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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 929

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 9:02:32 AM | message detail
The best way to ensure your own death in a video game is asking Kratos for help.



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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ff6man | Posted 10/26/2010 10:05:46 AM | message detail
I'm actually nervous about tomorrow. I really believe GTA3 should take it though. <_<
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Rs Name: I g g l y - Skill Total - 2100+ - Combat level 129, 309/309 Quest Points
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:07:05 AM | message detail
I don't watch AVGN, so can someone link me to whatever he said about Lord Belmont? :D
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.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.
"I'm about as entertaining as a tax form." -Math Murderer
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 10:08:03 AM | message detail
I'm actually nervous about tomorrow. I really believe GTA3 should take it though. <_<

Nice user name. Yeah I'm a little worried too..why is GTA3 such a big favorite again? =/
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2010 10:10:29 AM | message detail
GTA will take this easy. I wouldn't be surprised if it rivals GoW's percentage here, truly and really.

And honestly!
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:11:00 AM | message detail
^5 AT, nice 500
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People with one foot in the coffin shouldn't jump around.
paulg235 | Posted 10/26/2010 10:13:01 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #003
I don't watch AVGN, so can someone link me to whatever he said about Lord Belmont? :D


http://www.gametrailers.com/video/angry-video-screwattack/57393

There's also another 3 parts after that.
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The Gamer In Me
In December 2010, a new guru will rise.
nintendo girl | Posted 10/26/2010 10:15:49 AM | message detail
Hey Ulti?
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Tickus tockus.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:16:18 AM | message detail
On?
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"GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site." -CJayC
nintendo girl | Posted 10/26/2010 10:19:04 AM | message detail
Play BioShock 2.
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Kthnx
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:24:09 AM | message detail
I WILL FFS
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Q: How do you find Carnegie Hall?
A: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=exOxUAntx8I
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:26:20 AM | message detail
Link to the next 3 parts plz?
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 10:38:04 AM | message detail
Link to the next 3 parts plz?

You can find them all here:

http://www.cinemassacre.com/category/avgn/avgn-2009/
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
The Real Truth | Posted 10/26/2010 10:48:22 AM | message detail
LBP should hit somewhere around 35-38% on GTA3.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/26/2010 10:48:38 AM | message detail
Hmm, Fallout 3 failed to double L4D last time 'round (yeah yeah, four-ways and Halo 3/Mass Effect, I know). God of War laying down the gauntlet to Half-Life 2.

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I predict and analyse the Game of the Decade contest here:
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56817040
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 10:49:14 AM | message detail
Now I remember why I only watch avgn on youtube. The dumb site never loads the vids for me.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
These lunatics deny the truth.
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 10:52:38 AM | message detail
ScrewAttack and Gametrailers both don't load for you?
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 10:53:23 AM | message detail
LBP should hit somewhere around 35-38% on GTA3.

Why? :D
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
The Real Truth | Posted 10/26/2010 11:05:24 AM | message detail
Because it will be. People love GTA. GTA3 is probably the weakest GTA, but I'd be surprised if LBP broke 40%. Maybe if LBP2 came out and people loved that game. A lot of people that played LBP didn't even like it because of how floaty it is.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
The Real Truth | Posted 10/26/2010 11:05:45 AM | message detail
Also, I'm going to laugh when God of War stomps ToS next round, like I knew it would.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 11:15:26 AM | message detail

From: AppreciateTrees | #017
ScrewAttack and Gametrailers both don't load for you?


Not sure if it's my crappy vid card or what, but usually only youtube works and it's super choppy. Half the time my browser crashes whenever I load anything.

Saturday night, new vid card. Thank christ.
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¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸
Truly, if there is a god of destiny, he is fond of plot twists.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/26/2010 11:16:35 AM | message detail
Dumb question, but does yesterday give Vesperia any chance of beating Borderlands?
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Don't you think my eyebrows rock?
The Real Truth | Posted 10/26/2010 11:17:40 AM | message detail
It already had a chance. Borderlands probably doesn't do very well, but I say it's unlikely. Yesterday doesn't really mean much anyway. RE5 is just that disliked.
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GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/26/2010 11:18:15 AM | message detail
A Tales game NOT named Symphonia? I'm not banking on it!

Actually, I am banking on the match, but what i meant was I'm not ban--oh just forget it!
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2010 11:18:28 AM | message detail
Borderlands has done alright in every poll it's been in (almost beat RE5 in that one GotY poll), so I wouldn't bet on it.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/26/2010 11:19:55 AM | message detail
Borderlands is the favorite, but my Tales of Vesperia fanboyism made me pick it. I'll likely bank on that match though.
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/26/2010 11:58:53 AM | message detail
(checks poll for the first time today)

save_us.gfaw

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CURRENT GOTY SCORE: 9
NEXT NERVE-WRACKING MATCH: Warcraft III/Morrowind
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 12:11:29 PM | message detail
Tales of Vesperia was pretty overlooked overall..The cover for Borderlands might scare all the kiddies tho :p
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
voltch | Posted 10/26/2010 12:34:55 PM | message detail
watching the match where bioshock burns will be so sweet.
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Nipaa~
Big Bob | Posted 10/26/2010 12:41:32 PM | message detail
Borderlands beats Vesperia easily; Symphonia seems to be the only game with any hint of popularity here, and Borderlands has done alright in its polls; barely losing to Dragon Age, and Claptrap not getting annihilated by Zidane.
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Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/26/2010 12:42:03 PM | message detail
Geez, Bacon screwed up again on ToS / RE5. That's 3 mistakes already.
Also, he is doing downright terrible in the Battle Challenge, with a mere 700 banked points, and 0 at risk.
Speaking of 700 points, that means he banked at 100 points once, which is a really stupid thing to do.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/26/2010 1:15:11 PM | message detail
Man, I have a really bad feeling about tomorrow. I'm still going to bet on GTA3, but something in my gut tells me that I'm going to get screwed.
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/26/2010 1:18:34 PM | message detail
GTAIII will win, but it will be closer than what most people expect (it's not getting near 60%)
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Oracle contest - 37th
Today's pick: God of War - 58% Status: Very meh
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/26/2010 1:58:50 PM | message detail
Just noticed the Battle Contest. The thing that's interesting to me is not that we're down to less than 50 perfects there, but we've already had someone bank at 7800.

Kinda punches the people banking conservatively in the face, doesn't it? Keep telling you guys you gotta go big.
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Wylvane
CommodoreTN is a horrible user.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/26/2010 2:02:29 PM | message detail
I'm not banking until TWEWY/DR. Yeah, heard that right. (49600) potential points, lets do this!
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And I certainly do not agree with my words being taken out of context. - Vlado
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/26/2010 2:10:15 PM | message detail
Yeah, you've gotta always aim for high strings of wins. Banking after two wins is pointless, no matter how uncertain the third match seems.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/26/2010 2:15:13 PM | message detail
I can't believe people thought God of War was gonna do poorly against Left 4 Dead. GoW sweeping past ToS confirmed in my book.

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Yo Where All The White Women At
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/26/2010 2:33:03 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #035
I'm not banking until TWEWY/DR. Yeah, heard that right. (49600) potential points, lets do this!


Ballsy as ****, but if you somehow pull that off, you're winning the ****ing contest.
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Wylvane
RayDyn is a horrible user.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2010 2:35:08 PM | message detail
I refuse to bank. Ever. I will probably end this contest with 0 points and be proud of it.

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DFF
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/26/2010 2:37:35 PM | message detail
Honestly, there's nothing to suggest this means GoW will easily beat ToS, as shown in the last topic. GoW 2010 is right now only at about 52% on 2009 GoW, which lost to ToS. Now admittedly this assumes ToS is as stable as GoW and L4D proved to be, but unless that turns out to be a bommb, GoW is not impressing here.

Still taking GoW mind, but it's doing almost exactly as well as it was projected to on L4D. Everyone's really overreacting to this. I know, lol 4way xstats, but GoW is doing only 1.5% better than expected. If ToS has increased in strength in a 1 on 1 format by the same amount, it'll still win, and it's not a hard amount to achieve.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/26/2010 2:38:47 PM | message detail
Well how does God of War fare in the night
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~Ange
Demon HunterX | Posted 10/26/2010 2:39:34 PM | message detail
fun fact in contests that involve "banking" and "saving". Never do it. Especially in a contest which thousands of people are in
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Currently playing: SC2, Civ 5
Next up: eh ; Awaiting: meh
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/26/2010 2:39:39 PM | message detail

Kinda punches the people banking conservatively in the face, doesn't it? Keep telling you guys you gotta go big.


Okay? There's such a long way to go, and 7,800 isn't going to mean **** when I get the last 40 matches right or something similar. =)

But I'm also not banking until TWEWY/DR now. I'm pretty confident in Morrowind/No Mercy.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/26/2010 2:40:16 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #038
Ballsy as ****, but if you somehow pull that off, you're winning the ****ing contest.


The way I look at it, what's the match I could miss?

No Mercy/FE(c'moooooon No Mercy!)
Disgaea/VC(Disgaea gogogo)
Boarderlands/Vesperia(lol non-Symphonia Tales games)
Civ4/Persona 3(hey, GameFAQs like cult rpgs, right?)

Baring any big upsets, that's four close/coinflip matches I need to get right. If I can do that, its over boys and girls.

Or you can be like my boy KP and just not bank at all, and see what happens!
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"You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?"
fyrael | Posted 10/26/2010 2:40:25 PM | message detail
I'm not sure where you get the impression that people didn't love LBP. It's got an 8.9 rating from over 2000 users here on GameFAQs, which is a lot more than GTA3 can say. I'm sticking with LBP and if I get it wrong, my battle entry is pretty much dead. Stupid MM9....
Demon HunterX | Posted 10/26/2010 2:42:21 PM | message detail
also, what are the odds marvel vs capcom 2 pulls off an upset
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Currently playing: SC2, Civ 5
Next up: eh ; Awaiting: meh
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/26/2010 2:43:19 PM | message detail
I could see ToS doing the exact same thing it didn't against RE5, like down to the starting and ending %s, simply because ToS is weird. But my battle challenge is betting on GoW.

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DFF
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/26/2010 2:44:04 PM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #044
The way I look at it, what's the match I could miss?

No Mercy/FE(c'moooooon No Mercy!)
Disgaea/VC(Disgaea gogogo)
Boarderlands/Vesperia(lol non-Symphonia Tales games)
Civ4/Persona 3(hey, GameFAQs like cult rpgs, right?)

Baring any big upsets, that's four close/coinflip matches I need to get right. If I can do that, its over boys and girls.

Or you can be like my boy KP and just not bank at all, and see what happens!


What do you have for Morrowind/WC3?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/26/2010 2:47:44 PM | message detail
Probably going to bank on No Mercy/Fire Emblem. I'm not confident in the winner, and a streak of 14 isn't too shabby. I would go for longer, but the thing is that RSE/GTA4 is 4 matches later, and I'm not at all confident about that one either. The difference between a streak of 14 and 18 isn't worth the risk of losing the 14, and the difference between a streak of 14 plus a streak of 15 and one streak of 30.....well it might be worth it, but I'm playing somewhat conservatively for now.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/26/2010 2:47:51 PM | message detail
fun fact in contests that involve "banking" and "saving". Never do it. Especially in a contest which thousands of people are in

So just try to get a perfect bracket? Meh, that's pretty hard..
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen