02 PM | message detail
Technically the ASV starts at 2:30 PM, but some people like to claim it starts at 3:00 PM. I remember the 14-17 option exploding right after 2:30 PM in that age poll from earlier this year.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/10/2010 12:25:45 PM | message detail
Technically the ASV starts at 2:30 PM, but some people like to claim it starts at 3:00 PM. I remember the 14-17 option exploding right after 2:30 PM in that age poll from earlier this year.

2:30-2:45 is when schools let out. I don't think that kids will be voting the instant that the school doors open. They need to get home first, so 3 o'clock is a better time to begin the ASV.
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irriadin | Posted 11/10/2010 12:27:17 PM | message detail
I'm not worried about FF12 / Crisis Core... but Skies vs BG2 is worrying me... if I could just get past that match and WoW vs AC, I'd be in great shape.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/10/2010 12:31:40 PM | message detail
Or my bad, seems I was a bit hasty to call the asv for persona 4, lol.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/10/2010 12:43:21 PM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #242
Really looking forward to seeing how Braid does in a few minutes. HHF ("Harrich Hype Factor") FTW!


To be fair, I didn't hype it to get into the contest or to have real strength...so nobody can use HHF against Epona in CB9. Nobody...!


Man, this poll sucks, but it's about expected. Braid might do better with the ASV since it's mostly known for the 360. Tim went down with the ASV the one match he was in, but that was with Sora and Fox in the poll (plus Chris Redfield), so it's hard to not lose percentage there.

Also, damn you Dead Rising!
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2010 1:24:39 PM | message detail
Technically the ASV starts at 2:30 PM, but some people like to claim it starts at 3:00 PM. I remember the 14-17 option exploding right after 2:30 PM in that age poll from earlier this year.

I think different series' ASVs tend to pick up at different times. Nintendo has historically started its ASV right around 3, Halo around 2:30, and KH seems to pick up gradually and not get into full force until later in the ASV.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Mr3790 | Posted 11/10/2010 1:45:07 PM | message detail
Dead Rising won?

Awesome, my bracket lives another day.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/10/2010 2:17:08 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #355
Dunno what to expect with the FF SFF match. Expecting Portal to kill.


Define "Kill."

I was kinda expecting 60/40 for Portal there, but I dunno. Gears is hard to peg.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/10/2010 2:28:17 PM | message detail
I haven't been following votals so much, but will this be a new low of votals for a day match??
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Oracle contest - 36th
Today's pick: Persona 4 - 60.71% Status: meh
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 2:32:35 PM | message detail
Yeah I see Portal getting somewhere around the low to mid 60s.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 2:34:58 PM | message detail
I haven't been following votals so much, but will this be a new low of votals for a day match??

It should quite easily, we're heading for around 41k, the lowest before had 44k.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/10/2010 2:38:23 PM | message detail
I thought Dead Rising would advance to round 3 for sure.But it seems Persona games are popular somehow.
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abdou | Posted 11/10/2010 2:41:55 PM | message detail
DR will probably beat Persona 4.
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FFDragon | Posted 11/10/2010 2:43:41 PM | message detail
Yeah this match has done nothing to make me feel better or worse about DR > P4 because 'it's Braid.'

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/10/2010 3:03:29 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #367
Define "Kill."

I was kinda expecting 60/40 for Portal there, but I dunno. Gears is hard to peg.


Closer to mid-60s (if not even worse), imo. GoW lost to Shadow of the Colossus without putting up any sort of fight, and it should be stronger than Gears 2. At least Gears 1 was a huge, system-selling 360 game for a while. Gears 2 came and went while being completely overshadowed by a handful of games.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/10/2010 3:13:30 PM | message detail
I'm expecting high 50s for Portal. I don't buy Gears of War being as weak as that match last contest showed.
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ILessThan3Tifa | Posted 11/10/2010 3:16:13 PM | message detail
I honestly don't think Portal would beat SotC by a whole lot. RE4 and KH2 got less than 65% on it, and they'd put up a good number on Portal. MGS4 got 63.50% on it last time.

I know people expect Portal to be stronger this time, but still.

RE4 and KH2 did put up 70% on Gears though, so who knows.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 3:19:56 PM | message detail
Personally I expect GoW2 to be weaker than the original.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
shane15 | Posted 11/10/2010 3:31:00 PM | message detail
The Japanese votes must be messed up.Persona losing the vote :/
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/10/2010 3:38:35 PM | message detail
**** yeah Dead Rising! Like Ulti said, this contest sucked because of all the matches I've got wrong (I'm already dead in the guru despite what they say), yet calling a close one right changes everything! Now hopefully DR wins next round as well!
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Advokaiser | Posted 11/10/2010 4:13:39 PM | message detail
Question: Since when has Portal had it's strength? I mean, before the contest I thought Deus Ex and Portal had about the same strength until I saw KP's topic and the polls from 2009, but how did that game manage to become as strong as it is now?

Also, I think you guys are underestimating Gears big time. Sure, it's weaker than Halo, but it's still extremely popular. I know this match will be the exception to the Console game >>>>> PC game rule, but I really think it will end up below the 60% margin.

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Blairville | Posted 11/10/2010 4:16:40 PM | message detail
Portal was given away free earlier this year, IIRC hundreds of thousands got it. I'll look for the Steam news story.

