GameFAQs Contests
Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 910
swirIdude | Posted 10/1/2010 7:32:50 AM | message detail |
SBAllen is using Umineko as an example to show that we don't actually control the nominations at all! --- At least Dark Link is more of a character than L-Block...Kinda. ~Zen you mean, he's got LINES? ~voltch |
HaRRicH | Posted 10/1/2010 8:14:58 AM | message detail |
Glad he made an example out of Umineko instead of WWF No Mercy! --- Nominate Epona the very first chance you get! http://img812.imageshack.us/img812/3492/eponaharr.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 8:17:30 AM | message detail |
Also,
Umineko is looking like it's stronger than Adventure. I don't think
Zelda 1 would get to 50% if it were put in Umineko's place. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
Big Bob | Posted 10/1/2010 8:41:10 AM | message detail |
Random
thought: MW/MW2 is going to be overestimated in the contest and lose in
a Master Chief-style upset. The series is weaker than we think; we've
only seen it in multi-game polls that don't let anti-voting show as
much. --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
Oxbridge | Posted 10/1/2010 8:44:15 AM | message detail |
Monster
Hunter Freedom Unite currently has the same % as Professor Layton and
the Curious Village, if 28 go through with % as the deciding factor,
it's still neck and neck... --- Congratulations to Dr_Football, the Guru champion for 2010. |
Big Bob | Posted 10/1/2010 9:12:51 AM | message detail |
Neck and neck on who gets fed to FFX in the first round, woo! --- http://card.mygamercard.net/Mach+Tornado.png |
Wii_TuRtLe | Posted 10/1/2010 9:56:40 AM | message detail |
Random
thought: MW/MW2 is going to be overestimated in the contest and lose in
a Master Chief-style upset. The series is weaker than we think; we've
only seen it in multi-game polls that don't let anti-voting show as
much. MW2 will probably be a bit overrated, but CoD4 definitely has enough strength to beat out any of the lower seeded games that get fed to it. |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2010 9:58:31 AM | message detail |
If
CoD4 suffers from what Halo and Gears seemed to have suffered from, I
dunno. It can't hurt that the shooter that overtook it is from its own
series, though. --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 10/1/2010 10:00:56 AM | message detail |
Also whoever does the Soul Calibur II pic needs to have it be the three console-exclusives (Link, Heihachi, Spawn) --- http://i259.photobucket.com/albums/hh293/zukiraphaera/war-sig-1.png "SEXTON HILLBEAST" - TimJab |
KamikazePotato | Posted 10/1/2010 10:05:09 AM | message detail |
From: swirIdude | #201 This doesn't make any sense. The Umineko rally on this board wasn't big at all. If anything, this shows how easy it is for us to get something in. --- DFF |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 10:15:40 AM | message detail |
Yeah,
that's silly. Umineko isn't as widely loved on this board as people
make it out to be. It's got a small contingent that sings its praises
loudly and makes it seem bigger than it is. Plus, with a smaller nomination total this time around, it shouldn't take that much to get a game to at least a vote-in. Jak and Ocelot got into the contest with 196 nominations, meaning the vote-in participants got much less. I don't know how many noms it took to get into the contest at bare minimum, but I'd wager it was a good bit lower than 196. Also, NRT --- http://img.imgcake.com/leonpngpe.png |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 10:17:29 AM | message detail |
Well, todays Gotd Tidbit was a waste... And I'm also surprised Umineko is still doing as well as it is. I woulda expected by now it would be last place. --- AlbionHero http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 10:18:51 AM | message detail |
Eh,
it's not a total waste. It gave us somewhat of a hint as to what
Bacon's surprise twist will be, and that there will be a second way to
win prizes. Board 8 as a whole doesn't really care about prizes too
much (Not that we don't want to win them, but it's not the main draw of
the contest), so it's not that big of a deal to us. --- "So cold. I am always by your side." "There ain't no gettin' off of this train we on!" |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2010 11:05:51 AM | message detail |
I wouldn't be surprised if CoD4 went the same way Master Chief does on Halo release years. --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 11:52:13 AM | message detail |
If today is the last Vote in day I wonder what the poll will be tonight --- ~ Ange |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 11:53:37 AM | message detail |
From: SuperAngelo128 "What do you think of the bracket?" --- AlbionHero http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 11:54:21 AM | message detail |
Would he really release the bracket right immedidatley after the last vote in? --- ~ Ange |
JaKyL25 | Posted 10/1/2010 11:55:54 AM | message detail |
Board
8 as a whole doesn't really care about prizes too much (Not that we
don't want to win them, but it's not the main draw of the contest) u jelly --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg |
Dr_Football | Posted 10/1/2010 11:58:28 AM | message detail |
All about the prizes --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 12:17:45 PM | message detail |
Dude, I've won prize money before! It's nice, but I'd stick around even if these contests had no prizes attached! --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:20:18 PM | message detail |
Board
8 as a whole doesn't really care about prizes too much (Not that we
don't want to win them, but it's not the main draw of the contest), so
it's not that big of a deal to us. Agreed. Given the amount of time most of us put into these contests, it's clear we care about them much more than the prizes. If you spend just 2 hours a day on Board 8/Gamefaqs during contest season, that's 126 hours right there. Even counting each hour as worth $5, that's $630, a greater value than the first place prize right there, and it doesn't even include the bracketmaking period, nominations, or the offseason. I know I at least average considerably more than 2 hours a day during contest season too, especially with these 12-hour matches. And, of course, the probability of you actually winning a prize is really low, so unless you're really really confident in your skills, you're not devoting this much time and energy to the contests just for prizes. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
XxSoulxX | Posted 10/1/2010 12:31:19 PM | message detail |
It's not all about prizes, but it's the main thing for me! Yeah, I like arguing about potential characters and what not, but at the end of the day, I'm doing it just so I can have a better understanding of the contest so I can win. --- Good Times, Great Memories |
JaKyL25 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:35:10 PM | message detail |
And,
of course, the probability of you actually winning a prize is really
low, so unless you're really really confident in your skills, you're
not devoting this much time and energy to the contests just for prizes. I dunno, I think a fair amount of CS&D-minded B8ers have won prize money of some sort. Maybe 10%? --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:35:51 PM | message detail |
Personally,
I'd be happier to see Crono or Chrono Trigger win a contest than for me
to personally win a contest. On a side note, if there's one thing
Gamespot did right with their contest, it was the really high first
place prize. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
Dr_Football | Posted 10/1/2010 12:38:06 PM | message detail |
I agree, higher first place prizes for everyone! --- http://img21.imageshack.us/img21/4839/drfc.png http://img.imgcake.com/drfootballpngru.png |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:45:24 PM | message detail |
I dunno, I think a fair amount of CS&D-minded B8ers have won prize money of some sort. Maybe 10%? Yeah, CS&D posters probably finish in the money about 10% of the time, or something around there. It's about equivalent to having placed that high once (since we've had 12 contests). If you assume a CS&D poster almost always finishes in the 99th percentile, that's about equivalent to top 300. Say the top 20 are in prize-range, since a number of them are always prize-ineligible brackets. Then if it's just random where you finish in the top 300, the probability of finishing in prize range at least once in 10 contests is (280/300)^10 = 50.16%. Sounds good! But if the average prize payout is $200, that's only a $20 expected payout per contest. If, as previously assumed, you spent 2 hours a day during contest season for 126 hours, that's 16 cents an hour. Regular posters in this topic clearly are not treating this primarily as a way of making money; the payoff is just way too low given how many posts and how much time we spend here. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
JaKyL25 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:47:43 PM | message detail |
If you enjoy your job you'll never work a day in your life. :-P Primary reason does not mean exclusive reason. --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:49:53 PM | message detail |
Fair enough, but at least people greatly enjoy following these contests irrespective of whether they win prizes. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
JaKyL25 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:52:42 PM | message detail |
Right,
it's like sports. You can still enjoy the season a lot even if your
team blows, but going into each year your primary hope is a
Championship. --- Thank you, Eddie Guerrero. http://i.neoseeker.com/n/2/nintendo_quality_seal.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 12:55:58 PM | message detail |
Well,
not really. It's a lot more likely for a sports team to win a
championship than for you to win a Gamefaqs contest as an individual. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 12:56:51 PM | message detail |
Well,
not really. It's a lot more likely for a sports team to win a
championship than for you to win a Gamefaqs contest as an individual. Not if you're the Lions. --- AlbionHero http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
voltch | Posted 10/1/2010 1:01:28 PM | message detail |
the umineko fail on display here awwwwwwwww yes! --- Hau hauu, omochi kaeri! |
GoodPencil | Posted 10/1/2010 1:30:30 PM | message detail |
From: YoboD | #192 You must be in a HUGE SHOCK now |
charmander6000 | Posted 10/1/2010 2:25:41 PM | message detail |
Wyoming knows what's up http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4050®ion=USXWY --- Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru. |
NoDicePwn | Posted 10/1/2010 2:28:16 PM | message detail |
http://www.gamefaqs.com/poll/index.html?poll=4050®ion=USXWV why does it not surprise me that a game about families is winning in West Virginia --- AlbionHero http://myanimelist.net/signature/RyanSaotome.png |
-LusterSoldier- | Posted 10/1/2010 2:30:58 PM | message detail |
