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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 917

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2010 10:54:03 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #447
To be fair, at the time, MGS's performance was enough to shut everyone up about RBY. It had a fantastic R1, but then we all kind of decided that RBY wasn't that impressive by the way MGS beat it...despite GS and LoZ:MM, I know, but that shut most of us up, so I consider that impressive for MGS in that regard.


It resulted in Soul's ironic creativename sig, too!
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creativename | Posted 10/18/2010 10:57:24 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #1753
Yay cn is back! Get to uploading match pics >_>


Done :)

From: Team Rocket Elite | #1804
Good to see you back. GSC vs MGS3/4 is going to be a day match and GSC managed to go even with MGS during the day in the previous games contest:


Oh yeah, the day/night crap...I totally forgot about that. Do we have any data on how these games differ in day vs. night?

From: LeonhartFour | #2060
Yeah, if MGS4 vs. G/S/C was anything other than a weekday day match (even a weekend day match), I'd jump all over it.

C'mon Christmas Break trends


Aha! Christmas break, brilliant. Perhaps I can rationalize MGS4 after all! I was just about to abandon ship due to this day stuff. What date is this match?

From: UltimaterializerX | #2001
I fear this. I really do. Twilight Princess is far and away the strongest Zelda game in this bracket, yet it toils around as a 4 seed so Allen can set up Majora's Mask vs Wind Waker in the Team Zelda division. Something is seriously off with GSC, and Majora's Mask getting a 1 can't have been an accident.


I was pretty WTF at Majora's Mask being a 1 seed too - are seeds based on noms, or are they gimmicked by Bacon?

From: NoDicePwn | #2003
BTW has anyone contacted creativename to know if the updater will be working tomorrow?


Hopefully, but there might be glitches early, don't know if the poll still has the same format. Does the contest start at midnight eastern tomorrow?

From: UltimaterializerX | #2201
Hey I'm not panicking. I seriously do think GSC can win that match, and this is no misinformation or BS at all. I'm very surprised Board 8 (or at least, the BOP) thinks GSC makes it to the semifinal and then has no shot at all against FFX in a 24 hour match.


I agree with you - I think if GSC beats MGS4, it probably beats FFX.
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AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/18/2010 10:57:40 PM | message detail
Why are we all still assuming MM>WW? I've always felt that WW came third on the Zelda pecking order after OOT and TP.

I always thought ALttP came after OoT..In terms of popularity that is, ALttP >>> OoT forever and always :D
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/18/2010 10:58:24 PM | message detail
Finally got caught up on reading the rest of the previous topic.

MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/17/2010 7:28:13 PM | message detail
Hm.. the "How old are you polls?" look really interesting throughout the years. If we truly do have the same demographic as we did from 2004, yeah, I'd favor Melee.

MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/17/2010 7:31:15 PM | message detail
Same people* not demographics.

Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/17/2010 7:35:32 PM | message detail
So in 6 years no new people came to the site?That is impossible.

red sox 777 | Posted 10/17/2010 7:41:50 PM | message detail
The age polls show that the site is getting steadily older. But the median age has gone up by less than 1 year per year, so we are getting new younger users.


The really big difference I see with the age polls are the age polls for 4/18/2007 and 8/26/2009.

4/18/2007 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2725
8/26/2009 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3587
3/29/2010 - http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3864

In 2007, 14-17 was the dominant age group. Even if all of the 14-17 voters in the 2007 poll were 17 years old at the time, they couldn't go from being 17 years old to 21 years old in just about 2 1/2 years, when the 8/26/2009 poll was ran.

Something must have happened between 2007 and 2009 that significantly shifted the site demographic towards the older age groups. The 2007 poll happened prior to the 2007 character battle. The 2007 character battle generated a ton of site traffic due to the L-Block rallies and if those rallies attracted new users to the site, those users were probably in the older age groups. I'll place my bets that the L-Block rallies were likely on sites with older age demographics.
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creativename | Posted 10/18/2010 11:02:59 PM | message detail
Here's a list of some of my picks that I think are upsets based on the BOP. What do people think of these matches?

Sunshine over Halo (both of them) - I have like negative faith in Sunshine but I just cannot pick Halo in a debatable match

Morrowind over WC3 - I'm back and forth on this one

No Mercy over Fire Emblem

Crisis Core over FF12 - seems like a very unpopular pick but I don't trust 12

Oblivion over Wind Waker
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2010 11:05:53 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #455
Crisis Core over FF12 - seems like a very unpopular pick but I don't trust 12


LOL Handheld games

Especially PSP ones

But I have to applaud Bacon for setting up the perfect trap match. Seriously, it's a stroke of genius.

From: creativename | #452
are seeds based on noms, or are they gimmicked by Bacon?


Well, Bacon fidgeted with things a bit to create "rivalries" like SSBM/SSBB, but he did tell us that the 4 most nominated games (in order) were FFX, SSBM, RE4, and Galaxy. Beyond that, we don't know.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/18/2010 11:08:16 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3507&region=US

Is it time for me to panic yet?

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3507&region=EUR

save_us.europe
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Greyfeld | Posted 10/18/2010 11:10:34 PM | message detail
Sunshine over Halo (both of them) - I have like negative faith in Sunshine but I just cannot pick Halo in a debatable match

No Mercy over Fire Emblem


I have these two picks as well. (or 3 picks, rather) I think Mario is going to overperform. The polls I saw always gave it decent ratings (not fantastic, but decent), and I think a lot of people are overestimating Halo, especially due to the recent release of Reach.

Course, I could be completely wrong, but that's why it's a toss-up match. Anyway, I have Sonic beating mario in the third match, so even if I'm wrong, I'm hoping to only lose a handful of points.
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/18/2010 11:11:34 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3504&region=EUR

pokemon clearly will suffer a lot less damage from the european votes

the european votes are one of the major threats to smash bros > ffx

gsc doesn't the same worry to any similar extent
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LOLContests | Posted 10/18/2010 11:12:21 PM | message detail
Crisis Core over FF12 - seems like a very unpopular pick but I don't trust 12

Would you take Crisis Core to get 48% on Half-Life 2?
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XIII_rocks | Posted 10/18/2010 11:13:08 PM | message detail
Dudes.

I just realised we're probably going to make CSandD number 1000 in this contest.

That's insane. Congrats to all the regulars.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/18/2010 11:16:31 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
AppreciateTrees | Posted 10/18/2010 11:20:09 PM | message detail
Yeah we're the biggest group of internet nerds outside of an anime discussion topic, and I honest to God mean that as a compliment. 1000 of these topics is seriously unreal.

How can you call this less nerdy than an anime discussion lol

This about as nerdy as it gets, but I love it.
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/18/2010 11:21:09 PM | message detail
Morrowind over WC3 - I'm back and forth on this one

This is something I am also considering, but I just switched over to WC3. I may still consider switching back to Morrowind. Morrowind looks like a game that would have a better day vote than WC3 and this is a day match.

This poll doesn't really encourage me to pick Morrowind:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1129

WC3 manages to triple Morrowind, but it's also a poll from early 2003 and I have a hard time trusting old polls like that.

Morrowind's chances of winning here depend on if Oblivion had an impact on the earlier Elder Scrolls games by encouraging Oblivion players to check out the earlier games in the series. Since Oblivion is more popular than Morrowind. This may very well be the reason why Galaxy is one of the 4 most nominated games despite bombing last year, because Galaxy 2 was released earlier this year.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/18/2010 11:22:42 PM | message detail
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster]
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/18/2010 11:40:29 PM | message detail

From: AppreciateTrees | #463
Yeah we're the biggest group of internet nerds outside of an anime discussion topic, and I honest to God mean that as a compliment. 1000 of these topics is seriously unreal.

How can you call this less nerdy than an anime discussion lol

This about as nerdy as it gets, but I love it.


Hey, a normal post from you. I am intrigued by the cut of your jib.
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creativename | Posted 10/18/2010 11:48:50 PM | message detail
OK, you guys have convinced me, FF12>CC it is :)

From: Justin_Crossing | #2259
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3504&region=EUR

pokemon clearly will suffer a lot less damage from the european votes

the european votes are one of the major threats to smash bros > ffx

gsc doesn't the same worry to any similar extent


I'm confused - what do you mean? Are you talking about day/night trends? Isn't FFX/RE4 vs. GSC/MGS4 a 24 hour match?
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Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/18/2010 11:52:20 PM | message detail

From: creativename | #467
OK, you guys have convinced me, FF12>CC it is :)
[quoted text]

I'm confused - what do you mean? Are you talking about day/night trends? Isn't FFX/RE4 vs. GSC/MGS4 a 24 hour match?


No, I'm talking about how Smash Bros always does awfully in European polls whereas FF thrives. Pokemon doesn't take nearly as much damage from European votes as Smash Bros does, thus putting it in a better position against FFX.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/19/2010 2:03:03 AM | message detail
Crisis Core is beating XII, even being on the PSP and how well XII did previous polls, the voters will rally for CC to pull off this hilarious upset of a handheld FF beating a mainline FF.

UPSET ****IN' SPECIAL. Trap match my ass. In Buster Sword we trust.

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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/19/2010 2:34:06 AM | message detail
Isn't FFX/RE4 vs. GSC/MGS4 a 24 hour match?

Both of those matches are in the quarterfinals. The semifinals is when we switch over to 24 hour matches. The 2 semifinal matches and the final match are all 24 hour matches. Polls 4069 to 4192 will be 12 hour matches. Polls 4193, 4194, and 4195 will be the 24 hour matches.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/19/2010 5:39:08 AM | message detail
Went with WW > MM for the division. GSC was impressive last games contest, but far from another RBY. I don't think HG/SS will be a huge factor now either, nor will BW since it won't be released here this year. It's not RBY2, and I don't think it's going to be the RBY proxy everyone expects it to be.

As for WW > MM, both did similar against Melee and RBY respectively. WW was very likely SFFed (which could also hurt it against MM), though MM could've been LFFed both matches it was in (two other N64 games and RBY, two Pokemon games vs MGS). Both don't really have good reads.

Definitely nothing I'm confident about, though. Any of those three games has a good chance of winning the division. I don't expect GSC to challenge MGS3/4 though.
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/19/2010 5:47:19 AM | message detail
I stuck with MM > WW.

Adult Link > Toon Link

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/19/2010 6:22:17 AM | message detail

From: Dilated Chemist | #472
I stuck with MM > WW.

Adult Link > Toon Link


Don't you mean Young Link > Toon Link?
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 6:22:24 AM | message detail
Didn't MM have Young Link?


Also I was thinking about the DMC games. A lot of people call Kratos/GoW Dante/DMC-lite, GoW isn't that far from Metroid Prime or KotOR, I'm also pretty sure GoW will perform pretty badly in a series contest as well.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 6:23:33 AM | message detail
It's also obvious that this site likes Toon Link better than Young Link

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3308

>_>
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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/19/2010 6:30:05 AM | message detail
Hmm... Young Link still owns Toon Link.

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Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/19/2010 6:32:49 AM | message detail
Or how about Fierce Deity Link? Toon Link is done for.

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 6:49:31 AM | message detail
My only problem with DMC is that I just don't think it's as big as GoW. GoW/MP is actually pretty debatable to me.

Wouldn't be shocked if Metroid blew it, though.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/19/2010 6:55:27 AM | message detail
About as bad as they got burned on R/B/Y vs. MM last year, if not worse.

I'm proud to say I avoided that burn.

