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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 913

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 12:48:07 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #095
F-Zero is a weak series. It's not going to be beating much of anything.

Also, I just found this poll. I don't really know what to make of it, if anything!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=2797


Pretty sure that came before the Orange Box hit.
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Epona EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA EPONA Epona
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Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 12:56:12 PM | message detail
I've got Crystal going far but after seeing G/S/C losing out to Xenogears in the 2004 contest, i can't help but rethink it, i mean... surely it's gotten weaker over time, and if the recent re-realeases put the strength back up...you;ve got to remember this is just C, not G/S/C.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 12:56:38 PM | message detail

From: Intanos VI | #102
I've got Crystal going far but after seeing G/S/C losing out to Xenogears in the 2004 contest, i can't help but rethink it, i mean... surely it's gotten weaker over time, and if the recent re-realeases put the strength back up...you;ve got to remember this is just C, not G/S/C.


Should we tell him?

Or not?
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Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 10/7/2010 12:59:36 PM | message detail
I'm a big proponent of Pokemon's resurgence in strength, but I still think Majora's Mask wins that one. Aside from the fact that Zelda fans no longer have OoT to rally behind, people are taking that match last year assuming that MM wasn't also being hurt by R/B/Y.

At any rate, the match isn't nearly as set in stone as some people are making it out to be, which is especially important since the winner is basically guaranteed to go to the semifinals.
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 12:59:57 PM | message detail
What? It's my first time actually doing a bit of research for the contest. Sorry if i can't be all up to date with everything, i usually just do my ill-educated guesses and that's it.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:00:00 PM | message detail
If anything that shooter poll makes me favour HL2 > MP even more. MP needed a much better percentage than 57-58% pre-Orange Box with LFF for me to have confidence in it beating HL2.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:00:57 PM | message detail
"What? It's my first time actually doing a bit of research for the contest. Sorry if i can't be all up to date with everything, i usually just do my ill-educated guesses and that's it."

It's not Crystal, it's G/S/C, if you hover your mouse over it gives the full title but for the sake of space it's just listed as Crystal on the bracket. On the poll it will be Pokemon Gold/Silver/Crystal.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 1:03:35 PM | message detail
Ah, fair enough.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:03:52 PM | message detail
Out of interest, who would people favour in an Assassins Creed 2 Vs Oblivion match? I know there's a Wind Waker in the way, but I'm considering taking the upset and have no clue which one I'd then have losing to GSC in the division final...
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 1:04:52 PM | message detail
But still, it lost to Xenogears! Now people have it beating 2 Zeldas?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 1:05:14 PM | message detail
Oblivion. If you think that highly of AC2, I hope you're taking Arkham Asylum to go far though!
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 1:06:06 PM | message detail
I guess I don't get how close you LoZ:MM-supporters think it should get to MGS in a match. GS got 46.67%, and MGS is a game likely capable of beating FFX. If you're taking LoZ:MM > GS when Crystal's added and the well-received remake came out earlier this year and people have been playing Black/White recently, I hope you have LoZ:TP as your champ.
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Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 1:09:28 PM | message detail
I have "G/S/C" losing out to MGS3.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:10:29 PM | message detail
"Oblivion. If you think that highly of AC2, I hope you're taking Arkham Asylum to go far though!"

I have no idea if I do or not, frankly! I still have it losing to WW at the moment. No idea if Brotherhood coming out near the end of the first round will give it a boost or if it'll lose worse than 60-40 to WW like Ezio did to Zelda.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 1:26:53 PM | message detail
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3722

AC2 barely loses to Batman, beats Dragon Age, loses handily to MW2.

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3724

Kinda strange at the difference between Dragon Age and Borderlands in those two polls though!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3727

So basically Batman should be on par with UC2 or something.

Arkham Asylum could be the second strongest game in that first division!

Maybe the first!
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"I can set you free, mate."
"My freedom was forfeit long ago!"
HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 1:31:34 PM | message detail
First would be a big push...but I'd take it over Uncharted 2.
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T H E S T A B L E
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:41:37 PM | message detail
Guessing MW2 sucked up some Borderlands votes in the Multiplatform game one.

Ah screw it, I'll go pedestrian and say WW > AC2. Now to figure out who wins in Oblivion Vs WW <_<.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 1:45:06 PM | message detail
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Twilight_Princess_vs_Resident_Evil_4_vs_Metal_Gear_Solid_3_vs_Oblivion_2009

Is that match conclusive enough proof that "mainline Zelda game" > Oblivion? Or is TP significantly stronger than WW and/or Oblivion suffering from the other options (not that they exactly overlap...) and/or Twilight Princess having potentially dropped off since then?
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/7/2010 1:50:14 PM | message detail
I see TP is a second-tier Zelda, with WW being a third-tier. WW/Oblivion is gonna be closer than many people think, I'd imagine.
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transients | Posted 10/7/2010 1:50:20 PM | message detail
I've always seen Batman and Uncharted as equals. Uncharted's maybe a little bit more liked, Batman's more played due to being multiplatform. I'd take Batman in a match, probably.
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xyzzy
red sox 777 | Posted 10/7/2010 2:01:55 PM | message detail
TP should be significantly stronger than WW. It's the clear #3 Zelda game at this point- there's an argument to be made for Zelda 1 but in all probability, TP has #3 Zelda locked up. WWOblivion looked obvious at first (for WW), but after hearing it brought up, it's quite interesting of a match.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 2:14:22 PM | message detail
Okay, time to look at this using "lol fourways" and a MASSIVE CAVEAT

Twilight Princess got 46% on Brawl here:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Metal_Gear_Solid_4_vs_Brawl_vs_Twilight_Princess_vs_Resident_Evil_4_2009

Wind Waker got 35% on Melee here:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Melee_vs_Diablo_II_vs_Wind_Waker_vs_Halo_2009

So assuming that there's no significant leeching going on in those matches, and (MASSIVE CAVEAT alert) assuming Brawl and Melee's strength are roughly equivalent, that gives us Wind Waker getting 43% on TP. Now, in the match I posted before, Oblivion got 39% on TP. So that gives WW a very marginal lead. But if Brawl is indirectly worth, say, 55% or so on Melee then Oblivion is worth about the same.

Of course this'll probably end up being one of those "debate it for ages then MM gets 55% on Oblivion" matches, but oh well. Still interesting to look at!
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 2:16:44 PM | message detail

From: Intanos VI | Posted: 10/7/2010 4:04:52 PM | #110
But still, it lost to Xenogears! Now people have it beating 2 Zeldas?


This should sum it up: http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Mario_vs_Charizard_2010

Mario is as strong as you'd expect (read: arguably the Number 3 on the site), but Charizard got that close, albeit with the aid of a bandwagon and a newly released game. Sure, GSC is no RBY, but it's still likely to be plenty powerful enough to defeat the underrated MM and the hated WW.
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 2:18:18 PM | message detail

From: Eeeevil Overlord | Posted: 10/7/2010 5:14:22 PM | #122
Okay, time to look at this using "lol fourways" and a MASSIVE CAVEAT

Twilight Princess got 46% on Brawl here:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Metal_Gear_Solid_4_vs_Brawl_vs_Twilight_Princess_vs_Resident_Evil_4_2009

Wind Waker got 35% on Melee here:

http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Melee_vs_Diablo_II_vs_Wind_Waker_vs_Halo_2009

So assuming that there's no significant leeching going on in those matches, and (MASSIVE CAVEAT alert) assuming Brawl and Melee's strength are roughly equivalent, that gives us Wind Waker getting 43% on TP. Now, in the match I posted before, Oblivion got 39% on TP. So that gives WW a very marginal lead. But if Brawl is indirectly worth, say, 55% or so on Melee then Oblivion is worth about the same.

Of course this'll probably end up being one of those "debate it for ages then MM gets 55% on Oblivion" matches, but oh well. Still interesting to look at!


You're forgetting TP's competition is way way better. I'd take any game in that first poll to fodderize the second poll. Not to Melee's extent (except for Brawl), but certainly enough for a very commanding lead.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 2:20:01 PM | message detail
Well yeah, but I wouldn't have thought that would have too big an effect on one game over the other. It'd have a small one, but not enough to make the numbers irrelevant (unless you just don't trust fourway comparisons at all, which would probably be fair enough).
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 2:22:28 PM | message detail
Oblivion can win. It's not like Wind Waker doesn't have a history of losing to western games or anything...!
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"I can set you free, mate."
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KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 2:23:05 PM | message detail

From: Eeeevil Overlord | Posted: 10/7/2010 5:20:01 PM | #125
Well yeah, but I wouldn't have thought that would have too big an effect on one game over the other. It'd have a small one, but not enough to make the numbers irrelevant (unless you just don't trust fourway comparisons at all, which would probably be fair enough).


It does. In any poll, each contestant is bound to get a certain amount of votes, even after being hammered to hell and back with SFF or LFF, or sharing the poll with other popular options. It's their base, inherent, 'core' strength. Each of those games behaved extremely well, while the games in the second poll got crushed. Oblivion's good, but likely not THAT good.
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draarrowgant | Posted 10/7/2010 2:38:08 PM | message detail
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 3:06:29 PM | message detail
On GSC vs Majora's Mask: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3486

That is an INSANE performance by GSC. That game and Pokehype is no joke, and I would not be surprised if it upset FFX after "upsetting" the Zelda duo.


&

red sox 777 | Posted 10/7/2010 3:47:00 PM | message detail
Did GSC really leech so much from RBY?

Yes. Yes it did, that's why RBY did 7% worse against MGS in that match than it did the next round with OOT in the poll.


Lets give all the votes for RBY to GSC- puts them around 45%. So out of the 44k votes for MGS, how many would pick WW over RBY? Over in that same match, how many of the 44k votes for MGS would vote for MM? By my calculation they would need around 6700 votes which is completely doable.

This all assumes that all of RBY would go to GSC though- which I doubt would be 100%. Also, on a four way, if you like 3 games, and two of them are from the same series, it is logical that you would pick one of the two from the same series... point being people may have voted Pokemon since there were two on there more than if it was Pokemon v Zelda straight up.

What did they put in the water over here?!
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Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 2:41:29 PM | message detail
I wish i knew what SSF meant...
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 2:42:43 PM | message detail
Super Street Fighter.
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Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 2:44:05 PM | message detail
That's what i thought, but then...why would people keep referring to games as getting "SSFd"?
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 2:45:37 PM | message detail
That's SFF - Same Fanbase Factor. Check the first post in the topic out ;).
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 2:48:02 PM | message detail
My bad, cheers. At least i ain't getting the elitist treatment like i would on most boards - nice one.
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Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 2:49:23 PM | message detail
No worries. Everyone has to start somewhere, after all. Unless you invented the term SFF, I guess <_<.
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James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User
& The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism
transcience | Posted 10/7/2010 2:57:38 PM | message detail
that term is the worst. I'm glad we've moved away from it somewhat. come to think of it, we have very few sff beatdowns this contest. ffx vs. ffix is the only major one that comes to mind. there's overlap but not much unfair overlap.

speaking of awful acronyms, anyone seen or emailed creative yet? wouldn't want to miss any updates!
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 2:59:19 PM | message detail
TP/Galaxy will probably be a major SFF beatdown.

Maybe MGS2/MGS4, too.
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transcience | Posted 10/7/2010 3:00:39 PM | message detail
ah yeah, that too. neither will be as bad as ff9/10 though.
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add the c and back away
iphonesience
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/7/2010 3:14:44 PM | message detail
speaking of awful acronyms, anyone seen or emailed creative yet? wouldn't want to miss any updates!

I told Ngamer yesterday to contact creative and he already did that.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 3:17:34 PM | message detail
Funny, I suspect both of Leonhart's examples will be worse for SFF than FFX/FF9. FFTA avoided the doubling against FFX in 2004 and FF9 doubled Chrono Cross before almost getting 38% on FF8. FFX > FF8, definitely, but I don't think the overlap will be so bad since they've got different systems and -- like you've said -- people here love their PS1-RPGs.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/7/2010 3:29:02 PM | message detail
Lets give all the votes for RBY to GSC- puts them around 45%. So out of the 44k votes for MGS, how many would pick WW over RBY? Over in that same match, how many of the 44k votes for MGS would vote for MM? By my calculation they would need around 6700 votes which is completely doable.

This all assumes that all of RBY would go to GSC though- which I doubt would be 100%. Also, on a four way, if you like 3 games, and two of them are from the same series, it is logical that you would pick one of the two from the same series... point being people may have voted Pokemon since there were two on there more than if it was Pokemon v Zelda straight up.

What did they put in the water over here?!


To keep things simple let's say MGS's votes get split evenly (there's no reason to think the split wouldn't be proportional) GSC would only need 55% of RBY's votes to win over MM. The number will be higher if you think WW is stronger than MM.
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Ngamer64 | Posted 10/7/2010 4:00:52 PM | message detail
Guru Contest NOW ONLINE.

Sign ups found here!

http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56670441

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MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/7/2010 4:08:27 PM | message detail
How's The Show coming along?
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Dr. Football swept me.
red sox 777 | Posted 10/7/2010 4:23:35 PM | message detail
What's wrong with SFF?
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Big Bob | Posted 10/7/2010 4:39:16 PM | message detail
The term "SFF" is too vague that it barely applies anymore. Same company? Same game genre? Same platform? Same generation? It can apply to any or none of those.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 4:39:52 PM | message detail
It's not SFF's fault that people keep stretching it way too thin!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 4:42:44 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #103
Should we tell him?

Or not?


This is a competition. No clue why you guys give advice in the first place.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 4:43:44 PM | message detail
Makes it more satisfying when we win anyway!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/7/2010 4:44:07 PM | message detail
Although it feels like most people don't listen to us anyway, so I'm not sure why they ask!
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transients | Posted 10/7/2010 4:44:43 PM | message detail
meh, I like discussing more than competing in this case. I'll be happy to discuss picks with anyone.
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xyzzy
ZFS | Posted 10/7/2010 4:44:58 PM | message detail
A friendly competition, sure.

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