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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 916

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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/17/2010 10:55:02 AM | message detail
This is my first time checking the poll since last night... and, uh, things have gotten interesting to say the least! I have to give Fallout some serious props - LFF or not, its performance is seriously impressive.

I'm definitely thinking about going back to FFX > Melee, though. I'm not totally sure about it, but man, Melee's really taken a tumble.

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/17/2010 10:55:08 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | Posted: 10/17/2010 1:52:32 PM | #247
In fact, I'm pretty sure there's more of the latter than the former. No one is actually taking this seriously('cept BT and Albion, so make of that what you will)


I think the correct interpretation of my posts and others who have said similar things is: "How on Earth could you infer anything at all?"

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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 10:55:17 AM | message detail
Also, I don't remember RE4 making any sort of comeback against KHII with the day vote.

It stalled at best and still lost the day vote outright both rounds.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
redrocket | Posted 10/17/2010 10:57:36 AM | message detail

I'm definitely thinking about going back to FFX > Melee, though. I'm not totally sure about it, but man, Melee's really taken a tumble.


wut

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From his looks Magus is Macho Man Randy Savage as an anime zombie. The black wind howls, and one of you will snap into a Slim Jim ooh yeeeah! -sonicblastpunch
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2010 10:59:50 AM | message detail
Only reason people thought RE4 has a decent day vote is because people thought KHII can pull off a 2k comeback like it was nothing.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:00:38 AM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2020

hey guys kefka will beat diablo right

Keep in mind that this is post-contest
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/17/2010 11:02:20 AM | message detail
The only thing that's being taken too seriously is the responses to the poll
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~ Ange
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2010 11:02:38 AM | message detail
MOVE ZIG

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DFF
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/17/2010 11:02:43 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #256
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2020

hey guys kefka will beat diablo right

Keep in mind that this is post-contest


You mean CATS > Diablo, dude
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The 3DS will be $200 or I'm closing my account - Ngamer64
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:03:04 AM | message detail

From: TheKoolAidShoto | #259
You mean CATS > Diablo, dude


Well, yeah, but everybody would take that.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 11:04:47 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 was going to the semis with or without this poll. Not a single game in the Northeast is strong.
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ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/17/2010 11:09:20 AM | message detail

From: TheCodeisBosco | #251
I'm definitely thinking about going back to FFX > Melee, though. I'm not totally sure about it, but man, Melee's really taken a tumble.


Melee's performance is actually very good.
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~~Ctesjbuvf~~
"Biggest Nintendo Fan Ever"
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:10:19 AM | message detail
I think the main thing you can take from this poll is that this contest is wide open. Nobody's sure who's going to win at all.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
ctesjbuvf | Posted 10/17/2010 11:10:47 AM | message detail
Also remember that the poll asks what game you think will win, not what your favorite is.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 11:36:47 AM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #219
It really bugs me how people refuse to give a Western game a shot at being an elite no matter how much it proves itself. This site is so obsessed with anything Japanese made, sigh.


Pretty much. There's a reason I'm the only stats topic reg to actually win a contest, and it's because I don't listen to a word of advice from in here.
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"I hope Mike Green and his entire family are killed." -SmartMuffin
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2010 11:42:02 AM | message detail
I agree with Ulti, we all know enough about contests that we shouldn't be changing our minds that easily.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 11:42:57 AM | message detail
Well it's more like the guy that invented fantasy baseball. He knows more about baseball than pretty much everyone, but he never has or will win a fantasy league because he's unable to look past numbers.
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Mr3790 | Posted 10/17/2010 11:46:38 AM | message detail
Impressive performance by Fallout here. Not disappointed with my pick for it to go to the semi finals.
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I fell in the Guru Contest, because Dr_Football was there.
GENO WHIRL!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/17/2010 11:47:46 AM | message detail
Didn't you take advice from the topic on some matches in your winning bracket, Ulti?
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:48:19 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #269
Didn't you take advice from the topic on some matches in your winning bracket, Ulti?


Yeah, he changed to SFII > Mario RPG, in fact.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 11:49:17 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #269
Didn't you take advice from the topic on some matches in your winning bracket, Ulti?


Yeah, I listened to Slowflake and picked SF2 > SMRPG. Then I listened to him again next contest and picked DK > Vivi and I haven't listened to the stats topic since.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:49:47 AM | message detail
Slow more like Mr. Chalk
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2010 11:50:29 AM | message detail
Which is why I'm shocked at all the people that think Halo and GTA will flop. Just because they didn't live up to our expectations doesn't mean they're fodder either.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:51:49 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #273
Which is why I'm shocked at all the people that think Halo and GTA will flop. Just because they didn't live up to our expectations doesn't mean they're fodder either.


People like to swing from one extreme to the other. Halo and GTA have burned people so many times that they're now at the point where they're like "I will NEVER pick them to win again!"

Although admittedly, I'm at that point with Magus and Shadow the Hedgehog.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:52:30 AM | message detail
Well, it's not because either of those characters has really burned me, but just because they suck.

Oh right, Shadow did burn me in 2008.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2010 11:58:43 AM | message detail
Shadow actually turned out to be better than I would have expected. Didn't he end up being worth around 37% on Luigi, beating out WCC in the stats?

Magus just blows now, nothing to see there.

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DFF
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2010 11:59:06 AM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #261
Fallout 3 was going to the semis with or without this poll. Not a single game in the Northeast is strong.


