GameFAQs Contests

We haven't started a stats topic with an inequality in awhile.

[Super] Street Fighter 4 > Sonic Adventure 2










(in my heart)

~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Sharks have a week dedicated to me.

Brawl to win it all?!
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NEW YORK JETS

[Super] Street Fighter 4 > Sonic Adventure 2

Nah.. Also, I think Batman will that division.
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen

Learn to read.
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"But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside."
"I am lightning...the rain transformed."

Batman's a good pick.
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You've really become quite an inconvenience for me.

It's an alt account, Leon. Learn to ignore it or stop caring.
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"Oh that the world were more like Ulti." -MWC

No.
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It's an alt account, Leon. Learn to ignore it or stop caring.

Leon loves me for some reason. But no, I'm not an alt.
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen

gimme an inequality involving: MWC, BT, AT, Curt and Albion.
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*Shakes Fist*

Batman > Fallout is a fun upset, but with New Vegas on the way? I just can't convince myself it's a good idea.

Sonic/Street Fighter is killing me, though! Both games have looked pathetic in past polls... but I can't figure out which one is less pathetic. I'm thinking Sonic, partially because of Sonic 4; but who knows? Thank God it's just a one-point match (like TF2/Fable, which is also baffling).

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Watch Fox's RUNNING WILDE, airing Tuesdays at 9:30 EST!
Will Arnett and Keri Russell in the same show - how can you top that?!?

MWC > who cares
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Brawl to win everything I have too.
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GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~

Brawl to win everything I have too.

Changed your mind already? You just said you had Melee beating FFX in finals haha..
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"Of course I'm going to rig the contest in my favor." - SBAllen

499 is so much better than 500, jesus christ
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"I'll attract the enemy with my *human* call.... I'M SO WASTED, I'M SO WASTED!!"

I AM, I am playing FFX-2!
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Nyoro~n

Hey, I could've posted play Super Mario Sunshine instead!
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http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg

more like play Dissidia!
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Nyoro~n

charmander6000 | Posted 10/15/2010 6:20:23 PM | message detail
Europe doesn't matter that much on GameFAQs.

Europe means a lot more in night matches than day matches. Lately, Europe has been contributing a larger percentage of the total votes than a few months ago. Here was the average vote distribution for Poll 3857 to 4013:

North America - 77.32% / South America - 2.13% / Europe - 14.71% / Asia - 3.10% / Oceania - 2.63% / Africa - 0.12%

After Poll 4013, the overall distribution currently looks like this:

North America - 76.69% / South America - 2.21% / Europe - 15.37% / Asia - 2.87% / Oceania - 2.73% / Africa - 0.12%

Asia kind of dropped off a bit since Poll 4013, probably as a result of FFXIII generating less site traffic over the past several weeks than when the game was still very recent. And given the higher amount of traffic from Europe lately, the chance that Europe gets over 20% of the votes in a night match is a likely possibility (19.85% is currently Europe's record for a night match).
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!

Don't know why, but I'm having second thoughts about LBP/GTA3.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.

I've been bouncing that one around for awhile, too.
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`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´
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Crono/Missingno. was decided by Europe actually.

You can't discount Europe's influence. If Chrono Trigger was released here back in the day one of the most controversial results in contest history may have never even happened. 15% of the total votes might not seem like a lot, but the differences in pattern can make a major difference in close matches.
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Something something something
^Poorly disguised anti-caps sig

Getting back to the trends Leon posted earlier...

Time | MGS4 | Portal | Fallout 3 | Halo 3 | Demographic
PHV | 36.23% | 22.53% | 24.34% | 16.89% | (0:00-1:00)
FNV | 36.99% | 22.06% | 25.24% | 15.71% | (1:00-6:00)
BSV | 37.61% | 21.73% | 25.21% | 15.44% | (6:00-9:00)
DSV | 34.62% | 20.08% | 25.35% | 19.95% | (9:00-14:30)
ASV | 34.52% | 19.61% | 26.08% | 19.79% | (14:30-22:00)
SNV | 34.85% | 20.49% | 26.07% | 18.59% | (22:00-24:00)

Yikes! Halo 3 sure lucked out by not drawing a Night Match... on the weekend... against a series with an exceptional power hour... and strong before school presence.

*coughs*

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Crono/Missingno. was decided by Europe actually.

You can't discount Europe's influence. If Chrono Trigger was released here back in the day one of the most controversial results in contest history may have never even happened. 15% of the total votes might not seem like a lot, but the differences in pattern can make a major difference in close matches.

That was a day match, so Europe only got 11.72% of the votes in that match. Europe tends to get around 10% to 13% of the votes in a day match, while 14.23% is Europe's record in a day match. A record that happened in the Snake/Sephiroth match.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!

"Asia kind of dropped off a bit since Poll 4013, probably as a result of FFXIII generating less site traffic over the past several weeks than when the game was still very recent. And given the higher amount of traffic from Europe lately, the chance that Europe gets over 20% of the votes in a night match is a likely possibility (19.85% is currently Europe's record for a night match)."

This is why DS > MM9 btw, without meaning to beat a dead horse. ~20% of the votes are coming from a region where DS sold exceptionally well (close to a third of its total sales are from Europe, I believe) and where Mega Man is close to a non-entity. Think I said it before, but it's a very reasonable chance that DS puts up a 70-30 or something in Europe, and in a night match that's an enormous mountain for MM9 to overcome (if my maths is right that'd leave MM9 needing to beat 55-45 on DS elsewhere).
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism

From: Ngamer64 | #022
Yikes! Halo 3 sure lucked out by not drawing a Night Match... on the weekend... against a series with an exceptional power hour... and strong before school presence.

*coughs*

The weekend match probably helps Halo 3 out a bit, actually, because the morning vote becomes like an ASV on the weekend.
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"So cold. I am always by your side."
"There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!"

Crono/Missingno. was decided by Europe actually.

More like it was decided by North America. If NA didn't make the match close enough then Europe couldn't have given Missingno the push it needed.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls

melee wins it all imo

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"You are a tremendous gamer Rusty." - PartOfYourWorld
RUSTY ~ your messiah

This is why DS > MM9 btw, without meaning to beat a dead horse. ~20% of the votes are coming from a region where DS sold exceptionally well (close to a third of its total sales are from Europe, I believe) and where Mega Man is close to a non-entity. Think I said it before, but it's a very reasonable chance that DS puts up a 70-30 or something in Europe, and in a night match that's an enormous mountain for MM9 toovercome (if my maths is right that'd leave MM9 needing to beat 55-45 on DS elsewhere).

DS isn't going to 70-30 MM9 in Europe. Mega Man doing bad in Europe is simply the result of the UK. And Ireland as well, looking at some maps from the last contest. If you want to see the huge difference between the UK and the rest of Europe, look at this:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3447&region=EUR

Mega Man 2 only does about 2% worse in Europe compared to the overall result (34.79%). Now, let's bring the UK into the picture:

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3447&region=GB

Yikes! 19.86% in the UK. When the UK is already hogging up 41.26% of Europe's total votes in that match, it takes quite a lot to bring Mega Man from 19.86% in the UK up to 32.46% in Europe overall. If you threw out all of the votes from the UK, the results for Europe would look like this:

Mega Man 2 41.32% 3715
Pac-Man 29.76% 2676
Pong 26.06% 2343
The Oregon Trail 2.86% 257
TOTAL VOTES 8991
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!

If you want something that's mainly supported by Europe and nothing else look at Guybrush
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls

gimme an inequality involving: MWC, BT, AT, Curt and Albion.

MWC >>> Curt > Albion > AT > BT

As for Europe, it's responsible for every close match CT has ever lost. Like, anything within 52/48 gets turned around if you take Europe out of the picture.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.

Goddamn it. This Demon's Souls crap is starting to piss me off.

Account bet time: anybody who has a comparable account to mine willing to bet?
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I don't know where extreme confidence in MM9 comes from.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.

both sides -- or maybe just KP and BT -- are way too confident in this match. there's just nothing there to make anyone feel really good about either side.
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xyzzy

It's not so much confidence in MM9 so much as confidence that Demon's Souls will be one of the weakest games in the bracket.
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Nobody bother betting with BT because he reneged two years ago, and he'll do it again.
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I didn't renege though. Zero was in the match, which invalidated the bet by clearly defined rules
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Ah, I remember that.

HaRRiCH needs to repeat that phrase again!
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.

You said you'd go ahead and close your account if Snake got 43-45% in round 2, which he did.

But then you pansied your way out of it by saying "Oh no I didn't mean I would I meant that I might as well go ahead and close it if it happens"

Lawl
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I have to side with BT on this. The Snake 43% round 2 declaration wasn't an account bet, it was an expression of confidence. No one bet against him. Besides, lots of people have said they would do certain things if certain results surprised them, in non-bet situations, and a lot of them were not taken seriously by anyone.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.

Well, this is a good poll. Based on this, there should be a Game of the Decade contest for the 1990s.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ!

From: -LusterSoldier- | Posted: 10/16/2010 3:02:12 PM | #040
Well, this is a good poll. Based on this, there should be a Game of the Decade contest for the 1990s.

Great, more OoT vs FF7

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Tofa7 - LoZ-LoD | Hardcore™
"Thank you, thank you, no applause necessary, just send money..."

Game of the Decade for the 90s would be great, though a full Games Contest without generational divisions would be even better.

The 90s probably have 6 games that would beat the winner of this contest, maybe as many as 9.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.

Hm... interesting poll.

Makes me rethink some choices a little. Perhaps the voters are more nostalgic than we realize.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.

Not too surprising, the SNES and PS were considered to be the best consoles in history by a lot of people.
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BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390
BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls

I always felt this site were more close to 00s as a generation but I guess the island poll and this poll ask the questions differently.
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*is Dranze*
Dr. Football swept me.

Yeah, it's really no surprise that the '90s are winning this one. A bunch of the site's strongest games are '90s games.
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http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3507
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3508

Today's poll sounds about right.
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EPONA EPONA EPONA

Considering that the 2-3 strongest games on this website are from the 90s, I'm not surprised by this poll!
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"if only there were some way I could have sex" - Smartmuffin

Can I assume we may get "Game of the Decade: 90s Edition" after our next character battle?
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Wylvane
Calvinball is a horrible user.

What game would be favourite for a "Game of the 90s that isn't FFVII or OoT" contest? LttP?
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism