GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 913
red sox 777 | Posted 10/6/2010 6:52:46 PM | message detail |
Game of the Decade 1980 - 1989: Super Mario Bros. Game of the Decade 1990 - 1999: Ocarina of Time Game of the Decade 2000 - 2009: ??? Game of the Decade 2010 - 2019: Super Smash Bros.: Nintendo vs. Square ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/6/2010 6:53:51 PM | message detail |
Final Fantasy X. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
GunMage | Posted 10/6/2010 7:00:57 PM | message detail |
Game of the Decade 2010 - 2019: Super Smash Bros.: Nintendo vs. Square Super Smash Bros. Dissidia? --- All hail firefdr, the Last User Standing! |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/6/2010 7:12:02 PM | message detail |
If we're doing a 26-character cast for Square..... Cloud Sephiroth Aeris Vincent Tifa Crono Magus Frog Tidus Auron Yuna Terra Locke Kefka Cecil Squall Vivi Lightning Balthier Gilgamesh Sora Riku Chocobo Mog Fei Aya Brea How's that? --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/6/2010 7:12:55 PM | message detail |
Zidane. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/6/2010 7:16:25 PM | message detail |
Aya Brea gets my stamp of approval --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 6:29:15 AM | message detail |
So
what's more impressive? Melee getting 55% on FFX with Kingdom Hearts
also in the poll, or Brawl getting 58% on MGS4 with both CoD4 and
Fallout 3 in the poll? --- "How's this for a headline? 'French Fries'." -James French, Last Words |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/7/2010 6:31:28 AM | message detail |
For some reason, I get the feeling that KH overlaps a bit more with FFX than either FO3/CoD4 does with PS3 stealth epic. --- "You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?" |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 6:32:26 AM | message detail |
From: TheKoolAidShoto | #008 If this is true, then Brawl is easily the stronger game. Like, not even close. --- "Ultimaterializer: Bigger, Better, Brilliant." -Sess |
Eeeevil Overlord | Posted 10/7/2010 6:33:34 AM | message detail |
Probably
just about Brawl, in my opinion. Putting up marginally better results
against opposition in fourways doesn't always mean much though, look at
FFVII/OoT. So yeah, Assassin's Creed II VS Wind Waker, I request a detailed explanation for why the upset won't happen! --- James - Board 8's Resident Warm And Safe, Slipper-Wearing User & The Cream of Porcupine Tree Fanboyism |
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/7/2010 6:41:31 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #009 This just makes me feel better about Brawl > Melee, then. And possibly Brawl > FFX. --- I've seen things you people wouldn't believe. Attack ships on fire off the shoulder of Orion. All those moments will be lost in time, like tears in rain. |
Dilated Chemist | Posted 10/7/2010 7:00:07 AM | message detail |
I am definitely biting on Crisis Core making it to the Division Finals. Buster Sword vs. Vaan? Haha. Upset special. And then it's momentum will carry over on another winnable match. ME won't be able to stop it. J --- GT: TriggerTRE PSN ID: SolidTRE I use my mind, not a pick-up line. |
3rdTimesDeCharm | Posted 10/7/2010 7:03:47 AM | message detail |
Nice attempt at the 500 post ulti and idk why, but I picked brawl without hesitation. I think age will have an effect on the results at least somewhat between ssbm and ssbb as well as the mgs match up. --- A wise man once said"when in doubt, do a barrel roll" That man was Peppy Hare... |
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 7:12:24 AM | message detail |
Only matches i'm torn on.. Oblivion vs Wind Waker Uncharted 2 vs Sonic Adventure 2 Halo vs Halo 3 Warcraft III vs Morrowind Dragon Age vs F-Zero GX Kingdom Hearts vs Kingdom Hearts 2 Golden Sun vs GTA:SA Skies of Arcadia vs Mass Effect Portal, FF12 or Crisis Core getting to RE4 SoTC vs The Sims is something i know nothing about aswell Rest i'm sorted. --- Did you know that? No? Neither did i. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 7:25:19 AM | message detail |
If there is any justice in this world, Portal will make the division final. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://board8.speedrunwiki.com/interviews/theshow/ngirlreaction.gif |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/7/2010 7:31:33 AM | message detail |
Skies of Arcadia vs Mass Effect You should be more worried about SoA/BG2. --- BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390 BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 7:32:45 AM | message detail |
That would be a triumph indeed. I'd be so happy if it happened...prolly won't though :( --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Colegreen_c12 | Posted 10/7/2010 7:35:10 AM | message detail |
Whats the opinion on VC/Disega and ToV/Borderlands? |
neonreaper | Posted 10/7/2010 7:46:58 AM | message detail |
So
what's more impressive? Melee getting 55% on FFX with Kingdom Hearts
also in the poll, or Brawl getting 58% on MGS4 with both CoD4 and
Fallout 3 in the poll? Melee, unless you can convince me that the current gen is more popular in our polls than the PS2 gen. --- Buster: It's so watery... and yet there's a smack of ham to it! Lindsay: It's hot ham water! |
Ultimaphazon | Posted 10/7/2010 7:47:32 AM | message detail |
I think the consensus picks are Disgaea and Borderlands, though I'm going with Vesperia in the second match. --- A pro isn't someone who sacrifices himself for his job. That's just a fool. - Reno, FFVII http://i25.tinypic.com/2cp5chf.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 8:04:46 AM | message detail |
From: neonreaper | #019 I'm only picking Melee because I like it more, but I fully expect Brawl to win this contest. --- http://r1ch.mirror.waffleimages.com/files/ed/ed2005c2fcbd9cebea455c546882654639354cc3.gif |
Colegreen_c12 | Posted 10/7/2010 8:04:55 AM | message detail |
Hmm what about WEWY/P4 and MGS2/SOTC |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 8:06:52 AM | message detail |
Oh and neon, it's funny you ask that: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3224 That was two years ago before PS3 and 360 took off here, too. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://farm5.static.flickr.com/4097/4800530067_e1548533b2.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 8:14:43 AM | message detail |
How funny would it be if Twilight Princess (or even Galaxy) beat the Smash winner? --- "Oh because God is going to roll into a ball and attack Articuno. Really. He's ****ing God." -Sir Chris |
quicksilvver | Posted 10/7/2010 8:33:09 AM | message detail |
what about WEWY/P4 and MGS2/SOTC SOTC >> MGS2 for the upset. also, lol TWEWY --- Ketsui |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 9:29:54 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #024 Galaxy winning against Brawl would be the best thing ever. If a game deserves Game of the Decade Galaxy qualifies. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 9:38:41 AM | message detail |
Yeah,
I just have this sinking feeling Brawl will see no resistance at all
other than Melee, and I'm getting the feeling it's a lot stronger than
Melee (relatively). If it makes the final, voters will go "FINAL
FANTASY ALWAYS WINS" and disallow FFX from doing any damage. --- https://dl.getdropbox.com/u/85439/1.jpg https://dl.getdropbox.com/u/85439/2.jpg |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 9:39:11 AM | message detail |
Oh
and Kanz, side note: Blind Guardian's new album is seriously their best
one yet. Not an overreaction, either, since it's been a bit since
release. --- `·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· http://img25.imageshack.us/img25/8343/birdthiefg.gif |
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/7/2010 9:42:26 AM | message detail |
I
forgot to mention how ironic it is for Metroid Prime and Mario Galaxy
to have 1 seeds while Brawl and Twilight Princess don't. I also have to
think that Prime only has a 1 seed because of Other M being released
during the nomination period. BTW here's a cool Game of the Decade contest: http://www.crispygamer.com/features/2009-12-01/game-of-the-decade-peoples-choice-vote.aspx --- I have no idea how Metroid: Other M got any scores lower than 60%. |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 9:42:27 AM | message detail |
WHO'S READY FOR SOME CHAMPIONSHIP ANALYSIS BETWEEN THE BIG THREE?! MGS2 got 37.74% on FFX without KH, then 41.61% on FFX with KH. That means FFX-with-KH gets 45.35% on FFX. FFX-with-KH got 45.12% on SSBM last contest. If measuring through MGS2 can be trusted, FFX gets 49.75% on SSBM (worth noting D2 was a third RPG in their match). SSBM beat FFX a little worse than that in 2004, plus I'd rather have Nintendo's x-factor than Square's -- especially in a championship match. FFX most certainly has a chance and it will be close, but SSBM should remain the favorite...and that's assuming it beats SSBB first. Should SSBB prove stronger, that's going to be even less favorable for FFX... ...and SSBB can look more powerful, but it depends on the perspective. GTA:VC got 36.79% on FFX-with-KH; measuring through MGS2 again, GTA:VC gets 33.37% on FFX. GTA4 got 35.77% on SSBB in the first round, so regardless of what you think of the debate between GTA:VC and GTA4, FFX is probably the favorite on that point...but in the next round, GTA4 got 30.44% on SSBB-with-SMG, making it undoubtedly the favorite if you use that poll instead... ...furthermore, MGS4 got 47.63% on FFX. Compare that to when MGS4 got 42.03% on SSBB in the only poll they had without other Nintendo-games. People may bring up FO3/CoD4 LFF'd it some, I find that to be a stretch since they're two FPS-style games of different genres...and even if you do believe it, do you want to say they hurt MGS4 as much as KH hurt FFX? If they did hurt MGS4 that much, SSBB still comes out with the edge against FFX in this comparison. SSBB also got 49.93% on MGS4 despite the other Wii-staple LoZ:TP sharing the poll. I'll also throw this out there: SSBB-with-LoZ:OoT got 44.74% on FFX. Since there are still people who would take SSBM > RBY, it's worth bringing up that SSBM got 41.04% on RBY in their poll shared by LoZ:OoT...and if you think SSBM > FFX, SSBM-with-RBY-and-LoZ:OoT got 37.81% on FFX. Point is, people have taken SSBM to cover significantly bigger gaps by blaming LoZ:OoT than SSBB would need to beat FFX. The biggest scare about taking SSBB is Nintendo's recent hate-wave coming its way since we've seen BGE2. As red sox has mentioned before, if you compare the two GotD-polls, you'll see a large drop-off in the people who voted for Wii-games; it went from 32.26% for LoZ:TP/SMG in early 2008 to 23.65% for SSBB/LoZ:TP/SMG early this year. That's pretty huge, and the continuous drop the Wii has made in SotY-polls doesn't help its case either... ...then again, Nintendo-games were still treated very well with nominations and it didn't keep SSBB from getting a high seed anyway. Nominations =/= strength, but so far the only knock against it contest-wise is that it didn't get as many nominations as SSBM/FFX and FFX did better against GTA:VC than SSBB did against GTA4 in one of their two polls. Pretty solid. I'll go SSBB > SSBM >= FFX, though I don't know if SSBB could get more than 52% on FFX...and this pretty much ignores the growing anger toward Nintendo seen in those GotD-polls and SotY-polls. They may be foreshadowing, but the Wii was already catching strong hell for a year at the time of BGE2 last year and Wii-nominations look pretty fine this contest. The championship should be fun! --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg EEEEEPPPPPOOOOONNNNNAAAAA |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 9:56:44 AM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #028 ... ... ...Downloading now. Seriously hyped, and I was only tentatively thinking about it before. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/7/2010 10:02:10 AM | message detail |
Talked about doing this a few days ago, and now I'm doing it. Introducing my Odds to Win project. http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56666521 Should be interesting once we hit some games where the winner isn't completely obvious. --- Wylvane X_Dante_X is a horrible user. |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/7/2010 10:12:34 AM | message detail |
I
think Melee/Brawl/FFX have just about even odds to win it to me. The
thing I'm concerned about with Melee against FFX is another dropoff for
Nintendo since 2009. It's clear something big happened in 2008, but
it's not clear whether Nintendo had already bottomed by BGE2 or whether
it continued falling afterward. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
Big Bob | Posted 10/7/2010 10:14:08 AM | message detail |
Okay,
what are the odds Tony Hawk manages to beat Fire Emblem? I've seen
people compare TH to Madden, but that's about the only argument against
it... --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 10:15:18 AM | message detail |
From: Big Bob | #034 Decent actually. It has a real nostalgia factor. --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
KanzarisKelshen | Posted 10/7/2010 10:15:56 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #033 I'd actually bet on an INCREASE, myself. We haven't seen Ninty entities in real matches since the E3, have we? --- Placeholder anti-capslock sig. |