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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/10/2010 4:18:48 PM | message detail
Portal was absolutely loved on the internet (including this site) and is pretty much an internet jewel. It's always been strong, plus it was recently sold for a few days/week for 1 cent and heavily advertised. Don't see it having much of a problem with anyone in this bracket other than RE4, of course.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 11/10/2010 4:19:14 PM | message detail
Oh, it was free? Ok, same thing.
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Blairville | Posted 11/10/2010 4:23:58 PM | message detail
http://www.joystiq.com/2010/05/20/free-portal-downloaded-1-5-million-times/

1.5 mil, probably more than that since this story was published 4 days before it ended. That's gotta be a large boost.

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HaRRicH | Posted 11/10/2010 4:44:15 PM | message detail
Yeah, those estimates suggest probably two million copies were given away, and it doesn't hurt Valve/Steam now reach to Macs or Portal 2 was announced since Portal's last match.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/10/2010 4:46:38 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3535

However much it matters!

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DFF
DpObliVion | Posted 11/10/2010 6:00:31 PM | message detail
2:30-2:45 is when schools let out. I don't think that kids will be voting the instant that the school doors open. They need to get home first, so 3 o'clock is a better time to begin the ASV.

When I was in school, we got let out at 2:10, and I got home around 2:30.


Anyway, is there any chance that Portal beats RE4? I have RE4 in my bracket with confidence, but I just can't shake this feeling that Portal could pull it off. Just trying to rest easy, I guess. Or avoid disaster in Second to Last User Standing.

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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/10/2010 6:07:37 PM | message detail

From: DpObliVion | #387
2:30-2:45 is when schools let out. I don't think that kids will be voting the instant that the school doors open. They need to get home first, so 3 o'clock is a better time to begin the ASV.

When I was in school, we got let out at 2:10, and I got home around 2:30.


Anyway, is there any chance that Portal beats RE4? I have RE4 in my bracket with confidence, but I just can't shake this feeling that Portal could pull it off. Just trying to rest easy, I guess. Or avoid disaster in Second to Last User Standing.


If Valve rallies here, all bets are off.

I'd say it's a longshot otherwise.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/10/2010 7:42:16 PM | message detail
Wow, didn't realize Mac-ownership was that low. Fortunately, it was far and away my weakest point in that post!
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Nominate Epona, please.
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VaultBoyAlbion | Posted 11/10/2010 8:01:47 PM | message detail
Am I the only one who is really surprised so many people are taking Portal over FFXII next round? I just can't see a first person puzzle game beatign a mainline FF title on Gamefaqs..
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KefkaMayDie | Posted 11/10/2010 8:03:56 PM | message detail
Next match? Portal 100% beats FFXII
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2010 8:05:39 PM | message detail
When I was in school, we got let out at 2:10, and I got home around 2:30.

I got out at 2:20 and got home around 3:00, because the school is normally about a 20 minute drive from my house since I live in a puny town that does not have its own school district and needs to be served by the school district of another town. Since the school bus has to make frequent stops, it takes longer to get home than the 20 minutes it would have taken if I drove myself home from school.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 8:06:54 PM | message detail
Match XLV: (3) Portal vs. (14) Gears of War 2

Information

Name: Portal
Year: 2007
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 3rd in round 2

Name: Gears of War 2
Year: 2008
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

There has been a lot of talk for the second round in this four-pack, but not so much in this match; I almost forgot what game Portal was going up against. People have been hyping that Portal may have boosted since we last saw it with it being free on Steam and everything. This isn’t exactly the best match to see whether or not this is true since we don’t have much on Gears of War 2.

What we do have is the GotY poll where it didn’t do as well as the original game did and the vote-in where it won, but at the same time it was probably the weakest vote-in in terms of strong games. I do feel that the original game will be the stronger of the two and given what Gears of War did in the previous contest that can’t mean good things for the sequel.

Since we don’t know anything about Gears of War II there isn’t really a percent that Portal needs to go for it to have a chance at winning next round. However if it fails to break 60% I would start building its coffin. Valve games haven’t exactly looked as good as some people have been hyping, but if there’s one game that could change that trend it would be Portal.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Portal > Gears of War 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Portal wins, 64.16% - 35.84%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
695924 | Posted 11/10/2010 8:07:28 PM | message detail
Where does all this Valve love come from? I see people have a lot of confidence in HL2 and Portal. Why?
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 8:09:18 PM | message detail
What time do you guys start school then since in Canada we start at around 8:45-9:00am and end closer to 3pm.


Also do you guys celebrate Remembrance (Veteran's) Day tomorrow?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/10/2010 8:09:59 PM | message detail

From: 695924 | #394
Where does all this Valve love come from? I see people have a lot of confidence in HL2 and Portal. Why?


cause valve is awesome
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KefkaMayDie | Posted 11/10/2010 8:10:56 PM | message detail
Because Half Life 2 and Portal and absolutely phenomenal games.
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/10/2010 8:11:05 PM | message detail
Where does all this Valve love come from? I see people have a lot of confidence in HL2 and Portal. Why?

Valve has been trying really hard to appeal to gamers so people think Valve games are stronger. As for Portal it being free on Steam and getting downloaded 1.5-2 million times is reason for boost.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 36/42 Today's Matches: TWEWY & Persona 4
red sox 777 | Posted 11/10/2010 8:14:35 PM | message detail
Veterans/Armistice Day is a national holiday in the US, yes, so schools should be out tomorrow.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/10/2010 8:15:17 PM | message detail
Also do you guys celebrate Remembrance (Veteran's) Day tomorrow?

Yes, we have Veteran's Day tomorrow.

What time do you guys start school then since in Canada we start at around 8:45-9:00am and end closer to 3pm.

School started at 7:30 AM for me back when I was in school.
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