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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 931

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/28/2010 9:44:26 AM | message detail
o man Blizzard's in a close match I wonder what will happen



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
This is good... isn't it?
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KinzoUshiromiya | Posted 10/28/2010 9:45:15 AM | message detail
Tag


lol this contest
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My Heart is Empty. It is empty because there is nothing.
Regaro_Ukiera
Advokaiser | Posted 10/28/2010 9:46:15 AM | message detail
AWESOME!!!

I knew Morrowind could fight back!

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
Big Bob | Posted 10/28/2010 10:25:13 AM | message detail
This contest is determined to screw me over every time I take a risk with my battle points. Come on Warcraft, even though I really couldn't care about either game. Lacks the fun of TF2/Fable in that TF2's awesome and Fable's terrible, so I have much more reason to root.
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http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png
http://backloggery.com/big_bob
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/28/2010 10:27:19 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/drupal/node/22?matchnum=4086&num=2

Wow, this is close as ****.

I need W3 to win thoguh.
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/SpringFR.png
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/28/2010 10:30:21 AM | message detail
http://vaderweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/full-throttle-large.gif

Placeholder for the inevitable victory
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Placeholder anti-capslock sig.
Advokaiser | Posted 10/28/2010 10:43:12 AM | message detail
http://vaderweekly.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/full-throttle-large.gif

lol it gets me every time. It's hypnotizing.




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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:04:00 AM | message detail
Up
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Chex Warrior (Chex Quest) for CB2011
Greyfeld | Posted 10/28/2010 11:04:43 AM | message detail
It looks like Morrowind might be slowing down. Three updates in a row it's dipped under 200 votes for the update.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/28/2010 11:05:02 AM | message detail
And no joke, peak hours for Blizzard (especially Dota) are from around 8-midnight EST. I can't possibly imagine WC3 losing this if it's close, plus Albion's always around to rally the WoW forums if need be!
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://rpst.files.wordpress.com/2009/05/socialism_vs_capitalismashx.jpg
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:05:45 AM | message detail
From: Greyfeld | #009
It looks like Morrowind might be slowing down. Three updates in a row it's dipped under 200 votes for the update.

Don't try to glean anything from this match. It feels like TF2/Fable all over again.
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:|
backinblack167 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:05:52 AM | message detail
I don't really think WoW players really care very much about WC3.

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sc2us: MileS.151
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:06:03 AM | message detail
As if albion's rallying ever mattered.
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Nipaa~
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/28/2010 11:06:10 AM | message detail
Greyfeld, Albion, Justin: DO YOUR THINGS
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Around here, I'm the father, the son, and the Holy ****ing Spirit all rolled into one - Red Crow
TRE Public Account | Posted 10/28/2010 11:06:19 AM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
16------201--------99.00
15------1306------97.78
14------3885------95.88
13------6497------95.01
12------6614------92.49
11------5262------89.74
10------3379------87.81
9--------2160------84.91
8--------1048------82.35
7--------498--------81.93
6--------221--------74.21
5--------94----------65.96
4--------54----------51.85
3--------23----------47.83
2--------10----------20.00
1--------16----------0.00
0--------46----------4.35

Close yet again but not quite good enough. We were just two brackets away from the perfects going perfect. The prediction percetanges are pretty high be considering this is SSBM vs GH2, they were lower than I expected. We also lost two zero brackets on this match.

No one fell off the Top 50 this time.
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/28/2010 11:07:10 AM | message detail
It won't be that close. Warcaft to sail through and win by about 500 votes. At least i hope so, haven't banked since Sunshine/Halo 3
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/Ayaneff13.png
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/28/2010 11:07:14 AM | message detail
As if albion's rallying ever mattered.

http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/images/poll_graph.php?matchnum=3271&type=2&seconds=60&max=0
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:09:29 AM | message detail
come on, come on WCIII, don't let me down.
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Uguu~
Greyfeld | Posted 10/28/2010 11:11:46 AM | message detail
Greyfeld, Albion, Justin: DO YOUR THINGS

lol if you plan on anybody rallying for WC3 properly, bank on Albion, because I'm pretty much out of ideas. I have a thread going in the battlenet WC3 boards, but it only has 11 hits so far. I'm guessing it'll pick up as the day goes on, but for this time of day, I'm pretty much stuck with watching the poll.
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/28/2010 11:12:09 AM | message detail
c'mon WC, don't make me regret going against my bracket for the Oracle
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Oracle contest - 38th
Today's pick: Warcraft III - 52.7% Status: Decent
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:12:21 AM | message detail
get in, nice update!
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Nyuu~
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/28/2010 11:13:34 AM | message detail
lol if you plan on anybody rallying for WC3 properly, bank on Albion, because I'm pretty much out of ideas. I have a thread going in the battlenet WC3 boards, but it only has 11 hits so far.

