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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 922

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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:06:08 PM | message detail

From: xp1337 | Posted: 10/21/2010 7:04:35 PM | #247
*Reads last few posts*

So I take it TF2 is either benefiting from a (potentially intentional) rally backfire and/or the West Coast ASV?

...I kind of hope it's the latter because the former seems a lot less reliable to me for TF2 to hold on. >_>


Hopefully it's the latter. If it's the former though...

*Shudders*
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:06:19 PM | message detail
Little chart for you guys, I put everything in terms of TF2 being positive in the spreadsheet because it was leading at the time (and moreso now), here are your hourlies.

Time / +TF2 Lead Gained / TF2 updates leading / TF2 Updates Won
1:00 / -32 / 7 / 5
2:00 / 16 / 8 / 8
3:00 / 38 / 2 / 6
4:00 / 13 / 12 / 6
5:00 / 3 / 12 / 8
6:00 / 5 / 10 / 6
7:00 / 132 / 11 / 7
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:07:03 PM | message detail
...Crud

It's slowing down.

It's slowing down.

Someone make a second Fable rally thread, ASAP!
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Julian_Caesar | Posted 10/21/2010 4:07:30 PM | message detail
a stall, of sorts....again, i really feel like the 200-250 barrier is going to be important for fable to stay under

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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:09:04 PM | message detail
This match is a lot less interesting now that it's nearing a 200 vote lead.

I like TF2 better so I want it to win, but I like a little excitemen.
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params7 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:09:45 PM | message detail
Only 2+ vote lead after /v thread died.
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params7 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:11:11 PM | message detail

From: AlecTrevelyan006 | #255
I like TF2 better so I want it to win, but I like a little excitemen.


Even if it ends now, this battle has given enough excitement for the day.
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youtube.com/watch?v=cw-TsPpZk8Q (Warhawk montage)
shane15 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:12:19 PM | message detail
What a leap.
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SOEBartz | Posted 10/21/2010 4:12:21 PM | message detail
If this keeps up to the end of the match TF2 can expect to max around 51.2%
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Julian_Caesar | Posted 10/21/2010 4:12:33 PM | message detail
:(

210
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:12:50 PM | message detail
...Ok, 200 votes breached. As Bio said, gg.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/21/2010 4:13:07 PM | message detail
Please God, just let TF2 take it away now. Haha, very funny scaring us like that with the Fable upset, but seriously now.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 4:13:38 PM | message detail
Don't go over a 400 vote lead, TF2. We need to set a record here.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:17:00 PM | message detail
Back under 200!
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##Alec
GameBopAdv | Posted 10/21/2010 4:17:40 PM | message detail
http://img85.imageshack.us/img85/8920/kukorikopasz4gifwmv.gif
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avideo -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHHsvbyR7YA
junk_funk | Posted 10/21/2010 4:18:03 PM | message detail
Woohoo. That a boy TF2. To the better game go the spoils. You Fable fans should have voted in Fable II.

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paulg235 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:18:11 PM | message detail
Helpful hint: Don't call a match over until 100 votes has been breached (unless there's a 400 lead with 30 minutes left).
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Biolizard28 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:18:20 PM | message detail
****ING

STOP
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paulg235 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:18:20 PM | message detail
*1000
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:18:24 PM | message detail
http://images2.wikia.nocookie.net/__cb20090806110434/uncyclopedia/images/0/00/Facedesk.jpg

I got too goddamn cocky. DAMMIT.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:19:05 PM | message detail
6:05 TF2 leads by 30 votes (Fable +13)
6:10 TF2 leads by 13 votes (Fable +17)
6:15 TF2 leads by 41 votes (TF2 +28)
6:20 TF2 leads by 10 votes (Fable +31)
6:25 TF2 leads by 1 votes (Fable +9)
LEAD CHANGE #13
6:30 Fable leads by 2 votes (Fable +3)
LEAD CHANGE #14
6:35 TF2 leads by 55 votes (TF2 +57)
6:40 TF2 leads by 114 votes (TF2 +59)
6:45 TF2 leads by 115 votes (TF2 +1)
6:50 TF2 leads by 118 votes (TF2 +3)
6:55 TF2 leads by 141 votes (TF2 +23)
7:00 TF2 leads by 175 votes (TF2 +34)
7:05 TF2 leads by 177 votes (TF2 +2)
7:10 TF2 leads by 210 (TF2 +33)
7:15 TF2 leads by 189 votes (Fable +21)

Come on, two more lead changes >_>
Articuno2001 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:22:28 PM | message detail
Fable is coming back.
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AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:22:44 PM | message detail
Another cut for Fable.

Though it looks like both cuts are from TF2 dropping off.
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##Alec
Lopen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:24:45 PM | message detail
*insert statement about Fable's work ethic here*
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:27:18 PM | message detail
http://static.rcgroups.com/forums/attachments/1/3/6/7/2/8/a1667670-47-facedesk.gif?d=1200688332
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squall1981 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:27:51 PM | message detail
lead keeps going down
161 now and dropping

silly fable fan boys are ruining my bracket
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voltch | Posted 10/21/2010 4:27:59 PM | message detail
It's over Lopen, only heath could shift fate in favour of Fable.
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Uguu~
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 4:28:06 PM | message detail
I'm inclined to think TF2 has better rally potential if this is close near the end.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:28:36 PM | message detail

From: voltch | Posted: 10/21/2010 7:27:59 PM | #277
It's over Lopen, only heath could shift fate in favour of Fable.


Wait

Not Slater, right? Because that'd be like bringing a nuclear bomb to a knifefight
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/21/2010 4:28:55 PM | message detail
Greatest thing about Fable: original names

Hero's name: HERO
Guild leader's name: GUILDMASTER
Bad guy who wields two blades: TWINBLADE
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Lopen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:29:50 PM | message detail
Heath Slater could beat both of these games with 100%
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voltch | Posted 10/21/2010 4:34:27 PM | message detail
Slater's already beaten Brolly and Ipkiss damnit.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:37:39 PM | message detail
Augh. Slowest...leadbuilding...ever... D:
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params7 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:40:15 PM | message detail
1 vote lead change in last 3 updates. Pretty neat.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:42:35 PM | message detail

From: params7 | Posted: 10/21/2010 7:40:15 PM | #284
1 vote lead change in last 3 updates. Pretty neat.


:-/
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:47:15 PM | message detail
Uhh

guys

We need to do something

Fable's still cutting. :(
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Mega Mana | Posted 10/21/2010 4:47:21 PM | message detail
Okay, so maybe I was wrong about the 115-vote barrier.

Looks like Ken/Wesker's 215-vote barrier holds strong here, though. IN-DES-TRUCT-IBLE!

DIS BARRIER, IT IS MADE OF STEEL!
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params7 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:51:26 PM | message detail

From: KanzarisKelshen | #286
Uhh

guys

We need to do something

Fable's still cutting. :(


If Fable gets too close, make thread on /v again. TF2's victory is guaranteed tonight.
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youtube.com/watch?v=cw-TsPpZk8Q (Warhawk montage)
charmander6000 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:52:16 PM | message detail
California is weakening...
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Mega Mana | Posted 10/21/2010 4:52:51 PM | message detail
cuts and cuts and cuts
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"Broccoli gorillas do." - McMoogle
GameBopAdv | Posted 10/21/2010 4:53:21 PM | message detail
http://img233.imageshack.us/img233/3932/kukorisuspense2.gif
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avideo -- http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uHHsvbyR7YA
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 4:57:22 PM | message detail
...Someone go set up the rally thread. I'd do it, but I've jinxed TF2 enough.
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/21/2010 4:57:23 PM | message detail
nooo moorrrree ralliiiiieeesss!!
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 4:57:59 PM | message detail
Fable cut 26 that update
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##Alec
params7 | Posted 10/21/2010 5:00:55 PM | message detail
Eh let Fable get a lead again just for the lulz, still 4 hours to go.
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youtube.com/watch?v=cw-TsPpZk8Q (Warhawk montage)
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/21/2010 5:03:06 PM | message detail
I checked about a dozen matches in order to get a rough average on votal intake by continent. Here are the numbers:

Day Match
NA - 81.72%
EU - 11.87%
SA - 2.73%
AS - 1.80%
OC - 1.88%

Night Match
NA - 71.63%
EU - 17.83%
SA - 2.46%
AS - 4.67%
OC - 3.41%

Looks like North America takes a 10% hit from day to night, while Europe gains significant clout. During day matches, California probably is about as large a voting bloc as all of Europe; not so at night. South America is very steady compared to Asia and Oceania, which undergo huge day/night shifts. The Asian vote intake more than doubles at night into something that's actually significant. Nearly five percent... that's more than I had figured.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 5:04:33 PM | message detail
So basically, if Guybrush gets a night match against Master Chief we had better watch out.

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DFF
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 5:07:17 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | Posted: 10/21/2010 8:04:33 PM | #297
So basically, if Guybrush gets a night match against Master Chief we had better watch out.


I loled.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/21/2010 5:08:31 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #297
So basically, if Guybrush gets a night match against Master Chief we had better watch out.


I creamed.
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TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/21/2010 5:09:47 PM | message detail
So basically, if Guybrush gets a night match against Master Chief we had better watch out.
I laughed so hard.