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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 920

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/20/2010 5:16:53 PM | message detail

From: yoshifan823 | #197
You clearly have not seen the rash of topics that all say the same thing, which is "WAHHHHH MY GAME IS ONLY WINNING BY X PERCENT WAHHHHHH"


Yeah, I don't see them. Sure you aren't just overreacting a bit?
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yoshifan823 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:19:11 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #201
Yeah, I don't see them. Sure you aren't just overreacting a bit?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56828086
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56826258

And that's just a cursory glance.
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JaKyL25 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:22:36 PM | message detail
What would be the record for the USA result's incongruity with the overall result?

Could this be the match the USA gets the "most wrong" out of all contests?
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shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:29:41 PM | message detail
I'd say that honour goes to Halo vs Starcraft
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/20/2010 5:36:16 PM | message detail
Meh only a one point match.

SA2 v SF IV and Halo 3 v Super Mario Sunshine coming up, I'm excited for that. And those are actually going to cost some people more than one point.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:37:55 PM | message detail

From: shane15 | #204
I'd say that honour goes to Halo vs Starcraft


That was before we had geolocation, so we can't know for sure.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:39:52 PM | message detail
Unlikely, Starcraft did very well in the US in the 2009 contest I think. If you count 4-ways, maybe Secret of Monkey Island vs. SimCity or Pac-Man/Oregon Trail.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Greyfeld | Posted 10/20/2010 5:40:29 PM | message detail
I'm really more annoyed that my Battle entry got hit so early.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:41:28 PM | message detail
Better now than after a big streak, dude.
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/20/2010 5:44:23 PM | message detail
I'm really more annoyed that my Battle entry got hit so early.

Yeah, that pisses me off because I was planning on banking pretty damn early. My goal was pretty much to just play it really tight and get all the obvious matches right and bank on all the questionable ones in R1. Obviously you're not going to win like that but I just wanted to have a somewhat decent score come R2.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:44:53 PM | message detail
Alright, I know it's not happening, but let's see an SNV comeback, Rock Band. SNV comebacks are the best, but they are so rare nowadays with a midnight start/end time.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/20/2010 5:47:02 PM | message detail
Alright, I know it's not happening, but let's see an SNV comeback, Rock Band. SNV comebacks are the best, but they are so rare nowadays with a midnight start/end time.

Whats SNV? :p
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/20/2010 5:47:05 PM | message detail
starting from Perfect Dark, I have a 38-game string I'm running. Let's see if I chicken out halfway through lol
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:48:39 PM | message detail
second night vote
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/20/2010 5:50:02 PM | message detail
Ah okay, thanks.

And damn Rock Band 2 is getting destroyed in Europe haha.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:54:41 PM | message detail
RB really doesn't want to die off quietly.
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JaKyL25 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:55:13 PM | message detail
63 vote cut over the last 10 minutes, that's a winning pace!
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:55:51 PM | message detail
Whoa, Rock Band 2 gets consecutive cuts of 27 and 36.

Quota: 23.26
Last half-hour: 11.83
Last hour: 4.5
Lead change (based on last half-hour): 3:05 AM
Lead change (based on last hour): 1:10 PM
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:57:41 PM | message detail
Do you guys mind if I add the poll search page to the first post next topic?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:58:19 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #218
Lead change (based on last hour): 1:10 PM


1:10 pm tomorrow?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 5:58:21 PM | message detail
Go ahead, that's very useful.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Hookd_on_Foniks | Posted 10/20/2010 5:58:38 PM | message detail
RB only cut 1 vote.
:(
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 5:59:52 PM | message detail
At BEST RB gets this down to like 500. You guys are begging.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:00:04 PM | message detail
1:10 pm tomorrow?

Yes, tomorrow.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:03:38 PM | message detail
Just forget it. Deus Ex has got this won! (bar a big rally)

Aw, man, I shoulda went with my initial gut pick on this. I bet a lot more people on the board woulda picked it if it was not for others' persuasions. Or, at least, a lot more would have picked it if it was not for its horrible showing in the last game contest.

But I had a lot of gut picks that I know would have been wrong, so it's better for my overall score to switch all of the gut picks over to the more reasonable ones.

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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:04:15 PM | message detail
There's 7 cuts in a row, which ties Rock Band's best streak so far this match.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Haste_2 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:07:29 PM | message detail
Has anyone talked about how the low vote totals will probably aid FFX against Smash?

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 6:08:20 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #225
Just forget it. Deus Ex has got this won! (bar a big rally)

Aw, man, I shoulda went with my initial gut pick on this. I bet a lot more people on the board woulda picked it if it was not for others' persuasions. Or, at least, a lot more would have picked it if it was not for its horrible showing in the last game contest.

But I had a lot of gut picks that I know would have been wrong, so it's better for my overall score to switch all of the gut picks over to the more reasonable ones.


I honestly thought this was a no-brainer in Rock Band's favor and wasn't persuaded by the board at all. JC Denton was bottom-feeder levels in 2004, Deus Ex was the same last year and Rock Band is much more popular than Guitar Hero. I suppose one could have plugged Axel Steel's 2008 number against JC's 2004 number into the stat calculator, but who the hell does stuff like this to predict stuff?

For the sake of irony, check out what numbers it spits out:

Axel Steel 47.07% 48,388
JC Denton 52.93% 54,416
TOTAL VOTES 102,805
JC Denton wins with 52.93% of the vote!




LOL, X-stats!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 6:10:02 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #227
Has anyone talked about how the low vote totals will probably aid FFX against Smash?


The vote totals sucked in 2004 when Melee won, fyi
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2010 6:11:11 PM | message detail
I think this comparisan says it the best.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1619
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3463

Basically, back when FFT was powerful enough to challenge MGS, it tripled Dance Dance Revolution. The newer, much weaker FFT tripled Deus Ex. Basically for Deus Ex to win here Dance Dance Revolution would have had to win convincingly over Rock Band, and that just doesn't make sense to me. I would've taken Rock Band to beat it easily.

But man, Rock Band just turned out to be awful.

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DFF
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2010 6:11:45 PM | message detail
FFX isn't anywhere near cult enough to benefit from low votals.

Stuff like Tales of Symphonia? Aw yeeeeah.

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DFF
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 6:12:05 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1656

That is a HORRIBLE vote total for such a big match.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/20/2010 6:14:19 PM | message detail
Awww yeah Deus Ex, baby.

This made no sense, the only reason I went with it was coz of my gut. I'm just hoping that backing off on Arkham Asylum > Fallout doesn't cost me big time.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/20/2010 6:14:48 PM | message detail
That is a HORRIBLE vote total for such a big match.

That was back in 2004, which had lower vote totals than later contests.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/20/2010 6:15:25 PM | message detail
I still think RB has enough time to comeback. It's getting some nice gains here.

Honestly, I don't care either way. I'm excited to see how Batman fares on GameFAQs by this point.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 6:17:49 PM | message detail
Prediction: Psychonauts does worse than Eddie Riggs and people start overreacting and calling for a Batman > Fallout upset.
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Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/20/2010 6:18:37 PM | message detail
Psychonauts literally has to perform on Snake > Tanner levels in order for me to take a Batman > Fallout upset, I'll leave it at that.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:19:24 PM | message detail
Deus Ex by the Hour:

1:00 | 54.11%
2:00 | 53.76%
3:00 | 53.22%
4:00 | 49.46%
5:00 | 50.38%
6:00 | 50.09%
7:00 | 48.83%
8:00 | 49.49%
9:00 | 49.11%
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 6:19:58 PM | message detail
It was 4th from the bottom last year, so Tanner level isn't *that* impossible. Batman could break 90% and I wouldn't blink, because I don't see it beating Fallout no matter what.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/20/2010 6:23:58 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #236
Prediction: Psychonauts does worse than Eddie Riggs and people start overreacting and calling for a Batman > Fallout upset.


Just like last night was an over-reaction?

"OMG FALLOUT DESTROYING INFAMOUS, ABSOLUTE LOCK FOR FINAL FOUR"
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Hello10000 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:27:36 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56826258
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redrocket | Posted 10/20/2010 6:37:18 PM | message detail
Axel Steel 47.07% 48,388
JC Denton 52.93% 54,416
TOTAL VOTES 102,805
JC Denton wins with 52.93% of the vote!




LOL, X-stats!


G-D bless the X-stats.

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Greyfeld | Posted 10/20/2010 6:38:07 PM | message detail

"OMG FALLOUT DESTROYING INFAMOUS, ABSOLUTE LOCK FOR FINAL FOUR"


I already have FO3 going to the final 4 in my bracket.

Not because I think it's that strong, but because it has an easy path to the semis.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/20/2010 6:41:23 PM | message detail
Infamous should be much stronger than Psychonauts. Batman would really have to get a Tanner level blowout to have any kind of argument made for it.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2010 6:43:16 PM | message detail
Eh. I might take Psychonauts over Infamous.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3252
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695

Doubled by Crash Bandicoot vs. Doubled by HK-47

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DFF
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 6:44:47 PM | message detail
Batman needs to beat Fallout 3's percentage to even have a chance at upsetting it later or forget about it. Psychonauts is going to be a bottom 10 game in the final stats.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/20/2010 6:45:23 PM | message detail
So could Infamous. Barely beat Tales of the Abyss, remember?

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 6:46:59 PM | message detail
I'd consider Tales of the Abyss over Psychonauts!

I'd consider just about anything over Psychonauts.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:52:27 PM | message detail
Eh. I might take Psychonauts over Infamous.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3252
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3695

Doubled by Crash Bandicoot vs. Doubled by HK-47


But that was when HK-47 could break 40% on MMX and he barely defeated Louis and Zoey despite both characters suffering from LFF or better yet Jade Curtiss gets 44% on him.

In other words, lol 12-ways.
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/20/2010 6:54:19 PM | message detail
Hotel Mario vs. Psychonauts, who ya got?
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