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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 919

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 9:58:24 PM | message detail

From: Hochimihnister | #381


*creams self*




~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 9:58:40 PM | message detail
Hochi! Hochi! Hochi!
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Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX!
http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg
red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2010 10:00:04 PM | message detail
Hochi has FFX winning, I presume?
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Nominate Crono so he can get a higher seed and avoid being fed to Clinkeroth early in the contest.
Silverflash-x | Posted 10/19/2010 10:00:34 PM | message detail
lol, 919.
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Q. If your canoe is in a tree with its headlights on, how many pancakes does it take to get to the moon?
A. None. Snakes don't have armpits.
pjbasis | Posted 10/19/2010 10:00:49 PM | message detail
I don't know who Hochi is but...he sounds awesome!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 10:00:52 PM | message detail
Pretty sure he does. I know he's entered his bracket in the Guru topic.
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http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif
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Mr3790 | Posted 10/19/2010 10:01:14 PM | message detail
Stick.
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This space for rent.
nintendogirl1 | Posted 10/19/2010 10:02:39 PM | message detail
*One of Hochi's original students*

We were so baller.
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*Has never used that word before*
ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/19/2010 10:03:05 PM | message detail
Now you won't be able to stop using it.
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http://i974.photobucket.com/albums/ae229/yungflyerz/67106910.jpg
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 10:20:23 PM | message detail
I forget hochi's contest crew of contest excellence or whatever, but it was basically the funniest post ever written.
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"me and ulti on our own is unfair enough, together is just beyond overkill lmfao." -Sess
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 10:30:39 PM | message detail
I am a proud member of said crew.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Masato_Tanaka | Posted 10/19/2010 11:42:23 PM | message detail
tag
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Yo Where All The White Women At
Articuno2001 | Posted 10/20/2010 7:29:49 AM | message detail
SMS > Uncharted 2 even
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15th in Best Game Ever 2009
http://backloggery.com/articuno2001/sig.gif
quicksilvver | Posted 10/20/2010 7:30:57 AM | message detail
SMS >>> Halo 3 chums
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Ketsui
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 7:32:46 AM | message detail
Halo always flops, so does Master Chief, except for in 2007.
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~~Ctesjbuvf~~
"Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever"
charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2010 7:33:49 AM | message detail
Match II: (8) Rock Band 2 vs. (9) Deus Ex

Information

Name: Rock Band 2
Year: 2008
Previous Performance: N/A

Name: Deus Ex
Year: 2000
Previous Performance: SpC2k9 - 4th in round 1

Analysis

You have one game suffering from I like you, but I don’t love you against a game that is not very well known on the console dominant GameFAQs. Had this been on a PC site Deus Ex probably takes it rather easily, but this isn’t the case. Too bad we’re likely to get a repeat of 2004 and 2009 and have the few Deus Ex fans come over and whine for the entire match, good thing the match only lasts for 12 hours.

One thing that I am interested in is how strong Rock Band 2 can be as the game has a large range. While it’s unlikely that it’ll pose a threat to Fallout 3 in the next round I do feel that once the contest is done Rock Band 2 will finish with a respectable performance overall. Unlike other things like Pac-Man or Peach that run pretty much only on apathy there are a few hardcore Rock Band 2 fans in the real world. The main problem is Rock Band 2 isn’t the type of game that people would come to GameFAQs and read a FAQ about so it has to rely on whether or not Rock Band 2 fans are more gamers than casual players.

Taking a quick look at the Oracle and I see a lot of people expecting Rock Band 2 to fail to break 60% in the match and many others only having it in the low 60s. While apathy ran entrants tend to struggle to score a decent percent you also have to look at the opponent. Deus Ex was terrible in the last contest and I see no reason to expect it to be any different, not that Rock Band 2 is going to be anything special either. Even Pac-Man was able to break 70% against the right opponent. 70% may be a bit much here, but the game should easily be around the mid to high 60s.

charmander6000’s Bracket: Rock Band 2 > Deus Ex

charmander6000’s Prediction: Rock Band 2 wins, 66.38% - 33.62%

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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 0/0 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Rock Band 2
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/20/2010 7:34:16 AM | message detail
What amazing votals!
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 7:40:29 AM | message detail
These vote totals being bad isn't some huge surprise. Fallout 3 has never brought in the votes (its matches last year at the bottom of the bracket were some of the most boring all contest), and it's up against inFamous. inFamous is a dime-z-dozen sandbox game in a very cluttered genre, and I'd go as far to say the current sandbox genre is as crowded as platformers in the 1990s.

Now for those saying this bodes badly for other PS3 games like Uncharted 2 or Demon's Souls, two words: effin relax. This only means people don't care about sandbox games, and it really only bodes badly for that genre. One match is not a pattern, and Fallout 3 is still going to the semis with no resistance.
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A tear is only water. A sigh is only air.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2010 7:43:23 AM | message detail
More like this bodes badly for inFamous and tells us nothing that we didn't already know/think we know.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 0/0 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Rock Band 2
Haguile | Posted 10/20/2010 7:43:28 AM | message detail
Morning everyone. Now to see how much Fallout 3 dropped since I went to sleep-
...It gained? Oh god. Is this fallout 3 being godly or infamous being way too weak?
Bigwig_rah | Posted 10/20/2010 7:44:57 AM | message detail
this bodes badly for other PS3 games like Uncharted 2

Damn right it does, Sonic Adventure 2 over Uncharted LOCKED IN.
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See You Space Cowboy...
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 7:46:07 AM | message detail

From: Haguile | #020
Morning everyone. Now to see how much Fallout 3 dropped since I went to sleep-
...It gained? Oh god. Is this fallout 3 being godly or infamous being way too weak?


Fallout 3 had 81% earlier it has dropped a little.
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/20/2010 7:47:21 AM | message detail
Man New Vegas came out yesterday in USA and today here in Europe.Of course it gained power!
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~
Biolizard28 | Posted 10/20/2010 7:48:37 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #018
One match is not a pattern, and Fallout 3 is still going to the semis with no resistance.


Batman.
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I like how each new topic you make reveals such varied facets of your idiocy. - foolmo
Now this is entertainment!
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 7:53:17 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3722

Someone needs to explain why that game is getting contest hype. Fallout 3 would utterly annihilate Modern Warfare 2.
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Death is the great equalizer.
pjbasis | Posted 10/20/2010 8:01:08 AM | message detail
Dissidia > Batman?
charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2010 8:01:28 AM | message detail
The Batman hype is pretty crazy, especially since I barely took it over Team Fortress 2.
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 0/0 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Rock Band 2
charmander6000 | Posted 10/20/2010 8:03:40 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3722

Interestingly enough in a few days Dragon Age went and had a much closer match with MW2
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BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
GotD Bracket: 0/0 Today's Matches: Fallout 3 & Rock Band 2
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/20/2010 8:06:05 AM | message detail
I think all the Batman hype is coming from an intense desire to see how Batman would do in a character battle. And since we'll never see that we're going to pretend that Batman: Arkham Asylum reads just "Batman".
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 8:07:38 AM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #029
I think all the Batman hype is coming from an intense desire to see how Batman would do in a character battle. And since we'll never see that we're going to pretend that Batman: Arkham Asylum reads just "Batman".


Pretty much this, yeah.

Batman beats Link, by the way.
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"You are the king of derailing topics." -Lucid
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 8:17:04 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #030
Batman beats Link, by the way.


Nope, only Jay Solano, God, L-Block and Mario beats Link. Mario just hasn't succeded yet damnit.
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~~Ctesjbuvf~~
"Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever"
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/20/2010 8:20:46 AM | message detail
When did G-d beat Link?
voltch | Posted 10/20/2010 8:24:47 AM | message detail
when is arkham city out?

Not soon enough i presume?
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Uguu~
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 8:25:51 AM | message detail
Why would you censor "God"?
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"Nature is only worth "preserving" to the extent that such preservation can benefit humanity." -SmartMuffin
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/20/2010 8:26:46 AM | message detail
Given that this is GameFAQs, I would take God to be a midcarder at best. Dude would get anti-voted to hell because of his fanbase.
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"SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 8:27:51 AM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #032
When did G-d beat Link?


God is the one above all, he would wreck the contest.
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07/28/02-12/13/09 R.I.P CATS we miss ya ;_;
2002-2010 R.I.P Noble Nine we miss ya ;_;
neonreaper | Posted 10/20/2010 8:28:09 AM | message detail
I figured inFamous would be a little better than this, damn, there goes my oracle pick
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Buster: It's so watery... and yet there's a smack of ham to it!
Lindsay: It's hot ham water!
voltch | Posted 10/20/2010 8:29:11 AM | message detail
God's sprite round would be beastly though.
3D god though....worse than megaman 3D.
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Hau hauu, omochi kaeri!
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 8:32:18 AM | message detail
We should use the Mega Man on the cover for the first game.
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Let me present a great man. The one and only of his kind. Ladies and Gentlemen, it's an honor to give you... CTES... umm... well... oh whatever.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/20/2010 8:32:24 AM | message detail
I don't think I've ever had a good start to the dang Oracle. This upcoming match probably won't help things; I have no idea about Rock Band.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/20/2010 8:32:31 AM | message detail
I'm religious and believe that G-d's name shouldn't even be written in vain.
And ctesjbuvf, did you just call me G-d? Because I'm flattered, but I'll have to deny it.
voltch | Posted 10/20/2010 8:32:57 AM | message detail
Deus Ex suddenly, magically gets the square vote and we all lose.
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Uguu~
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 8:35:59 AM | message detail
I doubt you know what "in vain" means, and God doesn't care anyway.
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"the lakers were led by kobematerializerX's 45 points while aeicooiooerek fisher contributed 15 assists." -MrTrollyPants
yoshifan823 | Posted 10/20/2010 8:37:19 AM | message detail

From: voltch | #042
Deus Ex suddenly, magically gets the square vote and we all lose.


Would literally be sick about that.
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Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Guru winnah Explicit Content, that's quis.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/20/2010 8:37:26 AM | message detail
Yes, I do. And I really have no intention of getting into a theological discussion here. You asked why and I answered. Leave it at that please.
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/20/2010 8:37:42 AM | message detail
It was a pun, but your username does make me think of God.
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How would a Kirby that has eaten me look like? (Made by KG)
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yoshifan823 | Posted 10/20/2010 8:37:53 AM | message detail
Also, "G-d" looks like you're saying "Goddamn". Good job, you're inferring the lord's name in vain.
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Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? Guru winnah Explicit Content, that's quis.
TheOneAboveAll | Posted 10/20/2010 8:41:18 AM | message detail
I've done it my whole life and I don't intend on stopping now. And The One Above All was originally a Marvel Comics reference.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 8:41:35 AM | message detail

From: yoshifan823 | #047
Also, "G-d" looks like you're saying "Goddamn". Good job, you're inferring the lord's name in vain.


Oh snap. G-d's gonna punish him for that.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/20/2010 8:42:02 AM | message detail

From: TheOneAboveAll | #048
I've done it my whole life and I don't intend on stopping now. And The One Above All was originally a Marvel Comics reference.


Marvel Comics is a pagan publication and G-d will not be pleased with you.
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"This Tea Party crap is such a disgrace to this country. Freaking disgusting." -vcharon