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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 939

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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:05:08 PM | message detail
I thought that, then looked at the ratings for Civ V, which came out five weeks ago. It has 85 so far.

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DFF
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 8:06:42 PM | message detail
I may still bank, but I figure that one might not even be close and then I can keep the streak up a bit longer til the Dead Rising match.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:06:58 PM | message detail
Yeah, I'm starting to get the feeling that this might be a doubling for Persona 3. Like another no Mercy almost
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:08:12 PM | message detail
I also went back and looked at this result:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3450

Civ IV is going to be stronger than the original, but goddamn. More than quadrupled by Sonic the Hedgehog.

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DFF
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/6/2010 8:10:06 PM | message detail
Persona 3 is also conveniently the top option.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 8:13:09 PM | message detail
I just have to figure out whether having the guts to take P3 is going to be worth it and I'm not going to get burned by something two matches later or some such ridiculousness.
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/6/2010 8:14:30 PM | message detail
how confident are you in TWEWY vs Dead Rising? That's only 4 matches after P3 vs Civ4.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:15:05 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3474
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3450

Persona 4 got 22.13% against Brawl.
Civilization 1 got 22.71% against Street Fighter II.

Why in the world did we all pick Civ IV, again?

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DFF
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 8:16:46 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #257
how confident are you in TWEWY vs Dead Rising? That's only 4 matches after P3 vs Civ4.


Not at all confident. If I'm picking something, it's Dead Rising.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:18:28 PM | message detail
I picked Civ IV because Civilization put up 10% on the Legend of Zelda once and it's not a cult JRPG. If the stats are so lopsided for Persona 4, it'll probably win. I'll not be risking points on the match in the battle challenge either way.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/6/2010 8:21:08 PM | message detail
If you're still aiming for first place and not just for a good Battle Challenge score, you're going to need a 34+ streak at some point. You can be certain of that. There's never going to be a good time to do that so now may be as good a time as any to go for a super long streak. After DR vs TWEWY, there's a fairly long strong of matches that aren't too difficult as well.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:23:56 PM | message detail
If I have to gamble, I'll feel better about gambling on later-round matches between games I know about and have stats for, rather than games in the first round that I haven't played and have never been in a contest before.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2010 8:25:32 PM | message detail

Persona 4 got 22.13% against Brawl.
Civilization 1 got 22.71% against Street Fighter II.

Why in the world did we all pick Civ IV, again?


1. Persona 3 is weaker than Persona 4.
2. Civilization 4 is stronger than Civilization 1.
3. It's a night match, which benefits Civ, being a PC game.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:27:21 PM | message detail
1. Debatable. Persona 3 sold more and had two rereleases.
2. I don't think you get how much stronger than Civ 1 it would need to be.
3. Night match benefits Persona more, probably. The Persona day vote is atrocious.

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DFF
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 8:28:48 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #261
If you're still aiming for first place and not just for a good Battle Challenge score, you're going to need a 34+ streak at some point. You can be certain of that. There's never going to be a good time to do that so now may be as good a time as any to go for a super long streak. After DR vs TWEWY, there's a fairly long strong of matches that aren't too difficult as well.


You're right. Come on P3 and Dead Rising!
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ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:29:10 PM | message detail
Why in the world did we all pick Civ IV, again?

Really? Really? Civilization 1 and Civilization IV are lightyears apart in popularity.

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:30:16 PM | message detail
http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/3/37/Civ01.png

why did this game get destroyed in 2010 who knows

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/6/2010 8:31:14 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #262
If I have to gamble, I'll feel better about gambling on later-round matches between games I know about and have stats for, rather than games in the first round that I haven't played and have never been in a contest before.


You know the people with 30k+ points right now will be doing the same, right? Except they'll have a chunky 30k-vote advantage over you, having already gotten ~30 matches right in a row once. You're going to need at least 40 matches in a row to stay competitive, which would mean getting all of Round 2 right or the rest of the matches after Round 2 right.

Seriously, you guys are forgetting just how many easy matches there are of the 64 matches in Round 1. Round 2 also has a bunch of easy matches, but there's only 32 there. Once you get to Round 3 or so, you get to the SFF-fests and other crazy matches that can **** people over.
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Wylvane
Weakupedia is a horrible user.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:32:37 PM | message detail
Civ IV has to get at least 70% on the original if it wants to win. Considering how often the first game in the series does well due to...being the first one, I seriously doubt that.

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DFF
Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2010 8:32:54 PM | message detail
I'm backing Persona, but there's no way Civ IV is on Civ 1's level.
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ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:34:02 PM | message detail
I think it's clear you have no idea about Civilization if you have a hard time believing that Civilization IV would decimate Civilization into the ground. There is absolutely no room for debate there.

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/6/2010 8:34:21 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #269
Civ IV has to get at least 70% on the original if it wants to win. Considering how often the first game in the series does well due to...being the first one, I seriously doubt that.


Civ 4 would triple the original at least. Nobody gives a **** about the original Civilization. People got introduced with 2 or 3, and 4 is pretty much the huge favorite of the series.

Not saying Civ 4 is a favorite to win its match or anything, but trying to get data for it by using Civ 1 is a really stupid idea, as they're two totally different beasts.
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Wylvane
PrivateBiscuit1 is a horrible user.
Big Bob | Posted 11/6/2010 8:34:54 PM | message detail
And if you'll recall, people were actually impressed it beat Castlevania.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:35:20 PM | message detail
Civ 4 would destroy Civ 1. Civ 1 is probably the 2nd least liked game in that series. Civ 2 is probably the most popular, followed by 4. The main problem with Civ 1 is that on Gamefaqs, any early 90s PC game is going to be utterly destroyed. Newer PC games generally do a lot better. I'd easily give Civ 4 a tripling on Civ 1... and Persona 3 SHOULD be weaker than Persona 4. It only sold more copies because of the directors cut, which I'm sure was mainly people who bought the original anyway.
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:37:00 PM | message detail
Yeah, no. We've seen the inferior original being strong due to brand name too many times for me to take Civ IV to indirectly get that much on Civ I.

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DFF
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:37:11 PM | message detail
You know the people with 30k+ points right now will be doing the same, right? Except they'll have a chunky 30k-vote advantage over you, having already gotten ~30 matches right in a row once. You're going to need at least 40 matches in a row to stay competitive, which would mean getting all of Round 2 right or the rest of the matches after Round 2 right.

I know that, but I'm not strictly playing to win. I'd much rather end up on the leaderboard, especially in the prizes, than with 0 points. Also, streaks of 30 matches are so rare that it's unlikely the people who have already gotten one will get another one this contest. Some people will, surely, but it will probably be people who don't already have long streaks (just because there are so many more such people).

If I cash in 10,000 points now, that's an edge I'll have over other people with 30+ streaks, once I've gotten my 30+ streak.

Seriously, you guys are forgetting just how many easy matches there are of the 64 matches in Round 1. Round 2 also has a bunch of easy matches, but there's only 32 there. Once you get to Round 3 or so, you get to the SFF-fests and other crazy matches that can **** people over.

This probably won't help winning, but I'd much rather lose on a match where I can actually make an argument than on a match where my writeup, if I wrote one, would be "I don't know what's going to happen, and don't care about either of these games. Toss-up."
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2010 8:37:15 PM | message detail
1. Debatable. Persona 3 sold more and had two rereleases.
2. I don't think you get how much stronger than Civ 1 it would need to be.
3. Night match benefits Persona more, probably. The Persona day vote is atrocious.


1. If you look at the polls, they show that P4 has massively more strength than P3. I'm not going to go into "why" I think that's the case, because that'll spawn a discussion that I don't feel like having right now. But past polls definitely point toward P4 being stronger.

2. RTS games are different creatures from other genres. Usually fans of a series will latch onto the "best" iteration in the franchise, which drastically lowers the power of other games in the series. Warcraft 3 is the perfect example of this.

3. Night match only dramatically increases votes from Asia, which is the smallest percentage of votes at any time of the day. Civ shows a moderate increase in votes from Europe, which is ultimately the more important region.

4. Also "lol 4-ways." You can't really make direct comparisons of percentages from 4-way matches and apply them directly to 1v1 matches.
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:37:17 PM | message detail
Civ 1 is the least liked game in the series by a fairly wide margin. Civ 4 is the most popular, with some hardcore people preferring 2 but by a large 4 wins that group, too. Just not much of a contest there. Civ 4 can still lose in its match to Persona, but let's not get any ideas based on Civilization 1. That's like saying MGS1 is screwed because Metal Gear 1 NES sucks.

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:37:50 PM | message detail
Yeah, no. We've seen the inferior original being strong due to brand name too many times for me to take Civ IV to indirectly get that much on Civ I.

Yep, you are out of the loop on this. Not even gonna argue here.

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:39:58 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1624

Just because two games are in the same series, doesn't mean there can't be a massive strength difference between them.
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:40:23 PM | message detail
I've played Civ IV, man. You're out of your gourd if you think Civ IV atomized Civ I indirectly when the Civ fanbase on GameFAQs is already really really small. Civ I probably got a decent amount of franchise votes in that match.

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DFF
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:41:20 PM | message detail
Looking at some other series, OOT atomizes Zelda 1 and MGS atomizes Metal Gear.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:42:01 PM | message detail
And of course FFVII atomizes Final Fantasy, how could I forget.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:42:22 PM | message detail
It doesn't matter if you've played the game, it's clear you don't understand the differences between the two games and their popularity. Again, this is absolutely no different than saying MGS1 has no chance against a decent Mario game because SMB3 rocked Metal Gear 1. I wouldn't vote for Civilization in that match, or almost any match, and I love the series more than anyone here. That game is not good.

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/6/2010 8:42:25 PM | message detail
Persona 4 (2009g) has a strength of 15.70 against Base Link.
Civilization (2009g) has a strength of 8.73 against Base Link.


Persona 4 72.20% 85,461
Civilization 27.80% 32,910
TOTAL VOTES 118,372

Persona 4 wins with 72.20% of the vote!
A 52,551 vote margin of victory.

That's an awful lot of ground for Civ4 to make up.
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Currently Playing: StarCraft, Zelda: Ocarina of Time
tgs2 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:43:22 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #281
I've played Civ IV, man. You're out of your gourd if you think Civ IV atomized Civ I indirectly when the Civ fanbase on GameFAQs is already really really small. Civ I probably got a decent amount of franchise votes in that match.


Link totally wouldn't atomize Ganon if they met, never.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:44:27 PM | message detail
Persona 4 (2009g) has a strength of 15.70 against Base Link.
Civilization (2009g) has a strength of 8.73 against Base Link.


Persona 4 72.20% 85,461
Civilization 27.80% 32,910
TOTAL VOTES 118,372

Persona 4 wins with 72.20% of the vote!
A 52,551 vote margin of victory.

That's an awful lot of ground for Civ4 to make up.


Actually, this makes me feel better about Civ4. Civ 4 would triple Civ 1 like I said, and Persona 4 >> Persona 3. Going by that, it should win with 55%!
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:44:57 PM | message detail
You're not everyone. There are plenty of first-games that are far stronger than they should be, even though they're worse than their sequels. I can easily see Civ fans voting for it there just because it's somewhat representative of the series and started it all, even if it isn't nearly as good. We've already seen that before.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:46:13 PM | message detail
You're not everyone. There are plenty of first-games that are far stronger than they should be, even though they're worse than their sequels. I can easily see Civ fans voting for it there just because it's somewhat representative of the series and started it all, even if it isn't nearly as good. We've already seen that before.

I'm also a big Civ fan who started with Civ 2, and going back to Civ 1, it was total junk and I would never vote for it.
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:46:50 PM | message detail
There are plenty of first-games that are far stronger than they should be

This is not one of them.

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:48:17 PM | message detail
Yeah Civ IV should win it over the original.

Maybe not triple it like some people are saying, but it should clearly win without SFF.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:48:46 PM | message detail
I'm not saying it has to be a world-beater. I'm saying it has enough strength not to be wrecked by Civ IV when the Civ fanbase on GameFAQs is very small and would probably universally support the series' games to an extent. Cult fanbases tend to do that.

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DFF
ZFS | Posted 11/6/2010 8:50:52 PM | message detail
That is all the more reason for people to vote for Civilization IV. It's by far the most played game of the series, and it has far more appeal to people who aren't big fans of the genre, than something like Civ 1. There's no good argument for Civ 1 to not get destroyed by Civ 4, truly nothing. There's not one good positive you can stick in its corner, other than "sometimes a game like Mario 1 is really strong! Maybe Civ 1 would do well against Civ 4, too!"

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A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:52:20 PM | message detail
I think your problem is that you're viewing this as direct instead of indirect.

Put Civ IV in that match I just linked. Do you think it doesn't get doubled by Sonic the Hedgehog?

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 8:52:20 PM | message detail
I assume you've never played the series then.
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/6/2010 8:53:03 PM | message detail
In the end, San Andreas failed to double Dead Space of all games. Talk about a weird, downright bad performance.

Eight minutes until KotOR domination! :D

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 30
LOL SAN ANDREAS
Greyfeld | Posted 11/6/2010 8:53:48 PM | message detail
I'm not sure sonic wouldn't double P3, so your question is irrelevant, KP.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 8:55:07 PM | message detail
I'm just curious. Because his constant claims that Civ IV would triple Civ I, or worse, would put it over Street Fighter II.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 8:55:10 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2985

we're talking about a game that couldn't even break 20% on God of War 2. Civ 4 could even be Civ 1s strength (Even though it won't) and still win
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/6/2010 8:55:15 PM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #296
In the end, San Andreas failed to double Dead Space of all games. Talk about a weird, downright bad performance.

Eight minutes until KotOR domination! :D


what if dead space just straight up wasn't as weak as you expect

you seriously are trying to call an unknown weak
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~Acting on Impulse~