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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 923

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 9:05:17 PM | message detail
Also, the vote totals are high because everyone was hanging around to see the end of the match. This should have been expected.
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Haguile | Posted 10/21/2010 9:05:18 PM | message detail
Awww yeah Uncharted.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 9:05:23 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #196
I don't get the joke?


You missed the first match where a few people jumped on Infamous getting roasted and went LOL PS3 EXCLUSIVES, DEMON'S SOULS IS TOAST

So that was a joke.

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DFF
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/21/2010 9:05:42 PM | message detail
That's right KP, keep making fun of the guy with the PERFECT BRACKET. PERFECT. You hear that?

PERFECT!
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:01 PM | message detail
Crazy vote totals, but that's because of the close match.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 1/2 Today's Matches: Batman: AA & TF2
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:04 PM | message detail
Mega Man 9 literally has no way of beating Demon's Souls. Zero. Why you guys have it as like a 3:1 guru favorite is beyond me.
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People with one foot in the coffin shouldn't jump around.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:05 PM | message detail
1579 at the freeze. Aw, we fell 7 short of beating Link/Cloud.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ZFS | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:12 PM | message detail
perfect until your bracket gets hadoken'd

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There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign.
creativename | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:36 PM | message detail
Looks like I spoke too soon maybe. Uncharted coming back down to earth after bracket voting, and perhaps also "top option" voting by stuffers with scripts?
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:06:48 PM | message detail
Team Fortress 2 led for 119 of the 144 updates (83% of the match)
Fable led for 25 of the 144 updates (17% of the match).

Team Fortress 2 won 74 updates (51.5%)
Fable won 70 updates (48.5%)

Time / Gain in TF2's lead / TF2 updates leading / TF2 Updates Won
1:00 / -32 / 7 / 5
2:00 / 16 / 8 / 8
3:00 / 38 / 2 / 6
4:00 / 13 / 12 / 6
5:00 / 3 / 12 / 8
6:00 / 5 / 10 / 6
7:00 / 132 / 11 / 7
8:00 / -68 / 12 / 4
9:00 / -108 / 11 / 4
10:00 / -14 / 11 / 6
11:00 / 44 / 11 / 7
12:00 / 8 / 12 / 7
Greyfeld | Posted 10/21/2010 9:07:07 PM | message detail
*Sighs* 2/4. Fan-****ing-tastic.
****ing rallying mother ****ers.
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/21/2010 9:07:09 PM | message detail

From: ZFS | #208
perfect until your bracket gets hadoken'd


trust me HM, and we will escape from the city.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 9:07:10 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #204
That's right KP, keep making fun of the guy with the PERFECT BRACKET. PERFECT. You hear that?

PERFECT!


You're not Dr. Football, so who cares what you have?
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/21/2010 9:07:53 PM | message detail
The only thing this match confirms is that I don't want to hear another damn thing about vote-in polls.

Sheesh people.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 9:07:57 PM | message detail
Banked: 874
Team Fortress 2: 11762
Fable: 6201

155 people have gotten every Battle Challenge match right so far.
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redrocket | Posted 10/21/2010 9:08:23 PM | message detail
Demon's Souls > Mega Man 9

I've been refraining from tipping my hand on this, but Mega Man 9 is such a massive favorite on the board for some reason. And to be honest, Mega Man 9 has a 50% chance to win this and I won't be surprised if it does.


huh?

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:08:27 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #204
That's right KP, keep making fun of the guy with the PERFECT BRACKET. PERFECT. You hear that?

PERFECT!


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3853
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ZFS | Posted 10/21/2010 9:08:53 PM | message detail
trust me HM, and we will escape from the city.

ryu beats up cars, sonic runs from them

point sf4

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/21/2010 9:08:56 PM | message detail
2/4 now. It's too early for me to feel like my bracket is ****ed! I should get to wait until at least GSC upsetting Majora's Mask before that happens!
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Wylvane
ctesjbuvf is a horrible user.
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:01 PM | message detail
SA2 lyrics I am very ready for tomorrow
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Moltar Status: Bracket: TF2 > Fable (2/3)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:04 PM | message detail
Surprisingly I banked before Rock Band 2 could ruin it for me.

So, technically I got 4 out of 4 right.

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SnoicFactor | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:16 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of a moderator or administrator]
XIII_rocks | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:17 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #217
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3853


Best. ever.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:22 PM | message detail
red sox 777 | Posted 10/22/2010 12:04:05 AM | message detail
Votals are very very high tonight.

charmander6000 | Posted 10/22/2010 12:06:01 AM | message detail
Crazy vote totals, but that's because of the close match.


Yes, the vote totals are high because there was a lot of rallying near the end of the last match. This same thing happened in the match after Crono/Missingno.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:49 PM | message detail

From: redrocket | #216
Demon's Souls > Mega Man 9

I've been refraining from tipping my hand on this, but Mega Man 9 is such a massive favorite on the board for some reason. And to be honest, Mega Man 9 has a 50% chance to win this and I won't be surprised if it does.


huh?


