GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 910

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swirIdude | Posted 10/1/2010 5:29:56 PM | message detail
Okay hang on, I wasn't following the last games contest closely, why is Melee beating Brawl a lock?
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:30:20 PM | message detail
It's not at all, don't worry.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
PartOfYourWorld | Posted 10/1/2010 5:33:31 PM | message detail
It's not, but in terms of toss-up matches, it's the closest one to a lock I can possibly think of.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:34:26 PM | message detail
Indeed, from the weekday match they had last year:

SSBM's percentage on FFX, 1st 12 hours: 34.97%
SSBM's percentage on FFX, 2nd 12 hours: 40.92%

This is a match that could potentially be really close with 24 hours, and not even contested in either a day or night match.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:35:38 PM | message detail
Actually, looking at the trends between FFX and SSBM/SSBB last contest, the one with the wider swing was FFX, not SSB. Even in round 3 with KH in the poll, FFX almost beat SSBM outright with the morning vote. Melee got 56.86% during the DSV, but FFX dropped nearly 5% while Melee rose a little more than 3%. Looking at the overall trends though, that appears to have been a weekend match.

*checks*

Yep, it was.

The second match and the match with SSBB are a bit unfair since there's an OoT in the way, but FFX drops harder than SSB rises, looking at it.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:36:59 PM | message detail
Presumably FFX drops more than SSBM rises because the other games in the poll, OOT and RBY, are also heavily day-oriented. The weekend match is very different as Smash is all ASV.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:39:07 PM | message detail
Well, Melee doesn't really rise a lot with the ASV in their one weekday match either, but then again, it's dealing with Zelda and Pokemon at the same time.

Still, fair point. Looking at FFX's first two matches, it was relatively well balanced against MGS2, Silent Hill 2, and Morrowind (all of which are pretty night-oriented games), and it didn't drop as bad against Kingdom Hearts, though Kingdom Hearts spiked higher than FFX fell.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:46:03 PM | message detail
Well, what really matters as far as an SSBM/FFX match goes is the difference between them. SSBM rose 2.01% against FFX from 3 PM (not noon, but the start of the ASV) to the end in the weekday match. That match got 130k votes in all, and had 84k at 3 PM.

Supposing FFX vs. SSBM 1v1 got the same number of votes, that means that the break even point for a comeback at 3 PM would be around 3400.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:47:41 PM | message detail
I'm trying to think of what the best date for the first match to start if he plans to have 24 hours for the final four and have the game of the year polls
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~ Ange
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:48:36 PM | message detail
And man, I want to see an FFX vs. SSBM final now. The idea of a 3400 vote comeback is just exciting, no matter which game wins (I like them both).
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
transients | Posted 10/1/2010 5:49:06 PM | message detail
FFX vs. SSBM doesn't strike me as having any chance since they're the top 4 noms. I expect Bacon to separate them until the semis at least.

now FFX vs. Brawl, that's a possibility.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:49:19 PM | message detail
Yeah, I know it doesn't really matter whether FFX falls hard or SSBM just rises fast. I'm just being picky.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:50:56 PM | message detail
I don't want to see FFX, Brawl, or Melee face each other until the semis. I want to get a fair read between Brawl and Melee, and that'll be difficult if FFX faces Brawl in the Elite Eight in a night match.

Although I guess Brawl and Melee can face each other any time, and it wouldn't really matter. Still want it to be a semifinal match though.

I do think Bacon's clever enough to set up a Brawl/Melee semifinal with the winner vs. FFX though. I think he knows that's what a lot of us want to see.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:53:39 PM | message detail
While I expect SSBM/FFX to have a large vote swing I would be surprised if SSBM came back being that far behind. Chalk it up to 4-ways being different or something.

Then again I really doubt that we'll be seeing 130k vote totals.
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red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:53:49 PM | message detail
Yeah, I doubt FFX will meet Melee or Brawl until the semifinals, although remember, we did get FFVII/CT/FFVI/LTTP set up before, so who knows. Melee could meet Brawl in the elite 8 and it would be fine; trends probably will not decide that one.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
transients | Posted 10/1/2010 5:57:28 PM | message detail
ideal bracket in my mind:

FFX
Pokemon GSC

Twilight Princess
MGS4

Melee
RE4

Brawl
KH2

we get a 24 hour FFX/TP match (or MGS4 if it pulls the upset), Melee/Brawl with the winner facing FFX. and there's always upsets to consider too if you're feeling risky.
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xyzzy
transients | Posted 10/1/2010 5:57:50 PM | message detail
that match is because of generations, not because they should have been set up that way.
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xyzzy
UltimaterializerX | Posted 10/1/2010 6:19:40 PM | message detail
You know, I'm with Big Bob. Resident Evil 4 deserves the title "game of the decade" more than any other game from the decade. I'll be pulling for it and SSBM hard. Brawl or FFX is the favorite though, and easily.
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The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/1/2010 6:27:33 PM | message detail
I was actually surprised that Twilight Princess and RE4 were on the same level.

Yeah... I know that sounds stupid to say on this website but RE4 man... X_X
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Big Bob | Posted 10/1/2010 6:41:09 PM | message detail
You know, I'm with Big Bob. Resident Evil 4 deserves the title "game of the decade" more than any other game from the decade. I'll be pulling for it and SSBM hard. Brawl or FFX is the favorite though, and easily.

My thoughts exactly. There are plenty of games I like more than RE4, but no other game winning would make me fist pump and go "aw yeah".

I mentioned RE4 in casual conversation to a friend who hadn't played it. Once I found out, it became our duty to make him play it ASAP. It's now one of his favorite games ever. There's a reason I (stupidly) took it to the Final match in the last game contest.
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Ngamer64 | Posted 10/1/2010 6:58:28 PM | message detail
Melee can't be in RE4's division, they're both Top Four! I think I'd rather see something like

FFX
Twilight Princess

Galaxy/KH2
MGS4

Melee
Pokemon G/S/C

RE4
Brawl


Which would line up with the 1-2-3-4 from noms.

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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/1/2010 7:07:47 PM | message detail

From: transients | #266
ideal bracket in my mind:

FFX
Pokemon GSC

Twilight Princess
MGS4

Melee
RE4

Brawl
KH2

we get a 24 hour FFX/TP match (or MGS4 if it pulls the upset), Melee/Brawl with the winner facing FFX. and there's always upsets to consider too if you're feeling risky.


I like it. FFX/TP and Brawl/Melee would be the perfect semifinals, unless something like RE4 or MGS4 could beat TP.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/1/2010 7:08:40 PM | message detail
And I'll go ahead and **** on the cake by saying I'm not a big fan of RE4.
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XxSoulxX | Posted 10/1/2010 7:30:53 PM | message detail
You know, I'm with Big Bob. Resident Evil 4 deserves the title "game of the decade" more than any other game from the decade. I'll be pulling for it and SSBM hard. Brawl or FFX is the favorite though, and easily.

RE4 or HL2. Both have amazing gameplay and great atmospheres.
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/1/2010 7:32:35 PM | message detail

From: Not_Wylvane | #273
And I'll go ahead and **** on the cake by saying I'm not a big fan of RE4.


Not_Wylvane is a horrible user
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 10/1/2010 7:35:41 PM | message detail
and yes, I'll be rooting for RE4 all the way(along with my other favorites), even when FFX/SSBM/Brawl has it on lock.
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TheOceIot | Posted 10/1/2010 7:47:59 PM | message detail
So, does anyone think we'll get the bracket tonight shortly after the poll closes? Or not until Monday/Tuesday?
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Iamthekuzalol | Posted 10/1/2010 7:49:18 PM | message detail
Yeah, rooting for RE4 as well though the chances of it winning is probably close to zero.

Let's hope that MGS3 will be put in as a 2nd or 3rd seed in Mario Galaxy Division. MGS3 winning a division, here we go.
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2010 7:51:01 PM | message detail
Rooting for MGS4 even though it has no chance.

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DFF
swirIdude | Posted 10/1/2010 8:14:26 PM | message detail
Rooting for Valkyria Chronicles even though it may not be in the bracket.
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At least Dark Link is more of a character than L-Block...Kinda. ~Zen
you mean, he's got LINES? ~voltch
LinkMarioSamus | Posted 10/1/2010 8:34:18 PM | message detail
You guys are making me look forward to getting Resident Evil 4 at potentially the end of this year even more.
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 8:38:20 PM | message detail
Don't get too excited. One of the most overrated games ever. I played it for like an hour on PS2 and never went back to just not getting interested in it.
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SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 8:39:14 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #282
Don't get too excited. One of the most overrated games ever. I played it for like an hour on PS2 and never went back to just not getting interested in it.


Pretty sure not many people do you what you do
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~ Ange
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 8:41:05 PM | message detail
Having horrible shooting mechanics with the behind the shoulder angle (could never understand how people could play a full game like that) and having a cheap B-movie type story weren't really enough to get my interest. Maybe it got better story wise, but I wouldn't even be able to try with the horrible controls/camera angle.
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AlbionHero
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HaRRicH | Posted 10/1/2010 8:51:43 PM | message detail
Albion, what games do you feel like deserve to be the game of the decade? I know you gave up on RE4 and SMG very quickly, and I feel like there was another major hit you did that to too...can't remember.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 8:54:57 PM | message detail

From: HaRRicH
Albion, what games do you feel like deserve to be the game of the decade? I know you gave up on RE4 and SMG very quickly, and I feel like there was another major hit you did that to too...can't remember.




Hmm, my thinking of the recent top 30 list I did, these would be my top 10 games of this decade...

1. World of Warcraft
2. Sengoku Rance
3. Devil May Cry
4. Metal Gear Solid 2
5. Final Fantasy 9
6. Fallout 3
7. Persona 4
8. Skies of Arcadia
9. Shenmue
10. GTA: San Andreas
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AlbionHero
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ZFS | Posted 10/1/2010 8:56:16 PM | message detail
Of all the potential winners of this contest, RE4 is probably the most deserving. It was wildly influential, it was innovative, it revitalized an entire series, it sold well, it hit every major console demographic, and -- most importantly -- it was a great game. Not gonna find all of the above from any of the other games that have a shot at this.

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HaRRicH | Posted 10/1/2010 9:03:45 PM | message detail
Should have known WoW would be on top!

Anyway, even through I was wrong when I said it about last contest, I can correctly say the vote-ins got fewer and fewer votes each vote-in for this contest...huh.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 9:07:51 PM | message detail
Also, the other major game you're probably thinking about was Twilight Princess. I gave up on that like 30 minutes in cuz I got annoyed by how slow it started. But I'm not really a Zelda fan to begin with so I didn't really have much interest in it outside of just seeing why people liked it so much.. but couldn't get myself to play long enough to find out. In general though Nintendo games don't hold my interest. Dunno why.
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AlbionHero
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-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/1/2010 9:09:09 PM | message detail
Well, that's definitely true this time around.

Day 1 - 66842
Day 2 - 66555
Day 3 - 65281
Day 4 - 60125

Day 4 had the largest drop off.
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charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2010 9:19:25 PM | message detail
RE4 is great, but after playing it on the Wii I can no longer play it on the GC/PS2.
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Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 9:20:23 PM | message detail
could we possibly see a bracket tomorrow
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~ Ange
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/1/2010 9:21:57 PM | message detail
We could have a bracket by the end of this hour, since it would have been only 9:00 PM for Bacon when the last poll closed.
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Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~
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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 9:22:41 PM | message detail
I doubt we'll get one tonight. Bacon hasn't been logged in since 7:30.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 9:28:07 PM | message detail
We probably won't see one till Monday. I don't remember Bacon ever doing any kind of significant update or a bracket on a weekend.
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 10/1/2010 9:32:33 PM | message detail

From: ZFS | #287
Of all the potential winners of this contest, RE4 is probably the most deserving. It was wildly influential, it was innovative, it revitalized an entire series, it sold well, it hit every major console demographic, and -- most importantly -- it was a great game. Not gonna find all of the above from any of the other games that have a shot at this.


Fallout 3 fulfills all that criteria too.
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TheCodeisBosco | Posted 10/1/2010 9:37:14 PM | message detail
So, realistically - what other games do you guys think will receive one seeds? I'm pretty confident that Pokemon GSC will receive one, but other than that, I'm not sure at all. Brawl, MGS4 and Halo would probably be my other choices, but I'm not confident in any of them.

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LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 9:41:29 PM | message detail
I'm actually not that confidence GSC will receive one. I feel like it might get forgotten in the shuffle as a 2000s game. Plus, it's competing with other Pokemon games for seeding. Not that it stopped FFX from being the most nominated game, but I dunno.
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NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 9:44:44 PM | message detail
The 8 #1 seeds will be...

Final Fantasy X
Resident Evil 4
Super Mario Galaxy
Super Smash Bros Melee
Super Smash Bros Brawl
Metal Gear Solid 4
Twilight Princess
Half Life 2 (if Gamefaqs knows whats good for itself!)
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SnoicFactor | Posted 10/1/2010 9:50:40 PM | message detail
I have a feeling that FFX will flop.. At least to people's expectations.
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