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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 930

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paulg235 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:00 PM | message detail
HL2 had 82.68% of brackets. Expected percentage.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:05 PM | message detail
It's a shame Melee doesn't get to show off its ASV until round 5.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:28 PM | message detail
Brawl would only have like 85% ;)
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:31 PM | message detail
Nice vote totals too.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 14/16 Today's Matches: SSBM & WC3
legendmusketeer | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:36 PM | message detail
Brawl will have something to say about this.
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LM
paulg235 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:05:57 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #202
It's a shame Melee doesn't get to show off its ASV until round 5.


It's a shame it won;t get that far.
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Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/27/2010 9:07:05 PM | message detail
Aw yeah hanging on to that 90% at the freeze

A shame it'll slip a little. I kind of just want to see Melee keep rising, every update, forever. Especially after listening to my music-game-obsessed brother CLACK CLACK CLACK on that stupid plastic guitar every day for the last three years.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/27/2010 9:07:22 PM | message detail
I highly doubt Brawl can match this performance, even in an SFF match. It's ****ing done.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:07:44 PM | message detail
Melee just hanging onto 90% at the freeze. In all seriousness, Brawl probably will respond with something impressive- and neither that nor this really means that much. I was anticipating 3 rounds of Brawl impressing and Melee disappointing due to Brawl getting all day matches while Melee gets all night matches, and that wouldn't have mattered. This probably doesn't mean much either since Guitar Hero is probably just really weak and/or getting SFF'd.

But it's so much fun to say BRAWL DEBOOST.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/27/2010 9:08:16 PM | message detail
Nice vote totals too.

Not that impressive.
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Biolizard28 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:08:25 PM | message detail
GH: OH GOD STOP YOU'RE KILLING ME WHY ARE YOU KILLING ME?
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SnoicFactor | Posted 10/27/2010 9:09:13 PM | message detail
i think brawl would match this % atm, theyre about even prolly
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:10:28 PM | message detail
Not as big of a drop as I thought.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 14/16 Today's Matches: SSBM & WC3
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail
Huh, Brawl didn't drop much at all. It might end up over 85% here
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/27/2010 9:10:41 PM | message detail
This match says little about how SSBB's going to compare to SSBM. All we can really get is that SSBM wants to kick some ass this contest, which we knew beforehand.

Also, remember that RB2's the biggest music-game here...and it lost to Deus Ex.
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/27/2010 9:10:52 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
15------207--------97.10
14------1348------96.44
13------4022------95.40
12------6891------91.60
11------7046------85.65
10------5318------79.94
9--------3313------69.79
8--------1763------65.74
7--------774--------57.36
6--------333--------50.45
5--------136--------41.18
4--------61----------22.95
3--------29----------24.14
2--------11----------9.09
1--------16----------0.00
0--------46----------0.00

Nice prediction percentages near the top. Not quite perfect, though. We better have a group go perfect on the current match. The 0s and 1s managed to all get the match "right".

2 people fell off the Top 50 today. Espeon200 and Capt_Spoony had Left 4 Dead 2 beating Half-Life 2.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 9:11:05 PM | message detail
No doubt in my mind that Brawl would be doing the exact same thing to GH2.

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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 9:13:20 PM | message detail
And yeah, its kinda silly to write off Brawl just because Melee is killing a music game, especially mainly with the board vote. Brawl would be doing the same thing here, we all know that.
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SnoicFactor | Posted 10/27/2010 9:15:39 PM | message detail
melee getting owned in % now
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Sonic_Factor
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:16:00 PM | message detail
It's like we all forgot Deus Ex defeated Rock Band 2 or something. Still massive blowouts are fun to watch for a while then go to bed.

Melee down to 89%
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 14/16 Today's Matches: SSBM & WC3
abdou | Posted 10/27/2010 9:16:05 PM | message detail
Would GH2 beat Rock Band 2?
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 9:16:14 PM | message detail
a 1% drop from the board vote is hardly "being owned". Though it should bleed all night; GH2 has like 23% in Europe and 21% in Asia.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:17:22 PM | message detail
Would GH2 beat Rock Band 2?

I would lean towards no.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 14/16 Today's Matches: SSBM & WC3
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/27/2010 9:17:33 PM | message detail
Brawl would be doing the same thing here, we all know that.

Maybe, maybe not. Anti-votes may have been enough to stop a killing of this size.
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Hochimihnister | Posted 10/27/2010 9:19:27 PM | message detail
Am I supposed to be impressed by this? Super Mario Sunshine could probably clear 90% on Guitar Hero II
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/27/2010 9:20:00 PM | message detail

From: Team Rocket Elite | #224
Brawl would be doing the same thing here, we all know that.

Maybe, maybe not. Anti-votes may have been enough to stop a killing of this size.


All 10 tourney-nerds that go to this board?
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/27/2010 9:20:06 PM | message detail
Melee = Rawr
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/27/2010 9:25:00 PM | message detail
Well, they aren't a particularly large group but it doesn't take too much to have an affect when GH2 only has 373 votes.
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transcience | Posted 10/27/2010 9:26:32 PM | message detail
congratulations, Melee, you're beating up a rhythm game

this apparently means you're going to win the whole contest, no other game could possibly do this
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iphonesience
FastFalcon05 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:27:38 PM | message detail
Do we have any actual polls that include both Melee and Brawl?

Otherwise I'm pretty much just going to dismiss Brawl's strength as Melee support. What comparisons have there been between the two?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:32:17 PM | message detail
Actually, nothing broke 82% in a poll in the entirety of the last contest. So, we haven't seen anything pull off 82%+ in a contest since 2006!
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
AcesHigh666 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:34:39 PM | message detail
soooo I still think Sands of Time an beat Modern Warfare, am I missing something? because I thought the internet loved Sands of Time and all the prudes looked down on mindless shooters like Modern Warfare
kinsho3 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:34:39 PM | message detail

From: transcience | #159
congratulations, Melee, you're beating up a rhythm game

this apparently means you're going to win the whole contest, no other game could possibly do this


THE DAMN TRUTH
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_foolmoron_ | Posted 10/27/2010 9:36:02 PM | message detail

From: transcience | #229
congratulations, Melee, you're beating up a rhythm game

this apparently means you're going to win the whole contest, no other game could possibly do this


Stop exaggerating

It's more like: Congrats, Melee, you're beating up a rhythm game of low but unknown strength 9:1 15 minutes into the match. This means that Melee will win, because there's no way SSBB or FFX could have performed this well, even though their matches haven't even gone yet, so nobody knows.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/27/2010 9:37:04 PM | message detail

From: _foolmoron_ | #234
Stop exaggerating

It's more like: Congrats, Melee, you're beating up a rhythm game of low but unknown strength 9:1 15 minutes into the match. This means that Melee will win, because there's no way SSBB or FFX could have performed this well, even though their matches haven't even gone yet, so nobody knows.


It's more like: congrats, you didn't read between the lines.
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 9:37:18 PM | message detail
Do we have any actual polls that include both Melee and Brawl?

Otherwise I'm pretty much just going to dismiss Brawl's strength as Melee support. What comparisons have there been between the two?


Probably the closest we have right now is gauging Brawl/Melee strength by comparing their percentages against FFX in last year's 4-way brackets.

No matter how much you agonize over them though, they look pretty damn even. I, personally, think the edge goes to Melee, but I can't guarantee that.
kinsho3 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:39:07 PM | message detail

From: FastFalcon05 | #160
Do we have any actual polls that include both Melee and Brawl?

Otherwise I'm pretty much just going to dismiss Brawl's strength as Melee support. What comparisons have there been between the two?


As far as I'm aware, no polls exist that include both Melee and Brawl.

People tried comparing the two via their performance in the last Games Contest. In my opinion, it's a bit of a risky comparison given that both Melee and Brawl's final matches were affected by SFF.
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It takes a genius to make something simple truly great.
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medicority | Posted 10/27/2010 9:44:01 PM | message detail
how many brackets do you think will be gone once melee/brawl happens? 25% off one match?
lightsout06 | Posted 10/27/2010 9:48:31 PM | message detail
boring match is boring
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The Don Makaveli | Posted 10/27/2010 9:50:59 PM | message detail
25%? more like 45 or 55 depending on the winner. Lossing a match in the sweet 16 is the end of your chances of winning, especially in this match where the winner will progress at least another round, if not more (could even win it).
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 10:03:27 PM | message detail
Any more thoughts on tomorrow's Morrowind/WC3 match? I'm very surprised at how little people have been discussing it.
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 10:09:57 PM | message detail
For the record, I haven't been able to find any semblance of solid stats to compare the two games since that 2002 poll. Morrowind pulled third in a first round 4-way last year over Silent Hill 2, but I don't really see it as a very telling poll, since it got beaten by MGS2 and FFX. And Warcraft 3 hasn't been in a poll since 2003, unless you want to count the character battles the last few years with Thrall and Arthas.
whatev | Posted 10/27/2010 10:09:57 PM | message detail
Most likely, no one's discussing it because there's not much that can be discussed. Morrowind is most likely weaker than SC/D2/WoW. WC3 is also most likely going to be weaker than those three, but we don't know by how much. Also, there's the old poll where WC3 whooped on Morrowind, but few people believe that it has much relevance to the current match.

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/27/2010 10:26:54 PM | message detail
Starcraft probably beats Morrowind pretty comfortably, if you compare their R1 performances (Starcraft did a bit better against FF8 than Morrowind did on MGS2, and believe me, FF8 beats MGS2 easily)... so, there's the gap between SC and Warcraft we have to wonder about, and then there's the issue of whether SC2 has increased the strength of the Warcraft games. I'm leaning towards WC3, but anything could happen.

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/27/2010 10:27:51 PM | message detail
And, Deus Ex suddenly looks really, really crappy again.

Oh, wate, this is obviously party game SFF!

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Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 10:32:29 PM | message detail
what I really wish is that I could see the poll that got Morrowind and WC3 their seed positions. I've checked the vote-in polls and neither of them are listed on any of them.
creativename | Posted 10/27/2010 10:35:57 PM | message detail
This result mainly shows how pathetic GH2 is. Brawl would be deviating by a couple percentage points at most. Even FFX wouldn't be more than a few points off.

Melee has a great chance against Brawl, but it always did. This match wasn't going to give us much info about Melee, just about GH2.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 10:36:07 PM | message detail
Like I said in another topic about it, even if its close, Battlenet is gonna make sure it wins. Its kinda like TF2/Fable... as long as its a close match, you bet on the one with the rallying potential, and thats Warcraft.
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 10:41:47 PM | message detail
heh.. that reminds me, i should dig up my old battlenet account. haven't played WC3 in ages
WiiBrawal | Posted 10/27/2010 10:48:52 PM | message detail
Super Smash Bros. Melee 89.01%

10268
Guitar Hero II 10.99%

1268

9000 vote lead.