GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 922
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/21/2010 2:20:24 PM | message detail |
Ulti topic. O wait... ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*List of All Polls (a search bar is at the bottom)*~ http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
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pjbasis | Posted 10/21/2010 2:21:51 PM | message detail |
**** goddammit I don't want to be 2-2! |
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/21/2010 2:23:07 PM | message detail |
tag --- Yo Where All The White Women At |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:23:58 PM | message detail |
Too soon?! --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:28:45 PM | message detail |
And here we go --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:28:52 PM | message detail |
5:00 = 38 vote lead for TF2 (17 vote gain for TF2) 5:05 = 37 vote lead for TF2 (1 vote cut for Fable) 5:10 = 36 vote lead for TF2 (1 vote cut for Fable) LEAD CHANGE 5:15 = 17 vote lead for Fable (53 vote gain for Fable) 5:20 = 11 vote lead for Fable (6 vote cut for TF2) LEAD CHANGE 5:25 = 15 vote lead for TF2 (26 vote gain for TF2) |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/21/2010 2:28:57 PM | message detail |
SPEAR! --- And I certainly do not agree with my words being taken out of context. - Vlado |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 2:28:59 PM | message detail |
I WILL GUT YOU LIKE A CORNISH PIG --- DFF |
voltch | Posted 10/21/2010 2:29:19 PM | message detail |
Shotgunning 969. --- Uguu~ |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:36 PM | message detail |
Too soon?! It was made at post 480 during a super close match. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:37 PM | message detail |
California ASV?! --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:45 PM | message detail |
RUUUUUUUN, COWARDS HA HA HA --- DFF |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:50 PM | message detail |
61 vote lead for TF2 (46 vote gain) wow --- Gamefaqs' #1 Testicle Bettor: Proud owner of many testes http://img688.imageshack.us/img688/6553/alec.png |
shane15 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:51 PM | message detail |
and we're back in action...for about 10 minutes until Fable gets another spike >_> --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/21/2010 2:31:54 PM | message detail |
Massive TF spike. |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:32:09 PM | message detail |
Go Fable! Wreck us all! --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
The Mana Sword | Posted 10/21/2010 2:32:34 PM | message detail |
n_n --- This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists? |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/21/2010 2:32:39 PM | message detail |
RALLY POWERS, ACTIVATE --- I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. |
pjbasis | Posted 10/21/2010 2:33:00 PM | message detail |
Aight imma take a long shower. TF2 better not be losing when I get back! |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:33:08 PM | message detail |
How is that boring? No knowledge means you don't know what's going to happen next, which is good in a close match. Sorry, I didn't explain that well. Consider a game of football. If there is no scoreboard, no down markers, etc, and several important rules have been changed before the game, all of which are kept secret by the refs, you probably wouldn't enjoy the game very much because you don't know who is in the more advantageous position. You can't begin to discuss who will win, or feel emotion because you have no idea what's going on. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/21/2010 2:33:08 PM | message detail |
you
know, i'm wondering just how hard people are rallying for TF2. because
Fable inches up and takes the lead, then suddenly TF2 gets a huge cut. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 2:33:55 PM | message detail |
From: Greyfeld | #021 Other way around. --- DFF |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/21/2010 2:34:11 PM | message detail |
Man,
this match is great. As long as it stays close, I absolutely trust TF2
to pull it off. It just has to keep up...and leading's nice, too. --- Epona: better alive for companionship than dead for glue. http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:34:27 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 10/21/2010 5:28:45 PM | #005 Joker disapproves of the lack of giffing. http://i38.tinypic.com/2vtxezo.gif --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:34:32 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #020 This analogy doesn't really work because the only thing we don't know is how the trends will play out. We have everything else. The trends aren't the scoreboard, the down markers, or anything. If the poll never updated (or updated between very long intervals), that'd be the equivalent of what you said. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:35:03 PM | message detail |
I mean, that's like saying a game of football is boring because you don't know who's going to win. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
Greyfeld | Posted 10/21/2010 2:35:23 PM | message detail |
Other way around. I don't know about that. I saw Fable up by 15, then ten minutes later, TF2 has a 40-something lead. Fable's lead never strays more than 20 ahead before TF2 suddenly gets a spike of like 30 votes. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 2:36:00 PM | message detail |
TF2 has been leading for the majority of the match. Fable is the one that's making (most) of the ridiculous spikes. --- DFF |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:36:10 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 10/21/2010 5:35:03 PM | #026 What Sox means is that not knowing who's winning ATM sucks. Basically you don't know what the hell is going on, which makes the match hard to get hyped about. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Mega Mana | Posted 10/21/2010 2:36:11 PM | message detail |
IN-DES-TRUCT-IBLE --- “So we’ve cornered Andy and Kyle in the Swarts stairwell and then this guy comes out of NO WHERE like ****ing Batman or something.” ; ExTha is the man |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:37:00 PM | message detail |
Yeah,
but in football, the best games are the ones where you don't know who's
going to win. Nobody wants to watch Oregon play Washington State
because the outcome isn't in doubt. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
shane15 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:37:12 PM | message detail |
78 vote lead http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dLy5xIjA6Z8 --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/21/2010 2:37:29 PM | message detail |
Cali's kicking in. That's why we're seeing the spike in vote intake and TF's overall percentage in the US and NA going up. |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:37:29 PM | message detail |
From: Greyfeld | Posted: 10/21/2010 5:35:23 PM | #027 Fable had the lead by getting a 53 vote spike after TF had spent several updates building the lead. That's why it seems fishy. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/21/2010 2:37:51 PM | message detail |
Man, I have a feeling this contest is going to be full of close matches. There's just so much crap in the bracket. --- http://i49.tinypic.com/2ry672r.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:38:00 PM | message detail |
I mean, that's like saying a game of football is boring because you don't know who's going to win. I think it's not a bad analogy, but if you prefer, we can revise it. Suppose it's a normal game of football, except you started watching in the 3rd quarter, and there are no scoreboards. You can still see the action on the field, but you have no idea how many points each team scored in the first half. The winner is clearly more unpredictable for you than if you knew the first half scores, but you're also going to have less fun watching. --- Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:38:04 PM | message detail |
From: KanzarisKelshen | #034 TF just had a big spike right after Fable's. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:38:24 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | Posted: 10/21/2010 5:37:00 PM | #031 Oh, of course, but if you were watching the last match of the season and everything hinged upon it, you would want to know who's beating who before the game ends. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Lopen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:38:37 PM | message detail |
They're
both spiking equally really. Can't really argue either one is the only
one doing it while maintaining any credibility. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/21/2010 2:38:58 PM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #036 Yeah, but we still know the score of this match. So I don't really get the analogy. We know the score. We just don't know the final score because we haven't gotten there yet and neither team has established themselves as the superior team yet. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:39:49 PM | message detail |
So is that... 12 lead changes? --- http://img.imgcake.com/drakeryn/tiroalecjpgap.jpg |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/21/2010 2:41:44 PM | message detail |
So
change the analogy to we know who's winning and what the score is, but
we have no idea how much time is left and have no way to find out. The
game could be close and someone is driving, but if we don't know if
they only have time for one play or if there is still a whole half left
it makes it a lot less fun to watch. |
shane15 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:42:11 PM | message detail |
We've hit the 100 mark again http://i402.photobucket.com/albums/pp105/markymark689/Random/loltiger.gif --- http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg |
paulg235 | Posted 10/21/2010 2:42:17 PM | message detail |
104 vote lead ATM. For all we know we could be seeing the end of this excitement. --- The Gamer In Me "Ike and Ash and co. saw a Yoshi and didn't catch it" - Mer telling us his dream |
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/21/2010 2:42:21 PM | message detail |
100+ vote lead now! TF2 "the best" --- SUNLO Also known as: Halo 3/Super Mario Sunshine; or twelve hours of pure awesomeness. |
Lopen | Posted 10/21/2010 2:42:28 PM | message detail |
Then again KP and most of the stats topic have never exactly been the most unbiased interpreters when it comes to vote trends. Anyway yeah I didn't realize Fable was using the non US countries as such a crutch, so this is TF2's match to lose at this point. --- No problem! This is a cute and pop genocide of love! |
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/21/2010 2:42:59 PM | message detail |
100 vote barrier activated. Cali's voting now and I think it's over. |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/21/2010 2:43:11 PM | message detail |
From: TheOneAboveAll | #040 ...but we do know how much time is left >_> --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
Mega Mana | Posted 10/21/2010 2:43:12 PM | message detail |
Sure, TF2 broke 100 votes, but Fable will come back at the 215-vote barrier! --- Pyre GIR (9:26:57 PM): You lack a basic grasp of human nature that can only be learned through living IamSoCool84321 (9:28:07 PM): ur dumb |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/21/2010 2:43:12 PM | message detail |
From: Lopen | #046 *TF2 laboriously builds 100+ vote lead* *Fable gets two 50 vote updates in a row* yeah dude --- DFF |
