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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 920

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/20/2010 11:56:03 AM | message detail
Deus Ex surpasses the 1000 vote barrier. I'm ready to call it quits on Rock Band 2 here.


~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Luster Soldier - Popular at school. --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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quicksilvver | Posted 10/20/2010 12:00:07 PM | message detail
After School Vote...

;_;
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Ketsui
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 12:55:18 PM | message detail
Rock Band...rockin' out that ASV.
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 1:02:25 PM | message detail
Get ready for the California ASV in 2 hours.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 1:03:24 PM | message detail
I love contest season!
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
RustyMrSaturn | Posted 10/20/2010 1:04:24 PM | message detail
don't count out RB2 yet. . .

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"god yes trombe" - LordEmbok
RUSTY
~ your messiah
voltch | Posted 10/20/2010 1:36:17 PM | message detail
If cali saves us i will support......what are the good teams in california?
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Nipaa~
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 1:36:35 PM | message detail
BUMPO
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
Writhe in my cage of torment, my friend.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/20/2010 1:37:42 PM | message detail

From: voltch | #007
If cali saves us i will support......what are the good teams in california?


Teams? Fedor is here right now.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Mr3790 | Posted 10/20/2010 1:37:46 PM | message detail
This seriously has to be one of the luckiest thing that could of happened to me. I have no clue when I changed the winner to Dues Ex.

Now watch it lose.
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This space for rent.
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/20/2010 1:38:48 PM | message detail
Calling it:

California ASV is going to decide SA2 vs SFIV
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg
transients | Posted 10/20/2010 1:39:41 PM | message detail
California loves Street Fighter. they're weird.
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xyzzy
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/20/2010 1:40:14 PM | message detail
Tag
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 1:40:41 PM | message detail

From: transients | #012
California loves Street Fighter. they're weird.


How is it weird for the state housing EVO to love Street Fighter? Street Fighter is what invented the competitive fighting community.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://i17.photobucket.com/albums/b96/Burpcycle/Red.jpg
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 1:41:57 PM | message detail
and that's another update to Deus Ex.That past hour RB gained has just gone again.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 1:42:31 PM | message detail
Aaaaaaand there's the kill shot. Closing all my GameFAQs tabs to focus on some online schoolwork.

Don't forget, I'm on the podcast tonight! Look for it to be recorded and running by Friday, according to that hair-cutter fellow.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
http://img.imgcake.com/foolmoron/u-mad1.jpg
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/20/2010 1:42:55 PM | message detail
EVO is in Las Vegas, not California.
But regardless, I love the SF cali-vote.
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A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII
http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/20/2010 1:43:19 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #016
Aaaaaaand there's the kill shot. Closing all my GameFAQs tabs to focus on some online schoolwork.

Don't forget, I'm on the podcast tonight! Look for it to be recorded and running by Friday, according to that hair-cutter fellow.


It's not guaranteed tomorrow night?
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~ Ange
red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 1:43:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, the Central ASV is killing Rock Band here. We'll probably have more of this stalling until 6.
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
transients | Posted 10/20/2010 1:44:31 PM | message detail
How is it weird for the state housing EVO to love Street Fighter?

Nevada?

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xyzzy
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/20/2010 1:49:12 PM | message detail
Just came back from work.

Now I feel more comfortable picking Fable for my Battle pick rather than banking!
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Wylvane
KJ456 is a horrible user.
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/20/2010 1:57:01 PM | message detail
RB2 seems to be picking up some steam again. Not sure if it'll be enough to topple DX, but hey, it's something!

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DEUS EX > ROCK BAND 2:
Is it set in stone? Nobody knows!
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/20/2010 1:59:16 PM | message detail
Damn, Dues Ex was my original pick then I got swayed by this damn board haha.
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 1:59:29 PM | message detail
Given the low votals here, I could still see Rock Band 2 pulling off a comeback.

I think a lot of people just aren't voting. Could see the night crowd being the ones who have actually played Rock Band 2 in higher numbers, though. Seems like a high school/college thing, which to me seems like the ones who'd vote during the second night vote.

But you know could just be wishful thinking!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:01:06 PM | message detail

From: AppreciateTrees | #023
Damn, Dues Ex was my original pick then I got swayed by this damn board haha.


I listened to this board on some picks last time and got them wrong so i went against the board this time and it's paying off XD
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:01:25 PM | message detail
Votes/update needed for comeback: 12.54
Last half-hour: 1
Last hour: -2.5
Projected lead change based on last half-hour: 9:45 Sunday Morning
Projected lead change based on last hour: Never
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 2:02:32 PM | message detail

From: shane15 | #025
I listened to this board on some picks last time and got them wrong so i went against the board this time and it's paying off XD


I love how you have jokers come in saying stuff like this every year when b8 has like half the leaderboard consistently when the contests are done.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
whatisurnameplz | Posted 10/20/2010 2:02:47 PM | message detail
Wow, never knew Deus Ex was that popular (or maybe this is just rhythm game backlash)

Whatever, either game is losing to fallout 3 next round.
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Lucasarts is run by a bunch of monkeys
http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 2:03:13 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #026
Projected lead change based on last half-hour: 9:45 Sunday Morning


So you're saying there's a chance!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 2:03:58 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #027
I love how you have jokers come in saying stuff like this every year when b8 has like half the leaderboard consistently when the contests are done.


The stats topic is like the Weather Channel.

"They said it was going to be bright and sunny today and now that weather girl is going to hear about my $500 suit this rain has ruined!"

*pushes up glasses*
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/20/2010 2:05:32 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #027
I love how you have jokers come in saying stuff like this every year when b8 has like half the leaderboard consistently when the contests are done.


If there's one thing this match has taught me, it's that human beings are truly fascinating creatures.
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Yoblazer: http://8board.webs.com/ariel.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Cecil XIX | Posted 10/20/2010 2:06:22 PM | message detail
As much as I wanted to take Deus Ex, I must say this comes as a huge (and pleasant) surprise. There are hardly any PC games that are competitive here, and Deus Ex is an almost ten year old game with a forgettable sequel. I suppose the lessen here is that casual-bait games like Rock Band are much weaker here than their sales and the level of enthusiasm they generate would suggest.
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Wow, an intelligent criticism of Zeta. Never thought I'd see the day. - AmuroNT1
Congrats to Dr. Football for his well-deserved victory.
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:06:22 PM | message detail
2/3 contests ago i was 3rd with just the final to go.I had Link>cloud and i think it was somat like Link>Snake.
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:06:37 PM | message detail
That is bad for my bracket but I am happy because it seems that people don't care about music games and that is good.There are like 4 that come out every year and they are all the same!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/20/2010 2:08:04 PM | message detail

From: shane15 | #033
2/3 contests ago i was 3rd with just the final to go.I had Link>cloud and i think it was somat like Link>Snake.


You would have gone with Link/Snake if not for this board? lol sorry man
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Yoblazer: http://i44.tinypic.com/5nw45i.jpg
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
LOLContests | Posted 10/20/2010 2:08:57 PM | message detail
In all fairness, there was no indication that Link/Snake would happen, even as the previous match was ending. I'm still not sure where all that momentum came from. There was none of it on the board.
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:09:31 PM | message detail
Rock Band is now over 53% in the US (and over 400 votes in the Electoral College). More red/blue breakdowns:

Deus Ex States:

Bush: 13
Kerry: 4

Rock Band States:

Bush: 18
Kerry: 15
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/20/2010 2:09:40 PM | message detail
By the way, we're on pace for well under 60,000 votes (might be closer to 50k by the end). I don't think many CB day match was anywhere near this dreadful.
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Yoblazer: http://i33.tinypic.com/ml36gl_th.gif
Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 2:09:57 PM | message detail

From: shane15 | #033
2/3 contests ago i was 3rd with just the final to go.I had Link>cloud and i think it was somat like Link>Snake.


Yeah and I was 6th with the whole contest finished a few years ago too.

And I'm pretty bad at these things compared to most of this board!
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:10:17 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #035
You would have gone with Link/Snake if not for this board? lol sorry man


Naa mate that was purely my own thinking based on the other contests :(
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LOLContests | Posted 10/20/2010 2:11:28 PM | message detail
By the way, we're on pace for well under 60,000 votes (might be closer to 50k by the end). I don't think many CB day match was anywhere near this dreadful.

Deus Ex is winning a match. That should tell you about how big a vote draw these two games are.
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"Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka
Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 2:12:01 PM | message detail
Neku/Laharl is our standard for day match vote total ineptitude.

That match had 28734 votes at this time and finished with 55285 votes.

We're currently at 25129, over 3500 votes behind.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:12:10 PM | message detail
By the way, we're on pace for well under 60,000 votes (might be closer to 50k by the end). I don't think many CB day match was anywhere near this dreadful.

You see that, Bacon? The voters want more Nintendo vs. Square. More FFVII and OOT.

*Runs before Albion comes in to berate me*
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 2:13:28 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #042
Neku/Laharl is our standard for day match vote total ineptitude.

That match had 28734 votes at this time and finished with 55285 votes.

We're currently at 25129, over 3500 votes behind.


....good christ
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"Trying to act like you know somebody you've never interacted with makes you look like a total idiot." -Leonhart4
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:14:19 PM | message detail
I was wrong guys it was that contest where L block got a rally going.

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/L-Block_vs_Link_vs_Cloud_vs_Snake_2007
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 2:15:10 PM | message detail
Oh

Yeah

That's the one I got 6th in

"OWNED"
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
PoncedeLeonhart | Posted 10/20/2010 2:15:52 PM | message detail
Lopen and I both rocked that contest.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."
shane15 | Posted 10/20/2010 2:16:31 PM | message detail
Trust me to do well in the contest everyone decides to vote for the joke ¬_¬
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http://img.photobucket.com/albums/v303/Shaneh87/Haruhi/Kyonexplanation.jpg
Lopen | Posted 10/20/2010 2:17:27 PM | message detail
Well to be fair I had said joke losing in round 1. Master Chief going nuts is what got me my bread there.
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No problem!
This is a cute and pop genocide of love!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/20/2010 2:18:10 PM | message detail

From: Lopen | #049
Well to be fair I had said joke losing in round 1. Master Chief going nuts is what got me my bread there.


And picking Cloud > Link in the final!

Thank you terrible scoring system.
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"Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!"
"Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!"