GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 932
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/29/2010 10:16:37 PM | message detail |
Top 5 Smallest Day Vote Gaps 1. Team Fortress 2 – 30893 vs. Fable – 30856 (R1) – 37 2. Morrowind – 25522 vs. Warcraft III – 25066 (R1) – 456 3. Deus Ex – 25117 vs. Rock Band 2 – 24365 (R1) – 752 4. Street Fighter IV – 27481 vs. Sonic Adventure 2 – 26673 (R1) – 808 5. CoD4: Modern Warfare – 28969 vs. PoP: Sands of Time – 17075 (R1) – 11894 What a difference between #4 and #5 on that list. WWF No Mercy/Fire Emblem later today probably pushes the CoD4 match off the list. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/29/2010 10:17:19 PM | message detail |
Yesterday's chart: Time | CoD4 | Sands of Time | Votes 0:05 | 62.80% | 37.20% | 578 1:00 | 60.74% | 39.26% | 5751 2:00 | 61.77% | 38.23% | 4850 3:00 | 62.65% | 37.35% | 4610 4:00 | 63.72% | 36.28% | 4744 5:00 | 63.65% | 36.35% | 4443 6:00 | 62.71% | 37.29% | 4291 7:00 | 62.91% | 37.09% | 3699 8:00 | 64.19% | 35.81% | 3203 9:00 | 65.26% | 34.74% | 2930 10:00 | 63.35% | 36.65% | 2712 11:00 | 62.09% | 37.91% | 2543 12:00 | 64.29% | 35.71% | 2268 Kinda weird match. I think this may be the first time that a heavy bracket favorite did poorly with the first hour. As you would expect, CoD4 made some nice improvements with the ASV, but the later hours were even better for it. --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/29/2010 10:18:59 PM | message detail |
(looks at poll) Oh crap. Oh, crap. I'm banking on RSE/GTAIV now, that's for sure! --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 16 RSE is so screwed...! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/29/2010 10:19:19 PM | message detail |
From: TheCodeisBosco | #203 More like easy money for GTA IV! --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/29/2010 10:20:51 PM | message detail |
What
a difference between #4 and #5 on that list. WWF No Mercy/Fire Emblem
later today probably pushes the CoD4 match off the list. Well there have been only 10 day and night matches so any category split by time has all the matches in either the most or least category. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 17/20 Today's Matches: Pokemon DPP & FE: PoR |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/29/2010 10:22:06 PM | message detail |
I
am really tempted to go with GTA4 in my battle bracket, not gonna lie.
Going against my regular bracket is a terrible feeling, though! --- CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 16 RSE is so screwed...! |
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/29/2010 10:46:47 PM | message detail |
Score-Brackets-% Right 19------59----------96.61 18------512--------94.73 17------1864------95.06 16------4166------94.50 15------6040------93.31 14------5951------92.12 13------4748------90.37 12------3304------86.62 11------2168------83.12 10------1242------78.50 9--------618--------70.23 8--------294--------64.63 7--------132--------58.33 6--------85----------30.59 5--------33----------30.30 4--------20----------10.00 3--------12----------16.67 2--------7------------0.00 1--------17----------5.88 0--------42----------2.38 High prediction percentages this time. The top 7 tiers managed to stay above 90. Still no perfect, though. We lose yet another zero bracket. Only one person fell off the Top 50. Arkmaster87 did not have Call of Duty 4 beating Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time. --- "Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!" "Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/29/2010 10:51:18 PM | message detail |
By
the way, does anyone contemplate God of War II>WW after this? This
match makes it look pretty great, and it will be a night match. --- DFF |
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/29/2010 11:04:41 PM | message detail |
LOL, what happen to POKEFEAR? --- GT: TriggerTRE // PSN ID: SolidTRE GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/29/2010 11:14:22 PM | message detail |
Not bad, Fusion. --- T H E S T A B L E http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/29/2010 11:15:55 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #208 I'm sorry if this makes me sound uncompromising or something, but this will NEVER happen. This is a case of extrapolation run haywire. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/29/2010 11:17:32 PM | message detail |
GoW2 > WW would be an awesome result, but would never happen sadly. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/29/2010 11:28:38 PM | message detail |
Top 5 Hardest Matches to Predict 1. Morrowind vs. Warcraft III (R1) – 32.76% 2. Deus Ex vs. Rock Band 2 (R1) – 36.61% 3. Tales of Symphonia vs. Resident Evil 5 (R1) – 43.87% 4. Mega Man 9 vs. Demon’s Souls (R1) – 54.91% 5. Team Fortress 2 vs. Fable (R1) – 61.39% aw yeah at getting all five of these right. God damnit SA2 and SMS. --- http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/29/2010 11:34:56 PM | message detail |
From: Dilated Chemist | #209 LOL New generations This means practically nothing for G/S/C, and it surprises me people are trying to spin it that way because this is a result that's pretty consistent from a game that got whomped by CoD4 and lost pretty handily to Galaxy. From: KamikazePotato | #208 You're really underestimating Wind Waker if you think GoW2's got a shot at it, regardless of what past results say, I think. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
pjbasis | Posted 10/29/2010 11:36:35 PM | message detail |
Seriously! Out of those 5 I only missed Deus Ex. But SMS and SA2 were so damn important! |
Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/29/2010 11:40:57 PM | message detail |
I guess people realized Fusion wasn't that bad after playing Other M. It still deserves the hate --- My God, did that predict good! Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'... |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/29/2010 11:43:52 PM | message detail |
I need all the following situations to be true for the sake of my bracket. Precisely. 1)DPP dropped a bunch because it's age and is just not as liked now, not because Pokemon dropped. 2)Metroid Fusion, and also Metroid in general, is doing better than previously and/or is just underestimated. 3)MGS games bomb this year. 4)FF games bomb this year. As long as that all happens I think I will be in good shape for GSC > FFX in the semis! --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/29/2010 11:44:06 PM | message detail |
21 hours until valkyria > disgaea --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/29/2010 11:44:45 PM | message detail |
From: Haste_2 | #217 Our brackets are very similar! Should all the major upsets we both have happen, it'll come down to some R2 matches we differentiate on! --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/29/2010 11:46:04 PM | message detail |
Again, this match means very little for G/S/C. Nobody should've expected an uber-SFF beatdown here. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
Blairville | Posted 10/29/2010 11:50:54 PM | message detail |
Argh, I'm caving in. GTAIV > RSE in my battle now. I had it really close anyways. --- http://backloggery.com/peril1337 I use bear arms in ALL of my decorating. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/29/2010 11:56:08 PM | message detail |
I
think there was a general feeling that Pokemon might be even stronger
now than it was 20 months ago, and people also didn't want to give
Metroid handhelds ANY credit atop that. Consider the general strength
discrepancy between console/handheld games in any big series (Pokemon
being the obvious exception), and then carry that over to Metroid, a
series where the two biggest console games already looked very
disappointing. No matter which way you try to slice it, we may be looking at nearly a 10% Oracle underperformance here. That is bad. That's almost DMC3 bad. Now, if someone personally believes that these Pokemon handhelds are as independent as any other major games from a major series (if you consider only Spirit Tracks, for example, then LoZ looks like a weak series), then I guess that person can remain confident in GSC. If someone believes that the Pokemon games may be a bit more tied at the hip, or that they benefited from the 4way format, however, then this match is cause for concern. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/29/2010 11:59:04 PM | message detail |
Man,
who gives a crap about Oracle consensus? We've already proven multiple
times that we have no clue what's going on with this contest. That
doesn't mean ANYTHING other than people actually think D/P/P is popular
compared to the older generations or that it could SFF Fusion. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/30/2010 12:00:49 AM | message detail |
The
point I think Yo is trying to make that its still doing a lot worse
than our expectations, just like its our expectations that G/S/C will
be able to beat Majoras Mask. This expectation was wrong... whats to
say that one might not be wrong too? --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/30/2010 12:01:27 AM | message detail |
Also: it always wins. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:01:30 AM | message detail |
Then
people are basing their expectations on the wrong thing because one
look at how D/P performed last Games Contest should've told you this
game isn't strong. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:03:39 AM | message detail |
Plus,
this is a contest where we have very little relevant data on like 75%
of the games in this contest. Of course our expectations are going to
be frequently wrong. That's what happens when you don't have a contest
full of entrants we've seen before. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/30/2010 12:04:04 AM | message detail |
GTAIV got this. --- GT: TriggerTRE // PSN ID: SolidTRE GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/30/2010 12:05:48 AM | message detail |
Plus,
this is a contest where we have very little relevant data on like 75%
of the games in this contest. Of course our expectations are going to
be frequently wrong. That's what happens when you don't have a contest
full of entrants we've seen before. Ah, reminds me of the good ol' days when people were surprised that gaming legend Lara Croft lost to an old SNES RPG character. --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2010 12:08:59 AM | message detail |
This expectation was wrong... whats to say that one might not be wrong too? Really. --- A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/30/2010 12:09:55 AM | message detail |
I
don't think anyone around here uses the phrase "seriously guys, we know
nothing" more than I do. I'm just saying that when a game underperforms
this badly relative to our expectations, we are at least able to
postulate the notion that it may spell trouble for related
games. I understand that it may simply be our expectations that are out
of whack, but there's the possibility, slim or not, that this may spell
trouble for the other Pokemon games. Also, where do you guys think is the greater strength discrepancy: between GSC and DPP or between Majora's Mask and Metroid Fusion? --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/30/2010 12:10:03 AM | message detail |
Really. yeah, sometimes things don't go as we expect them to. it happens --- http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg |
SubDeity | Posted 10/30/2010 12:10:23 AM | message detail |
Ah, reminds me of the good ol' days when people were surprised that gaming legend Lara Croft lost to an old SNES RPG character. That's pretty funny, really, considering that Chrono Trigger was more recent in that contest than Final Fantasy X is in this one. |
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2010 12:13:20 AM | message detail |
Well,
the assumption that an entire series of games -- all of varying quality
and popularity -- would get a voted for simply being apart of that
series is a bad one. Emerald isn't doing so hot here, but why does that
suddenly spell doom for GSC? If you thought GSC was a potential
finalist, why would it matter how a significantly less popular, less
talked about Pokemon game does? If Final Fantasy XII loses to, say,
Portal -- is FFX screwed against Melee? Do we really go there? I think
that's a bad idea all on its own. I wouldn't treat these games as being
all the same, because normal people don't do that. --- A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step. |
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2010 12:15:17 AM | message detail |
also i defended a pokemon game i feel dirty --- The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:17:31 AM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #231 G/S/C and D/P/P because I still have very little respect for Majora's Mask. --- Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/1950/banner4otacon.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:18:22 AM | message detail |
Also, if FFIX puts up a bad performance, are people really going to start going "MAN AM I GLAD I TOOK SMASH BROS!" or something? --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/30/2010 12:20:23 AM | message detail |
Majora's Mask making it to Division Finals. --- GT: TriggerTRE // PSN ID: SolidTRE GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/30/2010 12:20:33 AM | message detail |
Like
I said, I still think there could be a possibility that Pokemon games
can be more tied to the hip than something like, say, a Zelda or Final
Fantasy. I also still think there's still a possibility that the 4ways
helped Pokemon out, and that DPP would be doing better than a 55/45
split against Fusion if you threw two other games in there. Once again,
these are just theories, and I could be wrong. It's very confusing, and
that's why I had a stretch with Pokemon making the finals and another
stretch with it losing to Majora's Mask. --- Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2010 12:20:39 AM | message detail |
I think FFX is in trouble anyway, but probably ! --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
ZFS | Posted 10/30/2010 12:22:03 AM | message detail |
What'd you end up sticking with? I think I have... yeah, I went with MM > GSC. --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:22:06 AM | message detail |
From: PartOfYourWorld | #239 After watching Pokemon characters in the last Character Battle, I don't really agree with this. I mean, I know characters =/= games, but this feels like a stretch. --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/30/2010 12:22:37 AM | message detail |
If you took GSC over FFX, you're an idiot. GSC got annihilated by Xenogears last time we saw it in a one vs one match |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:23:42 AM | message detail |
Well, that's that. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/30/2010 12:24:28 AM | message detail |
Happy
medium. Pokemon making it to FFX and losing. If it gets through
Majora's Mask, I'm very confident it will make it to FFX, but the
Majora showdown has had me worried since the start. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/30/2010 12:26:01 AM | message detail |
I still don't understand why people give so much credit to Majora's Mask. But I hope it beats G/S/C anyway so Wind Waker can beat it. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/30/2010 12:26:30 AM | message detail |
Majora's
Mask really got destroyed last contest so even GSC should be able to
take it. But MGS4 is not going to lose to a game that got mass-murdered
by Xenogears. Good thing I have MGS4 > GSC. MGS4 would mop the floor with Major'as Mask |
kinsho3 | Posted 10/30/2010 12:28:43 AM | message detail |
From: Hochimihnister | #163 Crap, I'm such an idiot..... Though I'm still a tad bit surprised that a game that got annihilated by Xenogears put up a pretty decent fight against MGS in the last games contest.... --- It takes a genius to make something simple truly great. Dr. Football, you are the man! I'll take you down next contest though... |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/30/2010 12:31:21 AM | message detail |
The
Zelda fanbase is one of those things I think I have a pretty good
handle on, and I just see them siding with Majora. I think it can hit
or even exceed 40% on RBY in a 1v1 match, and RBY is still a contender
for the #3 slot around here. I think the main reason it's not being
treated as the favorite against WW (unless it is; I'm not sure), is
because it actually surprised us and cost us points last time. If we
had expected RBY to be a top-3 contender and win easily, then the board
wouldn't be down on MM right now. Wind Waker's 34-35% on Melee was
pretty bad in its own right, let's be fair here. Remember back when
that near-doubling was a debated match? --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
Hochimihnister | Posted 10/30/2010 12:31:29 AM | message detail |
Though
I'm still a tad bit surprised that a game that got annihilated by
Xenogears put up a pretty decent fight against MGS in the last games
contest.... MGS was being drained by another PSX powerhouse known as FFT. But it doesn't matter. Putting up a decent fight against MGS is meaningless. FFX would mass-murder MGS |