LordOfDabu | Posted 10/7/2010 10:21:23 AM | message detail |
Oh wow, I didn't know edge of time was out yet. --- Watch me play games! http://www.livestream.com/dabu |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/7/2010 10:22:32 AM | message detail |
Tony Hawk 2 is something that's probably going to be too anti-voted to beat anything of note. Now, whether or not Fire Emblem is strong enough to be 'of note' is debatable. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 10:30:57 AM | message detail |
Tony
Hawk's an iffy one. Put its match on GameSpot or any other major gaming
site, and I'll take THPS2. FE should be weak anyway, so it may not be a
bad idea to take it here, too; it was doubled by FFTA in 2004 while
losing easily to Disgaea last year (with SSBM/LoZ:WW in the poll, to be
fair). That said, THPS's one of the first few examples of a series that
got over-saturated and caught some hate for that back in the day, plus
it's by Activision; their image then was much better than their image
now, but I wouldn't count on it doing THPS2 any favors. More
importantly, it's a sports game against a Nintendo-RPG... ...gotta side with Fire Emblem here, though THPS2 (and THPS3) were great back in the day. --- Epona: pulling off the "horse-face" better than Sarah Jessica Parker since 1998. http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
Justin_Crossing | Posted 10/7/2010 10:35:38 AM | message detail |
Why would THPS2 get anti-voted exactly? --- ~Acting on Impulse~ |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/7/2010 10:36:04 AM | message detail |
From: red sox 777 | #033 I agree, it's hard to tell if the issue escalated or declined any since then. For what it's worth, Nintendo killed the other systems at E3 this year: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3945 --- http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg E-p-o-n-a |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/7/2010 10:36:26 AM | message detail |
Oversaturated sports series. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 10:36:39 AM | message detail |
And you people call yourselves Blind Guardian fans. On a serious note about that album, it has no bad songs on it. Normally they put filler crap or some bad cover, but not this one. They really went all-out with it. Valkyries is the only song I rated 3/5 on iTunes, everything else I gave a 4 or 5 including giving 5 stars to 6 of the first 7 songs. Sacred Worlds is the best song of them all and it's first, but the rest of the album is pretty good as well. Point being: If you like Blind Guardian, power metal or even just feel like trying something new, check that album out. --- "I don't give a toss about Starcraft 2." -Yahtzee |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 10:37:11 AM | message detail |
I picked FE because it's a tossup match and I like it more. Problem solved. --- "I wrote a sixteen page essay about why DAO is bad, but I had nowhere to post it so it's sitting on my desktop." -Anagram |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/7/2010 10:38:36 AM | message detail |
The Fire Emblem name vs a sports game.. that's not even a real sport. --- *is Dranze* Dr. Football swept me. |
Intanos VI | Posted 10/7/2010 10:39:14 AM | message detail |
Can UC2 beat SA2? --- Did you know that? No? Neither did i. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/7/2010 10:39:45 AM | message detail |
Pro Wrestling isn't a real sport and I'm taking No Mercy over Path of Radiance! ....it is my one fanboy pick this contest. I refuse to change it. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/7/2010 10:41:18 AM | message detail |
Heh, I may as well take FE in that match too if I think it can beat Tony Hawk. --- *is Dranze* Dr. Football swept me. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/7/2010 10:42:14 AM | message detail |
You think that, but then you'll see the match pic of Austin giving Ike a stunner and you'll know you're doomed! --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/7/2010 10:44:29 AM | message detail |
I
am *the* biggest Fire Emblem fan here and I'm practically guaranteeing
Path of Radiance has no chance against No Mercy. I remember how massive
No Mercy was, and to this day people still think it's the best
wrestling game ever. Tony Hawk Whatever is just one more game in an
oversaturated series no one cares about. --- "Because your so damn ugly, Rice Krispies won't even talk to your sorry ass." -dr pizza's attempt at insulting me |