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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 936

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/3/2010 9:11:39 AM | message detail
Nebraska is a state of a low population (under 2 million). That percentage will change quite a bit even before the end of the first hour.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
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Regaro_Ukiera | Posted 11/3/2010 9:11:47 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #310
Wow, almost 70%? And Portal beat this game?

Final Fantasy 12 is so screwed.


I said it earlier, but Portal to the Quarters

Only to get stomped by FFX ;_;
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My Heart is Empty. It is empty because there is nothing.
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 11/3/2010 9:12:24 AM | message detail
People in Nebraska don't play FPS it seems.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/3/2010 9:13:01 AM | message detail
Speaking of MW2/Dissidia, Albion, don't forget we're still on for our sig-bet. Prepare to lose your sig when Dissidia can't break 45% in twelve hours!
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T H E S T A B L E
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/3/2010 9:13:18 AM | message detail
Only 1 line, remember.
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
TRE Public Account | Posted 11/3/2010 9:17:14 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
28------5------------100.00
27------51----------98.04
26------299--------96.32
25------1074------96.93
24------2365------94.42
23------3911------94.04
22------5130------93.45
21------5014------91.62
20------4124------89.77
19------3172------86.19
18------2367------83.57
17------1487------83.59
16------990--------79.29
15------522--------76.63
14------283--------69.61
13------182--------73.08
12------94----------70.21
11------46----------52.17
10------28----------57.14
9--------22----------27.27
8--------15----------20.00
7--------33----------12.12
6--------16----------12.50
5--------10----------0.00
4--------7------------14.29
3--------6------------16.67
2--------5------------0.00
1--------17----------0.00
0--------39----------0.00

Pretty good prediction percentages this time as well. The perfects went perfect again while the -1s were one bracket off. The -7s upward manage to stay above 90%. At this point, almost all of the -1 brackets are now on the Top 50. Halo 2 vs KH2 might just be enough to get some -2s onto the top 50 as well. Hopefully we'll start getting more Board 8 users on the Top 50 soon as well.

Only 1 person fell off the Top 50. Sephoutkast did not have BioShock taking down Star Wars Battlefront II.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
abdou | Posted 11/3/2010 9:20:56 AM | message detail
Halo 2 breaks 40% in US
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/3/2010 9:22:57 AM | message detail
Sweet Sweet Alabama, Halo 2 with 80%

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4098&region=USXAL
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/3/2010 9:24:13 AM | message detail
This should prove that Halo is the unchallenged king of the ASV.
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IloveYoda | Posted 11/3/2010 9:26:27 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | Posted: 11/3/2010 12:24:13 PM | #359
This should prove that Halo is the unchallenged king of the ASV.


You mean Pokemon, right?
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/3/2010 9:29:35 AM | message detail
We need a Chief/Pikachu match one day. Just to see who the ASV king is.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/3/2010 9:30:13 AM | message detail
Well, one when Chief isn't on Game Fuel and with Luigi in the same match, I mean
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/3/2010 9:32:17 AM | message detail
Chief would have such an abysmally bad start that he'd have no where to go but up with the ASV.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/3/2010 9:41:46 AM | message detail
Just for comparison's sake, MGS3 scored 61.88% on Halo 2 in 2009. Assuming Halo takes the ASV, KHII should end pretty close to that.
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Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
voltch | Posted 11/3/2010 9:46:39 AM | message detail
this just makes Sunshine look worse and worse.
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*Shakes Fist*
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/3/2010 9:48:40 AM | message detail
KHII back over 64%. It's not fooling around here.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
voltch | Posted 11/3/2010 9:50:58 AM | message detail
KH is going to have to come in with it's A game tomorrow then.
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mii~
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/3/2010 9:51:43 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts killing with the Lloyd-School Vote.
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 11/3/2010 9:53:13 AM | message detail
It's a shame KH2 is doing such a number here because it's going to make the ASV less interesting purely cos Halo 2 has nowhere else to go but up.
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Crucifying my Oracle average one match at a time
TRE Public Account | Posted 11/3/2010 9:58:47 AM | message detail
Trends are relative. Even if Halo looks bad now, it can still lose the ASV by looking worse. Regardless of who wins the ASV, I don't think it's going to be by very much.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/3/2010 10:02:14 AM | message detail
Bioshock: 50%
Metroid Prime: 38.26%
Uncharted 2: 37.03%
Halo: Combat Evolved: 36.95%
Legend of Dragoon: 31.55%
Star Wars Battlefront II: 31.09%
Mario Kart DS: 29.81%
Ninja Gaiden: 26.27%
Plants vs. Zombies: 24.03
Jet Grind Radio: 20.43%
Star Ocean 3: 20.40

So Bioshock is projected to score 63.05% on Halo 1. Looking at today...we might still have a match next round.

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DFF
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/3/2010 10:02:38 AM | message detail
This should stay pretty static throughout the match. Both games have extremely similar trends during the day.

I guess Halo 2 really is the ass end of the Halo series.

Weird, it was probably my favourite.
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/3/2010 10:06:52 AM | message detail
Bioshock: 50%
Metroid Prime: 38.26%
Uncharted 2: 37.03%
Halo: Combat Evolved: 36.95%
Legend of Dragoon: 31.55%
Star Wars Battlefront II: 31.09%
Mario Kart DS: 29.81%
Ninja Gaiden: 26.27%
Plants vs. Zombies: 24.03
Jet Grind Radio: 20.43%
Star Ocean 3: 20.40

So Bioshock is projected to score 63.05% on Halo 1. Looking at today...we might still have a match next round.


Out of curiosity, what are you extrapolating everything through to get those numbers, because I highly doubt Bioshock even beats Halo 1, let alone almost double it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/3/2010 10:09:36 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4097
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4076
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4048

Bioshock beat Battlefront II a good bit worse than Halo 1 beat Ninja Gaiden, so I'm not really sure how you can possibly spin that towards Halo>Bioshock.

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DFF
voltch | Posted 11/3/2010 10:36:49 AM | message detail
Bioshock Infinite hype boosting Bioshock here....wishful thinking.
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*Shakes Fist*
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 11/3/2010 10:48:06 AM | message detail
Vote-ins be damned, I'd definitely take NG over Battlefront 2
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TRE Public Account | Posted 11/3/2010 10:53:08 AM | message detail
By how much? 56% would suggest Halo and Bioshock are equal. It needs even more if you want to argue Halo is the clear favorite.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/3/2010 11:00:30 AM | message detail
Hahaha the BioShock > KH2 train came to a pretty screeching halt.

UNfortunately, KH1 is in some pretty big trouble now. Goddamn.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/3/2010 11:04:43 AM | message detail
I wouldn't try to gauge the KH grudge match based on their Round 1 performances. That's as pure a same-fanbase match as you can get, and it's absolutely the toughest one to gain a handle on. Unlike Halo/Smash/MGS, there's almost nothing to work with. Both games are on the same console, and there's no large KH contingent that loves 1 and hates 2 or vice versa.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/3/2010 11:18:31 AM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #371
Bioshock: 50%
Metroid Prime: 38.26%
Uncharted 2: 37.03%
Halo: Combat Evolved: 36.95%
Legend of Dragoon: 31.55%
Star Wars Battlefront II: 31.09%
Mario Kart DS: 29.81%
Ninja Gaiden: 26.27%
Plants vs. Zombies: 24.03
Jet Grind Radio: 20.43%
Star Ocean 3: 20.40

So Bioshock is projected to score 63.05% on Halo 1. Looking at today...we might still have a match next round.




Who makes up this crap?
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 11/3/2010 11:18:37 AM | message detail
It'll be interesting, the KH/2 match. Don't know where people are going to try to rally for their game in that one!

Also, hoping the ASV vote changes nothing because I'm looking good for Oracle here.
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& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/3/2010 11:22:35 AM | message detail
Organisation XIII/roxas/Axel and BBS influences will make KH2 favourite. But i'd be amzed if either game wins by more than 55%.
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transience | Posted 11/3/2010 11:23:32 AM | message detail
that vote-in poll has been beaten like a dead horse at this point. let it rest. Bioshock isn't beating KH2 unless you think Battlefront 2 can get 45% on Halo 2. and that's silly.
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xyzzy
Haste_2 | Posted 11/3/2010 11:37:10 AM | message detail
KH2 is doing almost exactly as expected here (maybe a tiny bit worse), when going with extrapolated stats. But, as for KH1 vs. Dawn of Sorrow... how bad will that blowout be? Mario 64 doubled SotN, and KH isn't too far from Mario 64 strength-wise. Could KH score a tripling? Or will it fail to impress (like less than 67%) like it often does on weak opponents?

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charmander6000 | Posted 11/3/2010 11:40:04 AM | message detail
At this point it's best to ignore KP whenever he goes in total stat mode.

Sure it's interesting to look at, but it means nothing you might as well say Game X will win because I like it more or this other site likes it more.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 23/28Today's Matches: BS & KH2
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 11/3/2010 11:42:16 AM | message detail
Kingdom Hearts 2 is doing great here, but I'm definitely going to be banking on KH2/BioShock nonetheless. I still think it could go either way, especially at night.

Speaking of The Shock, almost 89% of brackets chose it over Battlefront II! By comparison, around 87% chose Brawl over MKDS. Crazy stuff, huh?

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 24
Beware of The Shock.
voltch | Posted 11/3/2010 11:46:01 AM | message detail
Ya know, I wonder if the casuals went heavy on Halo 2 and if games like Modern Warfare 2 will have casual heavy support.
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Nyoro~n
charmander6000 | Posted 11/3/2010 11:46:09 AM | message detail
KH2 is doing almost exactly as expected here (maybe a tiny bit worse), when going with extrapolated stats. But, as for KH1 vs. Dawn of Sorrow... how bad will that blowout be? Mario 64 doubled SotN, and KH isn't too far from Mario 64 strength-wise. Could KH score a tripling? Or will it fail to impress (like less than 67%) like it often does on weak opponents?

I would take SM64 > KH, but KH should easily break 60% on SotN (unless you want to argue PS LFF with RE). DoS should be weaker so KH does have a chance at 75%, but I think it'll finish between 70-75.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 23/28Today's Matches: BS & KH2
transcience | Posted 11/3/2010 12:03:24 PM | message detail
if kh1 gets only 70%, round 1 goes to kh2 in the battle to look better. Halo 2 could probably hang with or beat sotn and dawn of sorrow is a mile from that.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/3/2010 12:09:56 PM | message detail
KH? lol i'd take Mario 64 over FFX to be honest.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3503

It almost beat LttP....

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LeonhartFour | Posted 11/3/2010 12:23:37 PM | message detail
*checks poll*

Yeah, BioShock's not winning next round. There's no way Battlefront II is anywhere close to Halo 2. KOTOR wouldn't beat Halo 2 by much at all, and I don't see BFII being in its league.
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"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/3/2010 12:25:49 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #371
So Bioshock is projected to score 63.05% on Halo 1. Looking at today...we might still have a match next round.


If you think BioShock gets 63.05% on Halo 1, I want some of what you're having. BioShock was equal to Halo 3 last year. It hasn't gained that much.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/3/2010 12:29:38 PM | message detail
We have history of Star Wars-related things overperforming in multi-way polls.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3758
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/3/2010 12:30:21 PM | message detail
Last night's chart:

Time | BioShock | Battlefront II | Votes
0:05 | 68.04% | 31.96% | 1017
1:00 | 68.28% | 31.72% | 6901
2:00 | 68.24% | 31.76% | 3882
3:00 | 70.04% | 29.96% | 2680
4:00 | 69.98% | 30.02% | 2045
5:00 | 69.98% | 30.02% | 1669
6:00 | 69.37% | 30.63% | 1551
7:00 | 68.44% | 31.56% | 2025
8:00 | 68.77% | 31.23% | 2299
9:00 | 70.37% | 29.63% | 2609
10:00 | 69.28% | 30.72% | 2855
11:00 | 67.35% | 32.65% | 2861
12:00 | 68.99% | 31.01% | 2706

BioShock manages a couple of 70%+ hours, but not much percentage shifting here.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/3/2010 12:31:28 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #393
We have history of Star Wars-related things overperforming in multi-way polls.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3758


That's some history, all right.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/3/2010 12:33:09 PM | message detail
It's not my fault that 12-way polls for determining who gets into the contests haven't been around since 2002! If they did then I'd be posting a 2003 poll where HK-47 beat Luigi!
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
LeonhartFour | Posted 11/3/2010 12:34:55 PM | message detail
Luigi was a 3 seed in 2003, and he's always been one of the top seeded characters in these contests! He'd never be in a vote-in!
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http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/3/2010 12:34:56 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #385
At this point it's best to ignore KP whenever he goes in total stat mode.

Sure it's interesting to look at, but it means nothing you might as well say Game X will win because I like it more or this other site likes it more.


So KP posting stats is as relevant as LMS posting lists from gaming magazines?

From: FFI3_Lightning | #390
KH? lol i'd take Mario 64 over FFX to be honest.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3503

It almost beat LttP....


Now that's a match I never see anyone mention that has the potential to be interesting. I'd also want to see LttP/SM64 vs Melee/Brawl now. Get old-school elites vs new-school elites, especially if the next full-on games contest gets rid of the generational divides.
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Wylvane
Chrono1219 is a horrible user.
Kotetsu534 | Posted 11/3/2010 12:37:23 PM | message detail
I do quite like the idea of seeing OoT and FFVII destroy the field fifteen years after release!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/3/2010 12:39:25 PM | message detail
If you want I can pull out GotY polls that show KotOR beats Fallout 3 easily through horrid stat manipulation everyone loves!
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab