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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 938

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 8:06:09 PM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts 1 > 2, both as games and in contest strength!



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 11/4/2010 8:19:30 PM | message detail
tag
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:02:08 PM | message detail
GH2 beat Viewtiful Joe didn't it?
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:02:15 PM | message detail
The best 500 post.
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Wylvane
Applekidjosh is a horrible user.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2010 9:02:19 PM | message detail
FFX lol
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Biolizard28 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:02:28 PM | message detail
Mass Effect, gross
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Now this is entertainment!
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/4/2010 9:02:57 PM | message detail
FFX has no right not to reach 80% on a game that lost to Wii Sports in the vote-ins
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Oracle contest - 43rd
Today's pick: Final Fantasy X - 82.44% Status:
charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:21 PM | message detail
This is the board vote and everything, but I'm not impressed.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 27/32Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:26 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #003
GH2 beat Viewtiful Joe didn't it?


Even if it didn't, FFX is struggling to triple it.

This isn't the performance you want to start off with if you want to be seen as a contender to win the contest.
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Wylvane
NClark128 is a horrible user.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:36 PM | message detail
man

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:44 PM | message detail
Yikes, I expect FFX to be rising to 80 by now, not falling below the tripling.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
lightsout06 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:44 PM | message detail
NintendoFAQS is just trolling FFX
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R.I.P Halo 2
charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:03:56 PM | message detail
FFX has no right not to reach 80% on a game that lost to Wii Sports in the vote-ins

More like Majora's Mask is so screwed.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 27/32Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/4/2010 9:04:10 PM | message detail
gsc > ffx imo
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~Acting on Impulse~
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:04:10 PM | message detail

From: GrapefruitKing | #007
FFX has no right not to reach 80% on a game that lost to Wii Sports in the vote-ins


Majora's Mask > FFX confirmed.
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Wylvane
Weakupedia is a horrible user.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 9:04:25 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4050

I know LOL 12-ways, but I'm mighty happen I have Melee winning the contest.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 9:04:37 PM | message detail
happy*
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:05:12 PM | message detail
I know LOL 12-ways, but I'm mighty happen I have Melee winning the contest.

There's a Brawl in the way.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 27/32 Today's Matches: FFX & Borderlands
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 11/4/2010 9:05:18 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
31------4------------100.00
30------35----------97.14
29------208--------99.52
28------759--------98.29
27------1735------97.81
26------3065------97.32
25------4411------95.69
24------4708------93.71
23------4420------91.67
22------3564------88.92
21------2785------86.07
20------2005------81.50
19------1423------78.29
18------833--------75.75
17------529--------74.86
16------263--------66.54
15------184--------59.78
14------113--------54.87
13------54----------46.30
12------32----------46.88
11------13----------46.15
10------16----------25.00
9--------18----------11.11
8--------13----------0.00
7--------30----------6.67
6--------13----------0.00
5--------10----------0.00
4--------5------------0.00
3--------5------------0.00
2--------6------------0.00
1--------17----------5.88
0--------38----------0.00

Perfects go perfect. However one of the -1s and one of the -2s get the match wrong. Overall the prediction percentages are pretty good. Maybe we'll see a few tiers go perfect when FFX wins.

Only 1 person fell off the Top 50. Undying_Will did not have Kingdom Hearts defeating Castlevania: Dawn of Sorrow.
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/4/2010 9:05:40 PM | message detail
Pokemon G/S/C? Psh, FFX might not get past RE4 at this rate!*

*Wishful thinking

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 26
Dissidia dropped the Soap.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 11/4/2010 9:05:44 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #018
I know LOL 12-ways, but I'm mighty happen I have Melee winning the contest.

There's a Brawl in the way.


Melee : Brawl :: Mario : Samus
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/4/2010 9:06:40 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4101&region=SAM

LOL, a tie in South America.
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paulg235 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:07:19 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #021
Melee : Brawl :: Mario : Samus


This is so wrong way.
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methedemon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:07:25 PM | message detail
damn I guess Melee is our champion ..ew
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:07:35 PM | message detail
Freeze reaction: RE4 HAS A SHOT. If RE4 gets past FFX in a night match, you have to give it a great shot in the semis against either MGS or Pokemon. And if it finds itself in the finals, especially against Brawl, then WATCH OUT.

oh man oh man manamamana
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IloveYoda | Posted 11/4/2010 9:07:55 PM | message detail
RE4 > FFX confirmed.
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:08:12 PM | message detail
we all do realize that it'll easily still jump 7% from here, right? FF has a horrid board vote.
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:08:15 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #021
Melee : Brawl :: Mario : Samus


I see Brawl as more a Mario, preferred by the general population, while Melee is the Samus, the one the smaller core crowd prefers.

Brawl 60/40ing Melee is more likely to me than Melee 60/40ing Brawl.
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Wylvane
Epop_Salesman is a horrible user.
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:08:42 PM | message detail
I've never seen a crowd of people that overreact and make judgments so quickly. 5 minutes for a series that always has a bad board vote.
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:>
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:09:53 PM | message detail
It has to make up ~14% to match what Melee did to GH2.

FFX will improve, but it doesn't look to be a match for Smash.
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Wylvane
Skarmory60 is a horrible user.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/4/2010 9:10:00 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #029
I've never seen a crowd of people that overreact and make judgments so quickly. 5 minutes for a series that always has a bad board vote.


Well this still isn't great. Game has no chance against either Smash Bros. at this point.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:10:18 PM | message detail
Of course, that's a great start.
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Wylvane
captainmurphy72 is a horrible user.
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail
We'll see.
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:>
Haste_2 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:10:58 PM | message detail
Keep your percentage low, FFX! You're supposed to lose to GSC! ....

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GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/4/2010 9:11:01 PM | message detail
However FFX can only go way up from here
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Oracle contest - 43rd
Today's pick: Final Fantasy X - 82.44% Status:
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:11:21 PM | message detail
This reminds me of the reaction for Cloud/Ridley, and Cloud turned out fine in the end.
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/4/2010 9:11:29 PM | message detail
*refresh*

That board vote against Melee is going to be ridiculous.

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DFF
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:11:51 PM | message detail
I'm curious to see if FFX can hit 80%. Quite a climb from this level, but then again it did just jump up 2%, so we'll see!
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Wylvane
RayDyn is a horrible user.
red sox 777 | Posted 11/4/2010 9:12:12 PM | message detail
I see Brawl as more a Mario, preferred by the general population, while Melee is the Samus, the one the smaller core crowd prefers.

But Mario was the one the core fanbase (the Nintendo fanbase) preferred, while Samus was the one the larger (non-Nintendo fanbase) preferred.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:12:35 PM | message detail
My god, I really didn't think FFX would have that bad a board vote in this contest. Even FFVII itself wasn't that bad in the 2009 contest; it's usually Cloud and Seph that flub the freeze. I think this is at least partly due to Viewtiful Joe, which is part cult and part Nintendo-ish.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:12:38 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #037
*refresh*

That board vote against Melee is going to be ridiculous.


A/D: Melee will do better on FFX at the end of the first update than FFX did on Viewtiful Joe.
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Wylvane
Menji76 is a horrible user.
vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:12:47 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #036
This reminds me of the reaction for Cloud/Ridley, and Cloud turned out fine in the end.


Pretty much. All the unfounded Cloud upsets people were calling for never occurred or were even really in any realm of possibility of occurring.
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:>
Shadow Doom Blaze | Posted 11/4/2010 9:13:08 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #029
I've never seen a crowd of people that overreact and make judgments so quickly. 5 minutes for a series that always has a bad board vote.


If your board vote is bad enough, your overnight won't matter.

See: Ocarina of Time vs Final Fantasy 7's last two matches together.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/4/2010 9:13:15 PM | message detail
But Mario was the one the core fanbase (the Nintendo fanbase) preferred, while Samus was the one the larger (non-Nintendo fanbase) preferred.


uhhhhh... you really think the casual fanbase would go for SAMUS over MARIO?
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Epona > any Western character in CB9!
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Shadow Doom Blaze | Posted 11/4/2010 9:14:04 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #042
Pretty much. All the unfounded Cloud upsets people were calling for never occurred or were even really in any realm of possibility of occurring.


You're aware Snake almost beat him, right? <_<

FF7 (hell, the entire series) has very clearly lost a step.
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Shadow Doom Blaze | Posted 11/4/2010 9:14:29 PM | message detail
I wasn't going to touch that terrible Samus/Mario comparison, either.
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vcharon | Posted 11/4/2010 9:14:41 PM | message detail

From: Shadow Doom Blaze | #045
You're aware Snake almost beat him, right? <_<

FF7 (hell, the entire series) has very clearly lost a step.


That was hardly "almost" when it was all said and done.
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:>
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/4/2010 9:14:42 PM | message detail

From: vcharon | #042
Pretty much. All the unfounded Cloud upsets people were calling for never occurred or were even really in any realm of possibility of occurring.


Samus and Snake may not have been in position to beat Cloud, but they certainly gave him a big scare!
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Wylvane
Menji76 is a horrible user.
Greyfeld | Posted 11/4/2010 9:14:58 PM | message detail
It has to make up ~14% to match what Melee did to GH2.

lolwut?

GH2 is turbo-fodder, 75% is more than enough to show equal strength to Melee.

That said, I still think FFX is going to lose to one of the SSB games.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/4/2010 9:15:27 PM | message detail
augh you suck FFX
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Oracle contest - 43rd
Today's pick: Final Fantasy X - 82.44% Status: