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GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 912

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:46:50 PM | message detail

From: Haste_2 | #046
Hey, Emerald could be close behind D/P.


It needs to be a good bit ahead, not close behind though.

4-way splits means fewer votes to go around for each game, so "lower vote totals" argument doesn't really hold water.

And it's not "lower vote totals," per se. It's just less time. If R/S/E couldn't win for 24 hours, it's not winning for 12.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2010 7:47:33 PM | message detail
If you look closely, Fallout 3 was misrepresented last year and beyond. It shared every poll with shooters.

In fact the only poll it DIDN'T share with shooters was this one: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3364

I don't see HL2 pulling that off. It's hilarious if Fallout ****in 3 makes the semifinals, but it looks like it could happen. Plus, the overall #1 always does well.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:48:00 PM | message detail
When is New Vegas coming out anyway?
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trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:48:33 PM | message detail
couple weeks. it'll be out well before the match.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 7:48:44 PM | message detail
RSE isn't going to be close behind DPP.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:48:54 PM | message detail
Then that should tide Fallout 3 over for me.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 7:49:06 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #053
When is New Vegas coming out anyway?


During Fallout 3's first round match, lol. WON'T HAVE TO WORRY ABOUT A 16>1 THERE.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2010 7:49:54 PM | message detail
Yeah, there's also New Vegas. It looks like Fallout 3's year.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:50:06 PM | message detail
Prime was probably held back a few percents by Paper Mario last year.

A few percents still barely beats Vice City and gets creamed by KH.


If Prime was hurt by Paper Mario as much as Cloud was hurt by Sephiroth, it turns around the loss to Vice City into a 54-46 win, and still loses 58-42 to Kingdom Hearts. So, realistically, Prime/VC is probably quite close; I'd give the edge to Prime.
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KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 7:51:09 PM | message detail
If Prime was hurt by Paper Mario as much as Cloud was hurt by Sephiroth

Just a couple problems with that.

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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:52:24 PM | message detail
Exactly, the point is the LFF in that match wasn't big enough to make Prime's performance look respectable relative to KH.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/5/2010 7:52:30 PM | message detail
New Vegas should keep people coming for the next couple of months, though. I doubt anything will really usurp it from the Top FAQs for the next couple of months since the only big games coming out during the contest are, what, Rock Band 3 and the new CoD game?
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trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:54:27 PM | message detail
New Vegas will be pretty huge. there'll be a new Fable, a new Assassin's Creed, a new WOW expansion and that's about it.
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Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:56:38 PM | message detail
Marvel vs. Capcom 2... how are its chances against NSMB Wii? I see both of these being low-tier... currently I have MvC2, but I have a feeling it will be horrendous. See SFIV, for instance. I can't believe how poor its showing was, not only in the BGE, but also in the GotY poll. Do you think MvC has some major advantages over SFIV?

Then again, the sheer concept of MvC2 should keep it afloat against what is probably the weakest traditional Mario game we've seen in a contest. Any comments?

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:57:22 PM | message detail
I don't think MvC2's chances are very good. NSMBW won't be that good either, but MvC's time has come and gone, even with MvC3 on the way.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 7:57:35 PM | message detail
Speaking of Fable, Fable III will hit about four days after II's match. Does that change any minds?

No, perhaps?
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2010 7:58:14 PM | message detail
The round 1 matches I won't bet on:

SA2 vs SSF4
Demon's Souls vs MM9
Valkyria vs Disgaea
TWEWY vs Dead Rising

Feeling good about everything else.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:58:26 PM | message detail
Wait, Fable 2 is in this contest?!
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trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:58:29 PM | message detail
MVC2's possibly more popular than SF2. don't know if that's enough to put it over a Mario game though.

and dammit it's stronger than friggin' Sunshine
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:59:11 PM | message detail
tranny's going to have a heart attack over Sunshine before this contest even starts
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trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:59:27 PM | message detail
yes I am

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1128

god dammit
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 8:00:12 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #068
Wait, Fable 2 is in this contest?!


Sorry, I meant the original Fable's match against TF2.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:00:12 PM | message detail

From: trannyscience | #071
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1128


What's this? Animal Crossing's stronger than Mario Sunshine?

Time to take it far into the contest!
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:00:23 PM | message detail
Sunshine really wasn't that bad once you got past the first 10 shines, which were all about cleaning. The rest of the game had rather little to do with cleaning, but the cleaning was all Nintendo advertised, and it was the worst part.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:01:00 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #074
Sunshine really wasn't that bad once you got past the first 10 shines, which were all about cleaning.


Well, this is encouraging, because I'm about 10 Shines into Sunshine at this very moment!
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:01:19 PM | message detail
There are people that think GS > GTA: SA?

I think people take "it got 4th in a match it was suppose to win" too seriously.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 8:02:03 PM | message detail
Don't do this to yourself dude. This is just gonna be another chance for GameFAQs to laugh at Halo. Twice. In a row. Do you really think the voters will pass on that? Mario is gonna clean up.

Get it, CLEAN?
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:02:53 PM | message detail
yoblazer rollin' with the Sunshine puns today
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trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 8:03:08 PM | message detail
this is all an elaborate stats joke to get everyone to think Sunshine can win, right? I can get behind this.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/5/2010 8:03:32 PM | message detail
Pfft, Sunshine's an underrated game. It's a pretty damn good platformer once you get past the story bull**** and pollution and ****.

Hard as balls, too.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:03:37 PM | message detail

From: trannyscience | #079
this is all an elaborate stats joke to get everyone to think Sunshine can win, right? I can get behind this.


Like Mario Kart vs. Mega Man!
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:04:22 PM | message detail
And for the record, I would seriously consider taking Animal Crossing over Halo too, especially at night. Same goes with Golden Sun. Hopefully Isaac > Felix.
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2010 8:04:26 PM | message detail
Lots of people seem big on taking SMS to win its four-pack, and it's not like I blame any of you -- Halo's embarrassed itself time and time again, so this would be right on-par for the series. THAT SAID:

1) Super Mario Sunshine was also legitimately hated. Loved classic series or not and facing Halo or not, it is the absolute most hated mainline game of the series on Nintendo's least popular console...and its appreciation doesn't seem to have grown much like LoZ:WW or LoZ:MM (got a one-seed?!). Heck, people hated it so much they still point fingers at it for Mario's stock dropping and the SMG-games not getting the fan-love they deserve.

2) Talking about stock dropping, have you seen how people are treating Nintendo lately? Not a pretty sight. This might just be a Wii-thing, but it can't be seen as favorable.

3) Super Mario Galaxy would have had a difficult battle with CoD4 in both 2007's GotY if it wasn't for Halo 3 and 2009's BGE2 if it wasn't for Pokemon DP/SSBB. Halo 3 isn't much behind CoD4 indirectly whereas SMS's nothing close to SMG's appreciation.

4) Halo Reach recently came out and Halo 3/SMS is early in the contest. We've seen a major Halo-release push MC up to nearly Solid Snake's level, so -- while I'm not calling its reception/hype to Halo 3's and Halo 3 isn't Reach -- it's not going to be powerless either.


You know it's bad when I still want to take SMS after all that, but Halo 3 is in good position.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:04:53 PM | message detail
Sunshine could have been an upset in my eyes had SMG not flopped last contest.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 8:05:12 PM | message detail
Ya know, maybe I should go back and 120/120 that game. It's the only 3D Mario game I haven't completed. How is it so far, Leon? I haven't played it in like five years.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:05:33 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH | #083
Heck, people hated it so much they still point fingers at it for Mario's stock dropping and the SMG-games not getting the fan-love they deserve.


I know I blame Sunshine for Galaxy's weakness!
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pjbasis | Posted 10/5/2010 8:05:39 PM | message detail
There are lots of people that like Sunshine, and lots of people who don't like Halo.

Even though the reverse is true....

IT"S FREAKIN MARIO!!
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:07:19 PM | message detail

From: PartOfYourWorld | #085
Ya know, maybe I should go back and 120/120 that game. It's the only 3D Mario game I haven't completed. How is it so far, Leon? I haven't played it in like five years.


Well, you can keep up with my playthrough topic!

I just finished getting all 120 stars in Mario 64! I'm getting all the stars in all the 3-D Mario games!

Honestly, I had forgotten how awful the voice acting in this game was, especially FLUDD's. I want to hurt someone every time he speaks to make myself feel better. I know Mario games aren't about the voice acting, but man, it's bad.

I've only played through the first world so far, but playing the game has been a chore so far. Maybe the first world is just bad and the game picks up, but man.
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PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 8:09:20 PM | message detail
I'll never forget some of Sunshine's dialogue, especially the beginning stuff.

WHAT'S THAT ICKY, PAINT-LIKE GOOP?! IT'S MOVING.
NOW NOW, BOYS. DON'T TOUCH THAT STUFF.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:12:08 PM | message detail
2) Talking about stock dropping, have you seen how people are treating Nintendo lately? Not a pretty sight. This might just be a Wii-thing, but it can't be seen as favorable.

If you look at the GOTD poll in Jan. 2008 and Jan. 2010, the Wii games absolutely collapsed while the Gamecube games actually basically stayed constant. Actually, MP and WW gained percentage from 2008 to 2010- from 10.82% to 11.61%, despite the latter poll having 3 additional games including Brawl.

And what a collapse it was for the Wii games- Brawl, TP, and Galaxy combined scored 23.65% in the 2010 poll, while just TP and Galaxy had scored 32.26% in the 2008 poll. That's a staggering 27% loss, even after Brawl, the strongest of all 3 of them, was added to the mix. MW2 and Chrono Cross were added to the poll, but they don't really mitigate that collapse much.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2010 8:15:02 PM | message detail
I've been replaying SMS too -- blue coins and cleaning are the biggest offenders, as most may remember. It's also becoming heavier on collecting red coins, which is never a good choice. That said, it's never deserved all the hate it got, and my current playthrough's reconfirming that.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:24:15 PM | message detail
Oh, the entry form for the Battle Challenge is up. How many matches are you expecting to bank in the first round, assuming your predictions are correct?
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Xuxon | Posted 10/5/2010 8:26:26 PM | message detail
ill probably end up missing matches early, and never banking, trying to catch up as i fall further and further behind.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/5/2010 8:27:28 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #092
Oh, the entry form for the Battle Challenge is up. How many matches are you expecting to bank in the first round, assuming your predictions are correct?


NONE

LETS GO ALL THE WAY, BABY!

(until the day of the match, of course)
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:29:05 PM | message detail
Right now I have the debatable matches blanked, but since we can predict all the way up until match time my prediction will change.


Speaking of the bracket what are the biggest snubs?
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_stingers_ | Posted 10/5/2010 8:30:21 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #095
Right now I have the debatable matches blanked, but since we can predict all the way up until match time my prediction will change.


Speaking of the bracket what are the biggest snubs?


Xenosaga

=[

Hey is Windwaker/Oblivion as clear-cut as people are saying

I think Oblivion's got a good shot.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 8:30:24 PM | message detail
It's not a snub, but it's disappointing that both Starcraft games miss out on this contest by 1 year.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
HaRRicH | Posted 10/5/2010 8:31:09 PM | message detail

From: red sox 777 | #090
If you look at the GOTD poll in Jan. 2008 and Jan. 2010, the Wii games absolutely collapsed while the Gamecube games actually basically stayed constant. Actually, MP and WW gained percentage from 2008 to 2010- from 10.82% to 11.61%, despite the latter poll having 3 additional games including Brawl.

And what a collapse it was for the Wii games- Brawl, TP, and Galaxy combined scored 23.65% in the 2010 poll, while just TP and Galaxy had scored 32.26% in the 2008 poll. That's a staggering 27% loss, even after Brawl, the strongest of all 3 of them, was added to the mix. MW2 and Chrono Cross were added to the poll, but they don't really mitigate that collapse much.


I remember you talking about the drop being bad, but I didn't remember it being that bad...haha, damn. I'm sticking with SSBB > SSBM for the long haul, but stuff like that really makes SSBM look good.


Either way though, those Gamecube titles are about top-class games from the system...and SMS just isn't considered to be in that caliber. Even if you don't take that GotY-poll seriously since SMS dominates it so much...

http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=931
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1025
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1181

Adding a water-pack to Mario was less anticipated than cel-shading the LoZ-series (which I think Shiggy said nearly ended the series in hindsight) and changing genres for Metroid; more people didn't want to see any of those three games from Nintendo's big three than have their hands on SMS. Ignoring the GotY-poll where MP murdered everything, it didn't beat Animal Crossing by much. It didn't fair very well in the Mario-series when it was just about eight months old, and I bet it gets demolished now that several years have gone by and there are more 3D-Mario games.

SMS never stood a chance with Nintendo-fans here when it first came out. I trust many will support it against Halo 3/1 anyway, but right now I'm not convinced nearly enough will.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 8:31:35 PM | message detail

From: _stingers_ | #096
Xenosaga

=[

Hey is Windwaker/Oblivion as clear-cut as people are saying

I think Oblivion's got a good shot.


Oblivion could easily get 45%+, but I'm not picking it to win.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/5/2010 8:31:36 PM | message detail

From: _stingers_ | #096
Hey is Windwaker/Oblivion as clear-cut as people are saying

I think Oblivion's got a good shot.


http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=3500

HMMMMMM...
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