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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 925

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2010 12:42:41 PM | message detail
IN-DES-TRUC-TIBLE




~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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"This Tea Party crap is such a disgrace to this country. Freaking disgusting." -vcharon
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/22/2010 12:43:42 PM | message detail
GO SONIC GO!
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 12:43:48 PM | message detail
NOTHIN'S GONNA STOP ME NOW
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Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX!
http://img832.imageshack.us/img832/8463/banner2squirtle.jpg
Rowan777 | Posted 10/22/2010 12:45:15 PM | message detail
You make these topics really early lol
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= Brawl FC: 1075-0411-4723 = *Rowan Midwest, KY Peach*
= PSN: DrakeRowan = *Blazblue*: Bang, Litchi *Tek6: Bob, Leo, Marduk, Paul
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2010 12:55:27 PM | message detail
During contest season they get made at 400.
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"I'm known as a guy who SAYS he'll do things, then sit home to play World of Warcraft instead." -SmartMuffin
KinzoUshiromiya | Posted 10/22/2010 12:56:00 PM | message detail
Hoping Sonic will come back, but don't really expect it to happen
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Regaro_Ukiera, ridin' out the 30 day purg
Pondos | Posted 10/22/2010 1:09:38 PM | message detail
I was under the impression that Sonic would have a much better ASV than SFIV

¯\(°_o)/¯
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Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu
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Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/22/2010 1:10:38 PM | message detail

From: Pondos | #007
I was under the impression that Sonic would have a much better ASV than SFIV

¯\(°_o)/¯


Well it's already starting~
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~Acting on Impulse~
Big Bob | Posted 10/22/2010 1:18:55 PM | message detail
I can't lose to Tails!
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http://backloggery.com/big_bob
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 1:19:24 PM | message detail
JUST LIVE AND LEARNNNNNN
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Yo Where All The White Women At
Gooper Blooper | Posted 10/22/2010 1:57:38 PM | message detail
YOU KNOW WHAT THEY SAY








THE MORE THE MERRIER

(bah Adventure 1 too old to qualify)
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And then the car wash cost five dollars.
Pokemon Platinum: 1719 9497 5082 Pokemon HeartGold: 2966 0920 7723
shane15 | Posted 10/22/2010 1:57:52 PM | message detail
Sonic is about to take the lead in America
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
SonicRaptor | Posted 10/22/2010 1:59:35 PM | message detail
I'm wondering what the hell happened in 2009 to cause SF4 to crash.
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Don't tell me what I can't do! - John Locke
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:00:17 PM | message detail
HANGIN ON THE EDGEEE OF TOMOROWWWW
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Yo Where All The White Women At
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/22/2010 2:01:01 PM | message detail

From: SonicRaptor | #013
I'm wondering what the hell happened in 2009 to cause SF4 to crash.


I explained this already. It was SFFd twice in the same poll, severely enough to be even with a bottomfeeder like Persona 4.
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http://wp.advancednflstats.com/nflarchive.php?year=2009&team=IND&gameid=54609
GrizzledVeteran | Posted 10/22/2010 2:01:29 PM | message detail
OOOOOOOOOOOOO LOOK LIKE YA CAME BACK FOR MORE
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_foolmo_
'Most people at least try to say something funny. See foolmo's post as an example.' - The Real Truth
MMXcalibur | Posted 10/22/2010 2:02:21 PM | message detail
Sonic is a dicktease.
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KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (3-2): at HOU L 31-35 NEXT: vs JAC (3-3)
PITTSBURGH PENGUINS (10 pts): at NSH W 4-3
voltch | Posted 10/22/2010 2:02:29 PM | message detail
SSFIV vs SFIV gais.
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*Shakes Fist*
shane15 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:03:50 PM | message detail
Another state just turned blue
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/22/2010 2:05:40 PM | message detail
SA2 is going to take the lead in the US next update. We may see a comeback.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:05:55 PM | message detail
OOOOOOOOOOOOO LOOK LIKE YA CAME BACK FOR MORE

YEAHHH YEAHH YEAHH YEAHHHHHH
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Yo Where All The White Women At
Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 2:06:09 PM | message detail
I'm telling you guys it's over already. The fact that it's taken this long to take US (while SF4 remains firmly in the lead in every other part of the world) just shows that there isn't enough strength behind sonic to cut the lead. Also, California ASV is coming up, and CA has been favoring SF4 all day. Chances are, in the next hour, SF is going to strengthen its lead.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:06:41 PM | message detail
Given that this entire 'comeback' has resulted in an SF4 increase of 34 votes, yeah...
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
GrizzledVeteran | Posted 10/22/2010 2:07:19 PM | message detail
HOOOLD ON TO WHAAAAT IFFFFF
HOOOLD ON TO WHAAAAT IFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF
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_foolmo_
'I love you so much' - SineNomine
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/22/2010 2:07:43 PM | message detail
This is hilarious that people have already forgotten Ryu/Dante.

No way Sonic comes back
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shane15 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:09:01 PM | message detail
Sonic takes that 7 votes. spin dashes it, and turns it into 8 for him
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:09:04 PM | message detail
Honestly, I just like having an excuse to belt out SA2 songs >_>
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Yo Where All The White Women At
HaRRicH | Posted 10/22/2010 2:09:13 PM | message detail
You could probably make a case for SSBB SFF'ing SF4 if we hadn't seen it suck in several other polls, plus it's hard to say this is a result of it not being SFF'd more than it's a result of SSF4 boosting it -- this is the first poll I recall of SF4 since SSF4 came out. The GTA-bit though...I mean, you've also been blaming GTA for God of War's loss. These are two very different games you've been claiming a third unrelated series has screwed over, and I don't buy it.
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Nominate EPONA from LoZ:OoT, LoZ:MM, and LoZ:TP!
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg
GTM | Posted 10/22/2010 2:09:22 PM | message detail
I think I was watching hockey during that match.
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GranTurisMo - God's Tiniest Man - Great Thorn Monkeys!
Member of the merSHINEsess Nation since 7/15/09
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:13:30 PM | message detail
This definitely isn't Ryu/Dante <_<
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Yo Where All The White Women At
shane15 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:13:54 PM | message detail
50-50
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
Articuno2001 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:14:06 PM | message detail
50/50 in the US now.
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15th in Best Game Ever 2009
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
Haguile | Posted 10/22/2010 2:14:56 PM | message detail
Slow cuts. Sonic is building up his speed for one massive cut. JUST YOU WAIT.
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/22/2010 2:16:09 PM | message detail
ASV!!!! More states turned blue!!
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 2:17:10 PM | message detail
SFIV clearly got Roman Numeral IV SFF'd by GTA IV.

Clearly.
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Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX!
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/22/2010 2:17:19 PM | message detail
It really sucks that ll the interesting matches are day matches, and I'm european. Hopefully SMS/Halo 3 will change that.
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 2:18:48 PM | message detail
SFIV clearly got Roman Numeral IV SFF'd by GTA IV.

That made me LOL :P
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:19:15 PM | message detail
I predict some wierdass trends for Halo 3/SMS, given that it is a night match.
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Yo Where All The White Women At
hylianknight3 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:22:22 PM | message detail
CAN'T HOLD ON MUCH LONGER
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Where Batman goes, adventure follows!
Aquaman
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/22/2010 2:22:59 PM | message detail
Dudes who are rallying for SFIV, stop now and let SA2 get it's comeback.
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How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG)
http://i1000.photobucket.com/albums/af128/kirbys_gal11/ctesjbuvf.png
FFDragon | Posted 10/22/2010 2:24:15 PM | message detail

From: ctesjbuvf | Posted: 10/22/2010 5:22:59 PM | #040
Dudes who are rallying for SFIV, stop now and let SA2 get it's comeback.


Tomko: No.

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If you wake up at a different time, in a different place, could you wake up as a different person? [HERO'S PLUNGE]
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/22/2010 2:24:18 PM | message detail
yeah the rallying potential behind SFIV is just like TF2 all over again.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/22/2010 2:25:25 PM | message detail
On the bright side: SA2 is officially winning in the States now!

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SUNLO
Also known as: Halo 3/Super Mario Sunshine; or twelve hours of pure awesomeness.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/22/2010 2:27:39 PM | message detail
Screw this match, did you guys SEE Mother 3 and MM9's pics

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DFF
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/22/2010 2:28:10 PM | message detail
yeah mother 3's is horrendous
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Yo Where All The White Women At
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/22/2010 2:28:20 PM | message detail
Everyone knew going in that MM9 and Mother 3 had terrible boxart.
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/22/2010 2:28:57 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #046
Everyone knew going in that MM9 and Mother 3 had terrible boxart.


I'd never seen Mother 3's box art before that match pic though.

I'd heard people say it was bad, but man.

I'm almost tempted to raise my Oracle to 90%+ for DMC3.
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Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX!
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ZFS | Posted 10/22/2010 2:29:48 PM | message detail
United States strikes again does this country like anything good

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A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step.
VeryInsane | Posted 10/22/2010 2:31:15 PM | message detail
So, what does this match mean for Uncharted 2? It kinda underperformed against LOD, so does anybody still think it's winning this half of the division? Or maybe even the 2nd round? (We still don't know the strength of these games 1 on 1.)
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Hail to VI, Village Idiot!
Currently Playing: Mass Effect 2, Pokemon Heart Gold, and some other games that aren't important
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/22/2010 2:31:45 PM | message detail
The Devil May Cry, but Mother fans are definitely going to. >_>

Mother 3/Tanner, who ya got?

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SUNLO
Also known as: Halo 3/Super Mario Sunshine; or twelve hours of pure awesomeness.