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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 938

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:35:01 PM | message detail
Should've had Kingdom Hearts vs Final Fantasy X instead!
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Wylvane
Maniac64 is a horrible user.
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CP724 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:35:08 PM | message detail
FFX will not look impressive throughout the whole contest but it will still make its way to the finals before losing to Brawl/Melee (and putting a very respectable fight) much like cloud did last contest.

its hard to look good when you are dealing with so much anti voting , damn rabid nintendo fanboys .


Yeah. I think anything FF now just can't crush fodder but still performs well against mid/strong competition. Just look at Cloud, he went from 73% or whatever on Ridley (lol) to 66% on Ryu and 46% on Link.
Blairville | Posted 11/4/2010 9:35:47 PM | message detail
Wait, I get it, MvC3 hype is making Joe strong! ...I'll figure out how it didn't help in the vote-ins later >_>

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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/4/2010 9:36:05 PM | message detail
Assuming FFX does manage to hit 80%, what does VJ need to get on GH2 for FFX>Melee?

67.9%
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:36:45 PM | message detail
Assuming FFX does manage to hit 80%, what does VJ need to get on GH2 for FFX>Melee?

67.9%


And thats FFX/Melee in a night match, to boot.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 9:36:50 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #104
Assuming FFX does manage to hit 80%, what does VJ need to get on GH2 for FFX>Melee?

67.9%


XD are you serious? I mean it's possible, but god damn.

GSC > FFX train, choo choo. TRE and nintendogirl to win prizes!
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:37:21 PM | message detail
If we remove Ridley, Cloud's performances weren't that anti-voted, he's just weaker.
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GotD Bracket: 27/32 Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:37:43 PM | message detail
And that's why at the end of the day x-stats and the like aren't very valuable in reality. If you want to go by Cloud's performance against characters last contest, you have to make Ridley a decent midcarder and that's a nearly laughable notion. Almost as laughable as SSB games scoring 70%+ on FFX.

Okay, not even close to almost.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:38:12 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #104
Assuming FFX does manage to hit 80%, what does VJ need to get on GH2 for FFX>Melee?

67.9%


Does anyone seriously think Viewtiful Joe would double Guitar Hero II?

And that is a best-possible scenario for FFX, which will probably be closer to 75% at this rate than 80%.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 9:38:52 PM | message detail
Ridley probably *is* a decent midcarder.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:39:33 PM | message detail
Lets say its like 77% (which I'd say is more likely going by how FFX is constantly losing % now)

What does VJ need to get on GH2 to have FFX > Melee?
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2010 9:39:49 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #083
It's certainly not going to lose to GSC or RE4. I can only hope the people suggesting this are just trying to be funny.


please keep selling GSC short. It's awesome.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:40:12 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy X vs. Twilight Princess

Night match?
Day match?
24 hour match?
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vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:40:19 PM | message detail
Finally back in the right direction.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:40:30 PM | message detail
I'll be pretty surprised if Melee or Brawl breaks 55% on FFX, though, even after this. That's what it got with Kingdom Hearts in the poll last contest, and more than Team Nintendo put up against Team Square in the GOTD poll.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2010 9:40:39 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #106
XD are you serious? I mean it's possible, but god damn.

GSC > FFX train, choo choo. TRE and nintendogirl to win prizes!


ExTha too, damnit!
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/4/2010 9:40:52 PM | message detail
Lets say its like 77% (which I'd say is more likely going by how FFX is constantly losing % now)

What does VJ need to get on GH2 to have FFX > Melee?


72.09%
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:41:12 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy X vs. Twilight Princess

TP > FFX would have been my upset special had it happened in this contest.
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GotD Bracket: 27/32 Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/4/2010 9:41:17 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #117
Lets say its like 77% (which I'd say is more likely going by how FFX is constantly losing % now)

What does VJ need to get on GH2 to have FFX > Melee?


72.09%


xfd
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:41:25 PM | message detail
And once you factor in day/night stuff it's probably more like 74%.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:42:24 PM | message detail
I'm telling you guys multiplayer SFF is for real

Or FFX better hope it's real.
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GotD Bracket: 27/32 Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:44:30 PM | message detail
From all this talk I'm just wondering what you all were expecting out of FFX to make it look like a contender to Melee. I think it's pretty clear Melee overperformed on GH2 because... it's Guitar Hero, I mean seriously. That's not a finally honed stat but I don't think it needs to be elaborated on.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/4/2010 9:44:37 PM | message detail
Well, here's a different way to look at today: assuming KH = KH2 and Gears 1 = Gears 2:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3488
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3472
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4050

VJ should only have 17.69% through this. It's not meant to be precise, but FFX isn't finding a kind comparison here. SSB-games were gonna win this round anyway, so no biggy right now...but it feels like foreshadowing.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:44:54 PM | message detail
I want to say though, that this match really doesn't mean as much as it looks. We are far far far more confident about the strengths of FFX and Melee than GH2/VJ. Thus, these matches tell us much more about the GH2/VJ than FFX/SSBM.

It's like Vincent/Kerrigan- people were calling for Vincent to win the contest during that match, asking how weak Kerrigan could possibly be. Well, it turned out- she really was that weak.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:45:40 PM | message detail
From all this talk I'm just wondering what you all were expecting out of FFX to make it look like a contender to Melee. I think it's pretty clear Melee overperformed on GH2 because... it's Guitar Hero, I mean seriously. That's not a finally honed stat but I don't think it needs to be elaborated on.


Mid 80s.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/4/2010 9:46:35 PM | message detail
vcharon does have a point though. There's a reason why Rock Band 2 lost to some old PC game that few people from this site have played, even if said PC game is widely hailed as one of the best games of the decade at a multitude of other sites.

VJ probably would beat GH2. This site flat-out does not care about that series.
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:46:40 PM | message detail
Breaking 80% would have been enough to keep it competitive with Melee for me.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:47:09 PM | message detail
I will never expect anything related to Final Fantasy to ever score 85% of something ever again. It's just not going to happen. It doesn't matter if it's Tanner, I still think Cloud would fail to get 85% just because he's Cloud from Final Fantasy.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:47:53 PM | message detail
Excellent post, red sox, but I think most people would agree that Melee would be doing much better than this were it up against VJ. Even if you factor in FF anti-voting or Melee simply being better equipped for blowouts, this is still a piss-poor way to start the contest. This is one of the big three, and the other two already set a crazy high standard.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2010 9:50:22 PM | message detail
The problem with this result is that we just saw KH1 blow out Dawn of Sorrow, which beat VJ easily in the vote-ins. There's a 0% chance KH1 beats FFX, so this result is...yeah.

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DFF
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:51:21 PM | message detail
Despite the vote-in, I don't believe DoS could beat VJ head to head.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:51:45 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #130
The problem with this result is that we just saw KH1 blow out Dawn of Sorrow, which beat VJ easily in the vote-ins. There's a 0% chance KH1 beats FFX, so this result is...yeah.


Does that mean we can toss out those 10-way polls as viable measures of strength and only use them to make fun of games that are bombing relative to our expectations (like today's)? Plz say yes.
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vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:53:00 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #132
Does that mean we can toss out those 10-way polls as viable measures of strength and only use them to make fun of games that are bombing relative to our expectations (like today's)? Plz say yes.


No. They're still facts. Undeniable and completely accurate ones.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2010 9:53:22 PM | message detail
Of course not!. Vote-ins predicted KH1's match yesterday within .5% of the final result. Most of the time they're pretty useful, but something you just get weird stuff.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:53:35 PM | message detail
Shenmue vs. Viewtiful Joe

Who you got?
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creativename | Posted 11/4/2010 10:01:19 PM | message detail
Either Smash isn't going to come close to 60/40ing Final Fantasy X assuming FFX gets there. I hope people realize this, and are just throwing these silly extrapolated vote-in numbers out for "nothing better to talk about" conversation purposes.

From: TheCodeisBosco | #460
For what it's worth, Joe does have a massive picture advantage. That's one of the best boxarts in the contest, if you ask me!


Indeed, I was thinking the same. VJ probably relies more on pic factor than most vote-in entrants, which is one of the many reasons the vote-in can't be taken very seriously.

From: UltimaterializerX | #510
Ridley probably *is* a decent midcarder.


I'd say Ridley is overrated by a couple points in the raw stats because Cloud in any 12 hour match is weaker than Cloud in a 24 hour match, and Cloud in a 12 hour night match is very likely weaker than Cloud in a 12 hour day match, despite common perception to the contrary. But yeah, he's not weak.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 10:02:32 PM | message detail
Also, let me just add that while we have a much better idea about Melee/FFX's strength, that doesn't make me understand why so many people thought FFX was a wise championship pick, especially against Melee. Yes, I realize that their first match was a close 51/49 and that it took place over six years ago, but look at what's happened since then.

In 2004:
Final Fantasy VII easily beats Ocarina of Time
Chrono Trigger crushes Super Mario World
Xenogears crushes Pokemon GSC
Final Fantasy Tactics is strong enough to go 50/50 with Metal Gear Solid

Square games have gotten significantly weaker since then, and Nintendo games have seemingly gotten stronger. How anyone thought FFX could reverse its 2004 loss in the middle of such drastic site-wide shifts (without resorting to favoritism, which is understandable) is beyond me. I guess I can understand a FFX > Brawl final with the bracket maker banking on anti-Brawl/Wii/recency voting helping FFX, but that is asking for a lot. I didn't argue it much during the bracket-making period, but I thought Final Fantasy X would always be a huge underdog against Melee in the final.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 10:03:17 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #122
From all this talk I'm just wondering what you all were expecting out of FFX to make it look like a contender to Melee. I think it's pretty clear Melee overperformed on GH2 because... it's Guitar Hero, I mean seriously. That's not a finally honed stat but I don't think it needs to be elaborated on.


At least 80% and no signs of weakness whatsoever are what's needed for FFX > Melee. This match is clearly a sign of weakness.
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creativename | Posted 11/4/2010 10:06:38 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #602
From all this talk I'm just wondering what you all were expecting out of FFX to make it look like a contender to Melee. I think it's pretty clear Melee overperformed on GH2 because... it's Guitar Hero, I mean seriously. That's not a finally honed stat but I don't think it needs to be elaborated on.


Yeah, voters probably look at GH2 and think "come on, this isn't even a 'real' game". It probably gets a disrespect vote. Much like Madden or something.

From: red sox 777 | #604
I want to say though, that this match really doesn't mean as much as it looks. We are far far far more confident about the strengths of FFX and Melee than GH2/VJ. Thus, these matches tell us much more about the GH2/VJ than FFX/SSBM.


Agreed. The strength of the vets will only vary so much.

It's like Vincent/Kerrigan- people were calling for Vincent to win the contest during that match, asking how weak Kerrigan could possibly be. Well, it turned out- she really was that weak.

People weren't really ever popularly favoring Vincent>Crono to my recollection, let alone the contest. Vincent winning the division was the talk.
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creativename | Posted 11/4/2010 10:14:21 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #657
Also, let me just add that while we have a much better idea about Melee/FFX's strength, that doesn't make me understand why so many people thought FFX was a wise championship pick, especially against Melee.


FFX was like a 3:1 underdog against Brawl+Melee combined in the BOP, so I'm guessing most agreed with you.

I'm thinking even some of those FFX picks were wishful thinking. There was much more talk in the stats topic about GSC>FFX, I don't remember anyone in here really hyping up FFX as the contest winner. People talked about it like a decent dark horse pick, which wasn't too unreasonable.

That's pretty much out the window now in any case, even for the most optimistic FFX backers. Again, this match tells us far far more about its opponent, but it needed a better showing than this to be a viable threat to the Smash games.
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Demon HunterX | Posted 11/4/2010 10:19:47 PM | message detail
those 10 way polls mean nothing. The "last votes in" also mean nothing. 1v1s are completely different stories.

i am disappointed with FFX's showing though
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/4/2010 10:31:23 PM | message detail
You don't have to use the vote-ins to make FFX look bad. Even without looking at any polls, we would expect Viewtiful Joe to be a really weak game. Comparing this result to what SSBM and even KH did makes FFX look even worse. I don't think anybody thinks FFX is as weak as this result implies but it's without a doubt a bad start for FFX.
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xp1337 | Posted 11/4/2010 10:37:33 PM | message detail
GSC > FFX train, choo choo.

And I backed off of that upset train thinking it was the reasonable course of action... and instead ended up with Sunshine > SA2 in the Division 1 Semifinals. *sigh*

At least if Melee > Brawl happens now, I'm almost certainly guaranteed to beat Bacon's score!

...

...

Well, that seems like a hollow victory if there was ever one. >_>
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FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/4/2010 11:00:05 PM | message detail
Ulti, I'm both frightened and pleased to say that I also have KH > KH2 and Melee over Brawl.

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 11:01:09 PM | message detail
Do you also have MGS4 > 3? It's the one pick I made going against the "older games in a series have an advantage" thing.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/4/2010 11:08:05 PM | message detail
Stuff I wished I picked in my bracket, without thinking about what's been going on so far this contest:

Melee > Brawl
Dead Rising > Persona 4
MGS3 > MGS4
Kingdom Hearts > Twilight Princess
GSC > FFX
Half-Life 2 > Fallout 3

You can see that I would want to bet against recency.

As I said, going by my theory (where games released in '07 or later are mostly disappointing), Left 4 Dead and Portal bombing is actually a GOOD thing for Half-Life 2. Then again wouldn't HL2 basically be a 2007 game to most GameFAQs users? Well, it DID manage to get 25th on the list in '05, two years before The Orange Box...
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Why did I pick Brawl to win the contest?
Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2010 11:13:28 PM | message detail
Speaking of Dead Rising, you guys still think it's a shoe-in over TWEWY? We're looking at a casual game vs. a niche JRPG once again, but being handheld-only (not to mention Neku's horrid loss against Laharl in the last character battle), I want to lean on Dead Rising pulling out the win.

Also, it's a night match, so I have no clue how that'll effect things.
FastFalcon05 | Posted 11/4/2010 11:56:41 PM | message detail
Do you also have MGS4 > 3? It's the one pick I made going against the "older games in a series have an advantage" thing.

Why yes, yes I do. Well look at us. Granted I also took MGS4 to the finals, so I may have let the crazy train get the best of me.

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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 11/4/2010 11:58:14 PM | message detail
Forgot to mention SFIV > SA2, which would've been near obvious based on what Ryu pulled off last year. Hold on, looking through the bracket, here's how the "first half of the decade vs. second half of the decade" rivalry has gone:

NORTH DIVISION
Deus Ex > Rock Band 2
Team Fortress 2 > Fable
Uncharted 2 > Legend of Dragoon
Street Fighter IV > Sonic Adventure 2
Halo 3 > Super Mario Sunshine
(so far 4-1 in favor of second half)

NORTHEAST DIVISION
Tales of Symphonia > Resident Evil 5
Grand Theft Auto III > LittleBigPlanet
Half-Life 2 > Left 4 Dead 2
(both halves are now tied 4-4)

EAST DIVISION
Smash Bros. Melee > Guitar Hero II
Call of Duty 4 > Prince of Persia SOT
Pokemon Platinum > Metroid Fusion
Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance > WWF No Mercy
Valkyria Chronicles > Disgaea
(8-5 in favor of second half)

SOUTHEAST DIVISION
Super Mario Galaxy > Beyond Good and Evil
Pokemon Emerald > Grand Theft Auto IV
Dragon Age: Origins > F-Zero GX
Zelda: Twilight Princess > Shenmue
Kingdom Hearts II > Halo 2
Kingdom Hearts > Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow

Overall: 12-7 in favor of the second half of the decade
To be fair however I doubt there's much we can take from this, aside from just being a fun rivalry that we've never really seen before. Perhaps I should just split this into current-gen vs. older stuff?
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/5/2010 12:03:08 AM | message detail
Looking like FFX should end up about 78 or 79% here. Not as bad as it originally looked
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