advertisement

GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 934

Page 1 of 10 | Next | Last
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/31/2010 9:54:29 AM | message detail
Melee > Brawl



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
---
Quicker than the wind and as still as the forest!
Hotter than flames and more magnificent than a mountain!
advertisement
The Real Truth | Posted 10/31/2010 10:02:17 AM | message detail
first
---
GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
shadow8021 | Posted 10/31/2010 12:40:49 PM | message detail
Melee > Brawl
---
WE ARE...
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 12:41:31 PM | message detail
I hope that FFX>Melee/Brawl...
---
GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/31/2010 12:43:12 PM | message detail
FFX > MGS3 > Galaxy > UYA > The rest of the games in this contest
---
"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 2:03:22 PM | message detail
Mother 3 > WWF No Mercy
---
Wylvane
mas369 is a horrible user.
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/31/2010 2:24:59 PM | message detail
GTAIV > RSE!

---
I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
red sox 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:04:20 PM | message detail
The more I think about, the more I think Melee is going to 60-40 Brawl.
---
Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/31/2010 9:05:28 PM | message detail
Batman > Superman
---
My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:10:36 PM | message detail
Hm, this might get under the tripling. Lets hope so!
---
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/31/2010 9:11:58 PM | message detail
BG&E is winning Europe yet Galaxy has 75% in the UK.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:12:07 PM | message detail
Well, a lot of that would be SFF if it happens. OOT put up 75% or so on Mario 64, a legit top 5 game.

Well, I don't know. I'm not sure I really buy TP beating Galaxy to the ground with SFF. Brawl made sense since it was a fanservice game with Mario and all, and I don't think that TP and Galaxy is so cut and dry like that.
---
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:13:50 PM | message detail
I was mainly going off the GOTD poll (where TP got around a doubling despite WW in the poll) and Link/Mario. TP's the #3 Zelda, SMG is the #6 Mario probably (SM64, SMW, SMB3, SMB, SMRPG).
---
Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 9:15:51 PM | message detail
How the **** did we lose a perfect on ****ing Brawl/Mario Kart DS?
---
Wylvane
Anagram is a horrible user.
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:16:23 PM | message detail
How the **** did we lose a perfect on ****ing Brawl/Mario Kart DS?

Favorite bracket, most likely.
---
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 9:20:49 PM | message detail
Anyone else mulling over Fire Emblem: PoR over Pokemon DPP? A longshot, but PoR might have some strength, and it's not like DPP is a powerhouse. Of course, even then DPP might get an easy doubling.

Guess it depends on whether you think PoR could stand up to Metroid Fusion. FE7 definitely wouldn't!
---
Wylvane
HaRRicH is a horrible user.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/31/2010 9:23:00 PM | message detail
Pokemon has kicked my ass too often by beating too many entrants I like too much for me to get my hopes up about Fire Emblem coming through. Wouldn't mind it, I guess.
---
Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:24:23 PM | message detail

Guess it depends on whether you think PoR could stand up to Metroid Fusion. FE7 definitely wouldn't!


If 7 can't, PoR can't either. I don't believe PoR could be substantially stronger than 7
---
For your health.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 9:25:32 PM | message detail
Isn't D/P basically equal to Tales of Symphonia through out current extrapolation? PoR just isn't going to be as strong as ToS.

---
DFF
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:27:10 PM | message detail
Well folks, my battle bracket has its first fanboy pick: RSE > GTAIV, even though all logic goes against it. I honestly love RSE, and man, I can't convince myself to go against my regular bracket!

...not yet, anyway...

Also, I really doubt FE: PoR could take on DPP, or even Metroid Fusion.

---
CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19
RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah"
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:29:26 PM | message detail
I feel pretty confident in my GTA4 pick tomorrow. Hell, I even debated taking GTA4 over Galaxy, so yeah.
---
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:32:21 PM | message detail
The only thing giving me faint hope of an RSE upset (aside from pure fanboyism) is Niko's terrible performance last year. But then again, Vercetti was shockingly close to PaRappa in '07, and yet Vice City was still respectable in the last Games contest...

I don't know, I'll probably switch to GTA4 later on. Not sure yet.

---
CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19
RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah"
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:33:00 PM | message detail
*Last contest, not last year.

---
CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19
RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah"
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/31/2010 9:33:01 PM | message detail
I wouldn't take any FE over Fusion.
---
Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:34:03 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #021
I feel pretty confident in my GTA4 pick tomorrow. Hell, I even debated taking GTA4 over Galaxy, so yeah.


I was brave enough to do both

then again my whole bracket is probably "too brave"
---
~ Ange
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 9:37:18 PM | message detail
This honestly isn't that great of a result. Assassin's Creed got 76% on BG&E (yes I know lol 12-ways) and I'm not expecting much from Assassin's Creed, especially after the egg DMC3 laid.

---
DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:47:18 PM | message detail
Updated Top 5

Top 5 Biggest Blowouts
1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 87.16% vs. Guitar Hero II – 12.84% (R1) – 74.32%
2. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 83.26% vs. Mario Kart DS – 16.74% (R1) – 66.52%
3. Fallout 3 – 81.00% vs. inFamous – 19.00% (R1) – 62.00%
4. Half-Life 2 – 74.48% vs. Left 4 Dead 2 – 25.52% (R1) – 48.96%
5. Metroid Prime – 73.34% vs. Star Ocean 3 – 26.66% (R1) – 46.68%

Top 5 Biggest Day Vote Gaps
1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 44460 vs. Mario Kart DS – 8936 (R1) – 35524

2. Half-Life 2 – 35766 vs. Left 4 Dead 2 – 12254 (R1) – 23512
3. Okami – 35156 vs. No More Heroes – 14074 (R1) – 21082
4. Fire Emblem: PoR – 32822 vs. WWF No Mercy – 12937 (R1) – 19885
5. God of War – 33027 vs. Left 4 Dead – 17556 (R1) – 15471

Top 5 Smallest Night Vote Gaps
1. Valkyria Chronicles – 16384 vs. Disgaea – 14876 (R1) – 1508

2. Tales of Symphonia – 20805 vs. Resident Evil 5 – 19077 (R1) – 1728
3. Halo 3 – 22476 vs. Super Mario Sunshine – 20315 (R1) – 2161
4. Mega Man 9 – 20447 vs. Demon’s Souls – 18134 (R1) – 2313
5. Pokemon DPP – 19880 vs. Metroid Fusion – 16240 (R1) – 3640

Top 5 Most Popular Day Polls
1. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 61749
2. Street Fighter IV vs. Sonic Adventure 2 (R1) – 54154
3. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 53396
4. Devil May Cry 3 vs. Mother 3 (R1) – 51712
5. Halo: Combat Evolved vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 50884

Top 5 Least Popular Night Polls
1. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 31260

2. Perfect Dark vs. Conker’s BFD (R1) – 35424
3. Pokemon DPP vs. Metroid Fusion (R1) – 36120
4. Grand Theft Auto III vs. LittleBigPlanet (R1) – 36423
5. Mega Man 9 vs. Demon’s Souls (R1) – 38581

Top 5 Highest Individual Day Votes
1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 44460

2. Half-Life 2 (R1) – 35766
3. Okami (R1) – 35156
4. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 33538
5. God of War (R1) – 33027

Top 5 Lowest Individual Day Votes
1. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 8936

2. Left 4 Dead 2 (R1) – 12254
3. WWF No Mercy (R1) – 12937
4. No More Heroes (R1) – 14074
5. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 17075

Top 5 Least Impressive Night Winners
1. Valkyria Chronicles (R1) – 16384

2. Pokemon DPP (R1) – 19880
3. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 20447
4. Tales of Symphonia (R1) – 20805
5. Halo 3 (R1) – 22476

Top 5 Easiest Matches to Predict
1. Fallout 3 vs. inFamous (R1) – 93.66%
2. Metroid Prime vs. Star Ocean 3 (R1) – 92.44%
3. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 90.66%
4. CoD4: Modern Warfare vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 89.03%
5. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 87.61%

Top 5 Hardest Matches to Predict
1. Morrowind vs. Warcraft III (R1) – 32.76%
2. Deus Ex vs. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 36.61%
3. Tales of Symphonia vs. Resident Evil 5 (R1) – 43.87%
4. Mega Man 9 vs. Demon’s Souls (R1) – 54.91%
5. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 58.43%

---
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 19/22 Today's Matches: Disgaea & SSBB
theawesomestevr | Posted 10/31/2010 9:52:32 PM | message detail
Why are people talking up GTA IV exactly? That's a bracket pick I have no idea why I made, and am seriously regretting right now. I've already switched my battle pick against it. Don't know if there's some poll that suggests differently or not, but I would be surprised if it went down differently.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/31/2010 10:01:02 PM | message detail
Basically GTAIV was roughly Pokemon DPP's strength so for RSE to have a chance you'd have to bank on either Pokemon rising (you'd better be taking GSC to win the whole thing) or GTAIV dropping enough (highly possible). Seems like ever since Halo 3 won people have switched sides.
---
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/31/2010 10:07:46 PM | message detail
It's also possible that Pokemon RSE is somehow stronger than Pokemon DPP. DPP should defintely be more popular among current Pokemon fans but maybe enough people quit between gen 3 and 4 to give RSE the advantage.
---
"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 10:16:44 PM | message detail
I doubt that. Pretty sure RSE is the worst-selling mainline Pokemon generation. Ruby also came out at a time when Pokehate was at its highest, while Diamond came out during the resurgence. I'd say D/P probably have a higher playrate.

---
DFF
Pondos | Posted 10/31/2010 10:18:06 PM | message detail
I would think Rayquaza would be a much more recognizable face in the match pic that Giratina.

Not that that really means much, but hey.
---
Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu
http://i36.tinypic.com/343m3v7.jpg
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/31/2010 10:18:26 PM | message detail
I changed from GTAIV > RSE thanks to yo and NGamer that night I was on The Show.

Gonna be pretty mad if it goes awry.
---
http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg
YoboD | Posted 10/31/2010 10:24:03 PM | message detail
RSE being stronger than DPP would be like Sunshine being stronger than Galaxy. I mean, I suppose it's not impossible, but there's really no reason at all why it would be.
---
Time to wander around
Aimlessly
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:05 PM | message detail
Maybe it's not stronger than DP, but why in the hell wouldn't it be stronger than GTA IV?? Honestly, this is almost as bad as the board's No Mercy > FE pick.
---
"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
Draco1214 | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:36 PM | message detail
It's very likely GTA4 dropped enough in strength for R/S/E to take this. Even putting aside Niko's huge fall, GTA4 seemed like the kind of game that just came and went. It also seems like the kind of game people either don't like or at most feel apathetic about.
---
Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest!
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:54 PM | message detail
I doubt that. Pretty sure RSE is the worst-selling mainline Pokemon generation. Ruby also came out at a time when Pokehate was at its highest, while Diamond came out during the resurgence. I'd say D/P probably have a higher playrate.

"Worst-selling" doesn't really mean much for the Pokemon series. You're probably right, though.
---
"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/31/2010 10:29:06 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #033
I changed from GTAIV > RSE thanks to yo and NGamer that night I was on The Show.

Gonna be pretty mad if it goes awry.


I'd say that two hours of WACKY fun was worth losing a point, imo.
---
Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 10:38:13 PM | message detail
BG&E has settled in around 38-40% in Europe. If it stays at that over night, it'll easily get below the tripling.
---
http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/31/2010 11:05:35 PM | message detail
Galaxy doing terrible in Europe has nothing to do with Galaxy being terrible there. I don't remember Galaxy ever being terrible in Europe.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3475&region=EUR
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3492&region=EUR

In the first match, Galaxy does better in Europe than the overall result, although that is because CoD4 is weaker in Europe than the overall result. In the second match, Galaxy does about 5% better in Europe, although Brawl (which is ungodly terrible in Europe) was in that match.

Galaxy doing terrible in Europe has to do with Beyond Good & Evil being ungodly popular in Europe. And it makes sense, because of this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/xbox/561647-beyond-good-and-evil/data
http://www.gamefaqs.com/ps2/561646-beyond-good-and-evil/data
http://www.gamefaqs.com/gamecube/561645-beyond-good-and-evil/data
http://www.gamefaqs.com/pc/561436-beyond-good-and-evil/data

The Xbox version was developed by Ubisoft Milan. Milan is a city in Italy. The other versions were developed by Ubisoft Montpellier. Montpellier is a city in France. The publisher Ubisoft is based in France. So it's no surprise that a game developed in Europe and published by a European-based publisher would be strong in Europe. It's similar to how Monkey Island is strong in Europe because LucasArts is also based in Europe.
---
Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/31/2010 11:06:08 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy sucks but we already knew that. Why is this crap a 1 seed?
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/31/2010 11:07:54 PM | message detail
but maybe enough people quit between gen 3 and 4 to give RSE the advantage.

People who made it to gen 3 and then quit probably quit because of gen 3.

The last "this is for kiddies wah" people were probably out after 2.
---
For your health.
At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/31/2010 11:10:20 PM | message detail
GTA IV has always done *decent* in the polls and matches

Ruby/Sapphire on the other hand got massacred by Star Ocean 3

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1157
Greyfeld | Posted 10/31/2010 11:23:31 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1157

lol 7 year old polls
Lightning Strikes | Posted 11/1/2010 12:15:07 AM | message detail
Europe has yet to wake up, and when it deoes I have little doubt Galaxy will increase its lead there.

Also Galaxy seems to be doing fairly well, better than last year at least.
---
Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
voltch | Posted 11/1/2010 3:02:52 AM | message detail
we've yet to wake up, 10AM in the morning, come on, it ain't so bad.
---
Nyoro~n
creativename | Posted 11/1/2010 5:42:00 AM | message detail
Question. How the hell did Shadow of the Colossus get a 2 seed? I mean, what?

Was this rallied or something like No Mercy?
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/1/2010 5:49:43 AM | message detail
There certainly wasn't any rally of the size of No mercy for SotC, and I don't seem to remember it even getting a minor rally on board 8. So its nominations are mostly legit.

Of course, nominations=/= strength, as we can see on the current poll.
---
A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/1/2010 5:51:32 AM | message detail
SOTC deserves a 2nd seed. No way in hell is it on No mercy's level. It would beat FE with ease.
---
http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/SpringFR.png
creativename | Posted 11/1/2010 5:52:14 AM | message detail
It's similar to how Monkey Island is strong in Europe because LucasArts is also based in Europe.

I always thought LucasArts was in California. Why was it in Europe?
---
www.gamefaqscontests.com
www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery