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Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 918

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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/18/2010 10:17:04 PM | message detail
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcrDWAuyqtc

Play this series. You're welcome!

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world!
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ESY16 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:20:40 PM | message detail
Mass Effect FTW
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TheOceIot | Posted 10/18/2010 10:21:59 PM | message detail
That song is awesome. My roommate played it non-stop for a few days after he beat ME1.
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Gamertag: PhoenyX101
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/18/2010 10:22:00 PM | message detail
I am confident that, after ME3, Mass Effect will be seen as an all-time great gaming series.
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TheOceIot | Posted 10/18/2010 10:23:32 PM | message detail
If it improves on ME2 as much as ME2 improved on ME1 then it should be.
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Gamertag: PhoenyX101
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:24:17 PM | message detail
Icehawk nommed a great song from ME2 in VGMC4

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VTsD2FjmLsw&fmt=18
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~ Ange
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:24:35 PM | message detail
And I bought Mass Effect recently but havent played too much of it

but I plan to soon
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~ Ange
JJH777 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:24:51 PM | message detail
I don't understand the love for Mass Effect. I was extremely hyped for the first one but it was extremely disappointing and I've heard the second one is even less like an RPG.
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TheOceIot | Posted 10/18/2010 10:25:41 PM | message detail
Less of an RPG, more of an awesome game that reeks of awesomeness.

Seriously, ME2 is miles ahead of the first game and the first is pretty good.
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Gamertag: PhoenyX101
ESY16 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:27:12 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #004
I am confident that, after ME3, Mass Effect will be seen as an all-time great gaming series.


I agree. It is already high on my list and if ME3 improves on ME2 then it will definitely be top 3 for me. Speaking of Mass Effect, I'm still deciding whether I like 1 or 2 the best. I know most people say 2 but I'm still not sure.

Where do people think ME2 is in terms of popularity on this site. How would it do against Half-Life 2?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2010 10:28:34 PM | message detail
Hmph, I'll consider it when they actually give us ME1 on the PS3!
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TheOceIot | Posted 10/18/2010 10:29:24 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #011
Hmph, I'll consider it when they actually give us ME1 on the PS3!


That'll never happen. Microsoft owns the publishing rights.
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Gamertag: PhoenyX101
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2010 10:30:42 PM | message detail
Well, that's a shame.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/18/2010 10:31:10 PM | message detail
Mass Effect must be experienced in its truest form (ie: on the Zobox). Just wait a few years until the console is really cheap. I'll let you borrow my copies if you ever buy an Xbox.
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ZFS | Posted 10/18/2010 10:32:25 PM | message detail
Haven't played Mass Effect, though I got kinda interested when I saw ME2 for $20 new at the store the other day.

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A journey of a thousand miles must begin with a single step.
ESY16 | Posted 10/18/2010 10:37:30 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #014
Mass Effect must be experienced in its truest form (ie: on the Zobox). Just wait a few years until the console is really cheap. I'll let you borrow my copies if you ever buy an Xbox.


ME is awesome on the PC TBQH.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/19/2010 5:40:55 AM | message detail
Yeah, might as well play both on the PC if you don't have a 360.

That or get a 360 like the rest of the cool people.
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Wylvane
turbopuns is a horrible user.
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/19/2010 6:14:57 AM | message detail
Might get Mass Effect for the PC so I can play the sequel on the PS3. Or I probably won't bother!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 8:48:08 AM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #014
Mass Effect must be experienced in its truest form (ie: on the Zobox). Just wait a few years until the console is really cheap. I'll let you borrow my copies if you ever buy an Xbox.


PC Mass Effect > that
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/19/2010 8:49:46 AM | message detail
I'm Commander Shepard, and this is my favorite topic on Board 8.
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Around here, I'm the father, the son, and the Holy ****ing Spirit all rolled into one - Red Crow
HaRRicH | Posted 10/19/2010 9:09:06 AM | message detail
To whoever said we're probably reaching Topic #1,000 this contest, allow me to guarantee it. In fact, we should be closer to hitting it by the end of the first round than not hitting it at all this contest.
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Can you refuse nominating Epona? NEIGH, you can't!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 9:21:07 AM | message detail
Well, we usually go through one topic per day, sometimes more than one, depending on how close the match is, so yeah, there's a good shot at it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 9:24:32 AM | message detail
Predicting we hit 1000 during Golden Sun/San Andreas.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/19/2010 9:26:20 AM | message detail
If Melee/Brawl is 50/50, we'll probably hit Part 2000!
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/19/2010 9:27:15 AM | message detail
I'll go a little earlier and say ToS/GoW in R2.
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What do Ocarina of Time, Majora's Mask, and Twilight Princess have in common? EPONA!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 9:28:44 AM | message detail
I say we spent 5 topics shouting SA2 and SFIV quotes in a few days.

And another 2 shouting WWF catchphrases.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 9:29:03 AM | message detail
Yes, it's so certain I'm already speaking of it in the past tense.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 9:29:33 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #026
I say we spent 5 topics shouting SA2 and SFIV quotes in a few days.


Way ahead of you. I already got a ton of quotes lined up.
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Intanos VI | Posted 10/19/2010 9:35:06 AM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
AppIekidjosh | Posted 10/19/2010 9:35:41 AM | message detail
Layton vs Ace Attorney for game of the next decade contest

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Biolizard28 | Posted 10/19/2010 11:52:46 AM | message detail
Wait a second, what the hell guys

RE5 is suddenly stupid weak?
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THEVinceYoung | Posted 10/19/2010 11:53:33 AM | message detail
Suddenly?

When was it strong?

(Hint: Symphonia isn't exactly bottom feeding fodder either, even if you make Tales of Symphonia vs. SA/GoW1/Oblivion a 1-on-1 match, it doesn't get killed)
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TRE Public Account | Posted 10/19/2010 12:01:16 PM | message detail
Wait a second, what the hell guys

RE5 is suddenly stupid weak?


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4049

How highly do you think of Metroid Fusion?
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Dr_Football punted my bracket across the field.
Congrats to Dr_Football for winning the Character Battle 8 Guru Contest!
LOLContests | Posted 10/19/2010 12:06:31 PM | message detail
I am shocked by how low all the picks for Rock Band 2 are in the Oracle. I would be surprised if it didn't break 70%. Deus Ex is really really weak.
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Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2010 12:29:11 PM | message detail
I'll be shouting CT quotes, regardless of the fact that it isn't in the contest. Yes, based on my quotes, people will think this is GOTD of the 90s.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
ILessThan3Tifa | Posted 10/19/2010 1:03:03 PM | message detail
I really have no idea what to put my any of my Oracle picks. I feel like I've been shooting low on everything. I think I have Anti-blowoutFAQs Fear.
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hylianknight3 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:09:59 PM | message detail
I'm getting antsy. I'm starting to think I should have left Pokemon G/S/C beating FFX, but I'm too nervous to change my bracket now.
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Aquaman
draarrowgant | Posted 10/19/2010 1:13:56 PM | message detail
Pokemon is so losing to Snake.
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psn: aarrowgant
Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:16:15 PM | message detail
The urge to switch from Half-Life 2 > God of War to God of War > Half-Life 2 nearly got me there. I think there's a very good chance that match kills a lot of us.

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You're pretty good, Dr_Football.
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:41:35 PM | message detail
I assume the first match is starting roughly 31 hours from now

and not 7?
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~Ange
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 1:42:13 PM | message detail
Usually the "Have you entered your bracket yet?" poll is the last one before the contest begins, so...

I'm not sure.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 1:47:00 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #035
I'll be shouting CT quotes, regardless of the fact that it isn't in the contest. Yes, based on my quotes, people will think this is GOTD of the 90s.


C(H)RONO: "..."

LUCCA: THE CUTE NERD WHO MAY OR MAY NOT HAVE A CRUSH ON MARLE

MARLE: THE PRINCESS WHO DOES NOT WANT TO BE A PRINCESS

ROBO: BEEPBEEP

AYLA: GRUNT GRUNT ME CAVEWOMAN WHO OFFERS NOTHING TO STORY

FROG: I SPEAKETH IN YE OLDE ENGRISH WHILE SITTING IN MY HOLE AND LETTING YOU GUYS DO ALL THE WORK

MAGUS: THE GOTHIC DUDE ALL THE 13 YEAR-OLDS WANT TO BE LIKE




Chrono Trigger has some baaaaad characters.
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:49:24 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #041
Usually the "Have you entered your bracket yet?" poll is the last one before the contest begins, so...

I'm not sure.


oh really?

hmmm

just makin sure so Im prepared for "If It Were up To Board 8"
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~Ange
transients | Posted 10/19/2010 1:50:14 PM | message detail
the site seems more down on this contest than any previous one. those poll results are damning, man.

oh well, more money for us
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 1:51:38 PM | message detail
Well, we had a pretty low number of entries for the last Character Battle, too. I think people just don't want to fill out 127 matches.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 1:53:49 PM | message detail
I checked all the other polls. The people who don't enter (I also add up the people who don't know a contest is going on) is around the 67-69% range.
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*is Dranze*
red sox 777 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:56:03 PM | message detail
Gotta start tonight to finish on December 23rd. 124 12-hour matches + 3 24-hour matches = 65 days
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/19/2010 1:58:16 PM | message detail
Man, this contest more than any other I feel terrible about my picks.

I say this honestly having no idea who I have in multiple debated matches, but I know that if I look at it I'll end up being wrong.
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transients | Posted 10/19/2010 1:59:17 PM | message detail
[16:44] <transience> i just gave up on my bracket
[16:44] <transience> whatever
[16:44] <transience> i ended up stuck on fire emblem vs. tony hawk at the last second
[16:44] <transience> and then said 'you know what? who ****ing cares' and posted it
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xyzzy
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 2:00:36 PM | message detail
AIM logs or IRC logs?
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*is Dranze*