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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 916

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/16/2010 7:00:52 AM | message detail
Two-three strongest games? I think you could make a real argument for the top five being from the '90s, though we don't really know.
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whatisurnameplz | Posted 10/16/2010 7:36:34 AM | message detail
What game would be favourite for a "Game of the 90s that isn't FFVII or OoT" contest? LttP?

Pokemon.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2010 8:15:11 AM | message detail
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/16/2010 8:15:56 AM | message detail
I thought the 90s would dominate harder. How many 2000-2009 games actually have a shot at:

Ocarina
FFVII
Pokemon
LttP
Mario 64
Mario World
Mario 3

Doubt FFX can manage a win against any of those. Maybe Smash if the SFF goes its way.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 8:50:49 AM | message detail
In my opinion:

Games that would probably beat the winner of this contest:

OOT
FFVII
RBY
LTTP
SM64

Games that have a good chance of beating the winner of this contest:

CT
MGS

Games that could beat the winner of this contest:

SMW
SMB3
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/16/2010 8:54:32 AM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #038
You said you'd go ahead and close your account if Snake got 43-45% in round 2, which he did.

But then you pansied your way out of it by saying "Oh no I didn't mean I would I meant that I might as well go ahead and close it if it happens"

Lawl


No I didn't, and fortunately all of the stats topics are archived if you feel like trying to prove me wrong.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 9:00:51 AM | message detail
And I thought the 90s would be dominating a bit worse too, although in retrospect, while the 90s have most of our super strong games, the early 90s also have tons of low fodder that is much rarer in the 00s. I think the median game in the 00s is probably stronger, the 90s just dominate the high end.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:17:08 AM | message detail
BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2008 8:47:39 PM | message detail
If Snake gets 43-45%, I'll close my account right now.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:22:03 AM | message detail
Oh, and here's the backpedal once it became clear Snake was actually going to do it:

BlAcK TuRtLe | Posted 10/28/2008 9:26:34 PM | message detail
I meant that comment in that if Snake broke 43% here and Zero wasn't advancing, there was no way Mega Man was beating him next round. Moot point with this result.


Lawl
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:37:09 AM | message detail
It was pretty obvious that he was joking though, if it was anyone else you wouldn't be making a big deal out of it, especially years after the fact.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 10:38:47 AM | message detail
It was pretty obvious that he was joking though, if it was anyone else you wouldn't be making a big deal out of it, especially years after the fact.

Even if he was joking, its still a funny comment that he'll have a tough time living down.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:39:09 AM | message detail
Pretty obvious, huh?

Everybody made a big deal out of it during that topic and for weeks after.

And I only brought it up because he mentioned an account bet.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:42:09 AM | message detail
Everyone made a big deal out of it because it was BT. If most people had made a similar statement, no one would think much of it.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:44:43 AM | message detail
And of course, because that match got him out of his actual account bet, in which he was badly mistaken.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:45:46 AM | message detail
Everybody made a big deal out of it during that topic and for weeks after.

If it was anyone else people would have quite down about a day after


And I only brought it up because he mentioned an account bet.

He didn't bet with anyone though.


You're as bad as the people who ignore Soul because he took Alyx > Lara four years ago.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:48:45 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #065
And I only brought it up because he mentioned an account bet.

He didn't bet with anyone though.


He mentioned making an account bet about MM9/Demon's Souls, I meant.

Sheesh, you guys
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:50:57 AM | message detail
I meant about the Snake with 43-45%.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:51:57 AM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #067
I meant about the Snake with 43-45%.


I know you did, which is why I clarified my statement.

But if you say stupid things and don't own up to them, don't expect people just to forget about it.

I still make fun of Soul for Alyx > Lara, but at least he admits it was a bad pick and doesn't try justifying it.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 10:55:00 AM | message detail
Embarrassing picks.....I picked Magus > Mario in 2007. I think my justification was:

1. 4-ways will help hardcore fanbases like CT's.
2. Fox will split Nintendo votes with Mario.
3. There is no overlap at all between FFVII and CT, so Sephiroth won't hurt Magus, at all.
4. Bias, lots of it.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 10:56:58 AM | message detail
Probably my 3 most embarrassing picks were...

Gordon > Tifa
Axel Steel > Ratchet
Laharl > L Block

At least in recent years that I can remember off the top of my head.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 10:59:46 AM | message detail
I think you mean Eddie Riggs > Ratchet

Axel Steel > Midna was a bad pick by someone else!

The Games Contest in 2004 was my first contest that I predicted, so I had some pretty awful ones.

Tetris > LoZ (Everyone has played Tetris and loves it, right?)
Sonic 2 > Mario World (There are multiple Mario games and only 1 Sonic game, so people will vote to keep the one Sonic game, right?)
Super Mario RPG > SFII (It's an RPG starring Mario made by Square, and it's awes--oh wait, that one was right!)

I also had Mario 3 winning the contest because I thought it was widely considered to be the best game ever, so what do I know?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:01:08 AM | message detail
Oh yeah, I also had FFVII > Starcraft in the BGE2 finals. Hey, it wasn't that horrible a pick- the #2 entrant had never managed to place in a 4-way contest yet at that time!
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LOLContests | Posted 10/16/2010 11:01:19 AM | message detail
My worst picks (in that I should have known better):

Serious Sam > Mega Man
Magus > Crono (2004)
Terra to the Sweet Sixteen in 2005
Dante > Matt
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 11:01:50 AM | message detail
I think you mean Eddie Riggs > Ratchet

Oh yeah, I mix up all those music muscle head characters.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:01:56 AM | message detail
I picked StarCraft correctly because there was no way I was having FFVIII go out in round 2!

One of those times bias paid off!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:04:13 AM | message detail
I'm also notorious for bad picks involving Sonic, for whatever the reason.

Sonic 2 > Mario World
Sonic > Samus (2004)
Sonic > Mega Man, although I almost had that one
Sonic > Smash Bros. in the Series Contest
Sonic winning the Male Bracket

Although I've actually been pretty decent at picking Sonic since then.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:04:48 AM | message detail
Some recent ones...

Ellis > Commander Shepard
LittleBigPlanet > Portal/Bioshock

I think all my other ones at least had mild support...
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:07:34 AM | message detail
Looking back I've been pretty good at predicting Kefka. The only match I got wrong involving him was Pac-Man > Kefka.

I also took Pikachu > Cloud in 2002, but it was a favourites bracket.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:08:58 AM | message detail
I got both of Jill's 27 vote losses wrong.

And Jill/Ryu Hayabusa may have cost me a contest victory. After 30 correct matches to open the contest, I lost the perfect on a 27-vote match- and simultaneously was eliminated from the Guru to boot. No idea how Ryu H. was favored 66-4 or something like that in the Guru.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:11:04 AM | message detail
I had MKII > Sonic 2 last Games Contest, although I still got half points on that!

I had CT > SOTN > Mario 64, because I wasn't expecting Mario 64 to be as strong as it was and I thought that Yoshi's Island would LFF it enough for SOTN to sneak through, whoops

I think I actually had Halo > SSBM because of Wind Waker

what the heck was I thinking with that one
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:11:51 AM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #079
I got both of Jill's 27 vote losses wrong.

And Jill/Ryu Hayabusa may have cost me a contest victory. After 30 correct matches to open the contest, I lost the perfect on a 27-vote match- and simultaneously was eliminated from the Guru to boot. No idea how Ryu H. was favored 66-4 or something like that in the Guru.


Hayabusa was hyped to be pretty strong pre-2004.

And then we all saw Arabusa and freaked out.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:15:13 AM | message detail
People overestimated the effect of LFF a lot in the last games contest. It's really hard for LFF to swing a match more than around 56-44, and LFF situations are not equal- what you need is small, insular, fanbases to even get that much (i.e. not Mario 3 and Mario World). What causes the really massive shifts is SFF, and especially Triple SFF.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:16:12 AM | message detail
I think I actually had Halo > SSBM because of Wind Waker

Same here, lol.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:19:57 AM | message detail
People assuming certain games would be present also screwed them over. I saw a lot of FFX > SSBM because their brackets had WW and MP in the same match.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 11:21:06 AM | message detail
I brought this up in a random topic earlier but nobody really noticed it, but...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3501
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3722

Fallout 3 easily beats MW1, and Batman gets mauled by MW2. Why are people giving Batman any chance in the match against Fallout due to this?
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:27:05 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 easily beats MW1, and Batman gets mauled by MW2. Why are people giving Batman any chance in the match against Fallout due to this?

Because it's Batman and voters are blind and will vote for the game thinking it's the real Batman from the comics or something.

Personally I think Batman will struggle to win of TF2.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:27:43 AM | message detail
Batman should win the first two matches easily, I think. It's not beating Fallout 3 though.

I'd be more worried about TF2 losing to Fable than I would about it beating AA.
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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/16/2010 11:28:57 AM | message detail
I just barely gave it a chance over the winner of TF2/Fable.
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Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/16/2010 11:30:26 AM | message detail
Super Mario Sunshine vs. UC2

give me the benefit of the doubt that this match happens
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:31:29 AM | message detail
I don't see any reason Sunshine can't win that match if it gets there because I don't think UC2 will be that much stronger than Halo 1 or 3. It would just depend on how much Sunshine wins the first two matches by.
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LOLContests | Posted 10/16/2010 11:31:47 AM | message detail
If SMS makes it to that point it should have enough momentum to beat UC2.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:34:07 AM | message detail
Damn GameFAQs for not having an edit function...

Super Mario Sunshine vs. UC2

give me the benefit of the doubt that this match happens


I feel that UC2 will be fairly weak, Halo at least has some strength.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 11:35:05 AM | message detail
Normally with action games, aren't the characters stronger then the game themselves? If thats the case with Uncharted 2 as well... its in for a world of hurt
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:36:21 AM | message detail
Uncharted 2 did fine for itself in the GOTY polls, although that doesn't always translate to contest success.

Regardless, the North Division is Fallout 3 and then everybody else, at least to me. I feel confident in Fallout 3 winning that division and not much else.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:38:39 AM | message detail
2009 was a weak year for gaming though (in terms of games with great strength on GameFAQs)
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 11:39:22 AM | message detail
Yeah, but there's nothing else really strong in that division.

Which is the problem with predicting it.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/16/2010 11:40:35 AM | message detail
Fallout 3 should be able to sweep it, without anything getting more than 45% on it. Fallout 3 I believe is the strongest Western made game here. Its always looked very strong.
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Kotetsu534 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:41:50 AM | message detail
UC2 would need to really flop not to win two matches (or Sonic Adventure 2 to be a great deal stronger than SFIV), and it will probably need to really impress to beat the stronger of Halo/Halo 3/SMS, so I think it's very likely it gets to round three and bows out. If MW2 is actually close to CoD4 it might be able to challenge Halo/Halo 3/SMS, but I doubt it.

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charmander6000 | Posted 10/16/2010 11:44:49 AM | message detail
Well CoD4 would barely win over Halo 3 based on FO3.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/16/2010 12:16:18 PM | message detail
Heh, I'm reading stats topics from the last Games Contest, and man, were we ever down on Brawl after it struggled with MGS4 in the GOTY polls. People were talking about Majora's Mask beating it.

Of course, I also said TP would beat it, so what do I know?
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