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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 916

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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 12:27:06 PM | message detail
Some people had SMG over it.

Though it should be, but this is GameFAQs.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 12:37:04 PM | message detail
TP did get like 47% on Brawl, so it wasn't really a stretch that it could beat it. TP was favored by most of us over FFX back then too, before the Deboost.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 12:39:49 PM | message detail
Well, I think I had just beaten TP at the time, so I was kinda high on it.

But yeah, I posted one of those "Rank these games" things with a bunch of our non-FFVII/OoT contenders, and a lot of people had Brawl near the bottom, below TP, FFX, RE4, and the like.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 12:43:19 PM | message detail
voltch | Posted 3/7/2009 11:02:28 AM | message detail
there really would be no problem if the early rounds were done with 2 matches in a day.


voltch the prophet

Look at this
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Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX!
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KrahenProphet | Posted 10/16/2010 1:36:00 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #079
I got both of Jill's 27 vote losses wrong.

And Jill/Ryu Hayabusa may have cost me a contest victory. After 30 correct matches to open the contest, I lost the perfect on a 27-vote match- and simultaneously was eliminated from the Guru to boot. No idea how Ryu H. was favored 66-4 or something like that in the Guru.


Yeah, I would have taken 1st in 2004 if there were just a handful of votes more for Jill... Never will forget that match.
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Dr_Football punted me out of the Guru throne.
4th place in Summer Contest 2k4
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 1:37:12 PM | message detail
2004 was such a predictable SFF fest that just getting one match wrong was enough to do you in. There were, what, 4 brackets that only missed one match?

Including one of them getting Ryu/KOS-MOS wrong, of all things.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 1:46:33 PM | message detail
You know, Bacon should follow up this poll with a "What was your favorite gaming year of the '90s?" and list like three of the big games from each year.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 2:24:24 PM | message detail
Yeah, it's crazy. Before Summer 2004, I think Ulti's 185 was the all-time high score in a contest. We had at least 50 brackets higher than that in that contest, I think.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/16/2010 4:23:39 PM | message detail
Anyone know what to make of Marvel vs. Capcom 2 and NSMB Wii?
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2010 5:07:29 PM | message detail
I took MvC, because I don't think anyone cares about NSMB Wii
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/16/2010 5:13:15 PM | message detail
I don't think anyone cares about non-Smash fighters that aren't SF2.

The battle of who cares less, LETS GET IT ON!
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2010 5:21:19 PM | message detail
Yeah, I should say that I have no comfort on that pick and that match is really a tossup.
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Shoenin_Kakashi | Posted 10/16/2010 5:22:13 PM | message detail
Speaking of MvC
http://www.ustream.tv/channel/teamspooky

The Sentinel/Storm/Magneto show currently.
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My God, did that predict good!
Dr_Football-l-l it no goin' and you tell me do things, I done runnin'...
ZFS | Posted 10/16/2010 5:22:46 PM | message detail
MvC2 is actually pretty popular, probably near SF2.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 5:40:52 PM | message detail
I don't think it's been posted here yet; there's some really interesting analysis on the Battle Challenge in Gunmage's topic:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56657511
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2010 5:51:17 PM | message detail
The really interesting part about the Battle Challenge is that we can adjust expectations as the contest goes on. Board 8 is going to dominate the leaderboards for that one.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/16/2010 5:51:49 PM | message detail

From: BlAcK TuRtLe | #116
The really interesting part about the Battle Challenge is that we can adjust expectations as the contest goes on. Board 8 is going to dominate the leaderboards for that one.


Yep, this is Bacon's gift to us: Free video games!
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BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2010 6:07:55 PM | message detail
For instance, if GTA3 ****s the bed, I can change my picks for the other debatable GTA matches.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 6:07:56 PM | message detail
There's also going to be a lot of drop-outs after the first round with people forgetting/being too lazy.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 6:13:14 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #101
Some people had SMG over it.


Speaking of dumb picks, here's one of mine...!

Speaking of bets with BT, I would be more than glad to leave BT alone about the 43%-45% quote he has if he would simply admit Solid Snake would have beaten Mega Man that year...but he has defended Mega Man would beat him since then at least once and never will admit how lucky he was. So, I'll just make the most of how wrong BT was for making that bet and saying that quote until he changes his mind. When he acknowledges the truth out loud here, I'll leave him be about that quote.
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/16/2010 6:27:44 PM | message detail
4-5 more days cant wait
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~ Ange
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/16/2010 9:01:14 PM | message detail
Interesting poll today, but Melee and the other Nintendo games are being hurt by LFF here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 9:02:25 PM | message detail
Don't look now, but here's another poll that unfairly favors FFX in a poll about the Game of the Decade!
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So what if she's a horse? She's got your back anyway.
Rustaaay | Posted 10/16/2010 9:03:36 PM | message detail
yeah, with all those other games removed, i think SMM would beat FFX

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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 9:04:48 PM | message detail
Super Mario Galaxy never ceases to disappoint
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/16/2010 9:06:18 PM | message detail
I'm more worried about Pokemon GSC over Majora's Mask based on this. It's in third place right now and holding up well despite the Nintendo LFF.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/16/2010 9:06:42 PM | message detail
Oh, Metroid Prime.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 9:07:43 PM | message detail
And I think any talk of Metroid Prime beating Half Life 2, let alone Fallout 3, should die right here
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Rustaaay | Posted 10/16/2010 9:08:46 PM | message detail
lets analyze it like this:

add MP, SMG and MM's vote totals to SSM's total and F3 and MGS3 totals to FFX

split RE4 but more in favor of SSM i'd think (maybe like 60-40) and that's how close the finals of GotD will be

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 9:09:14 PM | message detail
To be fair, this is just an expectations-poll instead of a poll actually based on favoritism...but this isn't exactly to be ignored, either. I believe these types of polls have had decent success in the past.
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The Mana Sword | Posted 10/16/2010 9:10:09 PM | message detail
I think any talk of Demon's Souls beating Mega Man 9 should die right here.


...what?
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This is the kind of **** that allowed the Bhopal incident to happen. 5,000 dead Indians. Want that on your damn conscience, Square apologists?
red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 9:10:32 PM | message detail
Majora's Mask is doing really well here, way better than it should. That means it's time to congratulate Gamefaqs: it has finally learned that it is not Final Fantasy that always wins, but Zelda!
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 9:10:34 PM | message detail
Looks like Fallout 3 should end up 3rd here. Good show
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/16/2010 9:11:33 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | Posted: 10/17/2010 12:09:14 AM | #130
I believe these types of polls have had decent success in the past.


Really?

I don't take these polls seriously ever.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/16/2010 9:11:36 PM | message detail
The only thing to really take from this poll is Prime getting utterly destroyed. yeesh.

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DFF
HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 9:11:52 PM | message detail
Also, Luster, you damn well better be keeping trends here.
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EPONA EPONA EPONA
red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 9:12:36 PM | message detail
I don't remember: what success have these polls had in the past? Besides getting Link winning right, that's obvious. I think Snake did really well in the 2006 poll, but don't remember any other of them.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/16/2010 9:13:37 PM | message detail
Also, Luster, you damn well better be keeping trends here.

I am keeping trends here.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/16/2010 9:15:29 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1284
2k3. Failed to predict the winner, and by a wide margin too.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1558
Predicted the winner, but had no OoT. And look at Halo go!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2497
This one was notable, but Sonic also lost to Sora in it so...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2498
Expected result.


So all in all, they've been a definite mixed bag.

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DFF
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 9:15:42 PM | message detail
Gotta love the WRPG board votes. Fallout 3 didn't take long to take 3rd
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 9:18:50 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1590
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2497
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2498

They called Sonic Snake winning it all when few/none of us were, backed us up on Samus winning the Female Bracket, and the LoZ:WW > MP result lined up pretty well with their 2004-result.


It's to be taken with a grain of salt, but people base their expectations off of their perceived popularity...if a game seems popular, it probably is, and this is a poll with many of the greats of the past decade. Watch out for LFF and take this with a grain of salt anyway, but...

...well, then there's not really much to take from this poll then after that. Voila!
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/16/2010 9:21:26 PM | message detail
MGS4 over MGS3 seems far more likely now based on these polls:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3493
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3501

MGS4 got 58.21% on Fallout 3 in round 2 and 57.98% on Fallout 3 in round 3. Fallout 3 has 57.07% on MGS3 right now. Even if you think that MGS3 was being LFFed by RE4, MGS4 still has a very large cushion over MGS3.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/16/2010 9:22:22 PM | message detail
Up until today, I never seriously considered Half-Life 2 > Metroid Prime.

Now? I'm not sure if Metroid is getting past Devil May Cry 3. >_> Okay, that's a bit of a stretch; but seriously, Prime looks bloody awful here. I guess Other M backlash is taking its toll!

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Haste_2 | Posted 10/16/2010 9:23:25 PM | message detail
Here are some matches I made that might make YOU raise an eyebrow... (also, keep in mind I "predicted" this contest about a year after it happened)...

-Grand Theft Auto: Vice City > Kingdom Hearts in Round 1....... huh, well, at least I predicted GTA:VC to do better than MP....
-FFX > GTA: VC in Round 2... yeah, I guess I predicted GTA games didn't divebomb or something.
-Resident Evil 4 > Gears of War (?!) in Round 1.... I didn't expect KH2 to do much, since it struggled with Soul Calibur of all games a few years prior...
-Super Mario Galaxy > Team Fortress 2...... um, yeah. I didn't know Call of Duty 4 was popular. But I was also pretty clueless, since I hadn't paid attention to gaming for a year or so.
-FF4 making it to the SEMI-FINALS.... I overestimated leeching between the Mario games, mainly. True, if it had beaten SMB/SMW in Round 3 it would have made it where I wanted it to.

Other past blunders include taking Magus to win SC2K3... I was sort of lying to myself, but I tried to convince myself that Magus could do it, since he's supposedly much more liked than Crono. I'll tell you what... if Magus was as popular as Link, Chrono Trigger would be the top game on this site without question!

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 9:24:47 PM | message detail
Also, to help explain Metroid Prime, compare today to...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3728

...replacing LoZ:TP with LoZ:MM can't hurt SMG, and replacing SSBB with SSBM doesn't do MP any favors. Removing LoZ:WW means one less Gamecube game, so that's nice...but with SSBM in the poll, if you thought a LoZ-game was hurt by SSBM last year, this poll shows us what it could do to Metroid!


As if multi-option polls and SFF can be explained that easily...but I think it's a start to explaining SMG turn it around on MP here.
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Epona EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA Epona
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/16/2010 9:24:50 PM | message detail
Whoops, MGS4 actually got 56.75% on Fallout 3 in round 3. I used Brawl's result by accident in doing my calculations.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!
red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 9:28:05 PM | message detail
-FF4 making it to the SEMI-FINALS.... I overestimated leeching between the Mario games, mainly. True, if it had beaten SMB/SMW in Round 3 it would have made it where I wanted it to.

This was actually a really popular pick around here. May even have been the favorite, I'm not sure.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
MegatokyoEd | Posted 10/16/2010 9:28:07 PM | message detail
The only things to really take from this are that Fallout 3 is for real and that MP is going nowhere.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2010 9:29:55 PM | message detail
Wow, not a bad performance at all from Fallout 3. I probably wasn't going to waffle on its semifinal placing in my bracket, but this doesn't hurt my confidence, at least.

Melee looks the most impressive, though! And Majora's Mask... oh god, as if I didn't want to bet on it before.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 9:30:40 PM | message detail
So uh... did Fallout 3 just cut Melee or did I add it wrong?
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