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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 930

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creativename | Posted 10/27/2010 7:40:47 PM | message detail
Do we have any real reason to believe the Pokemon games really deviate a ton in strength though? I'm sure it's quite a lot weaker than GSC, but GSC would probably thrash GTA4 badly.
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Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/27/2010 7:41:11 PM | message detail

From: Big Bob | #098
It's not "Pokemon vs. GTA", it's "The worst Pokemon generation" vs. "the best-selling GTA game". [citation needed]


Yeah but worst pokemon generation is relative to the other pokemon generations. It was still a really fun game (and the pokemon I've put the most hours into, personally). I don't think that it's nearly on the same level as sunshine, which is worse because Pokemon > Mario in games contests, from what I can tell, and Sunshine wasn't just the worst 3D mario, but it completely changed the formula, which wasn't a great decision. RSE is just the worst of an awesome series that's consistent throughout. I mean something has to be the worst. It's not necessarily a black sheep like Sunshine is because Sunshine is just so vastly different because it changes the mechanics completely.
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~Acting on Impulse~
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 7:43:23 PM | message detail
RSE won't deviate a ton from DP, but it's pretty much guaranteed to be worse.

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DFF
creativename | Posted 10/27/2010 7:43:57 PM | message detail
Anyone have the latest results from the BOP? The older one I have shows RSE with 22 picks vs.12 for GTA4. So I don't get people talking about GTA like it's the favorite.

From: KamikazePotato | #459
GTAIV looked a good bit stronger than D/P least year. D/P>R/S/E. It seems kind of simple to me.


DP might've been underrated because it was with Galaxy. Though I'm not sure if that mattered or not.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 7:44:29 PM | message detail
The BOP/Guru also favored Sunshine over Halo 3.

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DFF
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/27/2010 7:44:50 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #099
GTAIV looked a good bit stronger than D/P least year. D/P>R/S/E. It seems kind of simple to me.


question

where are you getting this information from because i can't find it
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~Acting on Impulse~
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 7:45:03 PM | message detail
I could be 100% wrong, but I just don't see GTA beating a main series pokemon game. If we were talking GTA:SA against RSE, and it was a night match, I MIGHT give it the benefit of the doubt. But as it is, GTA3 (which I would take to beat GTA4 any day of the week) couldn't even double LittleBigPlanet. I think it's safe to assume that RSE has the first round locked (possibly even the second round, considering how poorly Galaxy seems to do in these contests).
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 7:45:21 PM | message detail
The BOP is in my sig, RSE is favoured 2:1 in that match.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
transients | Posted 10/27/2010 7:46:01 PM | message detail
I think I took Pokemon because it was a day match. I kinda feel bad picking it over GTA4 but whatever. one point match.
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xyzzy
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 7:47:19 PM | message detail

From: Justin_Crossing | #106
question

where are you getting this information from because i can't find it


Uh just look at the comparisans I posted earlier where GTAIV ended up looking statistically better than Galaxy. Galaxy beat DP.

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DFF
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/27/2010 7:53:32 PM | message detail
It's not "Pokemon vs. GTA", it's "The worst Pokemon generation" vs. "the best-selling GTA game". [citation needed]

"The worst Pokemon generation" Vs. "The worst GTA" would be more correct. GTA IV is more disliked than San Andreas, so it should be the weakest of the bunch.
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Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename
transients | Posted 10/27/2010 7:54:44 PM | message detail
is there any proof GTA4 is the weakest GTA?
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xyzzy
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 7:57:40 PM | message detail
Based on last year no, but like L4D the game could have settled and be weaker today.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
creativename | Posted 10/27/2010 8:04:06 PM | message detail
Thanks charmander.

From: KamikazePotato | #505
The BOP/Guru also favored Sunshine over Halo 3.


Favorite is different than guarantee. That's one match.

People talking about GTA4 vs. Galaxy like it's a given makes no sense at all, considering GTA4 is a sizable underdog to even get there.

And yes, my guess is that GTA4 is the weakest GTA, although they're probably all around the same strength.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 8:05:49 PM | message detail
It's only an underdog if you don't look at past results.

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DFF
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/27/2010 8:06:51 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #115
It's only an underdog if you don't look at past results.


are you sure

Mario/Pokemon has nintendo SFF, and D/P weren't nearly as respected as they are now because Platinum wasn't out yet. Platinum basically raised everyone's opinions of 4th gen like fivefold.
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~Acting on Impulse~
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/27/2010 8:08:37 PM | message detail
So wanting to use this image in the future, like FFX vs FFIX.

http://lpix.org/images/The%20White%20Dragon/01d51c874d5c0f1c1e494ad2875da888/PSOGL2_224.jpg
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Wylvane
CombuskenEngine is a horrible user.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/27/2010 8:08:50 PM | message detail
San Andreas is disliked? Man, I thought everyone realized that was the best one.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 8:09:10 PM | message detail
Pokemon has never had significant overlap with anything. They hurt each other, but it wasn't by much. And even if DP is stronger, I still would've taken it in 2009 over RSE.

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DFF
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:09:44 PM | message detail
It's only an underdog if you don't look at past results.

Says the person who took LBP over GTA3.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:10:55 PM | message detail
Match XVII: (1) Super Smash Bros. Melee vs. (16) Guitar Hero II

Information

Name: Super Smash Bros. Melee
Year: 2001
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 4th in round 4

Name: Guitar Hero II
Year: 2006
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

It took a while to realize how much of a beating Guitar Hero II was going to get in this match, but after looking at some factors almost nothing is going to go Guitar Hero II’s way. Melee is the first game so far to have a great chance at winning the contest so it’ll be interesting to see what its first impression is going to look like.

With Rock Band 2 flopping to Deus Ex earlier my faith in rhythm based games are reached an all-time low. As awesome as Deus Ex was the game has shown to be fairly weak on GameFAQs and I don’t see any reason other than Rock Band 2’s weakness for why it has won. I also figure that Rock Band 2 is the stronger game out of the two, but Guitar Hero II does hold a special place in the heart of some fans since it was the last game before the series sold out on the fans.

Guitar Hero II couldn’t even defeat Wii Sports in the battle for apathy in a 12-way match where apathy voting should be at its lowest. Also like Halo Guitar Hero II was a game played when friends came over and like Halo last year it is possible that Melee could crush it even worse than usual since the Smash series is the king of multi-player parties on GameFAQs. I wouldn’t be surprised if Melee pushed 90% which would make it a great start for its title bid.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Super Smash Bros. Melee > Guitar Hero II

charmander6000’s Prediction: Super Smash Bros. Melee wins, 86.22% - 13.78%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:11:22 PM | message detail
I know you guys want to talk about your pokemon and all, but can we address a more immediate toss-up match? Namely Warcraft3/Morrowind? I want to know others' opinions of that match, as it starts tomorrow morning.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/27/2010 8:11:53 PM | message detail
I took GTA3 over LBP.

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DFF
lightsout06 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:12:39 PM | message detail
Im voting GH II just cause
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R.I.P Halo 2
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:14:06 PM | message detail
I know you guys want to talk about your pokemon and all, but can we address a more immediate toss-up match? Namely Warcraft3/Morrowind? I want to know others' opinions of that match, as it starts tomorrow morning.

As decent as Morrowind was last contest it was in a match with 3 other PS2 games (whether that means anything is debatable) while Warcraft III has some breathing room between Morrowind and Starcraft/Diablo II/WoW.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/27/2010 8:14:14 PM | message detail
Unless you expect GTAIV to take a nasty drop since last contest (not a crazy idea)

Niko took an absolutely massive tumble in between the last two Character Battles, so I wouldn't be surprised if GTAIV was quite a bit weaker as well.

I'm personally betting on Pokemon, and I'm feeling fairly confident about it - for the moment, I'm not planning on banking. I don't think RSE is as disliked as some think; though it's the least popular Pokemon generation, it was still the top-selling GBA game by a mile, and most people I've talked to like it - just not as much as the other games. On the other hand, GTAIV is quite possibly the most frequent answer whenever a "Most Overrated Game Ever" topic rolls around.

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 11
Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime "aww yeah"
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/27/2010 8:15:21 PM | message detail
What what it's worth, Pokemon RSE is the generation Mudkip and Zigzagoon are from.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:15:26 PM | message detail
I do know one thing The Elder Scrolls fans are the worst whinners I've ever seen.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:16:18 PM | message detail
As decent as Morrowind was last contest it was in a match with 3 other PS2 games (whether that means anything is debatable) while Warcraft III has some breathing room between Morrowind and Starcraft/Diablo II/WoW.

What do you mean when you say WC3 has breathing room between Morrowind and the others?
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:17:44 PM | message detail
Niko took an absolutely massive tumble in between the last two Character Battles, so I wouldn't be surprised if GTAIV was quite a bit weaker as well.

True, but the last game contest was sandwiched between the two Character Battles and I'd suspect that Niko would have lost most of his strength from before the contest than after.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
lightsout06 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:18:05 PM | message detail
I have Morrowind winning in my bracket, but i think im going to bank that match
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R.I.P Halo 2
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/27/2010 8:19:21 PM | message detail
What do you mean when you say WC3 has breathing room between Morrowind and the others?

WC3 is probably going to be weaker than Starcraft/Diablo II/WoW. We not sure how much exactly but there's enough room between Starcraft/Diablo II/WoW and Morrowind for WC3 to be somewhat weaker before bumping into Morrowind.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:19:26 PM | message detail
What do you mean when you say WC3 has breathing room between Morrowind and the others?

Diablo II, Starcraft and World of Warcraft all finished above Morrowind last contest. I do however feel that Warcraft III is the weakest between them.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/27/2010 8:19:33 PM | message detail
What what it's worth, Pokemon RSE is the generation Mudkip and Zigzagoon are from.

And Kecleon! :D

I do know one thing The Elder Scrolls fans are the worst whinners I've ever seen.

Deus Ex fans are worse, in my opinion. Also, fans of the show "Community."

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 11
Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime "aww yeah"
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/27/2010 8:20:58 PM | message detail
True, but the last game contest was sandwiched between the two Character Battles and I'd suspect that Niko would have lost most of his strength from before the contest than after.

Hmm, that's a good point. I always think the last Games Contest was in 2008, for some reason. >_>

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 11
Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime "aww yeah"
ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/27/2010 8:21:52 PM | message detail
man I remember Morrowind losing last year

the BAAAAAAWWWWW was heard across the site

even on dead boards that hadn't had a post in two years

BAAAAAAWWWW MAH ELDER SCROLLZ

man Morrowind is in my top 10 games of all time and I don't go whinin' about it losing
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:23:03 PM | message detail
I'm glad we're finally going to get to see a top 10 game in action tonight. It's debatable whether or not we've even seen a top 20 game so far this contest, which is quite astonishing after 3 divisions. I'm rather expecting Melee to disappoint though- one, it's a night match, and two, I think Smash looked weaker last contest than most people gave it credit for.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/27/2010 8:23:38 PM | message detail
I don't know if means really means anything in the end, but looking at their respective match pics, WCIII definitely stands out.
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
Thethhhron | Posted 10/27/2010 8:24:05 PM | message detail
It's melee. It doesn't matter if it's a night match or not. Everyone loves it. It's a great game, in general.
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:25:00 PM | message detail
Diablo II, Starcraft and World of Warcraft all finished above Morrowind last contest. I do however feel that Warcraft III is the weakest between them.

You don't think the xbox ASV in conjunction with the rise of Oblivion is going to add fuel to a Morrowind upset?
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/27/2010 8:25:29 PM | message detail
The Morrowind whining was pretty bad...

...but Deus Ex fans were whining about their game's margin of victory! It was a massive underdog that nonetheless won the match, and they were still whining. Talk about obnoxious. :\

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 11
Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime "aww yeah"
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/27/2010 8:26:50 PM | message detail
What is with this board thinking RSE is so hated in the Pokemon community?? I never got that impression at all. It might be the least favorite of the generations, but do you really think it matters to Pokefans when it's going against GTA of all damn games?
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:27:32 PM | message detail
Deus Ex fans are worse, in my opinion. Also, fans of the show "Community."

Deus Ex fans lost a lot of points for whining about winning, but TES fans are much worse.

Remember when Oblivion only made it to the third round before looking respectable?
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:27:58 PM | message detail
What is with this board thinking RSE is so hated in the Pokemon community?? I never got that impression at all. It might be the least favorite of the generations, but do you really think it matters to Pokefans when it's going against GTA of all damn games?

It probably has to do with the vocal minority that seem to think anything after GSC sucks.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/27/2010 8:29:02 PM | message detail
I don't know if means really means anything in the end, but looking at their respective match pics, WCIII definitely stands out.

You're probably right, though for what it's worth, I actually think Morrowind's boxart is pretty good. Though not flashy by any means, it's a classy boxart nonetheless.

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 11
Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime "aww yeah"
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:29:52 PM | message detail
...but Deus Ex fans were whining about their game's margin of victory! It was a massive underdog that nonetheless won the match, and they were still whining. Talk about obnoxious. :\

If you were an outsider and didn't know much about the contest you would think Deus Ex should have won that by a lot more than it did. They didn't know it was a massive underdog.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/27/2010 8:31:20 PM | message detail
I took Warcraft but I really have no idea what the hell's going to happen in that match.

As for Pokemon, I think in terms of contest strength it's going to be like this:

RBY > GSC > DPP > RSE

With a small gap between RBY and GSC, big gap between GSC and DPP, and small gap between DPP and RSE. Gen 3 is great - I love all four gens and await the fifth anxiously - but it was the most recent gen during Pokemon's worst years, after the inital Pokefever had died off but before it came roaring back with gen 4 and stopped getting antivoted so much. I think RSE will beat GTA4 and then lose gracefully to Galaxy.
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:31:42 PM | message detail
You don't think the xbox ASV in conjunction with the rise of Oblivion is going to add fuel to a Morrowind upset?

I assume Morrowind had that advantage last contest, though if it wasn't for Oblivion no one would probably be having this conversation right now.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Greyfeld | Posted 10/27/2010 8:34:10 PM | message detail
I assume Morrowind had that advantage last contest, though if it wasn't for Oblivion no one would probably be having this conversation right now.

Tbh, I don't actually remember when Oblivion came out. Though this contest thusfar has shown a strong tendency to avoid series-voting, I'd feel a lot better about WC3 if this were a night match.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:34:40 PM | message detail
Oh it matters that it's a night match. Day Smash and Night Smash are worlds apart. Day Smash is a top 5 game, Night Smash is not top 10. Well, okay, top 5 and top 15 aren't worlds apart, but the day/night spread for Smash is about as big as it gets. Probably only KH's is bigger.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.