I seem to remember you saying something about taking Uncharted out of that division.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 11:59:26 AM | message detail
Shadow's not fodder, no. But I still won't pick him to win a debatable match because he hasn't done it yet.
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"The great GF...Bahamut."
"...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..."
charmander6000 | Posted 10/17/2010 12:00:03 PM | message detail
People can change their mind

>_>
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
The Real Truth | Posted 10/17/2010 12:00:46 PM | message detail
really guys
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/17/2010 12:01:12 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #201
FFX is ****ed unless Brawl beats Melee. Melee is a decent second place even when dealing with 4 other Nintendo games (I'm counting RE4 based on last year's trends, you don't come back during the day on Kingdom Hearts unless you have a beastly day vote).

The only thing this poll is making me think twice about is Majora's Mask against Pokemon. That match is not as obvious as last year makes it out to be.


Wait, this makes no sense. If Brawl beats Melee, wouldn't that be even WORSE for FFX?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/17/2010 12:04:37 PM | message detail
Not if Brawl > Melee > FFX > Brawl
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 12:05:59 PM | message detail
rSFF, you say

There'd be no way of knowing it one way or the other.
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"Stay with me until the end. Please."
"Not until the end. Always."
Team Rocket Elite (Moderator) | Posted 10/17/2010 12:06:19 PM | message detail
Wait, this makes no sense. If Brawl beats Melee, wouldn't that be even WORSE for FFX?

If you believe SSBM failing to beat SSBB is mostly or entirely due to SSBM being weaker than expected, no.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/17/2010 12:06:43 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #282
Not if Brawl > Melee > FFX > Brawl


Or the other way around.

Yeah I said it
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KrahenProphet | Posted 10/17/2010 12:07:42 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #265
Pretty much. There's a reason I'm the only stats topic reg to actually win a contest, and it's because I don't listen to a word of advice from in here.


Eh,every contest I read what is said here, by heavily lurking, and take a fair amount into consideration (weighted appropriately), but the main thing I try to avoid is sharing my opinions. Only once opinions are in the open, they have become free to be distorted and molded by others. Staying silent helps avoid group think.
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Dr_Football punted me out of the Guru throne.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 12:07:49 PM | message detail
GTA and Halo aren't fodder, though the Emerald > GTA4 picks are kind of funny. No one cared about RSE and GTA4 looked fine last year. Pokemon in a day match can still win, but there's no reason to be sure of that one.

Ignoring Summer 2002 and Spring 2004 for obvious reasons, every contest has had a match that burns the stats:

Summer 2003: Link vs Cloud.
Summer 2004: Sora vs Ryu Hayabusa and maybe Mario vs Crono.... Summer 2004 was a bad contest.
Spring 2005: All of Diablo's matches.
Summer 2005: Mario winning the contest over Samus and Crono, Magus vs Knuckles.
Spring 2006: Zelda vs Final Fantasy.
Summer 2006: Sonic vs Crono, a ton of Snake's matches, Samus vs Tifa.
Fall 2007: L-Block.
Fall 2008: Another handful of Snake matches.
Fall 2009: Too many to count, though it's not really the fault of stats.
Winter 2010: Snake vs Sephiroth, Missingno vs Crono, and the entire Heart division.

In this contest especially, cutting cookies ain't gonna win.
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/17/2010 12:09:23 PM | message detail
Sonic v Crono so good
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~ Ange
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 12:09:25 PM | message detail
How do you even get a cookie cutter in this one?

I'm not even sure what the cookie is or should be for some of these matches.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 12:09:33 PM | message detail
For the record, I like this topic the most and I'm not insulting everyone. But when you guys collectively work together to all have the same bracket across all of Board 8 (and I know it's unintended), those guru-burners happen.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 12:10:12 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #289
How do you even get a cookie cutter in this one?


Picking FFX to win, for one.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2010 12:10:29 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #289
How do you even get a cookie cutter in this one?

I'm not even sure what the cookie is or should be for some of these matches.


The cookie is Brawl or Melee winning.

Also, Ulti, you forgot the series contest where everyone picked FF to win.

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DFF
voltch | Posted 10/17/2010 12:10:38 PM | message detail
oh i think it just adds more tension when everyone's depending on just one match to win it all.
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Uguu~
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 12:10:49 PM | message detail
I'd be surprised if the stats topic influences more than a handful of picks each contest.
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"Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?"
"I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!"
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2010 12:10:59 PM | message detail
Really? Have you seen the board? Pretty much no one is picking FFX.

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DFF
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 12:11:20 PM | message detail

From: KamikazePotato | #292
Also, Ulti, you forgot the series contest where everyone picked FF to win.


From: UltimaterializerX | #287
Spring 2006: Zelda vs Final Fantasy.


HAW HAW KP
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voltch | Posted 10/17/2010 12:11:21 PM | message detail
those lurkers have got to be influenced.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/17/2010 12:11:32 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #291
Picking FFX to win, for one.


I don't think FFX is the cookie on Board 8.
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"I couldn't stand a day without a past or future. I need to live each moment to keep fighting here and now."
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/17/2010 12:12:13 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #294
I'd be surprised if the stats topic influences more than a handful of picks each contest.


You'd think that, but contest stuff is far and away the most visited pages on the B8 wiki. Noble Nine is still #1. Tons of people research this stuff without posting in the stats topic all the time.
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·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·
"Oh that the world were more like Ulti." -MWC
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/17/2010 12:12:48 PM | message detail
The current BOP for the final match is:

Super Smash Bros. Brawl 12
Final Fantasy X 6
Super Smash Bros. Melee 5
Pokemon GSC 1

Man, we really need the Guru.

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DFF