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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 926

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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:14:40 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3728

MP is probably the weakest Nintendo game out of 5 in that poll, while MW2 stands out really well on top of just winning GOTY, and MW2 can't double it. Further, give CC's votes to FFX (which is very reasonable), and MW2 winds up around the level of super-SFF'd Galaxy. (27% against FFX/Brawl, respectively).
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:15:49 PM | message detail
But people actually care about Demon Soul's.

Don't worry Mega Man 9 has a buffer zone.

>_>
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/23/2010 9:17:32 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4077&region=ASI

too bad this isn't an Asian site
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:17:55 PM | message detail
I wonder what percentage of Mother 3's votes come from Asia tomorrow. This could be some kind of record.
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Natwaf_akidna | Posted 10/23/2010 9:19:32 PM | message detail
Well, after Halo screwing up my bracket to high heaven, it's time for another division! Yay Prime!
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:20:54 PM | message detail
I wonder what percentage of Mother 3's votes come from Asia tomorrow. This could be some kind of record.

Taking a quick look it seems like Dante does pretty well in Asia as well.

Mother 3 is so screwed.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3
red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:21:38 PM | message detail
Mother 3 will be weak, but I doubt we're going to see one of the biggest blowouts of the contest as has been hyped. DMC3 isn't strong enough to take advantage, and Mother 3 will get a few votes for being Earthbound's sequel. Thinking mid-high 70s.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
lightsout06 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:22:08 PM | message detail
Does anyone have Mass Effect>RE4
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R.I.P Halo 2
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/23/2010 9:24:09 PM | message detail
Lol no.

Since when did that idea get into your head?
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:24:45 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #257
DMC3 isn't strong enough to take advantage, and Mother 3 will get a few votes for being Earthbound's sequel.


The number of people who even know about Mother 3 is going to be pretty low, and I doubt it gets many Earthbound proxy votes. I mean, Mother 3 should be the Adventure of this contest.

For the record, River City Ransom was the second weakest game in the first Games Contest. It's projected to get 72.23% on Adventure.

Tanner, weakest thing ever. Guybrush Threepwood was #63 in 2004. 82.12% projected.

Seriously, nearly anything will destroy Mother 3 in this contest.
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SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2010 9:25:05 PM | message detail
just want to say that I got warned/went out last night/worked all day today which is why I haven't been here taking my medicine in the stats topic.

Also want to say that I'm fairly positive that Demon's Souls is going to win now, and I think I've been eliminated from the Guru already.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/23/2010 9:25:39 PM | message detail
Metroid is just collapsing really fast.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:25:45 PM | message detail
Prime's losing percentage fast. It only has 70% in Europe. It'll probably lose a good bit of percentage overnight. Europe loves dem RPGs.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/23/2010 9:26:26 PM | message detail
Also want to say that I'm fairly positive that Demon's Souls is going to win now, and I think I've been eliminated from the Guru already.

why does an obscure jrpg getting clobbered here renew your faith in demon souls again ...?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:27:51 PM | message detail
Mother 3 is not Adventure or Tanner. It is far far from it. Umineko would not be Tanner or Adventure (although I think personally that Zelda 1 SFF'd Adventure), and Mother 3 would destroy Umineko.

Nothing from Nintendo or Square could ever rival Tanner/Adventure really, and especially not from Nintendo, which produces very very little that can even be categorized as "cult."
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
SecksThaNemesis | Posted 10/23/2010 9:28:43 PM | message detail
the halo results are making me have faith in mm9 losing, basically. It proves that the voters are actually willing to vote on the basis of individual games and won't just vote for games based on what franchise they are.


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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:29:22 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #265
Mother 3 is not Adventure or Tanner. It is far far from it. Umineko would not be Tanner or Adventure (although I think personally that Zelda 1 SFF'd Adventure), and Mother 3 would destroy Umineko.

Nothing from Nintendo or Square could ever rival Tanner/Adventure really, and especially not from Nintendo, which produces very very little that can even be categorized as "cult."


Yes, but Mother 3 can be categorized as "cult" here. More than just about anything else. It probably has the lowest American playrate of any game in this contest. I really doubt Mother 3 is going to be getting very many votes of any kind based on Brawl, Earthbound, or anything like that.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/23/2010 9:30:06 PM | message detail
Mother 3 is not Adventure or Tanner. It is far far from it.

You're right, they weer actually released to English Speaking countries, so they should have the advantage.

Nothing from Nintendo or Square could ever rival Tanner/Adventure really, and especially not from Nintendo, which produces very very little that can even be categorized as "cult."

Would you not consider old SNES Fire Emblems or Final Fantasy 3 (pre DS remake) cult?
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/23/2010 9:31:40 PM | message detail
Hell, theres a game in todays poll thats cult by Square. So the "Square doesn't make cult games" argument is kinda void!
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yoshifan823 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:31:53 PM | message detail
Mother 3 is the unreleased third installment of a cult series that wasn't ever released in Europe, and only had one released in the US. It might not break 10% in Europe, and definitely will get tripled, and possibly not even break 20% overall.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:31:55 PM | message detail
Final Fantasy III would get a decent amount of votes due to the brand name and people thinking it's Final Fantasy VI.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:34:51 PM | message detail
Mother 3 and Earthbound qualify as cult (I didn't say they weren't, just that most Nintendo stuff wasn't).

For Square, nowadays pretty much everything other than Final Fantasy, Chrono, Kingdom Hearts, and Dragon Quest that they do can qualifies as cult.

But a cult Nintendo/Square game is still a far cry from something like Umineko or Lufia 2. And it's even further from Adventure/Tanner, which are not cult at all, just plain unknown/unrecognizable/unpopular.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2010 9:35:11 PM | message detail
Hell, I'd imagine pre-DS FF3 to get more votes than post-DS FF3!
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yoshifan823 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:37:05 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #272
Mother 3 and Earthbound qualify as cult (I didn't say they weren't, just that most Nintendo stuff wasn't).

For Square, nowadays pretty much everything other than Final Fantasy, Chrono, Kingdom Hearts, and Dragon Quest that they do can qualifies as cult.

But a cult Nintendo/Square game is still a far cry from something like Umineko or Lufia 2. And it's even further from Adventure/Tanner, which are not cult at all, just plain unknown/unrecognizable/unpopular.


There's cult, and then there's unreleased in the two continents that vote the most.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:37:32 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #272
But a cult Nintendo/Square game is still a far cry from something like Umineko or Lufia 2. And it's even further from Adventure/Tanner, which are not cult at all, just plain unknown/unrecognizable/unpopular.


Well, this really has nothing to do with Mother 3 being cult. It's all three of those things you mentioned at the end.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:40:21 PM | message detail
Mother 3 hasn't been released in North America or Europe plus its match picture isn't helping much. A picture of Lucas could have helped at least.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/23/2010 9:40:22 PM | message detail
Now silly me will check how many Nintendo games are in each division!

North: 1 (Super Mario Sunshine)
Northeast: 2 (Metroid Prime, Mother 3)
East: 8 (Smash Bros. Melee, Smash Bros. Brawl, Pokemon Platinum, Perfect Dark, Fire Emblem: Path of Radiance, Conker's Bad Fur Day, Metroid Fusion, Mario Kart DS)
Southeast: 4 (Super Mario Galaxy, Zelda: Twilight Princess, Pokemon Emerald, F-Zero GX)
South: 2 (Golden Sun, Fire Emblem, Phoenix Wright: Trials and Tribulations)
Southwest: 1 (Resident Evil 4)
West: 5 (Paper Mario, New Super Mario Wii, Banjo-Tooie, Eternal Darkness, Animal Crossing)
Northwest: 8 (Zelda: Majora's Mask, Zelda: Wind Waker, Pokemon Crystal, Phoenix Wright, Paper Mario: Thousand Year Door, Mario Kart Wii, Advance Wars, Wii Sports)

Overall: 31/128

Note: I counted games whose Australian versions were published by Nintendo (while their NTSC versions weren't) as well.
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:40:27 PM | message detail
MP is falling off quite rapidly here in the Power Hour- I like that.

75-80% sounds very reasonable for DMC3 today. 90% would be pretty absurd though, as DMC3 probably couldn't break 30% on FFX/Melee/Brawl. Maybe FFX could hit 90% on Mother 3 (Smash probably would thanks to SFF), but if it did I'd call it an impressive show.

Mother 3 isn't going to be unknown to everyone. In name recognition, it's going to do better than the average cult JRPG simply through its association with Earthbound/Smash/Nintendo. Of course, most of the people who have heard of it have never played it (and probably haven't played Earthbound either), but that's enough to keep it far away from the likes of Tanner.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/23/2010 9:42:59 PM | message detail
There's probably also a reason why Mother 3 has a freaking 8 seed.
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:43:58 PM | message detail
Yesterday's chart:

Time | Halo | N. Gaiden | Votes
0:05 | 68.53% | 31.47% | 715
1:00 | 65.80% | 34.20% | 7093
2:00 | 64.92% | 35.08% | 6295
3:00 | 64.40% | 35.60% | 5438
4:00 | 64.24% | 35.76% | 4966
5:00 | 64.53% | 35.47% | 4534
6:00 | 64.04% | 35.96% | 4177
7:00 | 63.39% | 36.61% | 3696
8:00 | 63.52% | 36.48% | 3410
9:00 | 64.67% | 35.33% | 3125
10:00 | 63.17% | 36.83% | 2913
11:00 | 64.48% | 35.52% | 2745
12:00 | 64.49% | 35.51% | 2492

Welcome to HaloFAQs, home of the Halo Power Hour.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:44:22 PM | message detail
I mean, I'd never heard of like 30 of the games in this bracket before the vote-ins, and Mother 3 was not one of them. That says something.......okay, it says that I'm a Nintendo fan. But like half the site is Nintendo fans!
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/23/2010 9:45:17 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #281
I mean, I'd never heard of like 30 of the games in this bracket before the vote-ins, and Mother 3 was not one of them. That says something.......okay, it says that I'm a Nintendo fan. But like half the site is Nintendo fans!


It says you go to Board 8, the only reason I know what Mother 3 is.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:46:51 PM | message detail
30 games really?

I don't think the number surpases the number of fingers I have on one hand.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/23/2010 9:46:51 PM | message detail
I actually heard of every game, including all the vote ins games. I probably keep up with gaming news too much, though
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2010 9:47:02 PM | message detail
Do you think over 10% of GameFAQs has

A) Heard of Mother 3?
B) Know Mother 3 is the sequel to Earthbound?
C) Played Mother 3?

I'm pretty confident that 90% of the voters who played Mother 3 will vote for it over DMC3, because Mother 3 is the kind of game that has an incredibly devoted fanbase. The main thing is whether or not DMC3 is a big enough and well-known enough game that people will recognize it enough to vote for it. If it was FFX or Brawl, for instance, then them breaking 90% wouldn't be surprising in the least. DMC3 has its work cut out for it, but then again, it's more likely that if voters don't really know much about DMC3, they simply won't vote, which will benefit Mother 3.

So basically expect some of the worst votals in the entire contest for this match.
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Wylvane
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:47:14 PM | message detail
I would take every game, character, and series to ever be in a contest over Mother 3 without a second thought.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:47:45 PM | message detail
Nah, I'm pretty sure I'd have known what Mother 3 was without Board 8. Maybe I wouldn't have known the game existed, but if I saw it in a contest, I'd know it was the sequel to Earthbound and that Nintendo had finally gotten around to making it.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:48:38 PM | message detail
30 games really?

I don't think the number surpases the number of fingers I have on one hand.


Well maybe not 30, I didn't actually count. But it's probably at least 20.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2010 9:49:51 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #286
I would take every game, character, and series to ever be in a contest over Mother 3 without a second thought.


I'd take Mother 3 over the likes of Tanner. The 10% or so of GameFAQs who have heard of Mother 3 (probably being generous here) is still 10% more people voting for it than the 0% who gives a **** about Tanner.

I think Mother 3 vs Adventure could be an interesting match. Adventure does have a few fans and it did face the worst game it could possibly face in the first Games Contest.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:49:56 PM | message detail
Doing a quick scan the only games I didn't know about were The Legend of Dragoon and Dead Space.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 6/8 Today's Matches: MP & DMC3
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:51:03 PM | message detail
Tanner would win A) B8 joke votes, and B) kinda sorta from a distance looking like he might be related to Frank West.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:51:13 PM | message detail
Actually, I just took a look at the bracket, and it was probably well below 20. Maybe 10, but it's hard for me to tell now if I knew what it was before making a bracket.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:52:48 PM | message detail
Although to be fair part of the reasoning would be that I would refuse to look at something like Tanner/Mother 3 for more than 2 seconds. I love to look at my bracket and figure out new ways to screw it up, but I have my limits.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2010 9:53:01 PM | message detail
I've heard of every single game on this bracket before it came out.
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Wylvane
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/23/2010 9:54:11 PM | message detail
Mother 3 would get the Asia vote. What vote would Tanner get?

I'd be more interested in the votals myself. Would they crack 5000?
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LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/23/2010 9:54:49 PM | message detail
So had I, though I only knew about some of them due to the unlikliest of means.
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I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/23/2010 9:55:07 PM | message detail
kinda sorta from a distance looking like he might be related to Frank West
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/23/2010 9:55:40 PM | message detail
Prime looking pretty good here. I didn't think it could manage this high a percentage against a legit jRPG, weak or not.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/23/2010 9:56:40 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4077&region=EUR

Oh Europe.

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DFF
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/23/2010 9:58:53 PM | message detail
By the way, I think Mother 3 will do better than expected simply because of the match pic. As bad as it is, you have to admit there's never been a match pic that caught your eye more than WALL OF RED.

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DFF