GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 912
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 4:16:54 PM | message detail |
BRACKET IS HERE. Now with... two wins for KotOR? You've done fine by me, Bacon. Fine by me. ~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~ www.gamefaqscontests.com ~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~ http://board8.wikia.com/ ~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~ http://www.thengamer.com/ http://thengamer.com/xstats ~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame ~*Character Contest Histories*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories ~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~ A = Strongest Character B = Character Weaker than A C = Character Weaker than B To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA ~*All the Match Pics*~ http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php ~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~ http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages ~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~ SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense. Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated. Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man. --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 4:17:33 PM | message detail |
TWEWY with two wins? You've done a fine job, Bacon. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/5/2010 4:23:05 PM | message detail |
Fallout 3 with five wins? That's two too few, Bacon! --- Wylvane captainmurphy72 is a horrible user. |
xp1337 | Posted 10/5/2010 4:31:41 PM | message detail |
From: LeonhartFour | #002 TWEWY with two wins? You've done a fine job, Bacon. TWEWY going to lose to Persona 4 in the most hilarious Round 2 match I can remember in some time. How does that match even happen? (I know it's not even guaranteed, but still) --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k10 (395/448) 98.5138th Percentile |
Dr_Football | Posted 10/5/2010 4:54:10 PM | message detail |
No Mercy best game ever --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 4:54:42 PM | message detail |
I didn't even consider the new GS game being released soon. Yeah, I'm taking it over San Andreas. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 4:54:53 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #496 I figured you'd bring that up. Still don't trust 'em. And Haste, you shouldn't take Psychonauts over anything. That's going to be a bottom 10 game. --- "But you have been given freedom. Freedom to be...outside." "I am lightning...the rain transformed." |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 4:55:22 PM | message detail |
We didn't trust ToS either. --- DFF |
xp1337 | Posted 10/5/2010 4:56:55 PM | message detail |
From: KamikazePotato | #006 I didn't even consider the new GS game being released soon. Yeah, I'm taking it over San Andreas. Well, I'm not sure if it releases before or after Golden Sun/GTA:SA, if that matters. Just that it should probably be around that time, I think. Probably within a week either way. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k10 (395/448) 98.5138th Percentile |
ZFS | Posted 10/5/2010 4:57:01 PM | message detail |
baba yetu to victory --- There are no foreign lands. It is the traveler only who is foreign. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 4:57:37 PM | message detail |
Handhelds that aren't Link's Awakening or Pokemon just don't do well here. I don't trust them. --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 5:02:08 PM | message detail |
Hey, the banner is up with Meg Ryan getting semi-top billing. FFX loses early, abandon ship! --- Yoblazer: http://i32.tinypic.com/zlf1w7.gif Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 5:05:18 PM | message detail |
Has
Golden Sun ever disappointed? Isaac and Felix have exceeded (admittedly
low) expectations every year they've been in. It got into the very
competitive 2k9 contest on its own before you guys got it removed. It
got like 40% in its GBA GotY poll a while back. And now, years later,
it's randomly announced sequel was the second-most anticipated game on
GameFAQs in a poll with FF, Metroid, and MGS. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 5:06:36 PM | message detail |
Golden
Sun hasn't been in a lot of situations to disappoint though.
Admittedly, the anticipated game poll is pretty impressive, but I don't
want to put a lot of stock in that. --- Support Morrigan Aensland (Darkstalkers) for Character Battle IX! http://img713.imageshack.us/img713/9302/banner5morrigan2.jpg |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 5:06:54 PM | message detail |
Will UltimazterializerX make a prediction bracket like he does every year? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
LOLContests | Posted 10/5/2010 5:07:48 PM | message detail |
I don't know why we still don't have faith in handhelds. Everyone keeps saying "Oh it's just Pokemon/Link's Awakening." But before that it was: "Oh no handhelds have popularity" "Oh, no handhelds except for FFTA, which did decent." "No handhelds except Pokemon." "No handhelds except Pokemon and Link's Awakening." The qualifiers just keep getting larger and larger. Not that I'm saying Golden Sun's gonna win that match, but to throw it out because it's a handheld is a little premature. As long as it's as strong as FFTA was in Sp2004, it might have what it needs to win. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 5:08:38 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #016 We know why FFTA did "decent" though. It would do pretty badly today though. --- http://i43.tinypic.com/dgwh0.gif http://www.majhost.com/gallery/atukam/OHWD/snownd.gif |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/5/2010 5:11:05 PM | message detail |
Kingdom
Hearts vs. Kingdom Hearts II - who do you guys got? I figure the
original is going to take it; three years ago I would have taken the
second one, though. It seems the tables have turned; isn't KH1 higher
on the FAQs now? but I'm not nearly confident at all. I'll go with KH1 on this one. One match that is giving me some trouble is Paper Mario/Gears of War. Gears may have bombed last contest, but it's up against a Paper Mario game that we haven't seen in the contests yet. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
MarioSuperstar | Posted 10/5/2010 5:12:28 PM | message detail |
Grand Theft Auto SA lost to Tales of Symphonia. --- *is Dranze* |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 5:12:38 PM | message detail |
Gears of War lost handily to Shadow of the Colossus. It's faded really fast. --- DFF |
Safer Sephiroth 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 5:14:42 PM | message detail |
Also Brawl shall win right? --- GameFaqs is NOT the place to go for relationship advice.Nobody here gets any action unless it is their right or left hand.Including me.~Dawn and Dusk~ |
AlecTrevelyan006 | Posted 10/5/2010 5:16:07 PM | message detail |
Tag --- Gamefaqs' #1 Testicle Bettor: Proud owner of many testes http://img688.imageshack.us/img688/6553/alec.png |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2010 5:18:57 PM | message detail |
BOP is online http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390 --- BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390 BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls |
Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/5/2010 7:30:32 PM | message detail |
Bracket's up and it's been two hours since the last post. --- Wylvane mas369 is a horrible user. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:31:33 PM | message detail |
We're posting in a million different topics. --- http://i.imgur.com/CbfFb.jpg |
LOLContests | Posted 10/5/2010 7:31:55 PM | message detail |
Anyone
else tempted by WoW and Animal Crossing? I didn't bite, but we have no
clue how strong WoW anti-votes are 1v1. Took Paper Mario over it though. --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
ToadYoshi | Posted 10/5/2010 7:32:53 PM | message detail |
so apparently nobody likes bracket? Perhaps everyone is too busy celebrating the fact that Skies of Arcadia will finally win a match! --- on 4ways: right now, they have inherent flaws, but could be great if fixed http://i52.photobucket.com/albums/g3/CzarMagus/Birthday/frog.jpg |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:32:56 PM | message detail |
Everyone is working on their bracket --- BOP Topic: http://www.gamefaqs.com/boards/8-gamefaqs-contests/56645390 BOP Results: http://charmander6000.webs.com/GotD%20BOP.xls |
ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/5/2010 7:34:08 PM | message detail |
everyone loves the bracket you should have seen the chat when it went up I don't think I saw any complaints --- http://8board.webs.com/snake.jpg |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:34:39 PM | message detail |
From: LOLContests | #026 I want to take WoW to lose either of those matches, but I can't do it. I don't think either of those could seriously challenge Oblivion. --- "The great GF...Bahamut." "...GF? I...? Using my powers...It is you humans...I fear..." |
xp1337 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:37:41 PM | message detail |
Actually, going back to Golden Sun/GTA:SA. Golden Sun: Dark Dawn releases on 11/29, I think. If I'm right, Golden Sun/GTA:SA would be a day match on that very day. But someone may want to confirm both the release date and that the match actually takes place that day. I took GS to win that match even before thinking about this, but it might be worth thinking about. Or maybe not if you don't think GS even gets out of Round 1. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k10 (395/448) 98.5138th Percentile |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:37:50 PM | message detail |
Anyway,
for those of you trying to make judgments based on the previous game
contest.... remember that these aren't 4-way matches AND the vote
totals will be lower. What fun this will be.... hey, do you think Gears
of War will do even WORSE? It's hard to imagine.... Random fact: Pokemon GSC vs. Xenogears way back in Sp2K4 was glitched, resulting in only GameFAQs account votes to be accepted. IIRC, Pokemon Xenogears had about 56% of the vote. The poll was redone the next day, and, to everyone's surprise, Xenogears scored even higher, 58-59% of the vote. (Granted, there is the possibility that Xenogears fans were just more enthusiastic about voting for their game again...) But, anyway... Crystal for the championship! We all know Final Fantasy and Smash benefit from high votals! Also, Mario seems to be hurt by low vote totals; in addition, SMG has had nowhere to go but down since the last BGE, soooooo... hey, what if RSE pulled the upset in Round 2? --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:38:47 PM | message detail |
From: Haste_2 | #032 D/P couldn't beat Galaxy in 2009. R/S/E sure ain't doin' it. --- Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX! http://img718.imageshack.us/img718/1950/banner4otacon.jpg |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/5/2010 7:38:51 PM | message detail |
From: xp1337 | #031 oh jeez --- DFF |
trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:39:08 PM | message detail |
how can people consider RSE over Galaxy and then take Sunshine to win three matches boggles the mind --- xyzzy |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2010 7:40:00 PM | message detail |
From: ZenOfThunder | #029 Well Allen was *in* the chat, so I suspect a couple people were saving face. I wasn't one of them, because I'm enjoying this, but there were some topics that complained about it. I looked again, and yeah God of War won't beat Half-Life 2. I also don't think Metroid Prime is as weak as I made it out to be. It could easily make the semifinal. Half-Life 2 and Fallout 3 aren't worldbeaters, and Prime was probably held back a few percents by Paper Mario last year. Yet oddly enough, we've actually had Metroid Prime against a Half-Life before: http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=1628 I find it hard to believe the sequel couldn't make 6%. Which leaves Half-Life 2 against Fallout 3. Hmm. --- ·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.· You're not gonna reach my telephone. |
Xuxon | Posted 10/5/2010 7:40:15 PM | message detail |
i don't think GS gets out of round 1, but i definitely thought about R&C > SA does anyone else think DMC3 winning its division is remotely possible? everything there seems weak enough that it's possible to me. |
xp1337 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:40:41 PM | message detail |
From: trannyscience | #035 how can people consider RSE over Galaxy and then take Sunshine to win three matches boggles the mind Hey, I didn't want to take Sunshine to win 3 matches. It just kind of happened. I wouldn't even go near RSE > Galaxy though. --- xp1337: Don't you wish there was a spell-checker that told you when you a word out? SC2k10 (395/448) 98.5138th Percentile |
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/5/2010 7:41:22 PM | message detail |
Sunshine won't beat Halo. People actually like the original Halo and hate Sunshine. I wouldn't be surprised if Ninja Gaiden outperformed Sunshine on Halo 1. --- ,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.~*ST*~.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸,.·´¯`·.,¸¸, "I have no problem swallowing... so yeah." -Menji76 |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:41:40 PM | message detail |
From: UltimaterializerX | #036 A few percents still barely beats Vice City and gets creamed by KH. --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
LOLContests | Posted 10/5/2010 7:41:57 PM | message detail |
[This message was deleted at the request of the original poster] |
trannyscience | Posted 10/5/2010 7:42:11 PM | message detail |
DMC3?
no chance. I see that division as being between Prime, GOW, Symphonia
and Half-Life 2. I would never take DMC3 over GOW at this point,
especially after seeing the voteins. --- xyzzy |
LOLContests | Posted 10/5/2010 7:42:31 PM | message detail |
Golden
Sun: Dark Dawn releases on 11/29, I think. If I'm right, Golden
Sun/GTA:SA would be a day match on that very day. But someone may want
to confirm both the release date and that the match actually takes
place that day. http://goldensun.neoseeker.com/w/i/goldensun/9/92/250px-IsaacPromo.jpg --- "Ahem! There is *sand* on my *boot*!"--Kefka Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest! |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/5/2010 7:43:03 PM | message detail |
Let's just put it this way. Not even Lopen is taking DMC3 > Prime. --- "Spoil it for me. I'm never going to play that game so I want to know if he's going to be another Auron or another Sin." - Soul about PW/Jecht |
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/5/2010 7:43:21 PM | message detail |
Hey guys HALO REACH --- Yoblazer: http://i43.tinypic.com/25z1non.jpg Watch and you'll see... some day I'll be... part of your world! |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:44:34 PM | message detail |
D/P couldn't beat Galaxy in 2009. R/S/E sure ain't doin' it. Hey, Emerald could be close behind D/P. Then, add in the fact that DP will benefit from lower vote totals. Then, take into account Galaxy may have dropped, and Pokemon may have grown even more! I'm not saying what I think will happen... but what COULD happen, maybe. --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:44:40 PM | message detail |
Sunshine
is the black sheep of the series, but it's not 3D Sonic games. Not
confident on that match (or round 2 against the next Halo game) at all
though. The first round match is a night match and the second round is
a day match, for what it's worth. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
Xuxon | Posted 10/5/2010 7:45:11 PM | message detail |
hmm i guess Prime could be decently strong. nothing in that bottom half impresses me, though. |
Xcarvenger | Posted 10/5/2010 7:45:23 PM | message detail |
Prime was probably held back a few percents by Paper Mario last year. A few percents still barely beats Vice City and gets creamed by KH. Maybe it's more like 10% then! --- Clannad love! www.board8.wikia.com |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/5/2010 7:45:56 PM | message detail |
We all know Final Fantasy and Smash benefit from high votals! I don't know how to go about showing this is true, but I agree. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |