GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 934
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/31/2010 9:54:29 AM | message detail |
Melee > Brawl ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- Quicker than the wind and as still as the forest! Hotter than flames and more magnificent than a mountain! |
The Real Truth | Posted 10/31/2010 10:02:17 AM | message detail |
first --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
shadow8021 | Posted 10/31/2010 12:40:49 PM | message detail |
Melee > Brawl --- WE ARE... |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 12:41:31 PM | message detail |
I hope that FFX>Melee/Brawl... --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/31/2010 12:43:12 PM | message detail |
FFX > MGS3 > Galaxy > UYA > The rest of the games in this contest --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 2:03:22 PM | message detail |
Mother 3 > WWF No Mercy --- Wylvane mas369 is a horrible user. |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/31/2010 2:24:59 PM | message detail |
GTAIV > RSE! --- I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040 |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:04:20 PM | message detail |
The more I think about, the more I think Melee is going to 60-40 Brawl. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/31/2010 9:05:28 PM | message detail |
Batman > Superman --- My God, did that predict good! Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'... |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:10:36 PM | message detail |
Hm, this might get under the tripling. Lets hope so! --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/31/2010 9:11:58 PM | message detail |
BG&E is winning Europe yet Galaxy has 75% in the UK. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:12:07 PM | message detail |
Well, a lot of that would be SFF if it happens. OOT put up 75% or so on Mario 64, a legit top 5 game. Well, I don't know. I'm not sure I really buy TP beating Galaxy to the ground with SFF. Brawl made sense since it was a fanservice game with Mario and all, and I don't think that TP and Galaxy is so cut and dry like that. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:13:50 PM | message detail |
I
was mainly going off the GOTD poll (where TP got around a doubling
despite WW in the poll) and Link/Mario. TP's the #3 Zelda, SMG is the
#6 Mario probably (SM64, SMW, SMB3, SMB, SMRPG). --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 9:15:51 PM | message detail |
How the **** did we lose a perfect on ****ing Brawl/Mario Kart DS? --- Wylvane Anagram is a horrible user. |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:16:23 PM | message detail |
How the **** did we lose a perfect on ****ing Brawl/Mario Kart DS? Favorite bracket, most likely. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/31/2010 9:20:49 PM | message detail |
Anyone
else mulling over Fire Emblem: PoR over Pokemon DPP? A longshot, but
PoR might have some strength, and it's not like DPP is a powerhouse. Of
course, even then DPP might get an easy doubling. Guess it depends on whether you think PoR could stand up to Metroid Fusion. FE7 definitely wouldn't! --- Wylvane HaRRicH is a horrible user. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/31/2010 9:23:00 PM | message detail |
Pokemon has kicked my ass too often by beating too many entrants I like too much for me to get my hopes up about Fire Emblem coming through. Wouldn't mind it, I guess. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:24:23 PM | message detail |
Guess it depends on whether you think PoR could stand up to Metroid Fusion. FE7 definitely wouldn't! If 7 can't, PoR can't either. I don't believe PoR could be substantially stronger than 7 --- For your health. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 9:25:32 PM | message detail |
Isn't D/P basically equal to Tales of Symphonia through out current extrapolation? PoR just isn't going to be as strong as ToS. --- DFF |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:27:10 PM | message detail |
Well
folks, my battle bracket has its first fanboy pick: RSE > GTAIV,
even though all logic goes against it. I honestly love RSE, and man, I
can't convince myself to go against my regular bracket! ...not yet, anyway... Also, I really doubt FE: PoR could take on DPP, or even Metroid Fusion. --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19 RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah" |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 9:29:26 PM | message detail |
I feel pretty confident in my GTA4 pick tomorrow. Hell, I even debated taking GTA4 over Galaxy, so yeah. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:32:21 PM | message detail |
The
only thing giving me faint hope of an RSE upset (aside from pure
fanboyism) is Niko's terrible performance last year. But then again,
Vercetti was shockingly close to PaRappa in '07, and yet Vice City was
still respectable in the last Games contest... I don't know, I'll probably switch to GTA4 later on. Not sure yet. --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19 RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah" |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/31/2010 9:33:00 PM | message detail |
*Last contest, not last year. --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 19 RSE > GTAIV "aww yeah" |
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/31/2010 9:33:01 PM | message detail |
I wouldn't take any FE over Fusion. --- Demyx is better than Axel. http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom |
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:34:03 PM | message detail |
From: NoDicePwn | #021 I was brave enough to do both then again my whole bracket is probably "too brave" --- ~ Ange |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 9:37:18 PM | message detail |
This
honestly isn't that great of a result. Assassin's Creed got 76% on
BG&E (yes I know lol 12-ways) and I'm not expecting much from
Assassin's Creed, especially after the egg DMC3 laid. --- DFF |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/31/2010 9:47:18 PM | message detail |
Updated Top 5 Top 5 Biggest Blowouts 1. Super Smash Bros. Melee – 87.16% vs. Guitar Hero II – 12.84% (R1) – 74.32% 2. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 83.26% vs. Mario Kart DS – 16.74% (R1) – 66.52% 3. Fallout 3 – 81.00% vs. inFamous – 19.00% (R1) – 62.00% 4. Half-Life 2 – 74.48% vs. Left 4 Dead 2 – 25.52% (R1) – 48.96% 5. Metroid Prime – 73.34% vs. Star Ocean 3 – 26.66% (R1) – 46.68% Top 5 Biggest Day Vote Gaps 1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 44460 vs. Mario Kart DS – 8936 (R1) – 35524 2. Half-Life 2 – 35766 vs. Left 4 Dead 2 – 12254 (R1) – 23512 3. Okami – 35156 vs. No More Heroes – 14074 (R1) – 21082 4. Fire Emblem: PoR – 32822 vs. WWF No Mercy – 12937 (R1) – 19885 5. God of War – 33027 vs. Left 4 Dead – 17556 (R1) – 15471 Top 5 Smallest Night Vote Gaps 1. Valkyria Chronicles – 16384 vs. Disgaea – 14876 (R1) – 1508 2. Tales of Symphonia – 20805 vs. Resident Evil 5 – 19077 (R1) – 1728 3. Halo 3 – 22476 vs. Super Mario Sunshine – 20315 (R1) – 2161 4. Mega Man 9 – 20447 vs. Demon’s Souls – 18134 (R1) – 2313 5. Pokemon DPP – 19880 vs. Metroid Fusion – 16240 (R1) – 3640 Top 5 Most Popular Day Polls 1. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 61749 2. Street Fighter IV vs. Sonic Adventure 2 (R1) – 54154 3. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 53396 4. Devil May Cry 3 vs. Mother 3 (R1) – 51712 5. Halo: Combat Evolved vs. Ninja Gaiden (R1) – 50884 Top 5 Least Popular Night Polls 1. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 31260 2. Perfect Dark vs. Conker’s BFD (R1) – 35424 3. Pokemon DPP vs. Metroid Fusion (R1) – 36120 4. Grand Theft Auto III vs. LittleBigPlanet (R1) – 36423 5. Mega Man 9 vs. Demon’s Souls (R1) – 38581 Top 5 Highest Individual Day Votes 1. Super Smash Bros. Brawl – 44460 2. Half-Life 2 (R1) – 35766 3. Okami (R1) – 35156 4. Devil May Cry 3 (R1) – 33538 5. God of War (R1) – 33027 Top 5 Lowest Individual Day Votes 1. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 8936 2. Left 4 Dead 2 (R1) – 12254 3. WWF No Mercy (R1) – 12937 4. No More Heroes (R1) – 14074 5. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 17075 Top 5 Least Impressive Night Winners 1. Valkyria Chronicles (R1) – 16384 2. Pokemon DPP (R1) – 19880 3. Mega Man 9 (R1) – 20447 4. Tales of Symphonia (R1) – 20805 5. Halo 3 (R1) – 22476 Top 5 Easiest Matches to Predict 1. Fallout 3 vs. inFamous (R1) – 93.66% 2. Metroid Prime vs. Star Ocean 3 (R1) – 92.44% 3. Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. Guitar Hero II (R1) – 90.66% 4. CoD4: Modern Warfare vs. PoP: Sands of Time (R1) – 89.03% 5. Super Smash Bros. Brawl vs. Mario Kart DS (R1) – 87.61% Top 5 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Morrowind vs. Warcraft III (R1) – 32.76% 2. Deus Ex vs. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 36.61% 3. Tales of Symphonia vs. Resident Evil 5 (R1) – 43.87% 4. Mega Man 9 vs. Demon’s Souls (R1) – 54.91% 5. Valkyria Chronicles vs. Disgaea (R1) – 58.43% --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 19/22 Today's Matches: Disgaea & SSBB |
theawesomestevr | Posted 10/31/2010 9:52:32 PM | message detail |
Why
are people talking up GTA IV exactly? That's a bracket pick I have no
idea why I made, and am seriously regretting right now. I've already
switched my battle pick against it. Don't know if there's some poll
that suggests differently or not, but I would be surprised if it went
down differently. |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/31/2010 10:01:02 PM | message detail |
Basically
GTAIV was roughly Pokemon DPP's strength so for RSE to have a chance
you'd have to bank on either Pokemon rising (you'd better be taking GSC
to win the whole thing) or GTAIV dropping enough (highly possible).
Seems like ever since Halo 3 won people have switched sides. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 20/24 Today's Matches: SMG & GTA4 |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/31/2010 10:07:46 PM | message detail |
It's
also possible that Pokemon RSE is somehow stronger than Pokemon DPP.
DPP should defintely be more popular among current Pokemon fans but
maybe enough people quit between gen 3 and 4 to give RSE the advantage. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/31/2010 10:16:44 PM | message detail |
I
doubt that. Pretty sure RSE is the worst-selling mainline Pokemon
generation. Ruby also came out at a time when Pokehate was at its
highest, while Diamond came out during the resurgence. I'd say D/P
probably have a higher playrate. --- DFF |
Pondos | Posted 10/31/2010 10:18:06 PM | message detail |
I would think Rayquaza would be a much more recognizable face in the match pic that Giratina. Not that that really means much, but hey. --- Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu http://i36.tinypic.com/343m3v7.jpg |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/31/2010 10:18:26 PM | message detail |
I changed from GTAIV > RSE thanks to yo and NGamer that night I was on The Show. Gonna be pretty mad if it goes awry. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
YoboD | Posted 10/31/2010 10:24:03 PM | message detail |
RSE
being stronger than DPP would be like Sunshine being stronger than
Galaxy. I mean, I suppose it's not impossible, but there's really no
reason at all why it would be. --- Time to wander around Aimlessly |
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:05 PM | message detail |
Maybe
it's not stronger than DP, but why in the hell wouldn't it be stronger
than GTA IV?? Honestly, this is almost as bad as the board's No Mercy
> FE pick. --- "Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen |
Draco1214 | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:36 PM | message detail |
It's
very likely GTA4 dropped enough in strength for R/S/E to take this.
Even putting aside Niko's huge fall, GTA4 seemed like the kind of game
that just came and went. It also seems like the kind of game people
either don't like or at most feel apathetic about. --- Completely decimated by Dr. Football in the Guru Contest! |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/31/2010 10:28:54 PM | message detail |
I
doubt that. Pretty sure RSE is the worst-selling mainline Pokemon
generation. Ruby also came out at a time when Pokehate was at its
highest, while Diamond came out during the resurgence. I'd say D/P
probably have a higher playrate. "Worst-selling" doesn't really mean much for the Pokemon series. You're probably right, though. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/31/2010 10:29:06 PM | message detail |
From: ExThaNemesis | #033 I'd say that two hours of WACKY fun was worth losing a point, imo. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/31/2010 10:38:13 PM | message detail |
BG&E has settled in around 38-40% in Europe. If it stays at that over night, it'll easily get below the tripling. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/31/2010 11:05:35 PM | message detail |
Galaxy
doing terrible in Europe has nothing to do with Galaxy being terrible
there. I don't remember Galaxy ever being terrible in Europe. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3475®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3492®ion=EUR In the first match, Galaxy does better in Europe than the overall result, although that is because CoD4 is weaker in Europe than the overall result. In the second match, Galaxy does about 5% better in Europe, although Brawl (which is ungodly terrible in Europe) was in that match. Galaxy doing terrible in Europe has to do with Beyond Good & Evil being ungodly popular in Europe. And it makes sense, because of this: http://www.gamefaqs.com/xbox/561647-beyond-good-and-evil/data http://www.gamefaqs.com/ps2/561646-beyond-good-and-evil/data http://www.gamefaqs.com/gamecube/561645-beyond-good-and-evil/data http://www.gamefaqs.com/pc/561436-beyond-good-and-evil/data The Xbox version was developed by Ubisoft Milan. Milan is a city in Italy. The other versions were developed by Ubisoft Montpellier. Montpellier is a city in France. The publisher Ubisoft is based in France. So it's no surprise that a game developed in Europe and published by a European-based publisher would be strong in Europe. It's similar to how Monkey Island is strong in Europe because LucasArts is also based in Europe. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/31/2010 11:06:08 PM | message detail |
Super Mario Galaxy sucks but we already knew that. Why is this crap a 1 seed? |
MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/31/2010 11:07:54 PM | message detail |
but maybe enough people quit between gen 3 and 4 to give RSE the advantage. People who made it to gen 3 and then quit probably quit because of gen 3. The last "this is for kiddies wah" people were probably out after 2. --- For your health. At least Kupo has class and doesn't MESSAGE the people -Dr Pizza |
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/31/2010 11:10:20 PM | message detail |
GTA IV has always done *decent* in the polls and matches Ruby/Sapphire on the other hand got massacred by Star Ocean 3 http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1157 |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/31/2010 11:23:31 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1157 lol 7 year old polls |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 11/1/2010 12:15:07 AM | message detail |
Europe has yet to wake up, and when it deoes I have little doubt Galaxy will increase its lead there. Also Galaxy seems to be doing fairly well, better than last year at least. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
voltch | Posted 11/1/2010 3:02:52 AM | message detail |
we've yet to wake up, 10AM in the morning, come on, it ain't so bad. --- Nyoro~n |
creativename | Posted 11/1/2010 5:42:00 AM | message detail |
Question. How the hell did Shadow of the Colossus get a 2 seed? I mean, what? Was this rallied or something like No Mercy? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 11/1/2010 5:49:43 AM | message detail |
There
certainly wasn't any rally of the size of No mercy for SotC, and I
don't seem to remember it even getting a minor rally on board 8. So its
nominations are mostly legit. Of course, nominations=/= strength, as we can see on the current poll. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 11/1/2010 5:51:32 AM | message detail |
SOTC deserves a 2nd seed. No way in hell is it on No mercy's level. It would beat FE with ease. --- http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/SpringFR.png |
creativename | Posted 11/1/2010 5:52:14 AM | message detail |
It's similar to how Monkey Island is strong in Europe because LucasArts is also based in Europe. I always thought LucasArts was in California. Why was it in Europe? --- www.gamefaqscontests.com www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery |