GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 939
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 12:27:10 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
he's stronger than Sephiroth post-KH, but they looked almost equal in
2003 and a lot of people thought they were pretty close in 2002. Besides, 58/42 is a huge margin to expect from Cloud/Mario in 2002. That seems to reflect really poorly on Mario. Of course, Mario didn't look that great up to the day of the match, but still. I agree with what you're saying, but that is what the numbers suggest, too bad we don't have more information on day of the match releases. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:27:58 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #194 Zelda did pretty bad that contest anyway. She lost the ASV to Ezio (Yes, I know AC has a good day vote, but Zelda's supposed to have one, too) and didn't even really dominate the morning vote against Travis Touchdown of all characters. She just had a really bad contest, all things considered. None of her performances were really all that great. Besides... Time | Zelda | Aeris | Demographic EBV | 61.96% | 38.04% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 59.12% | 40.88% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 52.95% | 47.05% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 56.16% | 43.84% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 56.05% | 43.95% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 58.85% | 41.15% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 55.27% | 44.73% | (22:00-24:00) Didn't seem to help Aerith on FFXII day, so that feels like a bit of false correlation. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:29:09 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #200 Yeah, but 2003 and on Cloud is a different guy than 2002 Cloud. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 12:29:23 PM | message detail |
Really?
This is your excuse now? Despite the fact that the morning vote and ASV
are strongly correlated, that Ratchet did better in NA than Europe in
every poll he's been in? You should really watch Leon's trend charts more often. Basically ASV means a lot less because the DSV is already close to what the ASV has compare to the FNV is to the morning vote. That is why we don't see much of a percent change in day matches. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 12:30:38 PM | message detail |
I
would imagine it's a bigger deal in a 12-hour match day match. The game
comes out, people buy it, come home and check GameFAQs and they see
Golden Sun on the front page. And really, considering how Aeris went on to perform in later contests, she overperformed in that match anyway. --- DFF |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 12:31:39 PM | message detail |
I
think it was a lot more than SMS being released though. That match had
the most aberrant votals we have ever seen in contest history. Cloud
lost that match and still received MORE VOTES THAN ANY PREVIOUS
CHARACTER IN ANY CONTEST MATCH. I think he probably broke the record
for most votes of anything in any Gamefaqs poll too, though I'm not
sure of it. Cloud received more votes against Mario than he received
against Fox, Pikachu, and Alucard. More than Sephiroth recieved against
Serious Sam or whoever he faced. More than Megaman against Ms. Pac-Man.
More than Link against Strider Hiryu. And he still lost. The only other time we've seen an extra 50,000 votes appear out of nowhere was L-Block. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:32:37 PM | message detail |
Also, wasn't Link/Cloud 2006 Twilight Princess day? *checks* Well, it was the day before TP day, so this may not be relevant, but... Time | Cloud | Link | Demographic EBV | 41.66% | 58.34% | (0:00-0:05) PHV | 42.48% | 57.52% | (0:00-1:00) FNV | 46.38% | 53.62% | (1:00-6:00) BSV | 46.35% | 53.65% | (6:00-9:00) DSV | 44.66% | 55.34% | (9:00-14:30) ASV | 47.53% | 52.47% | (14:30-22:00) SNV | 49.73% | 50.27% | (22:00-24:00) Plus, it was a weekend match, so whatever, I'm still gonna post it. --- Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX! http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 12:32:54 PM | message detail |
And really, look at the votals. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3851 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3845 You tell we where those extra 6000 votes came from, especially considering Mario is a bigger vote draw than Bowser. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:33:14 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #205 Performing equal to Yuna is an overperformance, huh. I'll keep that in mind. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
tgs2 | Posted 11/6/2010 12:33:48 PM | message detail |
You are overestimating how many people are going to be voting GS because of the release a tiny bit.... It sold around 45k in Japan in 3 days so it's acceptable, but doesn't look like match-changing worthy level sales. Of course it's not quite as popular in Japan compared to Europe and the States. --- You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine "tgs is taking it alone" |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 12:33:58 PM | message detail |
Yuna overperformed more than anyone else! Female Bracket completely overrated her. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:37:48 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #211 Well then FFXII probably had nothing to do with Aerith's "overperformance!" Although Aerith's was probably more accurate. She still got 56% on Auron last year, so yeah. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:38:03 PM | message detail |
Or rather, Auron got 56% on Aerith, I should say. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:45:46 PM | message detail |
Although looking at this early ASV showing from San Andreas... Holy crap, this is terrible. Dead Space better ASV than Pokemon confirmed Or the kiddies are the real racists or something --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 12:46:16 PM | message detail |
It's saturday, there's no ASV. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 12:47:00 PM | message detail |
Well, it's also 10:45 P.M. over here, so I'm thrown off! --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 1:01:42 PM | message detail |
Is
Golden Sun really that hyped anyways? I can't find any pre-order
listings for it and it goes all the way down to 37k for vgchartz. It does have three weeks to gain some though, but if people aren't getting the must buy it asap feeling then don't expect much of a boost. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 1:03:09 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #217 *waits for someone to post THAT poll* --- Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/1950/banner4otacon.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 1:07:45 PM | message detail |
*waits for someone to post THAT poll* I feel that hype for it has gone down since then. At the time people were "OMG a new GS game finally." Now the feeling is more like "Yes a third GS game I'll be picking that up eventually." --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 1:08:21 PM | message detail |
But it's #4 on the DS message boards! --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 1:08:39 PM | message detail |
Oh wait, #3 today! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 1:10:18 PM | message detail |
But San Andreas is number 3 on the PS2. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 1:11:28 PM | message detail |
Holy crap it is! ...And Persona 4 is ranked above KH1! That can't be good. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/6/2010 1:38:53 PM | message detail |
Considering
most of Kingdom Hearts' target demographic haven't learned how to read
yet, it's understandable that its FAQ page is pretty unpopular. --- http://i49.tinypic.com/2ry672r.jpg |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/6/2010 1:52:35 PM | message detail |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 4:45:46 PM | message detail Although looking at this early ASV showing from San Andreas... Holy crap, this is terrible. Dead Space better ASV than Pokemon confirmed The trends in this match look weird already. After 1:21 PM, San Andreas started going up like crazy until 2:56 PM before going back down again. San Andreas is still going down again, although those last few updates make it seem like it might go back up again. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/6/2010 2:07:16 PM | message detail |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 3:20:59 PM | message detail I think the vote totals may be due to the ad on the front page, after you load it expands pushing the poll away so you can't see it. I had no idea there was an ad on the front page until you pointed it out. I had to turn off Adblock and also turn off a setting in GameFOX that blocks the ads. After I did that, I saw an ad on the homepage in the form of a background image for Call of Duty: Black Ops. Also worth mentioning that the homepage background image does not show up if you are using the NeoClassic, NeoClassic Blue, or Nine Standard stylesheets. And I use Nine Standard, so I would not see the background image even if it wasn't for GameFOX. With the other stylesheets, the background image does show up. There is also an ad on the homepage above the "Today on GameFAQs" header, but that doesn't seem to interfere with the positioning of the poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 2:44:38 PM | message detail |
Oh cool, tonight's the 13 hour match. Whoo, we surely all need an extra hour of KOTOR/DMC. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Billy Blaze | Posted 11/6/2010 3:17:42 PM | message detail |
A/D: Even with the 13 hour day, DMC/KotOR will still be one of the worst votals. --- Redtooth |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 3:40:33 PM | message detail |
Dead Space doing as well as it possibly could today. Good to see! Hopefully Dead Space 2 is amazing and the series gets even more popular! --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 3:44:12 PM | message detail |
From: charmander6000 | #151 You know. This is the first valid San Andreas argument that I've seen. Hmm. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
shane15 | Posted 11/6/2010 3:53:24 PM | message detail |
Hey are you guys favouring KOTOR here? --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
voltch | Posted 11/6/2010 3:53:44 PM | message detail |
yes. --- Nipaa~ |
shane15 | Posted 11/6/2010 3:59:59 PM | message detail |
*is happy* --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
695924 | Posted 11/6/2010 4:19:57 PM | message detail |
If Dark Dawn comes out on the GS vs SA match day then... damn SA is screwed. --- lol opinions |
voltch | Posted 11/6/2010 4:23:09 PM | message detail |
the whitest of white guys against the....racistfaqs, let's do this gogogogo! --- Nipaa~ |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 4:32:21 PM | message detail |
http://img441.imageshack.us/img441/2909/goldensun.png vs. http://img529.imageshack.us/img529/932/sanandreask.png --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 4:33:10 PM | message detail |
Somebody make a San Andreas pic with a white person in it! --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 4:34:03 PM | message detail |
You have to play San Andreas for like 8 hours to even see a white guy! --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/6/2010 4:34:46 PM | message detail |
But they exist, right? So come on! --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
voltch | Posted 11/6/2010 4:44:53 PM | message detail |
well there's officer pulatzki who's white in the game....but he's racist in the game, then we got a blind chinaman. --- Uguu~ |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 4:46:45 PM | message detail |
Should make a match pic with the hippy who gives you the mission to raze his fields of pot before the feds reach them --- Epona > any Western character in CB9! http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 7:03:42 PM | message detail |
So
I was bored and got to wondering: what game in the contest has the
least amount of user ratings? While looking through stuff I figured
might as well make a full list! Pokemon D/P/P: 8873 Super Smash Bros. Brawl: 8591 Grand Theft Auto IV: 8198 Fallout 3: 7628 (360, PS3, PC) Metal Gear Solid 4: 5952 Call of Duty 4: 5673 (PC, 360, PS3) Halo 3: 5726 Zelda: Twilight Princess: 4933 (Wii, GC) Final Fantasy X: 4615 Final Fantasy XII: 4587 Call of Duty: Modern Warfare 2: 4486 (PC, 360, PS3) Mario Kart Wii: 3904 Oblivion: 3706 (PC, PS3, 360) Resident Evil 4: 3460 (GC, PS2, Wii) Resident Evil 5: 3454 (PC, 360, PS3) Kingdom Hearts II: 3449 Pokemon R/S/E: 3426 Mass Effect: 3320 (PC, 360) Assassin's Creed: 3213 (360, PS3) Kingdom Hearts: 3205 Super Smash Bros. Melee: 3153 Rock Band 2: 3106 (PS2, 360, PS3, Wii) Zelda: Wind Waker: 2868 Bioshock: 2847 (PC, 360, PS3) Super Mario Galaxy: 2837 Grand Theft Auto: San Andreas: 2811 (PC, PS2, Xbox) Crisis Core: Final Fantasy VII: 2730 Dragon Age: Origins: 2715 (360, PS3, PC) Gears of War 2: 2507 Final Fantasy IX: 2503 Left 4 Dead: 2446 (PC, 360) World of Warcraft: 2412 Street Fighter IV: 2331 (PC, 360, PS3, original + Super) Pokemon G/S/C: 2323 Dissidia: 2270 Borderlands: 2221 (360, PS3, PC) The World Ends With You: 2197 Persona 3: 2154 (original + FES) LittleBigPlanet: 2122 Gears of War: 2121 Half-Life 2: 2093 (PC + Orange Box on 360 & PS3) Portal: 2056 (PC + Orange Box on 360 & PS3) Tales of Symphonia: 1980 Metal Gear Solid 3: 1954 (original + Subsistence) Wii Sports: 1913 Diablo II: 1910 (original + Lord of Destruction) Assassin's Creed II: 1908 (PS3, 360) Dead Space: 1850 (PC, 360, PS3) Disgaea: 1820 (original + DS/PSP ports) Batman: Arkham Asylum: 1738 Metal Gear Solid 2: 1666 (original + Substance) Tales of Vesperia: 1606 Persona 4: 1579 Halo: Combat Evolved: 1549 (PC, Xbox) Metroid Prime: 1509 Paper Mario 2: 1483 Halo 2: 1410 Zelda: Majora's Mask: 1403 Sonic Adventure 2: 1400 (original + Battle) Mario Kart DS: 1373 Dead Rising: 1343 Okami: 1329 (Wii, PS2) Fable: 1286 (original + Lost Chapters) Grand Theft Auto: Vice City: 1280 (PC, PS2) Super Mario Sunshine: 1254 Uncharted 2: 1250 Star Wars: KOTOR: 1216 (PC, Xbox) Dragon Quest VIII: 1210 God of War: 1209 God of War II: 1201 |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 7:03:50 PM | message detail |
Infamous: 1193 Guitar Hero 2: 1135 (PS2, 360) Soul Calibur II: 1125 (GC, PS2, Xbox) Shadow of the Colossus: 1120 Team Fortress 2: 1102 (PC only) Demon's Souls: 1098 New Super Mario Bros. Wii: 1090 Animal Crossing: 1075 Chrono Cross: 1069 Star Ocean 3: 1064 Grand Theft Auto III: 1007 (PC, PS2) Golden Sun: 988 Valkyria Chronicles: 985 Fire Emblem: 984 Devil May Cry 3: 970 (original + Special Edition) Phoenix Wright: Ace Attorney: 907 Star Wars Battlefront II: 905 (PC, Xbox, PS2) Legend of Dragoon: 901 Left 4 Dead 2: 899 (PC, 360) Devil May Cry: 870 Fire Emblem Path of Radiance: 863 Mega Man 9: 820 (Wii, PS3, 360) Warcraft III: 798 (original + Frozen Throne) Morrowind: 776 (PC, Xbox, used GotY Edition) Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow: 775 Paper Mario: 772 No More Heroes: 761 Metroid Fusion: 668 Phoenix Wright: T&T: 664 Skies of Arcadia: 649 (DC, GC) Perfect Dark: 589 Ratchet and Clank: Up Your Arsenal: 551 Prince of Persia: Sands of Time: 541 (PS2, GC, Xbox) Braid: 518 (PC, 360, PS3) Ninja Gaiden: 514 (original + Black) Banjo-Tooie: 477 Silent Hill 2: 475 Marvel vs. Capcom 2: 453 (PS2, Xbox, DC) F-Zero GX: 444 ICO: 411 Plants vs. Zombies: 398 Viewtiful Joe: 396 (GC, PS2) Katamari Damacy: 381 Baldur's Gate II: 370 (original + Throne of Bhaal) Beyond Good and Evil: 369 (GC, PC, PS2, Xbox) Eternal Darkness: 362 Psychonauts: 349 (PC, Xbox, PS2) Timesplitters 2: 345 (PS2, GC, Xbox) Mother 3: 329 Deus Ex: 317 (PC, PS2) Advance Wars: 312 The Sims: 312 (PC, Xbox, PS2) Shenmue: 306 Tony Hawk's Pro Skater 2: 297 (N64, DC, PS1, PC) Conker's Bad Fur Day: 280 Civilization IV: 244 WWF No Mercy: 215 Jet Grind Radio: 164 --- DFF |
AxemPink | Posted 11/6/2010 7:30:33 PM | message detail |
Persona 3: 2154 (original + FES) ... Civilization IV: 244 WWF No Mercy: 215 Jet Grind Radio: 164 More evidence of "Gamefaqs doesn't care about Civilization." Probably confirms that Path of Radiance's performance was entirely because of No Mercy being turbofodder. Tony Hawk's not much higher than No Mercy either, so FE7 might give us a repeat performance of that. |
charmander6000 | Posted 11/6/2010 7:50:15 PM | message detail |
Match XXXVII: (3) Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic vs. (14) Devil May Cry Information Name: Star Wars: Knights of the Old Republic Year: 2003 Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 3rd in round 1 Name: Devil May Cry Year: 2001 Previous Performance: N/A Analysis There were a few people arguing for the upset, but ever since Devil May Cry 3 flopped it pretty much went away. Sure Mother 3 is stronger than what we gave credit for, but there is still a limit that most people can give it. There seems to be some debate on to which Devil May Cry game would be stronger and based on the stats topic it seems that most people believe that 3 is the stronger game which can’t mean good things to the original. Knights of the Old Republic was a surprise in the last game contest where most people thought the game was largely forgotten and would finish last. Instead it gave Halo a fight for second place which prompted the board to rally for Darth Revan. While the game isn’t a world beater it shouldn’t have much of a problem against an action game that has yet to show us or give reason it has any strength. I’ve always been a big supporter that when a Devil May Cry game reached the contest it would flop terribly so I believe Knights of the Old Republic has a great chance at breaking 60% in this match. Even in the vote-in it was very easily beaten by Assassin’s Creed, a game that was given mixed reviews and something I would take to lose in this match had it been placed here. charmander6000’s Bracket: Star Wars: KotOR > Devil May Cry charmander6000’s Prediction: Star Wars: KotOR wins, 61.25% - 38.75% --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 29/34 Today's Matches: GS & GTA: SA |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/6/2010 7:52:13 PM | message detail |
Persona 3: 2154 (original + FES) ... Civilization IV: 244 Oh crap. Okay, definitely picking P3 in my battle pick WHY THE **** DID I TAKE CIV IV. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/6/2010 7:55:41 PM | message detail |
So I just noticed Gamefaqs time is 11:55 EST. Are we getting a new match in 5 minutes? --- Epona > any Western character in CB9! http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 11/6/2010 7:56:40 PM | message detail |
Ha,
that means Bacon messed up daylight savings time for the second year in
a row. It should be 9:55 if you wanted to adjust early. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/6/2010 7:59:07 PM | message detail |
I'll
be honest, seeing Civ IV's user ratings made me change too. Was already
on the fence before seeing that, and...yeah. I know they need to be
taken with a big grain of salt (I mean look at what the #1 is), but
that's just terrible. --- DFF |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/6/2010 8:03:08 PM | message detail |
Keep
in mind "My Games" is a relatively new feature and most people only add
games as they play them and don't really go back and add games they had
played before. Persona fans may simply be a lot more likely to bother
with this than Civ fans. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |