GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 940
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 9:47:48 PM | message detail |
Persona 3 vs. No Mercy Who you got --- :> |
JJH777 | Posted 11/7/2010 9:48:03 PM | message detail |
Oh
I know I'm not really expecting Civ to come back was just pointing out
an example of a massive % change from the first hour to the end of the
match for the Europe vote. --- My Anime List: http://myanimelist.net/animelist/JJH777 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/7/2010 9:49:02 PM | message detail |
I swear I thought creativename was quoting me there, and I went "wait, I didn't say any of that at all". Damn you, Ulti. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img24.imageshack.us/img24/3230/takerface.gif |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/7/2010 9:49:43 PM | message detail |
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XqPC08cPGJw&feature=related --- DFF |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 9:50:24 PM | message detail |
Holy crap what the hell was that --- :> |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/7/2010 9:50:41 PM | message detail |
60% update? This is over. See ya all tomorrow --- Epona > any Western character in CB9! http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
Greyfeld | Posted 11/7/2010 9:50:51 PM | message detail |
lol i don't know what that was, but I like it!! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/7/2010 9:51:20 PM | message detail |
Civ IV's votals fell off a cliff there. --- DFF |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/7/2010 9:51:47 PM | message detail |
...okay, there's no freakin' way that was legit. --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 33 CIVILIZATION >:( |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 9:52:09 PM | message detail |
Persona 3 to dance all over No Mercy's face! --- :> |
paulg235 | Posted 11/7/2010 9:52:20 PM | message detail |
Over --- The Gamer In Me "Oh boy, I always wanted to be a pedo." - Janus5000's response to sleeping with Misty for the night |
Big Bob | Posted 11/7/2010 9:52:43 PM | message detail |
Holy --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/7/2010 9:52:43 PM | message detail |
That
was all Civ. Looks like this'll be the first time I've been right on a
debated match since Halo 3/Sunshine. Now to get my battle points
through TWEWY/Dead Rising... --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/7/2010 9:52:51 PM | message detail |
From: TheCodeisBosco | #309 239 218 211 192 237 152 If there's any non-legitimacy, it's because Civ IV stuffers are taking a break! --- DFF |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2010 9:54:01 PM | message detail |
I
don't think we've had any examples of matches a half an hour in where
its like 65% in Europe already and it flips. It might not be as
dominant later on, but Persona WILL win Europe significantly. Ocelot was over 70% on Red early on in Europe, and it fell to 54% or something by the end. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 9:55:36 PM | message detail |
Now a stall. --- :> |
Greyfeld | Posted 11/7/2010 9:58:17 PM | message detail |
Ocelot was over 70% on Red early on in Europe, and it fell to 54% or something by the end. But that isn't a flip. A flip would require a lead change. |
pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2010 9:58:38 PM | message detail |
Yessss another close match right. If TWEWY wins nothing can stop my battle points. HAHAHAHAHAHA |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/7/2010 9:58:58 PM | message detail |
239 218 211 192 237 152 If there's any non-legitimacy, it's because Civ IV stuffers are taking a break! Fair enough! At least this update was little more kind to Civ... not that it really matters, of course. If it were to even make a single cut into Persona's lead, that'd be a minor miracle in itself. --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 33 CIVILIZATION >:( |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 10:00:37 PM | message detail |
Civ almost cuts there. --- :> |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2010 10:02:28 PM | message detail |
It'll
make plenty of cuts. It's pretty hard to turn 52-48 after the first
hour though, unless you have at least one of: a major day vote
advantage (though it wouldn't matter too much anyway here), superiority
in Europe, or a really bad first hour. Last year's trends show that
Persona falls off come morning though (and doesn't have a monstrous
late night vote, just a good one), so I'll hold out some hope for Civ
here. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Greyfeld | Posted 11/7/2010 10:04:33 PM | message detail |
the last two updates, P3 fell off as well, which is why the gains are so small now. Looks like the power hour is over. |
transience | Posted 11/7/2010 10:25:45 PM | message detail |
what is with these random huge updates for P3 followed by some very mediocre ones --- xyzzy |
transience | Posted 11/7/2010 10:26:09 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=4107&type=1&seconds=60&max=0 three of 'em --- xyzzy |
pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2010 10:27:07 PM | message detail |
I can't believe the stats topic grew like 30 pages tonight. I guess I also missed when Civ won that board vote. Man I would have been worried! |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/7/2010 10:31:51 PM | message detail |
Civ's doing a lot of falling off and then picking back up... Persona's stayed steady all match. --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
DpObliVion | Posted 11/7/2010 10:43:25 PM | message detail |
Persona starting to pour it on! --- Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XI} dood |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/7/2010 10:49:55 PM | message detail |
This is gonna end up 55-56% at this rate. --- Epona > any Western character in CB9! http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 10:56:36 PM | message detail |
Persona might not have a great night vote, but it makes up for it with Civ's horrid drop offs. --- :> |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/7/2010 10:56:56 PM | message detail |
Persona powering away now. And I thought my oracle was gonna be so good too. >.> --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/7/2010 11:02:26 PM | message detail |
Crap, knew I shoulda banked here. --- http://i49.tinypic.com/2ry672r.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/7/2010 11:03:22 PM | message detail |
Well, Persona wins. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
DpObliVion | Posted 11/7/2010 11:06:52 PM | message detail |
So glad I didn't bank! --- Booyah, Grandma. Booyah. {XI} dood |
pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:11:11 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
pjbasis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:12:01 PM | message detail |
I just realized Code: Veronica isn't in this contest. This contest just lost all its credibility. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 11:20:04 PM | message detail |
I
think we've had 20 matches that have featured RPGs versus non-RPG
opponents (21 counting Deus Ex, which I believe has "RPG elements"). In
those 20 matches, the ONLY RPG entrant that has bombed relative to our
expectations has been DPP, and that game has a pretty convenient excuse
with possible Nintendo wackiness. In every other match, the RPG has
either done about as expected (even Demon's Souls, which was laughed
outta town, did only 1.4% worse than the Oracle average), better, or
much better. This is making me reconsider my faith in Dead Rising. It may be a console game up against a handheld RPG with no series behind it, but it's not like DR itself is packing Mega Man's name power. I might switch to TWEWY there. --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 11:20:52 PM | message detail |
From: pjbasis | #335 Yeah, I wasn't too happy when I realized no traditional RE game made the cut. REMake should be in a god damned field of 128. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/7/2010 11:23:05 PM | message detail |
A
strong argument can be made that FFX was more disappointing than DPP,
but yeah, I have Dead Rising in my bracket, and there's no chance I'm
backing it in the battle after what we've seen so far. --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
transience | Posted 11/7/2010 11:23:36 PM | message detail |
yeah,
debate shifts to TWEWY vs. Dead Rising. RPGs have definitely done well
here but they've all had reasons to - they've had bad competition.
there are very few overperformances by RPGs. --- xyzzy |
paulg235 | Posted 11/7/2010 11:23:51 PM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #337 Well, there's your problem. --- The Gamer In Me "Oh boy, I always wanted to be a pedo." - Janus5000's response to sleeping with Misty for the night |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:25:22 PM | message detail |
From: transience | #339 I can't justify banking here... but I'm gonna feel sick if I lose it. God damn, that stuff that KP posted about how many reviews or whatever P3 had was the swinging point for me on this match. Ugh. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 11:25:43 PM | message detail |
From: transience | #339 Depends what criteria you're using. I think the best one is the Oracle average, because that takes about 100 "evolving" opinions for every match. And according to that, lots of RPGs have overperformed notably. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:27:43 PM | message detail |
you
know what, forget it. I'm sticking with Dead Rising. Sequel is on both
360 and PS3. There should be enough support there to get it past TWEWY. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
vcharon | Posted 11/7/2010 11:28:08 PM | message detail |
Dead
Rising is going to have to suck to lose to TWEWY. I guess I just see
that match as open and shut. Maybe I shouldn't, but I remember the last
character battle where Laharl defeated Neku, and earlier when Disgaea
massively failed and lost to VC somehow. Unless Laharl is that much stronger than his series or Neku is going to be that much weaker than TWEWY, I don't know how Dead Rising loses that match. --- :> |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 11:29:42 PM | message detail |
From: Kotetsu534 | #338 Dunno about that, but it's fair to say that FFX also did poorly relative to expectations. Still, 18/20 isn't bad at all, especially when some of those were really fantastic performances. --- Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/7/2010 11:30:25 PM | message detail |
Civ
4 has been sharply rising in Europe, and is now a higher % in Europe
than worldwide. Maybe it won't be killed as much in the dead hours as
we thought, not that it matters at this point --- Epona > any Western character in CB9! http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
transience | Posted 11/7/2010 11:30:47 PM | message detail |
Oracle
is a fine metric, but a lot of those have been things like No Mercy
being a joke. this has always been an RPG site so I don't think that
trend is unusual. a lot of debatable matches have gone the RPG's way,
but at the same time, they were already debatable and they were
close-ass matches. if you want to go that route, though, FFX beating Smash confirmed! --- xyzzy |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:32:06 PM | message detail |
Also, you guys are sure Chrono Cross is going to beat DQVIII, right? For some reason I picked DQ8 without thinking about it, and I wanna make sure that CC is the obvious choice. Coz if I get Dead Rising right, I'm not banking until SFIV v. Uncharted 2. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
transience | Posted 11/7/2010 11:33:16 PM | message detail |
Skies of Arcadia is the one that scares me, --- xyzzy |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2010 11:34:23 PM | message detail |
Vyse kept getting in the contests, right? There's no reason for BG2 to have any sort of strength. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |