GameFAQs Contests

Contest Stats and Discussion - Part 909

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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/27/2010 11:10:59 PM | message detail
Contest season has (unofficially) started, so why not go back to the days of making stat topics at 400?



~*creativename's contest site (all things contest!)*~
www.gamefaqscontests.com

~*The Board 8 Wiki (lots of useful contest and board information, including all past Post-Contest Analysis from Ulti, transience, Ed Bellis and others)*~
http://board8.wikia.com/

~*NGamer64's Archive Sites (good stuff!) and (LOL) X-Stats Sim (some offensive language)*~
http://www.thengamer.com/
http://thengamer.com/xstats

~*GameFAQs Contests Hall of Fame*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Hall_of_Fame
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/GameFAQs_Contests_Match_Hall_of_Fame

~*Character Contest Histories*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Category:Contest_Histories

~*Simple Explanation of Extrapolated Standings*~
A = Strongest Character
B = Character Weaker than A
C = Character Weaker than B
To figure out a character's Xsts Percentage ---> [(CvB)(BvA)]/50 = CvA
To compare how C would do against B ---> [(CvA)/(BvA)]*50 = CvB
To figure out how B would do against A ---> [(CvA)/(CvB)]*50 = BvA

~*All the Match Pics*~
http://www.gamefaqscontests.com/gallery/index.php

~*Acronyms and Percentages for Dummies*~
http://board8.wikia.com/wiki/Acronyms_and_Percentages

~*Say What? Common Stats Topic Lingo Defined*~

SFF (Same Fanbase Factor) - Same Fanbase Factor is the theory that, if two contestants share a common fanbase, the weaker of the two options will underperform in a direct matchup. For instance, Link was expected to defeat Ganon with 65% of the vote in 2004, based on their 2003 values. Instead, Link collected near 88% of the vote. This is the best example of SFF we've ever seen. However take some SFF labels with a grain of salt, as many people will slap it onto any match that doesn't make perfect sense.

Extrapolated Standings - The mathematical "strength" of a contestant that's determined based on their performance relative to the rest of the field. This number is typically based on the contest entrant's loss, but adjustments are sometimes made. See above for a watered down explanation for how the stats are calculated.

Noble Nine - Link, Cloud, Solid Snake, Sephiroth, Mario, Crono, Sonic, Samus and Mega Man.
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Big Bob | Posted 9/27/2010 11:11:45 PM | message detail
Because the last topic hasn't hit 400 yet.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/27/2010 11:14:10 PM | message detail
And here we go.
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Support Otacon (Metal Gear Solid) for Character Battle IX!
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McGee4Ever | Posted 9/28/2010 1:14:43 PM | message detail
Pre-Bracket is FFX the favorite to win this contest?
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ST. LOUIS CARDINALS- YOUR WORLD SERIES CHAMPS!
SuperAngelo128 | Posted 9/28/2010 1:52:06 PM | message detail
FFX seems to be a small fav around the whole board

in this topic it seems to be more diverse though leaning towards a Smash Bros or Pokemon game
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Ange
ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/28/2010 8:55:28 PM | message detail
IT LIIIIIVES
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 8:56:25 PM | message detail
Play EarthBound.
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2010 8:56:33 PM | message detail
Tonight, I predict Wii Sports dines on the blood of Umineko and Call of Duty 2.
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E-p-o-n-a
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2010 8:57:07 PM | message detail
I enjoyed that level. Not a great game, but not really a bad one either.

Yeah, the game didn't deserve the hate it got. If it wasn't a Mario game I think a lot of people would have liked it more.
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
transients | Posted 9/28/2010 8:57:31 PM | message detail
I bet this topic has a huge edge for FF10, like 60% to everything else. we've always had a Square hardon in here.
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xyzzy
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 8:57:38 PM | message detail
If it didn't revolve around beatnik hippies cleaning up sludge, I would've liked it more!
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 8:58:16 PM | message detail
Wii Sports I doubt gets through a vote-in.

Random dumb predix: People forgot Perfect Dark was released in 2000 and gets stuck in the vote-ins somewhere.
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 8:58:38 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #012
Wii Sports I doubt gets through a vote-in.

Random dumb predix: People forgot Perfect Dark was released in 2000 and gets stuck in the vote-ins somewhere.


And loses!
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Support Squirtle (Pokemon R/B/Y) for Character Battle IX!
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2010 8:58:41 PM | message detail
Tonight, I predict Wii Sports dines on the blood of Umineko and Call of Duty 2.

Since we had mostly PS2 games, I'm excepting to see a few Gamecube games.
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/28/2010 8:58:44 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #012
Random dumb predix: People forgot Perfect Dark/Majora's Mask was released in 2000 and gets stuck in the vote-ins somewhere.


I agree
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"You brought your *****, to the waffle hut?"
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 8:58:54 PM | message detail
Odd, because it being a Mario game is precisely why I don't think it sucks.
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"I wrote a sixteen page essay about why DAO is bad, but I had nowhere to post it so it's sitting on my desktop." -Anagram
Yankees29 | Posted 9/28/2010 8:59:05 PM | message detail
FF X is probably the favorite.

Brawl or GSC is the eventual winner though. (GSC is a very dark horse)
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2010 8:59:31 PM | message detail
Random dumb predix: People forgot Perfect Dark was released in 2000 and gets stuck in the vote-ins somewhere.

Same with LoZ MM, Pokemon GSC and FFIX?
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 8:59:45 PM | message detail
I SEE WHAT YOU DID THERE, RYU-DOUBLE-ENTENDRE

haw haw
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HaRRicH | Posted 9/28/2010 8:59:59 PM | message detail
Any N64-game is going to hurt in nominations, little doubt there.
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E-p-o-n-a
NoDicePwn | Posted 9/28/2010 9:00:28 PM | message detail
I didn't think it was possible to get an even weaker group.
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AlbionHero
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 9:00:38 PM | message detail
Man, what an awful poll.
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charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:00:42 PM | message detail
Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn 27.59% 8
Ikaruga 10.34% 3
Jet Grind Radio 0% 0
Mario Kart DS 24.14% 7
Ninja Gaiden 13.79% 4
Pikmin 2 0% 0
Plants vs. Zombies 3.45% 1
Shin Megami Tensei: Nocturne 3.45% 1
Star Ocean: Till the End of Time 6.9% 2
Star Wars: Battlefront II 0% 0
Suikoden V 3.45% 1
The Legend of Dragoon 6.9% 2
TOTAL VOTES 29

Best two games winning /poll
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 9:00:48 PM | message detail
GO RADIANT DAWN GO!
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/28/2010 9:00:52 PM | message detail
poor suikoden v :(
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 9:01:07 PM | message detail

From: LeonhartFour | #022
Man, what an awful poll.


SHUT UP, RADIANT DAWN BEING IN THIS POLL MAKES IT AWESOME
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Yankees29 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:01:15 PM | message detail

From: charmander6000 | #018
Random dumb predix: People forgot Perfect Dark was released in 2000 and gets stuck in the vote-ins somewhere.

Same with LoZ MM, Pokemon GSC and FFIX?




I REALLY don't think we have to worry about GSC, probably MM as well.


IX is probably vote in stuff, but as long as it is not SFFed by another FF game (so, XII I guess) or one of the KH games (KH and II are locks, so unless BBS gets there) then it is very safe.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/28/2010 9:01:17 PM | message detail
WOOT GO NINJA GAIDEN

*sees Jet Set Radio*

**** IT SORRY JET SET RADIO PLEASE FORGIVE ME
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Not_Wylvane | Posted 9/28/2010 9:01:53 PM | message detail
Hey look, a handheld game winning something.
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Wylvane
beavis666x2 is a horrible user.
The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:16 PM | message detail
Huh, like 5 RPGs in a poll. Is that enough for ya
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A refusal of praise is a desire to be praised twice.
red sox 777 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:22 PM | message detail
Come on, tomorrow had better be the last vote-in poll so we can get the bracket released October 1st.
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Crono > Sephiroth. 7 years of waiting, and perhaps many more to go. Remain steadfast.
Yankees29 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:31 PM | message detail
Does LoD have a chance?


Because it should, ****ing masterpiece.
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Meeks54's sig for a stupid pick that had no chance. I even had it coming in first. MWC>Yo
Watch and you'll see... someday I'll be.....LIKE MWC!!!
charmander6000 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:36 PM | message detail
Damn it, if Radiant Dawn doesn't make it because of SFF I'm going to be pissed.

Also if anyone still thinks this is a 64 game bracket after this poll needs to be slapped in the head.
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Calintares made a whole lot of geolocation x-stats
Congrats to Dr. Football for winning the Guru.
LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:45 PM | message detail
Well, Mario Kart DS was a GOTY 2005 finalist!

And my word, Legend of Dragoon is in 2nd place.

What is this
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WarThaNemesis2 | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:47 PM | message detail
I know Brawl and all, but how did Ike beat Zidane?
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NoDicePwn | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:50 PM | message detail
C'mon Star Ocean 3. Totally underrated game I never even thought would have a shot to make vote ins, let alone maybe make the contest.
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Albion Hero
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 9:02:55 PM | message detail
awww Fire Emblem is falling off :'((((((((((((
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TheOceIot | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:03 PM | message detail
go go Ninja Gaiden
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ZFS | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:06 PM | message detail
Ninja Gaiden is losing to Legend of Dragoon and Mario Kart DS. I will never understand this place!

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BrettEagles | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:07 PM | message detail
I hope LoD keeps this up...
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:28 PM | message detail

From: UltimaterializerX | #026
SHUT UP, RADIANT DAWN BEING IN THIS POLL MAKES IT AWESOME


Radiant Dawn losing to Legend of Dragoon would be pretty awesome, admittedly.
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UltimaterializerX | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:39 PM | message detail
Star Ocean 3 suffers from that dumb "run out of MP = death" crap.
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ZenOfThunder | Posted 9/28/2010 9:03:52 PM | message detail
can someone pull up how many noms these guys got?
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TheKoolAidShoto | Posted 9/28/2010 9:04:00 PM | message detail

From: ZFS | #039
Ninja Gaiden is losing to Legend of Dragoon and Mario Kart DS. I will never understand this place!


**** it, I think Bacon will take third place finishers!
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 9:04:01 PM | message detail

From: WarThaNemesis2 | #035
I know Brawl and all, but how did Ike beat Zidane?


...What else do you want me to say?

You answered your own question!
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Support Seifer Almasy (Final Fantasy VIII) for Character Battle IX!
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LOLContests | Posted 9/28/2010 9:04:14 PM | message detail
I sincerely doubt that FFXII gets stuck in the vote ins. That means it would be the equivalent of a 13 Seed or lower. It was above that in 2009!

No way it's lower now. I doubt FFIX/MM/ or G/S/C make it in the vote ins either. All three would probably get pretty high seeds anyway.

FFX-2/FFXI/FFTA are more likely candidates for vote-ins, in my opinion.
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Dr. Football beat me, Yesmar in the 2010 Guru Contest!
NoDicePwn | Posted 9/28/2010 9:04:25 PM | message detail
And I'm totally shocked at Legend of Dragoon. I've barely ever even heard of that game and its 2nd here.
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ZFS | Posted 9/28/2010 9:04:26 PM | message detail
I mean really Legend of Dragoon this game was not good

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The n00b Avenger | Posted 9/28/2010 9:05:04 PM | message detail

From: NoDicePwn | #036
C'mon Star Ocean 3. Totally underrated game I never even thought would have a shot to make vote ins, let alone maybe make the contest.


Bleh. The fact that it's like, over doubling Nocturne is disgusting enough, Let's not exacerbate the problem by having it move on
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LeonhartFour | Posted 9/28/2010 9:05:05 PM | message detail
Wait...

Was...

Was...Legend of Dragoon catching up to MKDS before the freeze?
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