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 10/1/2010 2:54:21 PM | message detail Would he really release the bracket right immedidatley after the last vote in? It's possible, because it would be 9:00 PM for him at the time that this poll closes. So we could even have a bracket within 1 hour of today's poll closing. --- Luster Soldier --- ~Shield Bearer~ | ~Data Analyst~ Popular at school, but not as cool as Dr_Football, Guru Champ! |
ZenOfThunder | Posted 10/1/2010 4:53:04 PM | message detail |
In regards to having 24 hour polls for the Elite 8 matches, Bacon has this to say: Not enough time - we're bumping up too close to the holidays as it is. :( --- http://8board.webs.com/bourne.jpg |
Ngamer64 | Posted 10/1/2010 4:55:02 PM | message detail |
[18:41]
Ngameratwork: pretty upsetting that he wastes two WEEKS before putting
the bracket online, then isn't willing to give us back two DAYS to make
up for it [18:44] Ngameratwork: and look at all this crap he runs at the end of the year. you're telling me we couldn't cut two days out of this? 12/31/09 Got iPhone/iPod Touch? 12/30/09 Got Xbox 360? 12/29/09 Got Wii? 12/28/09 Got PlayStation 3? 12/27/09 Got PSP? 12/26/09 Got DS? --- You should search B8 for Dr Football, cool dude and 2010 Guru champion! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
swirIdude | Posted 10/1/2010 4:58:14 PM | message detail |
Nope, he can't. It's tradition! --- At least Dark Link is more of a character than L-Block...Kinda. ~Zen you mean, he's got LINES? ~voltch |
YoboD | Posted 10/1/2010 5:10:58 PM | message detail |
I really am! --- Time to wander around Aimlessly |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/1/2010 5:11:18 PM | message detail |
What's
so bad about running into the holidays? It's not really referring to
those 'Got polls" is it? I highly doubt that, no one gives a crap about
that --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
Ngamer64 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:20:19 PM | message detail |
Yes, that's really what he's referring to. He has this block of polls cemented into his calendar 01/13/10 BEST OF 2009: Game of the Year (Final Vote) ... 01/01/10 BEST OF 2009: Best DS Game 12/31/09 Got iPhone/iPod Touch? 12/30/09 Got Xbox 360? 12/29/09 Got Wii? 12/28/09 Got PlayStation 3? 12/27/09 Got PSP? 12/26/09 Got DS? 12/25/09 What did you get for Christmas (or another December holiday)? 12/24/09 'Twas the night before Christmas, and what are you doing? 12/23/09 Do you think you will buy more games in 2010 than you did in 2009? 12/22/09 Have you ever paid for extra downloadable content for a game? 12/21/09 Do you have Christmas lights on your home? 12/20/09 Which early 2010 sequel are you most looking forward to? 12/19/09 Which early 2010 original game are you most looking forward to? And is unwilling to cut two of them in favor of giving us full-day matches for FFX vs Brawl, Melee vs Twilight Princess, Galaxy vs MGS4, and RE4 vs Pokemon (as examples). --- You should search B8 for Dr Football, cool dude and 2010 Guru champion! thengamer.com/guru | thengamer.com/xstats | board8.wikia.com |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:21:27 PM | message detail |
From: The n00b Avenger | #241 Oh, you'd be surprised --- "Why must we always choose between certain death and probable death?" "I'm in an epic battle to the death, FIGURE IT OUT YOURSELF!" |
Haste_2 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:22:35 PM | message detail |
For the previous contest, how much time elapsed between the final poll and the release of the bracket? --- "Ah, a party! We haven't had one of those. So...what is a party?" "Well, you drink punch and eat CAKE! ...I think." |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:23:31 PM | message detail |
From: Haste_2 | #244 Almost exactly a month. I don't think we'll get more than a couple weeks for predictions though if Bacon's in a hurry to get this contest done before the holidays. --- "Hold on a minute! That testimony stinks!" "Witness! You can't just say 'Hello' and expect us to get anywhere! I want you to testify!" |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:26:37 PM | message detail |
Let's hope FFX doesn't face either Smash game until the final four then. It's not so
bad with this contest, because there aren't that many very strong games
with divergent trends, but I'd be really upset if it were Best. Game.
Ever. 3. Also, do you think the holidays will impact the contest? I'm guessing a lot of people come here around that time....not sure what that would help. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |
The n00b Avenger | Posted 10/1/2010 5:27:43 PM | message detail |
Heh, FFX Vs. SSBM might literally be decided by the time of the day. --- A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice. |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:28:14 PM | message detail |
What games are coming out in November and December? --- http://img.imgcake.com/ultigardenpngba.png |
LeonhartFour | Posted 10/1/2010 5:29:07 PM | message detail |
From: The n00b Avenger | #247 This is why I'm hoping this is a Final Four match or later. I want FFX to beat it with no excuses! --- Support Barret Wallace (Final Fantasy VII) for Character Battle IX! http://img687.imageshack.us/img687/3834/banner1barret.jpg |
red sox 777 | Posted 10/1/2010 5:29:24 PM | message detail |
Yeah, that's a huge shift from day to night. Day SSBM could be worth like 56% on Night SSBM. --- Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast. |