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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 929

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/27/2010 2:09:33 AM | message detail
Time | Okami | NM Heroes | Votes
0:05 | 75.86% | 24.14% | 667
1:00 | 73.36% | 26.64% | 5927
2:00 | 73.21% | 26.79% | 4931
3:00 | 71.74% | 28.26% | 4681
4:00 | 72.14% | 27.86% | 4791
5:00 | 70.05% | 29.95% | 4721
6:00 | 70.07% | 29.93% | 4451
7:00 | 71.68% | 28.32% | 4280
8:00 | 70.01% | 29.99% | 3788
9:00 | 70.32% | 29.68% | 3376
10:00 | 70.71% | 29.29% | 3015
11:00 | 70.44% | 29.56% | 2825
12:00 | 71.28% | 28.72% | 2444

Okami gets off to a great start, as you would expect, but it lost the ASV to NMH pretty handily. That can't be good. Still, it managed to bring in a decent number of votes despite being cult vs. cult.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/27/2010 2:15:33 AM | message detail
No More Herlols
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/27/2010 2:19:46 AM | message detail
Time | Symphonia | RE5 | Votes
0:05 | 56.75% | 43.25% | 1177
1:00 | 54.87% | 45.13% | 7824
2:00 | 52.50% | 47.50% | 4495
3:00 | 51.86% | 48.14% | 3276
4:00 | 52.77% | 47.23% | 2475
5:00 | 49.78% | 50.22% | 2011
6:00 | 51.29% | 48.71% | 1936
7:00 | 51.42% | 48.58% | 2390
8:00 | 49.25% | 50.75% | 2729
9:00 | 51.68% | 48.32% | 3156
10:00 | 52.50% | 47.50% | 3179
11:00 | 51.71% | 48.29% | 3336
12:00 | 50.57% | 49.43% | 3075

Oh look, Symphonia managed to win a one-on-one match against the most recent game in a big series. Even with RE's traditionally strong night vote, it was only able to win two hours. That's a good sign.

*looks at next match*

Uh oh.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/27/2010 2:27:41 AM | message detail
Time | God of War | Left 4 Dead | Votes
0:05 | 67.72% | 32.28% | 632
1:00 | 66.87% | 33.13% | 5991
2:00 | 66.79% | 33.21% | 4945
3:00 | 65.06% | 34.94% | 4662
4:00 | 65.58% | 34.42% | 4907
5:00 | 63.95% | 36.05% | 4893
6:00 | 64.98% | 35.02% | 4606
7:00 | 64.45% | 35.55% | 4427
8:00 | 64.63% | 35.37% | 3837
9:00 | 64.22% | 35.78% | 3468
10:00 | 65.24% | 34.76% | 3311
11:00 | 64.61% | 35.39% | 2916
12:00 | 66.45% | 33.55% | 2620

Okay, what happened to that awful board vote and great ASV Kratos is supposed to have? What a weird match. GoW has a great first two hours and a great final hour. L4D does pretty well with the ASV though.
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voltch | Posted 10/27/2010 2:31:19 AM | message detail
Climbing back up the ladder!
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Pizzaknight | Posted 10/27/2010 3:10:01 AM | message detail
The next match I'm REALLY anticipating is WWF: NM/FE: PoR aka.........

The Rock Boost vs. Brawl Boost

Will The Rock lay out the commander of the Greil Mercenearies with the Rock Bottom? Or will The Most Electrifying Man In Sports Entertainment get no sympathy from Ike's Aether?

I've got PoR winning in bracket, but I do realize it could go either way. I may just bank on this one in battle.
ffmasterjose | Posted 10/27/2010 3:40:56 AM | message detail
What's this, a debated match I got right? well there's a first lol
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10/14 points - GameFAQs' Game of the Decade Contest
NP: Grand Theft Auto III > LittleBigPlanet | Half-Life 2 > Left 4 Dead 2
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 4:01:38 AM | message detail
This match was debated?

Haha.

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GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/27/2010 4:06:29 AM | message detail
I picked Paper Mario TTYD over Gears purely as a fanboy pick since we don't know much about TTYD. Of course, as weak as Gears is, who knows how TTYD will do? Hopefully well, since it's a pretty damn awesome game!
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 4:12:51 AM | message detail
People were expecting LBP to win?As for Half-Life 2>Prime it can happen...
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 4:14:25 AM | message detail
LBP > Left 4 Dead/Left 4 Dead 2?

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GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 4:17:27 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #304
Okay, what happened to that awful board vote and great ASV Kratos is supposed to have? What a weird match. GoW has a great first two hours and a great final hour. L4D does pretty well with the ASV though.


GoW lost the ASV to ToS. That match looked about right for GoW, the only difference being the board vote which isn't as big a factor in day matches due to the different start time.

Also I hope this result will shut up the GoW to round 4 people. Also as a reminder GoW should only get about 52% on ToS based of last year and assuming a stable ToS. However, there is a new GoW game coming out in a few days.
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transience | Posted 10/27/2010 4:21:13 AM | message detail
Also as a reminder GoW should only get about 52% on ToS based of last year and assuming a stable ToS.

you keep repeating this as if it means something.
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xyzzy
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 4:23:39 AM | message detail
Sometimes it is necessary to repeat yourself.

Hell, I think we should all know by now that that's what internet discussions entirely consist of.
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Xcarvenger | Posted 10/27/2010 4:28:10 AM | message detail
However, there is a new GoW game coming out in a few days.

Yeah, a PSP game will help oh so much
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 4:30:20 AM | message detail
But if I may be serious for a minute.

It's no less meaningless than the assumptions that GoW will do any better than expected. L4D is basically untested other than last year. We have no indication of whether or not gettin 65% on it is good or bad-the only thing we have is 2009's stats. They aren't great, but they're all we have. I am not repeating something meaningless, but trying to apply a little evidence to assumptions people are making which are practically baseless. At least I have a basis for those statements.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 4:31:40 AM | message detail

From: Xcarvenger | #315
However, there is a new GoW game coming out in a few days.

Yeah, a PSP game will help oh so much


It'll crack the top 10 games, probably. Meaning it'll bring quite a lot of GoW fans to the site.

Not that I'm expecting much, but it'll help a little, unless it dies down in record speed.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/27/2010 4:45:06 AM | message detail
Except there's probably a reason why Dissidia and Crisis Core are in this contest while Chains of Olympus isn't.

And wow apparently I was a joke for betting against GTA. What is likely the weakest game in the series is actually impressing, and, well, this can only be a good sign for other GTAs, so shut up with that GS > SA upset. I still think GTAIV could lose, but didn't Pokemon Emerald come out at the height of Poke-hate?

So I have four missed advances in my bracket so far: Deus Ex, Street Fighter IV, Mega Man 9, Grand Theft Auto III. I originally picked the latter three to advance, too, so that's nuts, but I put too much stock into the seeding sometimes. I figured that these are games we haven't seen often and that seeding might help, but apparently, just like with characters, seeding is meaningless, except maybe a little more meaningful because we won't get any 15 > 2 upsets. Next time, oh, next time...
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 4:56:39 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #318
Except there's probably a reason why Dissidia and Crisis Core are in this contest while Chains of Olympus isn't.


Well obviously, but PSP games from far weaker series than GoW(Phantasy Star, Persona) have breached the top 10 games before, I'm sure Ghost of Sparta will as well. I don't give PSP games a lot of credit but every little helps.
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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/27/2010 4:58:39 AM | message detail
except maybe a little more meaningful because we won't get any 15 > 2 upsets

Sims > SotC

believe
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/27/2010 5:56:57 AM | message detail

From: LinkMarioSamus | #318
Except there's probably a reason why Dissidia and Crisis Core are in this contest while Chains of Olympus isn't.

And wow apparently I was a joke for betting against GTA. What is likely the weakest game in the series is actually impressing, and, well, this can only be a good sign for other GTAs, so shut up with that GS > SA upset. I still think GTAIV could lose, but didn't Pokemon Emerald come out at the height of Poke-hate?

So I have four missed advances in my bracket so far: Deus Ex, Street Fighter IV, Mega Man 9, Grand Theft Auto III. I originally picked the latter three to advance, too, so that's nuts, but I put too much stock into the seeding sometimes. I figured that these are games we haven't seen often and that seeding might help, but apparently, just like with characters, seeding is meaningless, except maybe a little more meaningful because we won't get any 15 > 2 upsets. Next time, oh, next time...


GTAIII weakest GTA? yeah i wiouldn't take any of your future predictions seriously.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 6:00:31 AM | message detail
He probably means weakest mainline 3D GTA.
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GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/27/2010 6:09:21 AM | message detail
Well yes, I meant weakest GTA we've seen in a contest.
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 6:10:54 AM | message detail
Match XVI: (2) Half-Life 2 vs. (15) Left 4 Dead 2

Information

Name: Half-Life 2
Year: 2004
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 – 4th in round 2

Name: Left 4 Dead 2
Year: 2009
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

Less than 24 hours ago we saw Left 4 Dead 2’s older brother get smashed by God of War and it’s expected that the same will happen in this match. Some people debate which of the two Left 4 Dead games are stronger, but I have a feeling that the original one may have the edge. The game made a huge splash when it was released compare to the second one and while the first seems to have faded based on the last match the second one lost to Phoenix Wright: Trials and Tribulations in the vote-in.

Big things are expected out of Half-Life 2 with it being the favourite to win this division and having a possible chance against Fallout 3. It’s kind of weird how quickly Half-Life and Gordon Freeman have turned around on GameFAQs; if you told me Half-Life 2 had a chance at reaching the semi-finals in a game of the decade contest in 2006 I would have said you were crazy.

Based on the performance of Left 4 Dead a couple of matches ago I think it’s safe to assume that Half-Life 2 should get above that, if it doesn’t that could spell trouble for the future. Some people have been talking about Valve SFF which I think is ridiculous unless the match is between two The Orange Box titles.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Half-Life 2 > Left 4 Dead 2

charmander6000’s Prediction: Half-Life 2 wins, 73.26% - 26.74%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/27/2010 6:14:41 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #322
He probably means weakest mainline 3D GTA.


It's above IV and probably Vice city. Definitely IV. SA>III>VC>IV imo.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 6:16:55 AM | message detail
SA > III = VC > IV

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GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
Advokaiser | Posted 10/27/2010 6:16:58 AM | message detail
Sims > SotC

believe


Extremely popular, yet extremely unlikely.


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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 6:18:09 AM | message detail
Golden Sun is likely a lot stronger than LBP, I'd take III over SA(III is by far the least hated) and remember, the first Golden Sun game in 7 years comes out on the day of the match. The site's gonna get a lot of Golden Sun traffic.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 6:19:24 AM | message detail
It's above IV and probably Vice city. Definitely IV. SA>III>VC>IV imo.

Between hardcore fans this is true, but in reality VC would win over III. Not too sure what to think of IV, but if it comes in like it did last year it'll be stronger than III as well.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 6:21:35 AM | message detail
Everybody ignored my question earlier...

LBP > L4D/L4D2?

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GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 6:23:50 AM | message detail
Golden Sun is likely a lot stronger than LBP, I'd take III over SA(III is by far the least hated) and remember, the first Golden Sun game in 7 years comes out on the day of the match. The site's gonna get a lot of Golden Sun traffic.

First why is GS stronger than LBP? I mean it could be, but we have almost nothing on either game.

I don't think GS is the type of games where tens of thousands flock to get it on the first day, especially if Nintendo doesn't start advertising it.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 6:25:29 AM | message detail
Everybody ignored my question earlier...

LBP > L4D/L4D2?


L4D2 yes, L4D maybe.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
voltch | Posted 10/27/2010 6:25:52 AM | message detail
yeah, I'd start calling GS's strength once we actually see it in a proper match.
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FFI3_Lightning | Posted 10/27/2010 6:26:01 AM | message detail
I have no idea how strong GS is but it's getting past 1st round easily.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3998

GS despite having only TWO games got more votes than Fire Emblem, Animal crossing and earthbound. Though this poll isn't really a good representation because of the SFF raping.

And i have SOTC>Sims. I can't see sims doing anything on a well established arbeit mid tier PS2 game. A classic as well.
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/27/2010 6:30:21 AM | message detail
Yes, GTAIII will probably be stronger than GTAIV. I still think GTAIV and Gears of War will lose, but Pokemon Platinum's performance will be highly telling; if the game fails to break 60% then I think we'll call it quits on RSE > GTAIV.
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/27/2010 7:09:49 AM | message detail
Sims > SOTC was a viable upset pick until we saw Deus Ex beat Rock Band 2. Now you'd have to be looney to think that upset was plausible.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 7:26:31 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #331
First why is GS stronger than LBP? I mean it could be, but we have almost nothing on either game.

I don't think GS is the type of games where tens of thousands flock to get it on the first day, especially if Nintendo doesn't start advertising it.


We have Isaac to base it off of, he always does well. Also both Golden Sun games sold well over a million, and I don't know about the US, but here Nintendo has been marketing a ton of similar games it publishes(DQIX for instnace) like there's no tomorrow.

Also, have this poll

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3512
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junk_funk | Posted 10/27/2010 7:28:57 AM | message detail
Sims will happen. I still believe in it. Deus Ex and RB2 have nothing to do with that poll.

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MoogleKupo141 | Posted 10/27/2010 7:30:38 AM | message detail
Sims > SOTC was a viable upset pick until we saw Deus Ex beat Rock Band 2. Now you'd have to be looney to think that upset was plausible.

a PC game doing well is supposed to dissuade me from Sims > SotC?
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Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/27/2010 7:30:51 AM | message detail
Now I feel bad that I have Grand Theft Auto IV beating Pokemon...Oh well.
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Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 7:31:31 AM | message detail
Also no history exists for NA/Europe, but in Japan where Golden Sun is the least popular, it sold over 100,000 first week, so tens of thousands on the first day sounds reasonable to me.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/27/2010 7:38:19 AM | message detail

From: junk_funk | #338
Sims will happen. I still believe in it. Deus Ex and RB2 have nothing to do with that poll.


you guys keep telling yourselves this.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/27/2010 7:46:23 AM | message detail

From: Lightning Strikes | #337
We have Isaac to base it off of, he always does well.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1312
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2885
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3247
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3808 (compared to HK-47's 36.11%)


He doesn't always do well. To his credit, he killed Professor Layton...but, really, he should have. We also see he had Nintendo-opponents in his first three matches, but straight-up losing to Lucario after considering the way he bombed in 2008 was still pretty bad. The one time he doesn't have other Nintendo-characters is the one time he looks alright, but ~3.5% better than HK-47 still isn't that impressive:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2878

SW:KotOR only beat GTA3 by a little, too (though HK's a minor [OPTIONAL !!] character while Isaac is a main character, I think).
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/27/2010 7:52:46 AM | message detail
ExThaNemesis
Posted 10/27/2010 10:09:49 AM
message detail

Sims > SOTC was a viable upset pick until we saw Deus Ex beat Rock Band 2. Now you'd have to be looney to think that upset was plausible.


Sims > SotC was never a viable upset pick. SotC has shown strength in past contests, and managed to get a 2 seed. The Sims is on the same level as say, Farmville, in that a lot of people have played it, but noone that would come anywhere near this site.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/27/2010 8:00:34 AM | message detail
Just noticed that vote totals are pretty bad today, it might get less than MM9/DS.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 12/14 Today's Matches: GTA3 & HL2
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/27/2010 8:02:42 AM | message detail
What I meant is Isaac never seemed bad when he was getting SFF'd and outperformed HK-47 who isn't bad.

Also HK-47 is like, the face of KotOR. Intended to be minor, yes, but his popularity is incredible. I'd definitely take him over Revan.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 8:13:24 AM | message detail
Whats up with these pathetic votals this year anyway... Didn't we average like 50k a night match last contest? And we're struggling to get 40k here..
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/27/2010 8:15:21 AM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #347
Whats up with these pathetic votals this year anyway... Didn't we average like 50k a night match last contest? And we're struggling to get 40k here..


No Zelda/Final Fantasy yet.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/27/2010 8:18:09 AM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #347
Whats up with these pathetic votals this year anyway... Didn't we average like 50k a night match last contest? And we're struggling to get 40k here..


Everybody is on facebook.

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GT: TriggerTRE // PSN ID: SolidTRE
GOTD SWEET 16: FO3, Halo, MP, GTA3, SSBM, SSBB, Z:TP, KH2, FFX, FFIX, RE4, CC:FF7, MSG3, MGS4, Z:MM, Z:WW
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/27/2010 8:18:31 AM | message detail
No Zelda/Final Fantasy yet.

I don't see why that matters... stuff like Sandal/Companion Cube is killing the night votals we are having this year.
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