It resulted in Soul's ironic creativename sig, too!

I love the sig because even though I lost and it was made in jest, it actually came out being a fact. Couldn't have asked for a better one, haha.
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tgs2 | Posted 10/19/2010 7:17:08 AM | message detail
So I picked GTA IV(And would pick emerald if it were here) to upset Galaxy. Am I insane?
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 7:21:17 AM | message detail
If you believe the effect CoD4 had on GTAIV was about the same as SSBB had on SMG then no.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 7:21:48 AM | message detail
Does anyone think it's possible r/s/e is stronger than d/p/pl?
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 7:26:48 AM | message detail
Does anyone think it's possible r/s/e is stronger than d/p/pl?

RSE came out during when the hate was at its strongest and Nintendo's water fad while DPP came out during the recovery period. Even if you ignore that the main problem that RSE had was it was impossible to get a lot of Pokemon until FRLG came out which meant a lot of favourites went missing.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 7:28:32 AM | message detail
Yeah, this would be a much easier match to decide if it wasn't GTA!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 7:30:43 AM | message detail
Kinda thinking Pokemon wins the entire contest <_<
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quicksilvver | Posted 10/19/2010 7:33:40 AM | message detail
Kinda thinking Pokemon wins the entire contest <_<

If Crystal gets past MGS4 I'm going to say it wins the whole thing.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 7:35:57 AM | message detail
GSC winning is not that crazy. MGS is roughly equal to FFX while if you removed KH FFX would have been roughly equal to SSBM. That leaves SSBB and based on MGS4 it's also not that far from FFX/SSBM/MGS.

Now does the release of HG/SS and BW in Japan push it over the top?
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/19/2010 7:37:08 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3981

Very possible Emerald could win apathy too.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 7:41:22 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #487
GSC winning is not that crazy. MGS is roughly equal to FFX while if you removed KH FFX would have been roughly equal to SSBM. That leaves SSBB and based on MGS4 it's also not that far from FFX/SSBM/MGS.

Now does the release of HG/SS and BW in Japan push it over the top?


GSC would need a rally (which it's VERY capable of doing) to beat FFX. Now with Smash, I'm not sure that same rally is effective.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/19/2010 7:42:58 AM | message detail
GSC doesn't need a rally to win, like I said it could very well get the boost to win it.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 7:44:51 AM | message detail
But does it also beat Smash? If Brawl beats Melee, then yeah the bottom half bracket winner probably wins the contest. But if it's Melee vs Pokemon GSC, I don't see Pokemon winning that.
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ExThaNemesis | Posted 10/19/2010 7:49:44 AM | message detail
I've had Melee > GSC as the final for about two weeks now.

I'm not changing it now.

I have such a cookie cutter bracket otherwise though.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 8:10:53 AM | message detail
You also have a lot of faith in the GOD DAMN BATMAN, as well you should.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/19/2010 8:41:15 AM | message detail
Brackets close at 7 EST tonight, right?
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/19/2010 8:42:09 AM | message detail
pretty sure its PST just like always
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 8:42:53 AM | message detail

From: Dilated Chemist | #469
Crisis Core is beating XII, even being on the PSP and how well XII did previous polls, the voters will rally for CC to pull off this hilarious upset of a handheld FF beating a mainline FF.


http://imagemacros.files.wordpress.com/2009/06/its_a_trap.jpg
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/19/2010 8:45:01 AM | message detail
Also, ExTha backed out on Batman.

Pansy.
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SubDeity | Posted 10/19/2010 8:45:39 AM | message detail
I have Brawl winning, but I'm inching closer towards a last-minute panic that will replace it with Melee.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 8:46:30 AM | message detail

From: SubDeity | #498
I have Brawl winning, but I'm inching closer towards a last-minute panic that will replace it with Melee.


It feels like everyone is doing this.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/19/2010 8:46:40 AM | message detail
Play EarthBound.
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