It's like Melee/Brawl. The more I think on that match the more I'm sure I know how it'll go. Board 8 is notorious for getting stuff like this wrong when they have no experience with it.
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A tear is only water. A sigh is only air.
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:09:59 PM | message detail
Also, I now have a great spreadsheet that automatically counts up how many updates each side had won at any point in the match, and how many updates it had held the lead. I shall never use this spreadsheet again.
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/21/2010 9:10:42 PM | message detail
umad?

Yes, I am.
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/21/2010 9:10:42 PM | message detail
Tomorrow's match is either gonna be a squash match or something ridiculous, but I don't think it's gonna top Fable/TF2.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:10:50 PM | message detail
I'm probably the biggest Seph fan here (he's the reason I grew out my hair) and even I loved that match.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 9:10:54 PM | message detail
That was quite a board vote for Uncharted.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 9:11:12 PM | message detail
Uncharted should finish around 62%. I'm impressed, glad I took it to the divisional finals.

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DFF
charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:11:17 PM | message detail
Harsh fall by U2
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 3/4 Today's Matches: Uncharted 2 & SA2
Master Moltar | Posted 10/21/2010 9:11:19 PM | message detail
Sonic Adventure 2 to Round 3 I believe
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Moltar Status: Bracket: Uncharted 2 (3/4)
Contest Analysis Crew Archives: http://thecrew.speedrunwiki.com/
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:11:28 PM | message detail
Also, ngamer linked me to some guru stats before the contest and asked me to point out the things I feel the guru is wrong on.
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ShatteredElysium | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:11 PM | message detail
Fell asleep with like 6 hours to go. Did the match stay that close throughout and beat the wire to wire record?
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GrapefruitKing | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:12 PM | message detail
In a few updates Dragoon will be leading this match
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Oracle contest - 75th
Today's pick: Uncharted 2 - 60.21% Status:
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:25 PM | message detail

From: XIII_rocks | #223
Best. ever.


you guys are mean. =(
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:28 PM | message detail
3% dropoff on the second update there. Uncharted only got 58.64% of the vote the 2nd update. And total votes are now over 300 behind Link/Cloud.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:40 PM | message detail
before the podcast*, even
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Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/21/2010 9:12:54 PM | message detail
Score-Brackets-% Right
3--------8967------69.19
2--------18713----60.55
1--------3413------51.04
0--------221--------27.60

The perfects do a fair bit better than everyone else this time. However, if the zeroes are trying to get the match wrong, they did even better. The perfects should continue to split off for everyone else over the next few matches.

14 people fell off the Top 50 today. EmoCombeeDancin, Quadrafecta, Colonel_Alloy, sience, FFPhoenix, Janger1288, LongIslandIcedZ, Kyozabi, Edouble_is_back, HeyZeus94, mrtlc, Zakk8, Jilduros and axel_meriot did not have Team Fortress 2 beating Fable.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:15:44 PM | message detail
At this rate U2 may not even look respectable.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 3/4 Today's Matches: Uncharted 2 & SA2
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/21/2010 9:16:18 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #229
I'm probably the biggest Seph fan here (he's the reason I grew out my hair) and even I loved that match.


yeah well you weren't that match away from winning the contest so
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abdou | Posted 10/21/2010 9:16:27 PM | message detail
feeling bad about U2>Sonic now ..
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creativename | Posted 10/21/2010 9:17:04 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #1109
I'm probably the biggest Seph fan here (he's the reason I grew out my hair) and even I loved that match.


IIRC, that was the second ****ing time Snake cost me the whole contest right near the end (I don't recall exactly, maybe it was a #2 finish that time if Seph had won). That one also cost me the Oracle.

Still, can't find it in me to hate Snake. Never played an MGS game but he seems pretty un-hateable.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2010 9:17:21 PM | message detail
feeling bad about U2>Sonic now ..

You shouldn't, at least not until you see Sonic go at it.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 3/4 Today's Matches: Uncharted 2 & SA2
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 9:18:42 PM | message detail
Really, guys? Uncharted is beating LoD by more than SA2 will beat SFIV, and LoD would beat SFIV.

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DFF
creativename | Posted 10/21/2010 9:19:33 PM | message detail

From: ExThaNemesis | #1202
yeah well you weren't that match away from winning the contest so


I think either me or yoblazer would've won if Seph had won that?

Perhaps someone else recalls more accurately, I'm hazy on it.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 9:19:34 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #241
At this rate U2 may not even look respectable.


60% on LoD is fine.
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Xuxon | Posted 10/21/2010 9:20:00 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #245
You shouldn't, at least not until you see Sonic go at it.


Having Sonic in my bracket, I'm honestly more worried about SF4 than UC2 now.
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transience | Posted 10/21/2010 9:20:17 PM | message detail
I would pick SF4 over LOD. LOD is weak and Uncharted 2 is looking pretty weak too.
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xyzzy