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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 935

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red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2010 6:16:41 PM | message detail
I meant the SNV in 2005 and before. Of course I know that the real reason the SNV was strong back then was because the poll ended at 3 AM, but that doesn't stop wishful thinking. Besides, I think the SNV actually had some power back in 2002-3 with a 1 AM start time. It'll probably never make a comeback as long as the start time is midnight eastern. And the SNV, to me at least, starts at 11, which is when trends really shift into a night pattern. The 8-11 period is just a slow transitional phase.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 11/1/2010 6:29:51 PM | message detail
As much as I will rep the EST, in 24 hour format I liked the 3 AM EST (midnight pacific) start time MUCH better because the trends made for more interesting matches. Trends got really boring with midnight EST start.

Thankfully, these 12 hour polls got around that pretty well!
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red sox 777 | Posted 11/1/2010 6:33:58 PM | message detail
Despite living on the East Coast, I much prefer Pacific Time. The best thing individually for me would be to live on the West Coast and have the contests start at 3 AM Eastern. Of course that is horrible for everyone on the Eastern or Central time.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Dilated Chemist | Posted 11/1/2010 7:03:34 PM | message detail
Wow, I seriously hate Pokemon.

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 11/1/2010 7:09:32 PM | message detail
You may be right that the ASV as a whole is getting weaker though, Luster. It's hard to tell though as we've seen a total of 1 proper ASV (in a 24-hour match, since trends are different in 12-hour) since June 2009. That was Link/Mario, a match in which we wouldn't expect a huge shift in the ASV.

I think the ASV was pretty weak in 2009 as well. Here's another comparison, but for Poll 3864 and match from 2009:

Time | Poll 3864 | Poll 3459
EBV | 1358 | 1459
PHV | 12125 | 11134
FNV | 23840 | 22594
BSV | 12954 | 12888
DSV | 32358 | 29561
ASV | 40075 | 43416
SNV | 7393 | 7718
Total | 128745 | 127311

I thought about using Poll 3498 as a comparison instead, but that poll was on 5/29/2010 and the ASV in that poll was weak due to the school year coming to an end in some places. I wanted to use Poll 3498 as a comparison, since the final vote total was 129046 (very close to that of the 2010 age poll). In 2009, it seems like the ASV was weaker than the ASV in 2008, but still slightly better than the ASV in 2010.

And if you want a comparison between the age poll and a match from 2008, here's another one:

Time | Poll 3864 | Poll 3249
EBV | 1358 | 1662
PHV | 12125 | 11633
FNV | 23840 | 21338
BSV | 12954 | 13011
DSV | 32358 | 29796
ASV | 40075 | 45399
SNV | 7393 | 7548
Total | 128745 | 128725
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 7:17:01 PM | message detail
Look at those mad cuts by GTAIV.

Now if only SBAllen removes 800 votes.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4
charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 7:57:30 PM | message detail
Match XXVII: (5) Dragon Age: Origins vs. (12) F-Zero GX

Information

Name: Dragon Age: Origins
Year: 2009
Previous Performance: N/A

Name: F-Zero GX
Year: 2003
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

For a long time I’ve been curious as to how well a game from the F-Zero series would perform on GameFAQs. Any poll related to the series that we’ve had so far also had a Nintendo game so really we know almost nothing about the games and while I would be shocked if it pull the upset I can see the game impressing.

I wouldn’t be surprised if F-Zero GX has most of its strength from Captain Falcon being in the Smash series. While players may not be actively looking to play an F-Zero game they are aware where Captain Falcon is from and him being in the middle of the picture helps. It also helps that the game is up against something that has no relation to Nintendo giving F-Zero GX the opportunity to pick up a load of apathy votes.

Dragon Age performed quite well in the GotY polls and has been kept sort of relevant with the release of a bunch of expansion packs and the announcement for Dragon Age II coming out next year. Like Uncharted 2 I don’t see games from 2009 impressing that much since 2009 was a relatively weak year for gaming meaning Dragon Age almost winning GotY doesn’t mean as much.

I feel that F-Zero GX has the potential to expose Dragon Age in this match and to show the world that it too has some hidden strength as long as it’s far away from anything Nintendo related, though at the same time I don’t see the game being any more than high fodder and even then that’s being very generous. I expect it to be almost a repeat of the Uncharted 2/Legend of Dragoon match.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Dragon Age: Origins > F-Zero GX

charmander6000’s Prediction: Dragon Age: Origins wins, 58.84% - 41.16%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4
HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2010 8:01:43 PM | message detail
I'll be pretty shocked if F-Zero GX breaks 40%. I'm not certain I'd take either Mario Kart game in this bracket to do it easily.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2010 8:16:54 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2010 8:18:03 PM | message detail
Man, I forgot how bad F-Zero's been here in the few polls the series has had:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=263
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=525
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=774
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1486
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2804


Yikes. A lot of SFF is there, but still very bad.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 8:20:07 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1486

Hey now, if you think CoD4 is stronger than MW2, that poll implies (due to F-Zero GX getting SFFed) that F-Zero GX has a legit shot at winning!

....I mean, it doesn't have a chance, but yeah!
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/1/2010 8:21:37 PM | message detail
Not gonna be too surprised if F-Zero over performs here.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/1/2010 8:22:43 PM | message detail

From: Dilated Chemist | #304
Wow, I seriously hate Pokemon.


why are you upset about this
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Justin_Crossing | Posted 11/1/2010 8:22:47 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #312
Not gonna be too surprised if F-Zero over performs here.


I wouldn't be surprised here AT ALL if F-Zero not only overperformed, but won >_>
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 8:24:35 PM | message detail
If Mother 3 can look good why can't F-Zero GX?

>_>
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 8:25:39 PM | message detail
In all seriousness though F-Zero GX could break 40% and it wouldn't floor me, because it would just be another case of 'lol 2009 games'. Heck, between GTAIV, Galaxy, and Call of Duty 4, it might just be a general 'lol current-gen games'. Watch out, TP's gonna fail to break 70% on Shenmue!
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MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/1/2010 8:26:30 PM | message detail
I wouldn't be surprised if Mother 3 beat F-Zero GX in a poll. The game is going to be WEAK. Extremely weak.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/1/2010 8:27:32 PM | message detail
I'm approaching it completely differently. I'll be shocked if F-Zero breaks 40%. I'd be less surprised if Shenmue does better on TP than F-Zero does tonight.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 11/1/2010 8:28:36 PM | message detail
Maybe I'm still pretty happy about calling Captain Falcon > Riku last contest, but I think I'm experiencing PAWNCHfear right now.

Good thing I didn't take it to win.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/1/2010 8:28:46 PM | message detail
I'm still surprised GX even made it into the contest. It could very, very easily get killed here.

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DFF
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/1/2010 8:29:52 PM | message detail
Whoa, the most recent Oracle predictions are surprising. DA in the high 50s seems like the consensus based on those. I have it getting the doubling and was considering hiking it to like 70%.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 11/1/2010 8:31:04 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #321
Whoa, the most recent Oracle predictions are surprising. DA in the high 50s seems like the consensus based on those. I have it getting the doubling and was considering hiking it to like 70%.


NINTENDO IS semi-INVINCIBLE

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 11/1/2010 8:32:17 PM | message detail
I don't really blame them... I'm not even sure it'll get 60% myself, and I'm a big Dragon Age fan. I just don't think its really strong enough here to have a big blowout on a Nintendo title. Theres obviously Nintendo company voting in these things, just look at mother 3.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 11/1/2010 8:33:46 PM | message detail
It's less having faith in F-Zero and more not having faith in Dragon Age. That 2009 Game of the Year poll was weeeaaak.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
MegatokyoEd | Posted 11/1/2010 8:35:21 PM | message detail
You don't even have to have faith in Dragon Age to think it can easily get 60%+ on an F-Zero game.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
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HaRRicH | Posted 11/1/2010 8:35:31 PM | message detail
Uncharted 2 got 57.4% on LoD, which beat MKDS in the vote-ins, which would likely give F-Zero GX a fine thrashing. DA:O shouldn't be much weaker considering the GotY-polls earlier this year.
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EEEEEPPPPPOOOOONNNNNAAAAA
Gnik | Posted 11/1/2010 8:36:02 PM | message detail
Well, I switched from F-Zero GX to DA: Origins based on this topic. I'll be annoyed if F-Zero somehow wins, but on the plus side you're all going down with me if it does.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 8:41:53 PM | message detail
Watch F-Zero GX have like 65% at the freeze.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/1/2010 8:42:15 PM | message detail

From: The Mana Sword | #324
It's less having faith in F-Zero and more not having faith in Dragon Age. That 2009 Game of the Year poll was weeeaaak.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3727

This looks fine to me, and I'd rather take a 3-way over a 10-way in terms of legitimacy. Heck, based on the impressive jump DA made between polls, it may have managed a win over Uncharted 2 in a 1v1, and Uncharted 2 just easily beat a jRPG that would probably blast F-Zero.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 11/1/2010 8:43:18 PM | message detail
Buncha Legend of Dragoon fanboiz.
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 8:45:33 PM | message detail
god damn you Legend of Dragoon
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Master Moltar | Posted 11/1/2010 9:00:18 PM | message detail
Dragon Age: Origins 30%

3
F-Zero GX 70%

7
TOTAL VOTES 10

close the poll
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Galaxy (18/24)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:00:26 PM | message detail
Dragon Age: Origins 38.46% 5
F-Zero GX 61.54% 8
TOTAL VOTES 13

FALCON PAUNCH
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:00:31 PM | message detail
next
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/1/2010 9:00:38 PM | message detail
Should've C&Ped or screenshotted, but F-Zero GX actually led for an entire second.
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Wylvane
KJ456 is a horrible user.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 11/1/2010 9:00:42 PM | message detail
HAHAHA
F-Zero already looking bad and this is the board vote
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Oracle contest - 42nd
Today's pick: Dragon Age - 64.86% Status:
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:10 PM | message detail
Dragon Age: Origins 63.84%

173
F-Zero GX 36.16%

98
TOTAL VOTES 271

MOLTAAAAAAAAAR

...Moltar?
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abdou | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:20 PM | message detail
26.23% for Pokemon lol
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Gooper Blooper | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:32 PM | message detail
This is gonna suck
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:34 PM | message detail
Casuals got stomped yesterday.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:35 PM | message detail
GX is just storing boost.

You fools are in for it!
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NoDicePwn | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:35 PM | message detail
dragon age gets like 70% here, doesn't it? (wrpg vs nintendo is a horrible board vote for it)
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charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:39 PM | message detail
Poor F-Zero, I guess Smash can only give you so much.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 21/26 Today's Matches: DA: O & LoZ: TP
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:44 PM | message detail
Yeah, WRPGs have always had horrible board votes, so...

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DFF
Draco1214 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:01:50 PM | message detail
26.23% for RSE

Wow...
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Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest!
charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:02:17 PM | message detail
Pokemon Ruby/Sapphire/Emerald 26.23%

Looks like the board owned the casuals.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 21/26 Today's Matches: DA: O & LoZ: TP
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 11/1/2010 9:02:50 PM | message detail
For as many C. Falcon fanboys as it has created, I've never heard of anyone actually playing F-Zero because of Smash.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 11/1/2010 9:03:05 PM | message detail
65/35 is meh. Not enough to make F-Zero GX seem impressive, yet not enough to make Dragon Age: Origins seem any different from what we expected it to be.

Next.
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Wylvane
Heroic Bigpun is a horrible user.
KamikazePotato | Posted 11/1/2010 9:03:24 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #347
For as many C. Falcon fanboys as it has created, I've never heard of anyone actually playing F-Zero because of Smash.


I did!

And I voted for Dragon Age because it's still the much better game!

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 11/1/2010 9:04:03 PM | message detail
Damn I'm now equal to SBAllen in points.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 21/26 Today's Matches: DA: O & LoZ: TP