GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 925
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/22/2010 9:43:53 PM | message detail |
Pretty crazy that North America currently has SMS performing better Though Halo is performing better in the US. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 9:45:02 PM | message detail |
Well Canada doesn't really care about Halo, like Kingdom Hearts it's a US thing. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 9:51:42 PM | message detail |
So... when is Halo supposed to drop off for the night? |
transience | Posted 10/22/2010 9:52:07 PM | message detail |
probably around 1:30. --- xyzzy |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 9:55:49 PM | message detail |
Based on its last weekend match seems like 2am. Not that it matters too much. Halo 3 currently has a larger lead than Deus Ex and SFIV and those were day matches plus once Europe kicks it into gear it probably won't have SMS crushing Halo 3 or anything. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/22/2010 9:56:09 PM | message detail |
So... when is Halo supposed to drop off for the night? Probably never, its dominating in Europe and Asia. --- http://i56.tinypic.com/o5thna.jpg http://i51.tinypic.com/33kbvba.jpg |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/22/2010 9:56:37 PM | message detail |
I
have an idea that I should calculate the percentage of Battle Picks
that correctly predicted the winner. In the case of SA2/SFIV, there
were 5325 picks for SA2 and 11840 picks for SFIV. So the percentage of
Battle Picks that correctly predicted SFIV would work like this: 11840 / (11840 + 5325) = 68.98% For the sake of my calculations, the number of Banked picks are ignored when doing the calculations. 68.98% of the Battle Picks got SFIV correct, which is not too far off from the 70.70% in the Bracket Challenge. Would be interesting to see how the prediction percentages differ between the Bracket Challenge and the Battle Challenge, at least for round 1. Round 2 and beyond is when you'll have bigger differences in the prediction percentages between the 2 challenges. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 9:56:38 PM | message detail |
500 vote lead breached --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2010 9:57:07 PM | message detail |
Halo
3's just broke 500, and the NPH isn't even over yet. Red sox's
alternative viewpoint also suggests Halo 3's safe as long as it
finished over 53% at the end of this hour...where it currently has
53.4% with an update to go. I'm calling it. Good effort, SMS. Hopefully SMG blows your performance twice away before LoZ:TP kills it. --- Can you refuse nominating Epona? NEIGH, you can't! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2010 9:57:30 PM | message detail |
From: NoDicePwn | #456 XD That's awesome. Asia and Europe's good taste continues. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 9:57:36 PM | message detail |
It'll
probably change for Europe, vote totals there are pretty low right now
plus percents don't remain static in regions either. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/22/2010 9:58:35 PM | message detail |
Yeah, Europe has very few votes right now. It'll probably change over to Sunshine winning there within another couple of hours. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:00:33 PM | message detail |
Halo 3 takes the Power Hour by 563 votes. --- Final Fantasy XIII review: http://www.gamefaqs.com/console/ps3/review/R140434.html You're pretty good, Dr_Football. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2010 10:00:38 PM | message detail |
TRIPLE KILL! --- "I don't like getting duped by real trolls pretending to be dumb. That's my job." -SephirothG |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:01:00 PM | message detail |
563 at the end of the power hour. Okay, you win, Halo. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/22/2010 10:01:02 PM | message detail |
Yeah, Europe has very few votes right now. It'll probably change over to Sunshine winning there within another couple of hours. Indeed. Europe had 160 votes at the end of the first hour in the continent poll and that had 8095 votes at the end of the first hour. This poll has 7895 votes at the end of the first hour. I already linked to the spreadsheet on the previous page that has the trends and poll updates for the continent poll. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:01:06 PM | message detail |
Halo 3 53.57% 4229 Super Mario Sunshine 46.43% 3666 TOTAL VOTES 7895 Coincidence? I think not! --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:02:04 PM | message detail |
Well Mario does wear red. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/22/2010 10:04:06 PM | message detail |
As
a Mario Sunshine supporter, I'm not too disappointed about it losing: I
mean, this is probably going to be a one-point match anyway. If Halo 3
wins, it'll most likely lose to Halo CE due to the series hierarchy;
and if Sunshine (somehow) wins, I highly doubt it'll have a chance
against CE during the day. Rather, I'm just disappointed that this match isn't close. It could have been a classic, if you ask me... :\ --- SUNLO ...a bit disappointing... |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/22/2010 10:04:36 PM | message detail |
Halo 3 (2009g) has a strength of 23.82 against Base Link. Super Mario Galaxy (2009g) has a strength of 22.89 against Base Link. Halo 3 51.95% 58,400 Super Mario Galaxy 48.05% 54,011 TOTAL VOTES 112,411 Halo 3 wins with 51.95% of the vote! A 4,389 vote margin of victory. Uhhhhh... --- I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:04:54 PM | message detail |
Time | Sonic A2 | SFIV | Votes 0:05 | 48.43% | 51.57% | 702 1:00 | 47.33% | 52.67% | 6600 2:00 | 48.25% | 51.75% | 5919 3:00 | 48.47% | 51.53% | 5356 4:00 | 50.12% | 49.88% | 5664 5:00 | 49.58% | 50.42% | 4980 6:00 | 50.07% | 49.93% | 5013 7:00 | 50.27% | 49.73% | 4414 8:00 | 50.28% | 49.72% | 3888 9:00 | 49.28% | 50.72% | 3385 10:00 | 48.75% | 51.25% | 3091 11:00 | 49.97% | 50.03% | 3058 12:00 | 50.32% | 49.68% | 2786 Despite never making a serious comeback attempt, SA2 still manages to win five hours outright. Like with Deus Ex/RB2, those first three hours made all the difference. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:05:43 PM | message detail |
Well I do feel better about SMG. Too bad its path is pretty much locked. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/22/2010 10:07:45 PM | message detail |
So
my bracket is officially dead. This is the worst 8 pack that I've ever
done, and if Ninja Gaiden beats Halo I will lose in every single match.
So depressing. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/22/2010 10:07:52 PM | message detail |
Yeah
Galaxy losing to Twilight Princess is stupid. I won't mind it losing to
GTAIV in round 2 (except I have Pokemon beating GTAIV because it had
the seeding advantage and lol GTA). On the other hand, Sunshine beating Twilight Princess would be stupid. TP would rightly fodderize that game. --- I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:08:14 PM | message detail |
From: XxSoulxX | #473 Then you should be okay. Halo > Ninja Gaiden was the one lock in this 8 pack. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/22/2010 10:08:26 PM | message detail |
So
my bracket is officially dead. This is the worst 8 pack that I've ever
done, and if Ninja Gaiden beats Halo I will lose in every single match.
So depressing. You picked Infamous over Fallout 3, and Psychonauts over Batman ... ? --- http://i56.tinypic.com/o5thna.jpg http://i51.tinypic.com/33kbvba.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:08:45 PM | message detail |
From: NoDicePwn | #476 8 pack, Albion. --- "I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now." |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:09:42 PM | message detail |
except I have Pokemon beating GTAIV because it had the seeding advantage and lol GTA GTAIV will probably win over RSE for the same reason Halo 3 is winning here. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
The Real Truth | Posted 10/22/2010 10:10:05 PM | message detail |
Fallout is lucky it's in such an average division. It was pretty much given a free ticket to lose to one of the Smash games. --- GameFAQs isn't going to be merged in with GameSpot or any other site. We're not going to strip out the soul of the site. -CJayC |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:11:22 PM | message detail |
So
my bracket is officially dead. This is the worst 8 pack that I've ever
done, and if Ninja Gaiden beats Halo I will lose in every single match.
So depressing. Do you have SMS > Halo too? Last time someone got an 8-pack that wrong was back in 2005 in the Devil Division. A few people only had Squall > Geno correct in that entire division. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/22/2010 10:12:54 PM | message detail |
I have Sunshine > Legend of Dragoon in round 3 (with Dragoon beating Sonic in round 2). --- "Calling Pokemon RBY a top 10 game was the most insane contest jibba-jabba ever Woe unto he who sig bets with the near-invincible Lord High creativename |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2010 10:16:09 PM | message detail |
SMS is doing a lot better in Europe now. --- DFF |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:16:11 PM | message detail |
So I guess the next talked about match is DS/MM9. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2010 10:16:46 PM | message detail |
Amusingly I've missed 4/7 matches so far but have none escaping round 1. That's what we call damage control ! --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
Lopen | Posted 10/22/2010 10:17:02 PM | message detail |
Er... round 2, whatever. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:17:27 PM | message detail |
Yeah, thankfully, I haven't lost anything worth 3 points or more yet. --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png http://img.imgcake.com/squalloweenpngem.png |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/22/2010 10:18:21 PM | message detail |
From: Lopen | #484 I've missed 3 matches but none of them are winning in R2 (Deus Ex, TF2, SA2). I luckily haven't missed this match, which has people afterwards having Sunshine > Halo and etc. --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:18:41 PM | message detail |
Yeah most of my first round risks only risk round one. The exception I think is TWEWY, but that four-pack is terrible. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
pjbasis | Posted 10/22/2010 10:19:25 PM | message detail |
I can't believe I lost it this much already. ugghhh Gotta hope for the MM9 upset... |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 10:20:11 PM | message detail |
I
have SMS losing to SA2 in round 3, so this division is pretty much
screwed for me. I have Fallout winning the division, but I'm totally
biting it in this 4-pack here. |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:21:38 PM | message detail |
Gotta hope for the MM9 upset... I know, hoping for a game that I know nothing about to flop is not the best idea. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/22/2010 10:21:56 PM | message detail |
Amusingly I've missed 4/7 matches so far but have none escaping round 1. That's what we call damage control ! I'm in the same boat. I messed up by having Rock Band 2, Sonic Adventure 2 and Mario Sunshine as the winners of their R1 matchups... but fortunately, I also have all three of them losing in R2. So, I guess my bracket could still be okay, y'know? --- SUNLO ...a bit disappointing... |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2010 10:22:08 PM | message detail |
SMS is now beating Halo 3 in Europe. --- DFF |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 10:23:25 PM | message detail |
So does SMS cut Halo 3 overnight and if so by how much? I think it's going to be mostly one of those eternal stalls that we saw last match. --- BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls GotD Bracket: 4/6 Today's Matches: Halo 3 & Halo |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 10:23:27 PM | message detail |
SMS is now beating Halo 3 in Europe. I noticed that too, but it doesn't seem to be slowing Halo's lead at all. |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/22/2010 10:26:03 PM | message detail |
I noticed that too, but it doesn't seem to be slowing Halo's lead at all. Of course it wouldn't. Europe is still doing terrible at this time of the day for contributing votes. Hourly trends for the continent poll: Time | Africa | Asia | Oceania | Europe | North/South America 1:00 | 0.44% | 3.51% | 4.10% | 1.98% | 87.70% | 2.27% 2:00 | 0.34% | 4.80% | 4.16% | 3.24% | 84.95% | 2.51% 3:00 | 0.55% | 5.50% | 6.60% | 8.48% | 76.82% | 2.04% 4:00 | 0.58% | 7.08% | 7.03% | 18.84% | 65.02% | 1.44% 5:00 | 0.57% | 6.90% | 8.08% | 34.65% | 48.56% | 1.24% 6:00 | 0.54% | 8.55% | 6.48% | 47.87% | 35.56% | 1.00% 7:00 | 0.98% | 7.75% | 7.20% | 49.30% | 33.44% | 1.33% 8:00 | 0.72% | 6.96% | 5.71% | 43.70% | 40.41% | 2.50% 9:00 | 0.62% | 5.52% | 3.91% | 32.35% | 54.84% | 2.76% 10:00 | 0.38% | 4.61% | 2.66% | 23.02% | 65.62% | 3.71% 11:00 | 0.39% | 3.64% | 1.38% | 15.13% | 75.39% | 4.08% 12:00 | 0.41% | 2.77% | 1.19% | 12.92% | 78.62% | 4.10% Only including the first 12 hours here. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/22/2010 10:26:34 PM | message detail |
I
actually had Fable > TF2 and SFIV > SA2 beforehand, and switched
both of them. Almost neither of them paid off (thank you Valve rallies
for making sure the former actually did). Also this probably means that Halo 3 pushes for 55% in a 24-hour match. Hmmm... Gears of War vs. Super Mario Sunshine, who've you got? --- I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%. |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/22/2010 10:26:47 PM | message detail |
Well done, Halo backers. Enjoy the night. =) --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/22/2010 10:27:01 PM | message detail |
Play Meteos. --- SUNLO ...a bit disappointing... |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 10:27:13 PM | message detail |
BIG BOSS --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |