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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 941

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2010 10:56:20 AM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #149
Dragon Age is mainly a PC game, though. The console version was just a watered down port made easier and had features taken away, like the isometric view.


Like this matters. It wouldn't have half its strength if it were PC-only.
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/8/2010 10:57:35 AM | message detail
Dragon Age is mainly a PC game, though. The console version was just a watered down port made easier and had features taken away, like the isometric view.

the console version is also the one most people played (I assume)
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 10:58:19 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #151
Like this matters. It wouldn't have half its strength if it were PC-only.


It'd probably be more like 1/3. The console versions sold way more.

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695924 | Posted 11/8/2010 10:58:30 AM | message detail
Remember guys. KP is the same guy that said DS>MM9. Think about that for a second.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 10:58:46 AM | message detail
Eh, maybe in terms of sales its a "Console game", but I just have a hard time calling something a console game that was built ground up for the PC and ported elsewhere at the last moment because EA demanded them to.
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creativename | Posted 11/8/2010 10:59:24 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #710
http://rapidshare.com/files/429646813/Ratings.docx


It's not letting me download. Can you email it to me? Thanks :)
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 10:59:45 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #154
Remember guys. KP is the same guy that said DS>MM9. Think about that for a second.


Yeah, I sold a match that ended up being 47--53. What a travesty!

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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 11/8/2010 11:00:05 AM | message detail
Eh, maybe in terms of sales its a "Console game", but I just have a hard time calling something a console game that was built ground up for the PC and ported elsewhere at the last moment because EA demanded them to.

What you call it has nothing to do with how drastically different being on a console makes it from BG2. It is a game that is available on and sold a ****ton on consoles.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:00:39 AM | message detail
Can your computer run .docx files? That might be it.

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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 11:01:51 AM | message detail
Though I'm still kind of bitter about EA delaying Dragon Age 8 months to get the console and PC versions out at the same time instead of releasing the PC version first since it was already done, so I'm probably biased!
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creativename | Posted 11/8/2010 11:02:09 AM | message detail

From: 695924 | #754
Remember guys. KP is the same guy that said DS>MM9. Think about that for a second.


I don't know anything about that debate, but it got 47%. Nothing wrong with that.

From: NoDicePwn | #755
Eh, maybe in terms of sales its a "Console game", but I just have a hard time calling something a console game that was built ground up for the PC and ported elsewhere at the last moment because EA demanded them to.


For GameFAQs contest poll purposes, they are console games. Not really sure what the point is in arguing technicalities. They are not comparable to BG2.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:02:17 AM | message detail
Actually, probably the only thing really giving me pause in taking DQ8>CC is The Legend of Dragoon. I still have no idea how it did that well.

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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:02:45 AM | message detail
Eh, maybe in terms of sales its a "Console game", but I just have a hard time calling something a console game that was built ground up for the PC and ported elsewhere at the last moment because EA demanded them to.

For the record, I played DAO on PC, and I consider it a PC game first and foremost as well. The majority of the time, I forget that it's multiplat. But you can't allow your personal experiences with a game color your objective reasoning when it comes to these contests, otherwise you end up throwing away points.
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/8/2010 11:03:36 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #037
Wow, it looks like Phoenix didn't have a bit of success with the early vote. Either his games don't get Board 8 excited at all or the fad is dying.


Uhhh...FFIX has jumped up nearly 4% from the board vote, and Board 8 loves FFIX. That's pretty impressive for T&T, I think.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:04:14 AM | message detail
So, if we're comparing these two polls:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1627
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1624

Assuming that SoA has fallen off moderately, and BG2 is stronger than Fallout 2... why wouldn't BG2 be the favorite to win? (It's also a night match.... I don't know if that matters at all.)


I posted this two pages ago, can somebody address it please?
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:05:04 AM | message detail
Sent, creative.

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creativename | Posted 11/8/2010 11:05:09 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #759
Can your computer run .docx files? That might be it.


The rapidshare site is giving me something about flooding. After refreshing a bunch of times I finally got it working. Uploaded here:

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/excel/user-ratings.txt
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:06:59 AM | message detail
The only PC-centric game we've seen do well so far has been Deus Ex. Warcraft lost, Civ lost, and Team Fortress 2 would've lost if not for a fanbase that would have absolutely none of it (ie: hide votals all day, and it loses). And Deus Ex still can still get killed by a console-centric RPG next round, so it's not out of the woods yet.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 11:08:36 AM | message detail
And Deus Ex still can still get killed by a console-centric RPG next round, so it's not out of the woods yet.

Well I'm fully expecting a 85% win for Fallout 3, since Fallout 3 is Deus Ex's absolute worst opponent. They're both first person shooter rpgs, but Fallout 3 is better in every way and incredibly more popular. Its gonna be a bad sff beatdown
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creativename | Posted 11/8/2010 11:10:13 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #802
Actually, probably the only thing really giving me pause in taking DQ8>CC is The Legend of Dragoon. I still have no idea how it did that well.


I think largely because UC2 just ain't that strong.

Even pre-contest I didn't really have any faith in UC2. I picked it to go to the division finals, but with no confidence at all.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:12:25 AM | message detail
The Legend of Dragoon still won a vote-in poll, and I have yet to find a single person on this board that likes it.

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Advokaiser | Posted 11/8/2010 11:15:24 AM | message detail
Remember guys. KP is the same guy that said DS>MM9. Think about that for a second.

Yeah, he's also the same guy that said Halo 3 > SMS! Wait... that one was right...


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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/8/2010 11:15:29 AM | message detail
Baldur's Gate vs. Civ IV: Who wins?

Persona 3 vs. Skies of Arcadia: Who wins?
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transcience | Posted 11/8/2010 11:16:16 AM | message detail
late, but I'd probably pick Chrono Cross over God of War.
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ZFS | Posted 11/8/2010 11:17:22 AM | message detail
Civ IV, Persona 3.

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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:17:55 AM | message detail

From: ZFS | #175
Civ IV, Persona 3.


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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 11:18:49 AM | message detail
Baldur's Gate vs. Civ IV: Who wins?

Persona 3 vs. Skies of Arcadia: Who wins?


For the first one, I'd take Baldurs Gate... it just seems like the type of Game that this site would like more, especially since its about as faq heavy of a game as you'd find. It would be close though

For second, I'd take Persona 3. Persona 3 is actually still relevant these days, but going by how Vyse has declined every single poll he's been in since 2004, I'm almost scared to see how weak Skies of Arcadia is these days.
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cade | Posted 11/8/2010 11:20:07 AM | message detail
Persona 3s big vote getter was Asia. Wow. More than 1,000 vote lead from Asia and Civ 4 actually beat P3 in US, Canada, UK and Australia (ie all the white English speaking countries).
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creativename | Posted 11/8/2010 11:21:09 AM | message detail

From: ZFS | #855
Civ IV, Persona 3.


Yup.
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695924 | Posted 11/8/2010 11:21:31 AM | message detail

From: Advokaiser | #172
Remember guys. KP is the same guy that said DS>MM9. Think about that for a second.

Yeah, he's also the same guy that said Halo 3 > SMS! Wait... that one was right...


Yea and I also took that. It was obvious.

I'm sweating my TYD>Gears match a bit more than all these other random PC game vs jRPGs.

BG2 is outdated. It has no strength.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 11:24:13 AM | message detail
For what its worth for Baldurs Gate 2 vs. Civ 4...

Baldurs Gate 2 "My Games": 368 Own it
Civilization IV "My Games: 376 Own it

And Civilization IV you'd think would have a major advantage for that since its a much newer game. Not that "My Games" really mean much, if anything, but I do think it would be a close match. Horrible votals, though.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:29:27 AM | message detail
so, nobody is going to answer my question?
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/8/2010 11:31:24 AM | message detail
God of War would utterly destroy Chrono Cross.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:32:12 AM | message detail
-.- that wasn't my question
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:33:44 AM | message detail

From: Greyfeld | #182
so, nobody is going to answer my question?


Fallout 2 (2004g) VS Skies of Arcadia (2004g)

Fallout 2 has a strength of 13.90.
Skies of Arcadia has a strength of 20.75.

Skies of Arcadia wins with 66.51% of the vote!


Lots of things wrong with that, but I'm not sure what you're trying to say either way.

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Intanos VI | Posted 11/8/2010 11:34:55 AM | message detail
I always thought Baldurs Gate 2 would have a similar strength to Diablo 2 in a contest setting. Then this poll came about...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2794

And i thought bleh. The more i think about it though, the more i reckon that on it's own without Diablo 2 in the poll it'd inherit a lot of it's strength. I know a lot of people who played BG2 played Diablo 2 and the same vice versa. I even think in that poll that Diablo 2 would have dominated Elder Scrolls even more if Baldurs Gate wasn't there. And you got to think that this was at the height of Elder Scrolls power because Oblivion hadn't been out long.

I took Skies of Arcadia but i wouldn't be suprised if Baldurs Gate 2 wins comfortably and it'd definately beat any Ci game.
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ZFS | Posted 11/8/2010 11:36:10 AM | message detail
Because, despite how weak Fallout 2 already is, it probably would do worse today than it did back then. At the end of the day, you don't need to go hunting for polls with different games trying to figure how this might be relevant today. Skies of Arcadia and Baldur's Gate 2 are both going to be weak games; one of them was two console platforms, one of them being Nintendo, and the other was a PC game. If this were any other site, Baldur's Gate 2 would have a clear advantage, but GameFAQs by and large sticks to consoles and sticks to the familiar. Skies, at least, is familiar, and it probably has a higher playrate and fanbase on the site than BG2 currently does. That's reason enough for Skies to be a favorite heading in, but "favorite" doesn't mean clear win. I wouldn't be surprised if BG2 does pull it off, but everything we've seen this contest indicates it won't quite have what it takes to pull it off.

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Intanos VI | Posted 11/8/2010 11:38:54 AM | message detail
Also worth mentioning that BG was stronger than Fallout before 3 came out despite what i think suffering from SFF more than it. I was part of both communities for a long time and i'm fairly sure that my assumption is correct.
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Big Bob | Posted 11/8/2010 11:41:08 AM | message detail
I like how everyone complained about how P3 and Civ IV were both weaksauce and had no business winning matches...and then SoA/BGII are going to be even weaker than that pair.
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Advokaiser | Posted 11/8/2010 11:41:27 AM | message detail
I'm actually considering banking on FFXII/Crisis Core instead of Skies/BG2. Given Skies of Arcadia's atributes (RPG, 2 consoles, non-PC, etc...) it MUST win.

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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/8/2010 11:42:37 AM | message detail
Greyfeld: there's a massive, massive difference between 25% and 13%, even if Wind Waker is a lot less strong than OoT. Zelda as a series is pretty universally loved, but there are people that dislike it and will antivote anything Link or Zelda, either out of fanboyism for Microsoft/Sony or because they're fed up of Link winning the contests. Say these people make up 5% of the vote, although to be honest it's probably a bit more than that, in my opinion.

That gives us SoA getting ~20% and FO2 getting ~8%. Now granted that OoT then >>>> WW then, and granted that SoA's probably dropped off, and granted that BG2 is almost certainly stronger than FO2... that's still going to be close, because not taking that into account (and obviously we should), FO2 would need to be 250% times as popular as it was to get the votes evened up.

So yeah, BG2 has a good chance, but it's wrong to call it the favourite in my opinion.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:45:24 AM | message detail
Fallout 2 (2004g) VS Skies of Arcadia (2004g)

Fallout 2 has a strength of 13.90.
Skies of Arcadia has a strength of 20.75.

Skies of Arcadia wins with 66.51% of the vote!


Lots of things wrong with that, but I'm not sure what you're trying to say either way.


What? Where the hell did you come up with those arbitrary numbers?
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/8/2010 11:47:18 AM | message detail

From: Advokaiser | #190
I'm actually considering banking on FFXII/Crisis Core instead of Skies/BG2. Given Skies of Arcadia's atributes (RPG, 2 consoles, non-PC, etc...) it MUST win.


FFXII isn't losing.
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Greyfeld | Posted 11/8/2010 11:52:16 AM | message detail
Greyfeld: there's a massive, massive difference between 25% and 13%, even if Wind Waker is a lot less strong than OoT. Zelda as a series is pretty universally loved, but there are people that dislike it and will antivote anything Link or Zelda, either out of fanboyism for Microsoft/Sony or because they're fed up of Link winning the contests. Say these people make up 5% of the vote, although to be honest it's probably a bit more than that, in my opinion.

That gives us SoA getting ~20% and FO2 getting ~8%. Now granted that OoT then >>>> WW then, and granted that SoA's probably dropped off, and granted that BG2 is almost certainly stronger than FO2... that's still going to be close, because not taking that into account (and obviously we should), FO2 would need to be 250% times as popular as it was to get the votes evened up.


First off, you can't just make up arbitrary percentages like that, for the same reason that you can't say "Skies will win, because people X% of people will vote for not-BG2." You don't know the numbers, so any percentages you make up are, again, arbitrary.

Secondly, we're looking at Skies' percentage doubling Fallout's percentage, when WW would probably nearly get doubled by OOT to begin with.

And third, if you consider that BG2 is moderately more popular than Fallout, and has decreased slower than Skies (I think that's a safe bet, considering how much love BG2 continues to get within the PC community), it's not hard to see Baldur's Gate having a decent shot to win the match.

Keeping in mind, of course, that these are just my current assumptions. If anybody can dismiss them for me, I'd be happy to listen.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/8/2010 11:54:01 AM | message detail
Those are...the X-stats, man.

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Big Bob | Posted 11/8/2010 11:55:31 AM | message detail
Greyfield, you seem new here, so...

http://thengamer.com/xstats/

That's where he's pulling those numbers from.
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FFDragon | Posted 11/8/2010 11:55:48 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 11/8/2010 8:14:51 AM | #001
Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.


~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA


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red sox 777 | Posted 11/8/2010 11:57:24 AM | message detail
Fallout 2's x-stat is calculated through OOT and FFVII, so it should be accurate, one of the few games that contest for which that is true. Skies of Arcadia.......I forget what it lost to. Depending on whether it was on Melee's or Starcraft's side of Division 128, that would make it overrated or super overrated. Unless it got SFF'd at some point in the chain, anyway.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/8/2010 11:57:29 AM | message detail
It should be noted that no x-stats from that 128 division should EVER be used though. Starcraft screwed that entire divisions xstats up, making everything look way stronger than it is.
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Big Bob | Posted 11/8/2010 11:59:19 AM | message detail
SoA / WW SFF? Well, they're both Gamecube games, so I guess that's possible...
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