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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 939

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creativename | Posted 11/6/2010 11:04:53 PM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #1956
Another case of blindly staring at stats and not using your head. No way would Sephiroth be stronger than Cloud back then unless you think Magus could have made it to the finals against Link.


Uhhh..."using your head" would clearly imply Seph at worst equals Cloud in 2K2. Just look at their actual matches and how they performed, and what happened to the three KH characters between years. And what in the world does this have to do with Magus?
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creativename | Posted 11/6/2010 11:08:40 PM | message detail

From: -LusterSoldier- | #1959
The updater is working, but now there's a 1:01 update right after the 1:00 update. LOL at a -2573 vote update for KOTOR on the 1:01 update.


Heh, yeah. Looks like updates will be out of order for the next hour or so. I'll try to adjust the update times manually after the match.

I've thought of sorting the table by vote sums instead of times, however the problem there is the match where cheat votes were removed. Sorting by votes there would mess things up.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/6/2010 11:16:48 PM | message detail
Anyways, I think I might do my own stats for this contest like how charmander does his own stats, but mine are related to Geolocation.

Top 5 Best North America Support (Night)
1. Perfect Dark vs. Conker’s BFD (R1) – 74.12%
2. Demon's Souls vs. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 73.48%
3. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 73.06%
4. Batman: Arkham Asylum vs. Psychonauts (R1) – 72.80%
5. Uncharted 2 vs. The Legend of Dragoon (R1) – 72.71%

Top 5 Worst North America Support (Night)
1. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 69.45%
2. Golden Sun vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA (R1) – 70.25%
3. Final Fantasy X vs. Viewtiful Joe (R1) – 70.32%
4. LittleBigPlanet vs. Grand Theft Auto III (R1) – 70.35%
5. Modern Warfare 2 vs. Dissidia (R1) – 70.47%

Top 5 Best North America Support (Day)
1. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 82.62%
2. Rock Band 2 vs. Deus Ex (R1) – 82.41%
3. Halo vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 82.27%
4. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 81.99%
5. Mother 3 vs. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 81.67%

Top 5 Worst North America Support (Day)
1. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 77.68%
2. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 79.46%
3. Call of Duty 4 vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 79.73%
4. Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania: DoS (R1) – 79.92%
5. Tales of Vesperia vs. Borderlands (R1) – 79.95%

Top 5 Best South America Support (Night)
1. Pokemon DPP vs. Metroid Fusion (R1) – 2.36%
2. Golden Sun vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA (R1) – 2.31%
3. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 2.17%
4. Super Mario Galaxy vs. Beyond Good & Evil (R1) – 2.16%
5. Metroid Prime vs. Star Ocean (R1) – 2.15%

Top 5 Worst South America Support (Night)
1. Fallout 3 vs. inFamous (R1) – 1.50%
2. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 1.74%
3. Batman: Arkham Asylum vs. Psychonauts (R1) – 1.77%
4. Uncharted 2 vs. The Legend of Dragoon (R1) – 1.82%
5. Perfect Dark vs. Conker's BFD (R1) – 1.85%

Top 5 Best South America Support (Day)
1. Okami vs. No More Heroes (R1) – 3.07%
2. Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania: DoS (R1) – 2.99%
3. Mother 3 vs. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 2.89%
4. God of War vs. Left 4 Dead (R1) – 2.82%
5. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 2.81%

Top 5 Worst South America Support (Day)
1. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 2.09%
2. Rock Band 2 vs. Deus Ex (R1) – 2.22%
3. Halo vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 2.33%
4. Half-Life 2 vs. Left 4 Dead 2 (R1) – 2.35%
5. WWF No Mercy vs. Fire Emblem: PoR (R1) – 2.43%

Top 5 Best Europe Support (Night)
1. LittleBigPlanet vs. Grand Theft Auto III (R1) – 18.99%
2. Golden Sun vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA (R1) – 18.77%
3. Super Mario Galaxy vs. Beyond Good & Evil (R1) – 18.75%
4. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 18.58%
5. Pokemon DPP vs. Metroid Fusion (R1) – 18.22%
Fallout 3 vs. inFamous (R1) – 18.14%

Top 5 Worst Europe Support (Night)
1. Demon's Souls vs. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 16.68%
2. Uncharted 2 vs. The Legend of Dragoon (R1) – 16.72%
3. CoD: Modern Warfare 2 vs. Dissidia (R1) – 16.92%
4. Perfect Dark vs. Conker's BFD (R1) – 17.08%
5. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 17.11%

Top 5 Best Europe Support (Day)
1. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 14.31%
2. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 13.78%
3. LoZ: Twilight Princess vs. Shenmue (R1) – 13.51%
4. Tales of Vesperia vs. Borderlands (R1) – 13.15%
5. Kingdom Hearts II vs. Halo 2 (R1) – 13.13%

Top 5 Worst Europe Support (Day)
1. Halo vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 11.39%
2. Mother 3 vs. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 11.75%
3. WWF No Mercy vs. Fire Emblem: PoR (R1) – 11.75%
4. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 11.94%
5. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 11.95%
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/6/2010 11:16:53 PM | message detail
Top 5 Best Asia Support (Night)
1. CoD: Modern Warfare 2 vs. Dissidia (R1) – 6.16%
2. Final Fantasy X vs. Viewtiful Joe (R1) – 5.97%
3. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 5.72%
4. Uncharted 2 vs. The Legend of Dragoon (R1) – 4.91%
5. Tales of Symphonia vs. Resident Evil 5 (R1) – 4.69%

Top 5 Worst Asia Support (Night)
1. Perfect Dark vs. Conker's BFD (R1) – 2.78%
2. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 3.50%
3. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 3.64%
4. Super Mario Galaxy vs. Beyond Good & Evil (R1) – 3.74%
5. Super Mario Sunshine vs. Halo 3 (R1) – 3.87%

Top 5 Best Asia Support (Day)
1. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 2.51%
2. Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania: DoS (R1) – 2.32%
3. Tales of Vesperia vs. Borderlands (R1) – 2.19%
4. Call of Duty 4 vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 2.03%
5. Sonic Adventure 2 vs. Street Fighter IV (R1) – 2.01%

Top 5 Worst Asia Support (Day)
1. Rock Band 2 vs. Deus Ex (R1) – 1.24%
2. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 1.40%
3. LoZ: Twilight Princess vs. Shenmue (R1) – 1.44%
4. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 1.46%
5. Half-Life 2 vs. Left 4 Dead 2 (R1) – 1.60%

Top 5 Best Oceania Support (Night)
1. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 4.40%
2. Fallout 3 vs. inFamous (R1) – 4.30%
3. CoD: Modern Warfare 2 vs. Dissidia (R1) – 4.29%
4. LittleBigPlanet vs. Grand Theft Auto III (R1) – 4.19%
5. Golden Sun vs. Ratchet & Clank: UYA (R1) – 4.08%

Top 5 Worst Oceania Support (Night)
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 3.48%
2. Super Mario Sunshine vs. Halo 3 (R1) – 3.63%
3. Uncharted 2 vs. The Legend of Dragoon (R1) – 3.70%
4. Metroid Prime vs. Star Ocean (R1) – 3.73%
5. Demon's Souls vs. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 3.88%

Top 5 Best Oceania Support (Day)
1. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 2.59%
2. Call of Duty 4 vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 2.45%
3. WWF No Mercy vs. Fire Emblem: PoR (R1) – 2.27%
4. Halo vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 2.16%
5. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 2.06%
Tales of Vesperia vs. Borderlands (R1) – 2.05%

Top 5 Worst Oceania Support (Day)
1. Okami vs. No More Heroes (R1) – 1.57%
2. Mother 3 vs. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 1.62%
3. LoZ: Twilight Princess vs. Shenmue (R1) – 1.64%
4. Kingdom Hearts vs. Castlevania: DoS (R1) – 1.65%
5. Rock Band 2 vs. Deus Ex (R1) – 1.71%

Top 5 Best Africa Support (Night)
1. BioShock vs. Star Wars: Battlefront II (R1) – 0.18%
2. Batman: Arkham Asylum vs. Psychonauts (R1) – 0.17%
3. Modern Warfare 2 vs. Dissidia (R1) – 0.17%
4. LittleBigPlanet vs. Grand Theft Auto III (R1) – 0.16%
5. Final Fantasy X vs. Viewtiful Joe (R1) – 0.16%

Top 5 Worst Africa Support (Night)
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 0.11%
2. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 0.11%
3. Perfect Dark vs. Conker's BFD (R1) – 0.11%
4. Metroid Prime vs. Star Ocean (R1) – 0.12%
5. Demon's Souls vs. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 0.13%

Top 5 Best Africa Support (Day)
1. Pokemon RSE vs. Grand Theft Auto IV (R1) – 0.11%
2. Mother 3 vs. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 0.10%
3. GTA: San Andreas vs. Dead Space (R1) – 0.10%
4. Okami vs. No More Heroes (R1) – 0.10%
5. God of War vs. Left 4 Dead (R1) – 0.10%

Top 5 Worst Africa Support (Day)
1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 0.07%
2. Warcraft III vs. Morrowind (R1) – 0.07%
3. Rock Band 2 vs. Deus Ex (R1) – 0.08%
4. Half-Life 2 vs. Left 4 Dead 2 (R1) – 0.08%
5. LoZ: Twilight Princess vs. Shenmue (R1) – 0.08%

Hmm, maybe I should exclude Africa from my stats?
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/6/2010 11:20:46 PM | message detail
With Fallout 3 and Oblivion both on the PS3, I think KotOR might be the strongest exclusive game on either Xbox console. I'd take it over Halo 1v1.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 11:22:12 PM | message detail
See this is why I like creative so much.

He comes up with logical arguments for Sephiroth being the number two on this site, if even just for a year!
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creativename | Posted 11/6/2010 11:49:34 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #2005
With Fallout 3 and Oblivion both on the PS3, I think KotOR might be the strongest exclusive game on either Xbox console. I'd take it over Halo 1v1.


I guess that's possible. Halo did edge it out in a 4-way but I could see some argument for KOTOR winning 1v1. It'd be very debatable, though I'd still pick Halo logically (of course in an actual bracket I'd go with KOTOR just because going with Halo anything makes me too nervous, plus I love Star Wars).

From: ExThaNemesis | #2006
See this is why I like creative so much.

He comes up with logical arguments for Sephiroth being the number two on this site, if even just for a year!


Or you could, you know, just look at the actual 2K2 bracket ;)

You need logical arguments to argue against Sephiroth being the #2, moreso than for it. Logical arguments can of course be made - Link/Mario SFF, Mario stuffing, PGC, Sunshine; though the degree they need to hold true is large. The 'default' and most reasonable argument is that things weren't too far from what appeared at face value - that Sephiroth was the 2nd strongest guy in 2K2.

Although to rain on your parade a bit, it would be for less than a year since the contests began, since Kingdom Hearts came out in Fall 2K2 and Cloud probably passed him up within a few months of that :P
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 11:52:10 PM | message detail
With Fallout 3 and Oblivion both on the PS3, I think KotOR might be the strongest exclusive game on either Xbox console. I'd take it over Halo 1v1.

I'd take Mass Effect 2 over it. Its still exclusive to 360 (though its on PC as well, but KOTOR is on PC too)
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/7/2010 1:40:58 AM | message detail
XFD Devil May Cry cut. You don't see cuts often in 60-40 matches
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 1:48:51 AM | message detail
KotOR would be doing notably better in a day match. Devil May Cry is also almost assuredly stronger than Ninja Gaiden, and KotOR has no possible SFF advantage over DMC like Halo may have had over NG. You combine all that with possible Halo anti-voting in this 1v1 format (along with KotOR possibly being hurt more by Diablo II in 2009), and I absolutely take KotOR over Halo or any other Xbox exclusive, day match or night.

I really doubt Mass Effect 2 can beat it, either. KotOR has had way too much time to gain a following and respect, and it has aged quite well.
ZFS | Posted 11/7/2010 1:54:39 AM | message detail
This isn't *that* impressive. I don't know that this match sways me in either direction concerning Halo and KOTOR, which should be a close match either way. Mass Effect 2 would have a great shot at being the most popular Xbox exclusive game on the site, though it won't be for much longer -- the PS3 version comes out in January.

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voltch | Posted 11/7/2010 3:23:49 AM | message detail
real question, would you take DMC3 over Kotor in a night match?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/7/2010 3:29:56 AM | message detail
Star Wars: KotOR (2009g) has a strength of 25.67 against Base Link.
Earthbound (2009g) has a strength of 15.74 against Base Link.


Star Wars: KotOR 69.34% 82,204
Earthbound 30.66% 36,345
TOTAL VOTES 118,549

Star Wars: KotOR wins with 69.34% of the vote!
A 45,859 vote margin of victory.

So if KOTOR is supposed to 70-30 Earthbound, and we'll assume Earthbound = Mother 3 for no real reason, what's this supposed to mean? DMC1 > DMC3? I suppose they're both in about the same strength range then...which is a big uh-oh for DMC3's upset chances against Metroid Prime (not that they hadn't been killed off in the first place!). Oh, and let's take a look at this gem too:

Super Mario Galaxy (2009g) has a strength of 22.89 against Base Link.
Halo 2 (2009g) has a strength of 26.13 against Base Link.


Super Mario Galaxy 43.80% 50,310
Halo 2 56.20% 64,552
TOTAL VOTES 114,861

Halo 2 wins with 56.20% of the vote!
A 14,242 vote margin of victory.

So Halo 2 is supposed to be stronger than Galaxy, huh? Are we actually going to believe in that? Somehow I don't.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:10:05 AM | message detail
Looking at these night trends, KOTOR fans better be thanking their lucky stars that the FFIX match is a day match because DMC is making a killing right now.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:11:18 AM | message detail
Final Fantasy X: 4615
Final Fantasy XII: 4587
Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII: 2730
Final Fantasy IX: 2503
Dissidia: 2270

Oh ho ho
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:20:30 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #385
No, I meant yesterday. You'd think San Andreas would be a vote draw.


Nah, GTA has never been a vote draw, for whatever the reason. They always have horrible vote totals.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:24:52 AM | message detail

From: XxSoulxX | #396
Another case of blindly staring at stats and not using your head. No way would Sephiroth be stronger than Cloud back then unless you think Magus could have made it to the finals against Link.


Comparing Magus to Sephiroth is a pretty big mistake in the first place. There really is no comparison to Sephiroth. There are almost no cases where the villain of the game can come ANYWHERE close to the hero (Kefka > the ensemble cast of FFVI is the only one I can think of, and the reason for that is different than Cloud/Sephiroth). The fact that Sephiroth could probably double the second strongest villain in this contest nowadays (Bowser or Ganondorf, take your pick), or at least come close to it, means that trying to make ANY other comparison is just silly.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:27:02 AM | message detail
And yeah, 58/42 isn't really what KOTOR needed here to make me think it could beat FFIX. Halo/KOTOR was always a tossup 1-on-1 anyway because of how close they came in the first place, but if KOTOR/Halo 1 is a debatable match, I don't know how in the world FFIX/KOTOR is.
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Intanos VI | Posted 11/7/2010 4:30:19 AM | message detail
Everyone banking tomorrow then is it?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:40:36 AM | message detail
Eh, I probably will bank on Civ IV/P3. I'd rather not bank with just 7800 points, but I don't feel confident enough in either game to make a pick and risk losing it and starting all over.
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Intanos VI | Posted 11/7/2010 4:52:11 AM | message detail
I'm banking with 12000.

I don't reckon the match'll be proper close though, i think the winner will at least be 58%...it's just the case of not knowing which games gonna get that. Civ IV could show itself to be as cult as any other game with the added "heard of" factor. I'll vote for it simply because i played Civ II a billion years ago.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/7/2010 4:55:21 AM | message detail
Even if I didn't **** up my battle pick, I wouldn't bank here. Then again, I'd only have around 3600 points, so I would kind of need to pick anyway.

Given up all hope of winning Battle now, though.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 4:58:10 AM | message detail
Oh right, yesterday's chart:

Time | San Andreas | Dead Space | Votes
0:05 | 65.51% | 34.49% | 632
1:00 | 65.68% | 34.32% | 6049
2:00 | 66.47% | 33.53% | 5332
3:00 | 67.20% | 32.80% | 4844
4:00 | 63.67% | 36.33% | 4098
5:00 | 65.42% | 34.58% | 4048
6:00 | 64.68% | 35.32% | 3582
7:00 | 65.95% | 34.05% | 3325
8:00 | 65.08% | 34.92% | 2998
9:00 | 66.06% | 33.94% | 2767
10:00 | 65.33% | 34.67% | 2613
11:00 | 65.11% | 34.89% | 2413
12:00 | 62.52% | 37.48% | 2169

SA's first few hours are really good compared to the rest of the match, just like GTA IV. Dead Space had a couple of good hours, but they feel like anomalies looking at how they did in the hours around them. I do appreciate Dead Space having a great final hour though since it gave me a #2 Oracle pick!
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/7/2010 4:58:53 AM | message detail
Mario gaining around 75% of the extra votes during Mario/Cloud doesn't seem unfeasible, considering a big pro-Mario site linked to it, a big Mario game came out, and overall the internet will favor Mario over Cloud. Hell, just at Gamespot, Mario could potentially double Cloud without any 4chan intervention (since I don't think they were involved in Cloud/Kratos). Even if 4chan was a big factor that match, Mario would still 60-40 Cloud at least, and considering the other factors involved, Mario tripling Cloud in the extra traffic seems pretty damn likely to me.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/7/2010 5:00:41 AM | message detail

Although to rain on your parade a bit, it would be for less than a year since the contests began, since Kingdom Hearts came out in Fall 2K2 and Cloud probably passed him up within a few months of that :P


But a glorious less than a year it would have been!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/7/2010 5:21:41 AM | message detail
Man, I really want to raise my Oracle pick for FE/TH2 to something high because of POR/No Mercy, but I dunno.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 11/7/2010 5:24:40 AM | message detail
So it turns out I have Devil May Cry in my bracket.

I was sure I had KoTOR. To round 3 no less.

Ah well, at least my battle challenge has this one right!
;_;

Definitely gonna bank on P3/Civ IV to save my streak though, I have a pretty nice one.
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Intanos VI | Posted 11/7/2010 5:28:07 AM | message detail
This probably means nothing, but Civ 5 is currently the 4th most played game on Steam.
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/7/2010 5:51:18 AM | message detail
Civ shall win.Same as with VC vs Disgaea,sure Disgaea has more games and it seems to be more well known but well VC had a new game came out recently.Civ had 5 came out recently.Plus Civ is more popular than Persona that is for sure.The problem is that Civ series is PC only and you know how PC only games do here.I believe it will win but it will be a very close match.
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special_sauce | Posted 11/7/2010 6:21:10 AM | message detail
I ain't banking with just 12k points
Let's go Civ IV.
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azuarc | Posted 11/7/2010 6:52:04 AM | message detail
"This probably means nothing, but Civ 5 is currently the 4th most played game on Steam."

Yeah, but how many games force you to use Steam to play them unless (a) you downloaded them off Steam or (b) they were made by ValVe? And of them, how many are current blockbuster-level titles? No, it means nothing. It's like pointing out that XXX game is on the top 10 most wanted FAQs.



So KOTOR-DMC is barely an ulti-style at this point. Still a 4500 vote lead, but a pretty bland percentage win for KOTOR if that's the case. I didn't see last night, but everyone on this thread implied it had a huge lead. Now...not so much. This concerns me for my later picks, since I have KOTOR reaching FFX.
Achromatic | Posted 11/7/2010 6:54:23 AM | message detail

From: azuarc | #431
"This probably means nothing, but Civ 5 is currently the 4th most played game on Steam."

Yeah, but how many games force you to use Steam to play them unless (a) you downloaded them off Steam or (b) they were made by ValVe? And of them, how many are current blockbuster-level titles? No, it means nothing. It's like pointing out that XXX game is on the top 10 most wanted FAQs.



So KOTOR-DMC is barely an ulti-style at this point. Still a 4500 vote lead, but a pretty bland percentage win for KOTOR if that's the case. I didn't see last night, but everyone on this thread implied it had a huge lead. Now...not so much. This concerns me for my later picks, since I have KOTOR reaching FFX.




KOTOR started at over 61% and DMC has been kickin its ass % wise all morning.

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Advokaiser | Posted 11/7/2010 6:56:35 AM | message detail
I ain't banking with just 12k points
Let's go Civ IV.


I thought 4k was enough to bank... -__- (unless those are your total banked points)

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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 11/7/2010 7:23:41 AM | message detail
Man, I wake up to KOTOR going from over the doubling to get close to that 55/45 mark. Maybe KOTOR/Halo CE would be debatable afterall.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/7/2010 7:27:46 AM | message detail
Woah, what happened overnight. This just looks normal now.

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charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2010 7:35:03 AM | message detail
Blame Europe for that one.
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GotD Bracket: 31/36 Today's Matches: SW: KotOR & FE
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 7:48:48 AM | message detail
Eh, KotOR had just about every disadvantage here (relative to Halo's match) and still did well enough. I'd take it over Halo: CE without any worry.

But THE question remains: how much better would the undebatably stronger DMC3 be doing here?!
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/7/2010 7:56:07 AM | message detail
people underrating DMC big time.
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/Ayaneff13.png
HaRRicH | Posted 11/7/2010 8:05:21 AM | message detail
This performance makes Mother 3 look significantly better...yeesh. It'll be fun to see what DMC3 gets on MP now; it's not like MP will be too much stronger than SW:KotOR anyway. If DMC3 > DMC, it may look pretty sweet in their night-match.
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*obnoxiously encourages you to nominate Epona*
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
HaRRicH | Posted 11/7/2010 8:06:37 AM | message detail
Also, do you take Assassin's Creed to win against SW:KotOR if it took DMC's place?
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"Support Epona because we've run out of good ideas." --Leonhart
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Intanos VI | Posted 11/7/2010 8:08:49 AM | message detail
Has DST levelled itself now then? Back to 5pm GMT.
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Did you know that? No? Neither did i.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 8:09:13 AM | message detail
Wait, so if DMC3 gets totally worked, you guys will just assume that Prime will have an easy time with KotOR rather than believe DMC>DMC3?

http://www.sonydefenseforce.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/reggie.jpg
Draco1214 | Posted 11/7/2010 8:11:51 AM | message detail
Prime is not a strong game, so if it works DMC3, that says more about DMC3 than it does about Prime.

Why people think Prime is strong (as in, beat HL2 strong) is beyond me...
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Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/7/2010 8:21:58 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #441
Wait, so if DMC3 gets totally worked, you guys will just assume that Prime will have an easy time with KotOR rather than believe DMC>DMC3?

http://www.sonydefenseforce.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/reggie.jpg


Tough question.

I respond by saying that I will support whatever makes DMC3 look better.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2010 8:48:16 AM | message detail
Match XXXVIII: (6) Fire Emblem vs. (11) Tony Hawk’s Pro Skater 2

Information

Name: Fire Emblem
Year: 2003
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 4th in round 1

Name: Tony Hawk’s Pro Skater 2
Year: 2000
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

You can basically take everything that we’ve learned from Path of Radiance/WWF No Mercy and apply it to here. You have a low tier Nintendo game going up against a sports game. I do however feel that the win will be a lower blowout than what Path of Radiance did.

I know I’m in the minority here, but I feel that Path of Radiance has a great chance at being the strongest Fire Emblem game and even if it isn’t it’ll at least be pretty close. Path of Radiance does have the advantage of being on a console plus the game is quite loved among Fire Emblem fans, at least between the English speaking games. While I don’t see it as a big boost people knowing that Ike is in that game probably helps, then again Melee brought Fire Emblem over to North America.

While Pro Skater 2 is a sports game I feel that the game does get some respect. It is considered by a lot of people to be a great game and while no one is going to rank it among their favourite’s people still have good memories of it. Of course like WWF No Mercy the game came out at the end of the lifespan for both the Nintendo 64 and Playstation.

70% is very possible after seeing Path of Radiance and it goes to show you that even weak entrants can blow something away given the right opponent. One reason that I’m glad that matches are 12 hours is that matches like these don’t last an entire day. Too bad this is on the weekend instead of a weekday.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Fire Emblem > Tony Hawk’s Pro Skater 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Fire Emblem wins, 69.99% - 30.01%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 31/36 Today's Matches: SW: KotOR & FE
HaRRicH | Posted 11/7/2010 8:50:52 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #442
Wait, so if DMC3 gets totally worked, you guys will just assume that Prime will have an easy time with KotOR rather than believe DMC>DMC3?


I don't really see a way for MP to have an easy time with SW:KotOR without a boost since the last contest. It's not like their GTA-opponents suggest much difference between them for BGE2, MP's only seven spots ahead in the Top 100 List, and Starcraft aside there probably wasn't much difference between them in BGE1 either. They've always been pretty close. MP could still impress by boosting...but judging from the one-seed poll pre-contest and its fair performance on Star Ocean, it probably won't. The most impressive thing it's done is earn a one-seed, though SW:KotOR also surprised me by getting a three-seed.

If DMC3's trounced while MP and SW:KotOR do as expected the rest of the contest, then yeah, I'll just assume DMC > DMC3...that seems reasonable.
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Nominate EPONA from LoZ:OoT, LoZ:MM, and LoZ:TP!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
Master Moltar | Posted 11/7/2010 9:00:11 AM | message detail
Fire Emblem 40%

2
Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2 60%

3
TOTAL VOTES 5
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Moltar Status: Bracket: San Andreas (29/35)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
charmander6000 | Posted 11/7/2010 9:00:29 AM | message detail
Fire Emblem 58.82% 10
Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2 41.18% 7
TOTAL VOTES 17

Tony!!!
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 31/36 Today's Matches: SW: KotOR & FE
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/7/2010 9:00:34 AM | message detail
Fire Emblem underperformance here we come
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/7/2010 9:00:35 AM | message detail
Fire Emblem 50%

5
Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2 50%

5
TOTAL VOTES 10


CHAD ****ING MUSKA
RODNEY ****ING MULLEN
BUCKY ****ING LASEK
TONY ****ING HAWK