GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 927
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/24/2010 10:25:23 AM | message detail |
Mother ****er ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
voltch | Posted 10/24/2010 10:26:21 AM | message detail |
TOO EARLY --- Nyoro~n |
SubDeity | Posted 10/24/2010 10:35:31 AM | message detail |
You
know, I don't think this is as crazy as everybody is acting like it is.
GameFAQS voters are more knowledgeable and old-school than gamers in
general, so a fair number have probably played Mother 3 and a ton of
those who haven't still know what it is and know that it's supposed to
be good. It's an effect similar to Deus Ex, I'd say. |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/24/2010 10:35:31 AM | message detail |
You know, after Halo 3 > Sunshine, I'm not sure about Paper Mario: TTYD > Gears of War --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
MajinZidane | Posted 10/24/2010 10:35:32 AM | message detail |
hi voltch --- Virtue - "You don't need a reason to no lynch." |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/24/2010 10:37:07 AM | message detail |
Mother
3 just isn't that obscure. I knew what it was and with any game that is
actually obscure to Gamefaqs/Nintendo, I wouldn't have known about it. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/24/2010 10:37:11 AM | message detail |
From: SubDeity | #003 This is a correlation I can take to the bank with Golden Sun tbqh --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/24/2010 10:38:20 AM | message detail |
You know, after Halo 3 > Sunshine, I'm not sure about Paper Mario: TTYD > Gears of War Halo is pretty much the highest rated shooter franchise on this site (maybe tied with CoD), despite consistently being heavily anti-voted. Gears would probably have to fight L4D for last place. |
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/24/2010 10:42:18 AM | message detail |
Bah, my Oracle predictions have been so bad today. Undershooting Metroid by 10%, overshooting DMC3 by 20%. --- James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User & The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/24/2010 10:43:14 AM | message detail |
Mother
3 is avoiding the doubling? Man, aside from Deus Ex winning its match,
that's probably the biggest shock of the contest so far! Gears would probably have to fight L4D for last place. I'd take Left 4 Dead over Gears of War without a second thought. But of course, I'd strongly consider taking L4D over Paper Mario: TTYD as well, so... --- HALO 3 > SUPER MARIO SUNSHINE: I blame Arby 'n' the Chief! |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2010 10:44:16 AM | message detail |
I don't see how this means anything for Demon's Souls. If anything, it makes me feel better about HL2 > God of War --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· Every man lives. Not every man truly dies. |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/24/2010 10:47:09 AM | message detail |
Yeah, I expect this just means action games are poor. Still though, I am astounded. Vaguely happy, but astounded! --- Final Fantasy XIII review: http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/ps3/review/R140434.html You're pretty good, Dr_Football. |
Biolizard28 | Posted 10/24/2010 10:47:25 AM | message detail |
Again. This is what you get for using an SFF'd, unliked character as a litmus test for Mother 3's strength. Yes, unliked. I don't recall anyone but Mother fans giving Lucas any praise in the months leading up to Brawl. --- I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo Now this is entertainment! |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/24/2010 10:53:02 AM | message detail |
If anything, it makes me feel better about HL2 > God of War I agree with this. I almost had God of War winning this division in my bracket, but in the end, I decided to stick with Half-Life 2... and from the looks of it, that was a smart choice! Unfortunately though, this makes me feel really anxious about TWEWY/Dead Rising... --- HALO 3 > SUPER MARIO SUNSHINE: I blame Arby 'n' the Chief! |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/24/2010 10:53:46 AM | message detail |
If anything, Street Fighter > Sonic, and Halo > Mario should, in my mind, lock in Demon's Souls > MM9. Before anybody asks, those two matches have proven that people will vote for the game they liked better, rather than voting for the iconic character. And unless I'm mistaken, MM9 sold something like 60k units, while Demon's Souls sold over half a million (many of those in Europe, and this is a night match). Aside from all that, DS has a pretty strong fanbase, and no doubt have spent a lot of time on GameFAQS looking up boss information and world/character tendencies. Of course, I've lost every contested match thusfar, so feel free to take my opinion with a grain of salt lol. |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 10:57:30 AM | message detail |
You can't argue name factor with Halo and Street Fighter, they're pretty well known too. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:02:24 AM | message detail |
Also the 60k seems to be first day sales on the Wii. Across all three systems it's probably not that far from Demon's Souls. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/24/2010 11:04:24 AM | message detail |
From: Greyfeld | #015 I've thought the same thing for awhile, but two things: 1) MM9 was received very well. SMS and SA2 were not (even if SA2 was, 3D Sonic was not). 2) Halo 3 and SF4 have big brand names behind them. Demon's Souls does not. Still a toss-up in my book. Rooting for MM9 (which I think was actually closer to a million-seller than 60,000), but I'm gambling on DS and hope I don't lose a nice streak of points. --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg EPONA EPONA EPONA |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:05:23 AM | message detail |
In North America only too. Also 140k in one week Though looking at other places that number seems to be disputed. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2010 11:08:28 AM | message detail |
From: HaRRicH | #018 Bigger than Mario or Sonic? No, especially not in Halo's case. Also, LOL action games ToS > GoW confirmed LOL Capcom games that aren't RE4 Demon's Souls > MM9 confirmed --- "I can set you free, mate." "My freedom was forfeit long ago!" |
ZeBoXeS | Posted 10/24/2010 11:08:31 AM | message detail |
The
only match I fear is Morrowind vs Warcraft 3. I'm afraid the Blizzard
fans will overpower the game, even though I think that Morrowind
deserves to be Game of the Decade. It's surely better than Oblivion, at any rate. |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/24/2010 11:09:22 AM | message detail |
that's why i said take my opinion with a grain of salt ;) Though I still think DS has a better rally factor than MM9. |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/24/2010 11:11:09 AM | message detail |
an Mario or Sonic? No, especially not in Halo's case. That's another thing. Mario lost to Halo in a night vote, where Halo is the bomber of all bombers. If that doesn't say "we vote for the better game" then I don't know what does. |
hylianknight3 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:12:03 AM | message detail |
Dang, we lost France and Bolivia to Devil May Cry. --- Where Batman goes, adventure follows! Aquaman |
SubDeity | Posted 10/24/2010 11:12:05 AM | message detail |
Since
people have mentioned that Mother 3 is being blown out in Asia, I think
now would be a good time to mention that the main Asian voting bloc is
the Philippines, not Japan. |
SubDeity | Posted 10/24/2010 11:13:01 AM | message detail |
Also,
this match furthers my theory that the American Heartland is, for some
reason, classic RPG territory. Mother 3 is still holding on in SD and
Wyoming. |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/24/2010 11:16:35 AM | message detail |
what the hell kind of correlation can you possibly take from this match and put it into that match Less popular Nintendo-handheld JRPG vs. more mainstream Capcom action game. The key difference though, is that TWEWY isn't nearly as obscure as Mother 3, it sold OK, while Dead Rising isn't nearly as liked or popular as DMC3 --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:18:49 AM | message detail |
Bigger than Mario or Sonic? No, especially not in Halo's case. Okay maybe not as many people have heard of Halo compare to Mario/Sonic, but once you get high enough it stops mattering. If you wanted to go with name value not mattering you should be looking at Deus Ex > Rock Band 2 --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2010 11:21:30 AM | message detail |
From: SubDeity | #026 That's awesome. Can someone who has played Mother 3 explain how good it is? Remember, I'm like the biggest EarthBound fan around. So if I liked that, will I like M3? --- "They established that 5 minutes = 1 hour, which means 10 hours = 12000 hours." -Anagram |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/24/2010 11:22:09 AM | message detail |
Yeah, as a Dead Rising supporter, this match is definitely a buzzkill. I'm trying to stay optimistic - Neku lost to Laharl, after all - but man, DMC3 is looking really lousy here, and Dead Rising should be a couple notches below it. --- HALO 3 > SUPER MARIO SUNSHINE: I blame Arby 'n' the Chief! |
Big Bob | Posted 10/24/2010 11:22:45 AM | message detail |
Can
someone who has played Mother 3 explain how good it is? Remember, I'm
like the biggest EarthBound fan around. So if I liked that, will I like
M3? Take everything you hate about jRPGs and throw it out the window, leaving only the good stuff. That's Mother 3. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:22:50 AM | message detail |
That's
another thing. Mario lost to Halo in a night vote, where Halo is the
bomber of all bombers. If that doesn't say "we vote for the better
game" then I don't know what does. Just because Halo choked in the past doesn't mean it'll lose to anything. Plus people who have played Mega Man 9 generally liked it as well. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2010 11:24:34 AM | message detail |
From: Big Bob | #031 As someone slogging through DQ9 with a solo minstrel, I find it hard to believe Mother 3 throws out everything about JRPGs that sucks <_< --- We're a lot alike, you and I. You tested me, I tested you. You killed me, I... oh no wait, I guess I haven't killed you... yet. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/24/2010 11:25:39 AM | message detail |
From: Big Bob | #031 No, that's actually Chrono Trigger, but this is an interesting statement anyway. Everything I've heard about it has been hugely positive. --- "if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2010 11:25:45 AM | message detail |
From: TheCodeisBosco | #030 Man, I don't know why people bring this up. Frank West would have a hard time beating Laharl based on his contest history. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2010 11:29:49 AM | message detail |
Last night's chart: Time | M. Prime | Star Ocean | Votes 0:05 | 80.14% | 19.86% | 1012 1:00 | 76.80% | 23.20% | 7522 2:00 | 73.96% | 26.04% | 5000 3:00 | 72.09% | 27.91% | 3795 4:00 | 70.60% | 29.40% | 2854 5:00 | 71.36% | 29.03% | 2339 6:00 | 69.16% | 30.43% | 2202 7:00 | 70.38% | 29.62% | 2063 8:00 | 70.45% | 29.55% | 2139 9:00 | 73.13% | 26.87% | 2650 10:00 | 73.31% | 26.69% | 3226 11:00 | 74.43% | 25.57% | 3759 12:00 | 74.85% | 25.15% | 3892 The trends here are pretty easy to see. Great Power Hour for Prime, terrible deep night vote, and great morning vote. This is about what we expected. --- http://img267.imageshack.us/img267/2369/mythbattlers.jpg http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v516/Sensui22/1248835958206.png |
Big Bob | Posted 10/24/2010 11:37:25 AM | message detail |
Well, to clarify, -No random encounters -Battle system that's more than just "mash Attack repeatedly" -Magic and skills that are actually useful -Storyline is both hilarious and touching -Awesome soundtrack -****ty inventory system that gives you more stuff than you could reasonably be expected to carry All comes together to create Mother 3. ...Though I'll admit that I've only played it for like 2 hours. My best friend's been bugging me to play through it for a while, and he's half the gamer I am. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2010 11:43:59 AM | message detail |
From: Big Bob | #037 ... This is worse than the people today saying God of War is doomed. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´ Words are so very unnecessary. They can only do harm. |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/24/2010 11:44:41 AM | message detail |
Just because Halo choked in the past doesn't mean it'll lose to anything. Plus people who have played Mega Man 9 generally liked it as well. Halo has repeatedly proven to have low-midcarder showings on this website. The fact that it won over Mario (even bad mario), during a night vote, speaks volumes to a game contest's tendency to bring out less series-voting than the average character battle. Which is why I'm saying that Demon's Souls actually has a chance tonight, despite its opponent being Mega Man. Again, I've lost every contested match thusfar, so take my opinion however you want. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/24/2010 11:49:43 AM | message detail |
inb4 mm9 wins the board vote and TANKS --- "Gamefaqs doesn't appear to be a place for me, especially considering this place has something against mentally disable folks." -WhirlyBird319 |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:53:42 AM | message detail |
Even
though MM9 is the board favourite and I have it in my bracket I do feel
that DS should have been the favourite going in as its potential is a
lot higher than MM9's. I also see what you mean in the name brand can only do so much and I agree (Dark Link won't be near elite, CC won't win over FFXII ect.), but MM9 is different from SMS because the game is actually liked. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/24/2010 11:54:56 AM | message detail |
inb4 mm9 wins the board vote and TANKS It has to win the board vote (and decently) to have any chance. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2010 11:58:38 AM | message detail |
Not to mention, this is a night match. MM9 is going to get hurt by Europe badly. http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3447®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3453®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3456®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3478®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3481®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3494®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3750®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3804®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3831®ion=EUR http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3844®ion=EUR So yeah, good luck, Mega Man. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/24/2010 12:00:38 PM | message detail |
So much for Mother 3 being a joke! I'm glad it's doing decently. --- Yo Where All The White Women At |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/24/2010 12:05:09 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #038 Against HL2 it is! ^_^ --- The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64 |
pjbasis | Posted 10/24/2010 12:07:29 PM | message detail |
This match does concern one thing for sure. Brawl > everything Clearly the strength of Mother 3 is a result of Lucas and Brawl. |
Lightning Strikes | Posted 10/24/2010 12:25:33 PM | message detail |
Again,
I think it's more just peope knowing there's a big online stink about
Mother 3. They've probably heard about it online. I think in general we
give the voters too little credit. From: TheCodeisBosco | #030Neku lost to Laharl, after allt. Not only did he still look better than Frank West, if you go by this year's vote-in polls, Sho Minamimoto looked stronger than he did. A(very popular admittedly) side character from TWEWY outshone the main character of Dead Rising. --- Something something something ^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig |
ZFS | Posted 10/24/2010 12:37:22 PM | message detail |
Paper Mario: TTYD > Gears of War Wait what why would take this --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/24/2010 12:38:18 PM | message detail |
From: ZFS | #048 Gears of War is weaksauce. --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
ZFS | Posted 10/24/2010 12:39:17 PM | message detail |
Gears of War can be weaksauce all the same, but it ain't losing to Paper freakin' Mario. Come on now. --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |