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~*Character Contest Histories*~
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~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
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~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.

first for TF2
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_foolmo_
'and out of the blue and completely unprovoked came foolmo and his insult' - Anagram

Can't wait to see some X-stats.
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http://i56.tinypic.com/33484ko.jpg
New Orleans Saints (4-2) Week 7: vs Browns

Well ****at.
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"God Hand is the ultimate expression of the joy of humanity, specifically the punching part of the joy of humanity."-Shigeru Miyamoto

I just checked the Jan 2010 GOTD poll. Modern Warfare 2 got.....26.95% on FFX + Chrono Cross. 32.39% if you don't give FFX CC's votes. That's horrible! That puts it around the level of a Galaxy being SFF'd by Brawl. I'm not convinced SFF'd Galaxy is so far ahead of MKDS.

.....I want to put Legend of Dragoon for my battle pick, even though I switched to Uncharted 2 in my bracket. Hmm....
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.

What time does this end?

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PSN & LIVE: Vallanthaz
Men forget, but never forgive. Women forgive, but never forget.

1 hour

**** just got real!
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Sonic_Factor

From: transients | #483
TF2 is like a MMOFPS, kinda. that's a totally different kind of game to something like Portal.

Yeah, it's more of a global experience, or way of life, than just a game. Especially if you've been following the game since it was released... it's like growing up all over again.
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_foolmo_
'I mean, what does electricity have to do with math besides calculators?' - ZeldaFreak29

From: Blood_of_Sokar | #006
What time does this end?

In one hour.

Also TF2 took back the lead
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You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"

Too bad this match is worth only 1 point.
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http://i56.tinypic.com/33484ko.jpg
New Orleans Saints (4-2) Week 7: vs Browns

tf2 has got this. Every time it loses the lead, its fans will rally to give it the lead back.
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on 4ways: right now they have inherent flaws, but could be easily fixed by implementing approval voting! ~ToadYoshi 1. SoAL 2. MKW/64 3. FE7 4. TF2 5. FFCC

Match V: (3) Uncharted 2 vs. (14) The Legend of Dragoon

Information

Name: Uncharted 2
Year: 2009
Previous Performance: N/A

Name: The Legend of Dragoon
Year: 2000
Previous Performance: N/A

Analysis

If it wasn’t for the vote-ins I don’t think anyone would be hyping this match, but as the old saying goes with new evidence you must change your theory. While I’m one of those guys that think Uncharted 2 is going to flop based on expectations I’m also a large sceptic on Legend of Dragoon.

The only thing Legend of Dragoon has to work with is the vote-in poll which it won over Mario Kart DS, a game that defeated God of War in 2005’s GotY. Let’s take the poll seriously for a moment and you can see two other Nintendo titles in the same poll that could have weakened Mario Kart DS. Yes other RPG games were also in the poll, but time and time again we see that Nintendo tends to have a lot more overlap than games sharing a genre.

We also have to look at what happened after that 2005 GotY poll. After the holidays God of War took a price cut and sales shot up and presumably a jump in strength, especially based on Kratos’ jump between 2005 and 2006. So the God of War Mario Kart DS defeated may have been different than the one that we saw in 2009. Mario Kart DS also has reason to be weaker today than in 2005, most notably people were still going crazy over its release and the fact that we could verse other people over wifi.

Moving over to Uncharted 2 even though the game was runner-up in the GotY it was a rather weak year in gaming and I don’t feel that any of the 2009 game will perform that well, especially if people are taking the Game of the Decade tag too seriously. Some people are trying to use the PS3 exclusive tag as a reason why it’ll be weak, but this isn’t 2008 anymore the PS3 is no longer made fun of and more importantly it is a legit console on GameFAQs. Even its ownership here isn’t that far off the Xbox360 anymore.

Legend of Dragoon was a RPG game released during the RPG wave that hit the Playstation after Final Fantasy VII came. I would rank it a tier below Chrono Cross and Xenogears and while we don’t have much information on those games I feel that it doesn’t give the game much room to work with. Uncharted 2 can still lose and I wouldn’t be surprised, but at the same time I feel strangely confident that it’ll win without too much trouble.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Uncharted 2 > The Legend of Dragoon

charmander6000’s Prediction: Uncharted 2 wins, 58.84% - 41.16%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 1/2 Today's Matches: Batman: AA & TF2

Too bad this match is worth only 1 point.

It's worth a lot more battle challenge-wise.

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Death! Delicious strawberry flavored death!
Dr_Football is better at predicting contests then me... this time.

From: charmander6000 | #013
If it wasn’t for the vote-ins I don’t think anyone would be hyping this match, but

There's hype for this match?

despite this being hyper close, the only way Fable wins it is if it has one big update to push it into the lead. the second it gets the lead, TF2's gonna take it right back, so it won't be able to just hold that lead for 2-3 updates. it'll need to just win the last update big.

in other words, save your votes
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xyzzy

Huh, okay. Further analysis of old polls corroborates this being close/LoD having an advantage. Time to ignore the board and take Legend of Dragoon in the battle contest and oracle.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.

Match over. It was great while it lasted.

Legend of Dragoon can DO THIS. HARPOON
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.

Fable might not even get the chance to have one final comeback update with the rate TF2 is gaining.
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Wylvane
Calvinball is a horrible user.

I was planning on banking the next match but I'm not positive who will win this. This could be bad for the battle challenge if it comes down to the last update.

Eh, the Fable pickers still got a moral victory imo. You'd all be geniuses if this was a night match.
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Yoblazer: http://i29.tinypic.com/dqhyf5.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

I'm surprised people thought Fable could do this. There was no way TF2 wasn't going to rally its ass off in the waning updates if this was close.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://i48.tinypic.com/1ryijd.jpg

some dude on the TF2 board said he rallied on another site
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http://8board.webs.com/kenshin.jpg

From: ZenOfThunder | #024
some dude on the TF2 board said he rallied on another site

http://www.mediabistro.com/unbeige/files/original/bush-shock-1.jpg
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!

I don't see why Fable would win a night match. TF2 should be better then.
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xyzzy

Europe doesn't give a **** about TF2.
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Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu
http://i36.tinypic.com/343m3v7.jpg

I'm surprised people thought Fable could do this. There was no way TF2 wasn't going to rally its ass off in the waning updates if this was close.

I'm surprised people DIDN'T think Fable could do this. The fact that this match has been so close only emphasizes the fact that it was never a lock for TF2. People have had to rally their asses off for the last 4 hours just to keep Fable from pulling out a lead.

Looks like Fable bout to throw in the towel
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Yo Where All The White Women At

From: Greyfeld | #028
I'm surprised people thought Fable could do this. There was no way TF2 wasn't going to rally its ass off in the waning updates if this was close.

I'm surprised people DIDN'T think Fable could do this. The fact that this match has been so close only emphasizes the fact that it was never a lock for TF2. People have had to rally their asses off for the last 4 hours just to keep Fable from pulling out a lead.

I didn't mean the match wasn't a tossup going in, sorry. I was worried about this one. I just mean Fable could not have won it close.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
A tear is only water. A sigh is only air.

It might finally be over :(

We don't (well didn't now) know the trends of the two games very well. It might not have been close after the ASV or SNV kicked in.
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"Let me believe what you've always believed! That living is wonderful!"
"Thank you so much... Thank you for loving me."

Small cut.

Fable needs to average an 11 vote cut per update to win this. It's not over yet but one more update win for TF2 and I'll call it.

Well, it's pretty clear that the vote difference has been going in a repeated sine wave form. The absolute minimum of the wave is just inside Fable's favor, while the majority of the wave is in TF2 territory.

Looks like the wave just peaked, and is going back down to Fable.... I wonder if the final update is during that ever-so-short dip into Fable's territory... that would suck
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_foolmo_
'I mean, what does electricity have to do with math besides calculators?' - ZeldaFreak29

Fun fact: Legend of Dragoon beats FF12 in both reader ratings and reviews.

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DFF

From: UltimaterializerX | #030
I didn't mean the match wasn't a tossup going in, sorry. I was worried about this one. I just mean Fable could not have won it close.

Pretty much. If Fable had even a few hundred votes over TF2, that may have been enough to stem off potential TF2 rallies since it's still been competitive all day despite TF2 getting rally votes. This close, though, it's screwed since it has no real rally strength compared to the Valve game.

Solid moral victory for Fable, though. Doesn't mean much for my bracket or battle picks, though!
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Wylvane
Grand Kirby is a horrible user.

Trigonometry all up in my stats topix
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´
"We're only gonna score 17 points?" -LOL Tom Brady

Fun fact: Legend of Dragoon beats FF12 in both reader ratings and reviews.

gamefaqs is a terrible place

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The whole object of travel is not to set foot on foreign land; it is at last to set foot on one's own country as a foreign land.

From: KamikazePotato | #036
Fun fact: Legend of Dragoon beats FF12 in both reader ratings and reviews.

I seriously banked my points. I'm not even scared for Uncharted 2, I just want points in that battle thinger.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://board8.speedrunwiki.com/interviews/theshow/ngirlreaction.gif

Does Fable have one last run?

it just cut the lead to 84....not impossible but appearing more and more unlikely as time passes

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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.

From: Julian_Caesar | #042
it just cut the lead to 84....not impossible but appearing more and more unlikely as time passes

Still time for a patented 44 vote cut then slow stall
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You may take Mr. Rogers down, but I will be back and become more powerful than you ever imagine
"tgs is taking it alone"

I banked next match.

This battle thing is pretty cool.
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http://i56.tinypic.com/33484ko.jpg
New Orleans Saints (4-2) Week 7: vs Browns

It really is. I'm hoping it sticks around, but I have no faith in that.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
People with one foot in the coffin shouldn't jump around.

Hmm, back up to 89, I guess my sine wave theory approached the issue at the wrong angle
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_foolmo_
'Most people at least try to say something funny. See foolmo's post as an example.' - The Real Truth

Battle should stick around forever. Being able to change picks as the tournament progresses is great.
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on 4ways: right now they have inherent flaws, but could be easily fixed by implementing approval voting! ~ToadYoshi 1. SoAL 2. MKW/64 3. FE7 4. TF2 5. FFCC

I finally caught up!

Yeesh...TF2's been fighting hard, and it looks like it's going to pay off if it doesn't butcher the end of this match. Whew.
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*obnoxiously encourages you to nominate Epona*
http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg

TF2 is gonna win and then get all its stuffed votes slashed.

Alright, that probably won't happen, but I think it'd be hilarious.
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Mega is all like 'pew pew mother****ers' and X us all like 'pew pew but only if I have to' -ChidoriNoJutsu
http://i34.tinypic.com/345dlxd.png

wtf....24 vote cut!!!!!!

at that rate....3 updates will give Fable the lead!!!

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Every day the rest of your life is changed forever.