Putting a link onto high traffic Battlenet servers peridocally is a much better way to rally.
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
Advokaiser | Posted 10/28/2010 11:13:48 AM | message detail
Go... Morrowind?

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/28/2010 11:14:33 AM | message detail
IN THE MIDST OF THE CHAOS

ONE MAN LOOKS VERY SILLY IN A CAPTAIN AMERICA SUIT


http://img502.imageshack.us/img502/1174/ew1127covercaptainameri.jpg
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http://8board.webs.com/doctor-who.jpg
Advokaiser | Posted 10/28/2010 11:16:47 AM | message detail
http://img502.imageshack.us/img502/1174/ew1127covercaptainameri.jpg

That's it. Marvel vs. Capcom 2 can't stand a chance.

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"I remember a time when someone called World of Warcraft 'World of WoW'"
pjbasis | Posted 10/28/2010 11:16:53 AM | message detail
It's not over!

Not by a longshot!
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:18:07 AM | message detail
warcraft III gonna have to dish out the big damage soon.
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Nyuu~
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/28/2010 11:21:34 AM | message detail
Gonna check back during ASV to see if its gotten any better by then. To New Vegas!
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/28/2010 11:25:39 AM | message detail

From: pjbasis | #026
It's not over!

Not by a longshot!


But is by a hookshot.
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/SpringFR.png
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:26:52 AM | message detail
nonononononon

sort this out warcraft you moron.
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Uguu~
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/28/2010 11:28:08 AM | message detail
Was Morrowind good with the ASV in the contest it was in? I wouldn't think it would be anywhere near as good with the ASV as Oblivion.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
pjbasis | Posted 10/28/2010 11:28:37 AM | message detail
But is by a hookshot.

Yet is not by a clawshot. Double or Single.
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/28/2010 11:29:59 AM | message detail
TP sucks.

Anyway I live in UK so what time is it in America? ASV is 3pm correct? well America has different time zones...when does ASV kick in?
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http://i98.photobucket.com/albums/l271/Mithos_2006/Ayaneff13.png
theawesomestevr | Posted 10/28/2010 11:31:08 AM | message detail
wow. 1 vote.
pjbasis | Posted 10/28/2010 11:31:22 AM | message detail
Morrowind lead by 1 point.

Epic epic epic

ASV start!
Greyfeld | Posted 10/28/2010 11:31:35 AM | message detail
Eastern ASV should be kicking in within the next half hour (Currently 230 PM on the east coast, 1130 on the west coast)
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:33:40 AM | message detail
ASV, favour WC.
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Nyuu~
paulg235 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:36:23 AM | message detail
Keep it up, MW.
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The Gamer In Me
"Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/28/2010 11:38:50 AM | message detail
WC3 is molesting Morrowind in CA which does not inspire great confidence in Morrowind once the second wave of the ASV hits.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:39:23 AM | message detail
damn the censorship of the R word.
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Hau hauu, omochi kaeri!
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:40:02 AM | message detail
This contest has been ridiculous in spitting out close matches - long may it continue!

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
hawk533 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:45:21 AM | message detail
What's the largest lead been this match? I haven't seen either game break the 200 vote barrier.
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"Why did you want to go to your house anyhow, Fah?" Ryoko asked.
"No reason. There would have been cookies though."
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/28/2010 11:47:00 AM | message detail
Morrowind wins
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Oracle contest - 38th
Today's pick: Warcraft III - 52.7% Status: Decent
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/28/2010 11:51:43 AM | message detail
From: hawk533 | #042
What's the largest lead been this match? I haven't seen either game break the 200 vote barrier.

110 by WC3.
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._.
voltch | Posted 10/28/2010 11:53:58 AM | message detail
how long till the expected WC surge?
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Hau hauu, omochi kaeri!
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/28/2010 11:57:22 AM | message detail
Well, early ASV looks to favor WC a bit. Late ASV should definately favor WC due to California.
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/28/2010 11:57:36 AM | message detail
ASV is starting with 2 WC3 cuts. Uhh... yeah.
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Demyx is better than Axel.
http://www.last.fm/user/crazydom
GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/28/2010 12:01:26 PM | message detail
1 vote lead again
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Oracle contest - 38th
Today's pick: Warcraft III - 52.7% Status: Decent
Haste_2 | Posted 10/28/2010 12:01:39 PM | message detail
So, guys.... how are you feeling about Brawl vs. Melee? Lately I've been feeling that Melee's going to win this.... I mean, look at the leaderboard. All the Smash picks are Melee.

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"Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?"
"Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think."
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/28/2010 12:07:09 PM | message detail
Well, 4 straight cuts for Warcraft. Think we can call it the one taking the ASV here?
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http://i.neoseeker.com/ca/fallout_new_vegas_conceptart_7XvFK.jpg